Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. Core Views Financial Futures - The domestic economy is in the process of repair, with potential for incremental policies to promote price stability. The recent intensification of Sino-US trade friction is likely a game between the two sides, and short - term expectations for trade talks should not be too high [1]. - The RMB exchange rate is expected to remain stable, with the TACO trade having short - term stability but long - term concerns [1]. - The stock index is expected to experience wide - range fluctuations, with the short - term trend difficult to capture. It is advisable to try cross - variety arbitrage in index futures. The relative advantage of large - cap indexes may continue [2]. - Treasury bonds are expected to maintain a volatile trend, with limited upward and downward space. It is recommended to hold long positions in small amounts and wait for price drops to build positions [3]. - The shipping index (European line) futures are likely to continue to fluctuate, with a strategy of waiting and short - term operations. There are still low - buying opportunities for the 12 - contract [6]. Commodities Non - ferrous Metals - Gold and silver prices are rising strongly, with medium - to - long - term bullish trends but increased short - term volatility. It is advisable to wait and see or conduct short - term operations [9][10]. - The copper price is suppressed by demand but may rebound due to increased expectations of interest rate cuts. A "sell put + buy futures" combination strategy can be tried [11]. - Aluminum is expected to be volatile and bullish, alumina to be weak, and cast aluminum alloy to be volatile and bullish [12]. - Zinc is expected to be in a state of uncertainty, mainly in a volatile state [13]. - Nickel and stainless steel have a weakening downward drive, with short - term volatility. Nickel ore quotas in 2026 are expected to decline, and stainless steel exports have positive factors [15]. - Tin is still bullish in the long - term, with a stable mid - to - short - term wave - like upward trend. High - selling and low - buying strategies can be adopted [16]. - Carbonate lithium has strong demand, and the inventory of warehouse receipts is decreasing. It is expected to form a phased support for futures prices [17]. - Industrial silicon and polysilicon have weak fundamentals. Industrial silicon prices may rise slightly in the future, while polysilicon is affected by news disturbances [18][19]. - Lead is expected to maintain a volatile trend with limited upside [20]. Black Metals - For steel products such as rebar and hot - rolled coils, the market sentiment has slightly improved, but the downward trend may not be over. The rebound power of the futures market is limited [22]. - Iron ore has been under pressure recently, affected by the decline in market risk appetite and the rise in coking coal prices. Short - term short positions can consider taking profits at the right time [23]. - Coking coal and coke are in a state of upward rebound but face negative feedback risks. Unilateral trading should adopt a volatile strategy [24]. - Silicon iron and silicon manganese are affected by coking coal. They are in a state of high supply and weak demand, and are expected to oscillate at the bottom [25]. Energy and Chemicals - Crude oil prices are falling due to increased避险 sentiment. The market is affected by the game between macro - sentiment and supply - demand, and is likely to continue to adjust in the short term [27]. - PTA - PX prices follow the cost side. The supply of PX is expected to remain high in the fourth quarter, and PTA is in a state of relative surplus. It is advisable to wait and see on the unilateral side and try to expand the processing margin [29][31]. - MEG - bottle chips are mainly affected by macro - impacts. The long - term inventory build - up expectation makes it difficult to change its short - position status. It is advisable to wait and see on the unilateral side and consider selling put options [33]. - Methanol is affected by macro - trading. After the holiday, it is still in a weak state, and it is advisable to buy a small amount of bottom positions at low prices [34]. - PP is facing a situation of strong supply and weak demand, following the decline of the cost side. It is recommended to wait and see on the unilateral side [36]. - PE is in a weak pattern, with supply increasing and demand growing slowly. It is advisable to wait and see on the unilateral side [39]. - Pure benzene and styrene are in a phase of post - decline consolidation. Pure benzene has a difficult - to - rise and easy - to - fall situation, and styrene supply is tightening. Unilateral trading should wait and see [41]. - Fuel oil is recommended to focus on shorting the cracking spread, considering the supply and demand situation [42]. - Low - sulfur fuel oil has a weak rebound, with limited upward drive [42]. - Asphalt has no super - expected performance in the peak season. Short - term external disturbances are increasing, and it is advisable to wait and see [43]. - Rubber and 20 - day rubber have differentiated trends. In the short term, they are under pressure from supply and inventory. It is advisable to wait and see on the unilateral side [44][45]. - Glass, soda ash, and caustic soda have upstream inventory build - up. Soda ash has long - term supply pressure, glass has high inventory and weak demand, and caustic soda has uncertain short - term trends and long - term production pressure [46][47][48]. Agricultural Products - For live pigs, with high supply, it is advisable to short at high prices. Short - term attention should be paid to the game between farmers' sentiment and prices, and long - term attention to capacity - reduction policies [50]. - In the oilseed market, the domestic market is weakening, and the external market is in a narrow - range bottom oscillation. It is necessary to pay attention to Sino - US negotiations and supply - demand changes [51]. - For edible oils, palm oil may have limited downside, and it is advisable to buy on dips after a pullback. Soybean oil has high inventory pressure, and rapeseed oil's inventory may slowly decline [53]. - For soybeans, the 11 - contract should adjust short - positions according to spot sales, and new low - cost inventory can consider hedging in the 01 - contract [53]. - Corn and starch are in a weak state, with the corn starch market oscillating [53]. - Cotton has new cotton picking over half - way. The market is affected by the US government shutdown and consumption concerns [54]. Summaries by Relevant Catalogs Financial Futures Macro - Market information includes Sino - US trade talks, US bank credit issues, Fed interest - rate cut disagreements, and the US government shutdown [1]. - The core logic is that the domestic economy needs to focus on consumer demand, with potential for incremental policies. Sino - US trade friction is a new market focus, and the short - term outlook for trade talks is uncertain [1]. RMB Exchange Rate - The previous trading day saw a slight decline in the on - shore RMB against the US dollar. The main influencing factors are Sino - US trade talks and US government policies [1]. - The core logic is that the impact of this trade friction on the exchange rate is limited, and the RMB is expected to remain stable [1]. Stock Index - The previous trading day saw mixed performance of the stock index, with large - cap indexes rising and small - cap indexes falling. Trading volume decreased, indicating strong wait - and - see sentiment [2]. - The core view is that short - term trends are difficult to capture, and cross - variety arbitrage in index futures can be tried. The relative advantage of large - cap indexes may continue [2]. Treasury Bonds - The previous trading day saw a volatile bond market, with some varieties rising and some falling. Trading volume decreased significantly [3]. - The core view is that the bond market lacks momentum, with limited upward and downward space. It is advisable to hold long positions in small amounts and wait for price drops to build positions [3]. Shipping Index (European Line) - The previous trading day saw the shipping index futures price first decline and then oscillate at a low level [4]. - The core view is that the futures price is likely to continue to fluctuate, with a strategy of waiting and short - term operations. There are still low - buying opportunities for the 12 - contract [6]. Commodities Non - ferrous Metals Gold & Silver - The previous trading day saw a strong rise in precious metals prices, with a decline in the US dollar index, US Treasury yields, and other related assets. This reflects increased financial market risks in the US [7]. - The core view is that gold and silver prices are expected to be bullish in the medium - to - long - term but volatile in the short - term. It is advisable to wait and see or conduct short - term operations [9]. Copper - The previous trading day saw mixed performance of copper prices in different markets. The supply side has some maintenance situations, and the demand side suppresses price increases [10][11]. - The core view is that the expectation of interest rate cuts may drive copper prices to rebound. It is advisable to try a "sell put + buy futures" combination strategy [11]. Aluminum Industry Chain - The previous trading day saw different trends in aluminum, alumina, and cast aluminum alloy prices. The macro - environment is favorable for aluminum prices, while alumina is in a state of oversupply [11][12]. - The core view is that aluminum is expected to be volatile and bullish, alumina to be weak, and cast aluminum alloy to be volatile and bullish [12]. Zinc - The previous trading day saw zinc prices oscillating in a narrow range. The supply side is relatively stable domestically and has some production cuts overseas. Low inventory provides support [12][13]. - The core view is that the direction of zinc prices is unclear, and it is mainly in a volatile state [13]. Nickel and Stainless Steel - The previous trading day saw a slight rise in nickel and stainless - steel prices. The macro - environment has expectations of interest rate cuts and some easing of Sino - US tariffs. The supply and demand of nickel ore and stainless steel have different trends [14][15]. - The core view is that the downward drive of nickel and stainless steel is weakening, with short - term volatility. It is necessary to pay attention to Sino - US tariffs and interest rate cut expectations [15]. Tin - The previous trading day saw tin prices opening low and then rising. The fundamentals remain unchanged, and it is still bullish [16]. - The core view is that it is advisable to hold long positions for those already in the market and continue to observe for those not yet in [16]. Carbonate Lithium - The previous trading day saw an increase in carbonate lithium futures prices. The market demand is strong, and the inventory of warehouse receipts is decreasing [16]. - The core view is that it is expected to form a phased support for futures prices [17]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - The previous trading day saw different trends in industrial silicon and polysilicon futures prices. The supply and demand of the industrial silicon industry chain are general, and the polysilicon market is affected by news [17][18]. - The core view is that industrial silicon prices may rise slightly in the future, while polysilicon is affected by news disturbances [18][19]. Lead - The previous trading day saw lead prices oscillating in a narrow range. The supply side is affected by silver prices and raw - material restrictions, and the demand side has some export potential. Inventory may increase in the short term [19][20]. - The core view is that the upside of lead prices is limited [20]. Black Metals Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coils - The previous trading day saw a rebound in rebar with reduced positions, and hot - rolled coils performed weaker. The inventory of five major steel products decreased, but the de - stocking speed is slower than in previous years [22]. - The core view is that the market sentiment has slightly improved, but the downward trend may not be over. The rebound power of the futures market is limited [22]. Iron Ore - The previous trading day saw a continuous decline in iron ore prices. The increase in coking coal prices has squeezed iron ore prices, and the inventory has increased [23]. - The core view is that iron ore is under short - term pressure, and it is advisable to take profits on short positions at the right time [23]. Coking Coal and Coke - The previous trading day saw coking coal and coke prices oscillating strongly. The coking coal market is facing a situation of tight supply and potential negative feedback risks [23][24]. - The core view is that the rebound height and sustainability of coking coal and coke prices depend on the supply - demand balance of downstream steel products. It is advisable to adopt a volatile strategy on the unilateral side [24]. Silicon Iron and Silicon Manganese - The previous trading day saw an increase in ferroalloy prices affected by coking coal. The industry is facing a contradiction between high supply and weak demand [25]. - The core view is that there is no obvious upward drive in the short term, and it is expected to oscillate at the bottom [25]. Energy and Chemicals Crude Oil - The previous trading day saw a decline in crude oil prices. The market is affected by the game between macro - sentiment and supply - demand, with increased避险 sentiment [27]. - The core view is that the market is likely to continue to adjust in the short term, and the downward risk is the focus [27]. PTA - PX - The supply of PX is expected to increase in October, with a tight - balance or slight inventory - build - up situation. PTA supply has some changes, and demand is seasonally strong but not as good as in previous years [29][30]. - The core view is that PTA - PX prices follow the cost side. It is advisable to wait and see on the unilateral side and try to expand the processing margin [31]. MEG - Bottle Chips - The inventory of MEG in East China ports has increased. The supply side has changes in various devices, and demand is in a state of seasonal improvement but not strong [31][32]. - The core view is that it is mainly affected by macro - impacts. The long - term inventory build - up expectation makes it difficult to change its short - position status. It is advisable to wait and see on the unilateral side and consider selling put options [33]. Methanol - The previous trading day saw methanol prices at a certain level. The inventory of methanol ports has increased after the holiday, and it is affected by Iranian shipments and Sino - US trade [33]. - The core view is that after the holiday, it is still in a weak state, and it is advisable to buy a small amount of bottom positions at low prices [34]. PP - The previous trading day saw a slight increase in PP prices. The supply side is expected to increase due to improved profits, while the demand side is "off - peak" [35][36]. - The core view is that PP is facing a situation of strong supply and weak demand, following the decline of the cost side. It is recommended to wait and see on the unilateral side [36]. PE - The previous trading day saw a slight increase in PE prices. The supply side is expected to increase due to device restarts and potential imports, while the demand side is slow to recover [38][39]. - The core view is that PE is in a weak pattern, with supply increasing and demand growing slowly. It is advisable to wait and see on the unilateral side [39]. Pure Benzene and Styrene - The previous trading day saw an increase in pure benzene and styrene prices. The supply of pure benzene is expected to be high in the fourth quarter, and styrene supply is tightening [40][41]. - The core view is that they are in a phase of post - decline consolidation. It is advisable to wait and see on the unilateral side [41]. Fuel Oil - The previous trading day saw fuel oil prices at a certain level. The supply of fuel oil is tightening, and the demand is in a state of change. Inventory in some areas has decreased [42]. - The core view is that it is recommended to focus on shorting the cracking spread [42]. Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil - The previous trading day saw low - sulfur fuel oil prices at a certain level. The supply is expected to decrease, and the demand is weak. Inventory in some areas has decreased [42]. - The core view is that it has a weak rebound, with limited upward drive [42]. Asphalt - The previous trading day saw asphalt prices at a certain level. The supply of asphalt is relatively stable, and the demand is affected by the holiday and weather. Inventory has changed in structure [43]. - The core view is that the peak season has no super - expected performance. Short - term external disturbances are increasing, and it is advisable to wait and see [43]. Rubber and 20 - Day Rubber - The previous trading day saw a differentiation in rubber prices, with 20 - day rubber rebounding. The macro - environment and supply - demand have certain pressures, but the price of 20 - day rubber delivery products is firm [43]. - The core view is that in the short term, there is pressure from supply and inventory. It is advisable to wait and see on the unilateral side [44][45]. Glass, Soda Ash, and Caustic Soda - Soda ash inventory has increased, with long - term supply pressure. Glass inventory is high, and demand is weak. Caustic soda has uncertain short - term trends and long - term production pressure [46][47][48]. - The core view is that soda ash is affected by supply pressure, glass is restricted by inventory and demand, and caustic soda needs to wait for the market to bottom out [46][47][48]. Agricultural Products

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张夫稳 崔常松 通讯员 谢磊济宁报道 该公司还主动对接兖州农业农村部门,每日更新并共享粮食烘干服务点信息,安排专人实地走访、驻守烘 干服务点,第一时间掌握烘干动态,引导参保农户有序抢收抢烘,避免排队等待,有效降低风险。面对严峻的 形势,平安财险济宁中支紧急调配32台查勘车,5架无人机,调派30余名查勘人员,投入查勘定损工作,市县区 作业人员24小时待命,目前案件已100%完成查勘。 "报案后,不到3个小时,查勘员带着无人机就来了。"邹城市中心店镇的种植大户周峰说。周峰承包种植的 330余亩玉米因连续阴雨出现不同程度倒伏。正当他发愁时,太平财险济宁中支快速响应机制发挥了关键 作用,查勘员利用无人机快速完成受损玉米的损失评估。 太平财险在邹城市承保了中心店镇等3个镇街的玉米保险,共计5.7万亩。自9月份开始,太平财险济宁中支 便组织农险专员逐村、逐个大户开启查勘工作,利用无人机、卫星遥感等技术手段,实现定损环节的精准 识别与大幅提速。 同样快速响应、高效查勘的还有人保财险济宁市分公司。13日上午11时许,在邹城市峄山镇大一村旁,人 保财险邹城市支公司的农险查勘员利用无人机航拍,快速对种植大户许科研的参保玉米现场查 ...

始终坚持农民主体地位。为了谁、依靠谁，是关系农业现代化动力和目标的基本问题。我国推进农业现 代化的一个显著特征，是突出农民主体地位、尊重农民意愿，始终把保障农民利益放在第一位。从实践 看，正是将坚持农民主体地位、增进农民福祉作为农村一切工作的出发点和落脚点，把农民拥护不拥 护、支持不支持作为制定党的农村政策的依据，充分调动广大农民的积极性、主动性、创造性，农民成 为推动农业现代化的参与者、支持者和受益者，我国农业现代化由此具备了最坚实的根基、最深厚的力 量。 有效市场和有为政府协同。我国农业现代化的实践过程，也是一个政府和市场各就其位、共同推动的过 程。在政策体系和市场体系完善过程中，政府和市场关系不断协同优化。特别是党的十八大以来，农产 品价格形成机制、农村集体产权制度等重大改革的推进，强农惠农富农政策体系的不断完善，有效激活 了市场、要素和主体，成为农业现代化加快发展的动力源泉。同时，农村市场体系不断完善，农产品流 通体制、农产品价格和市场调控机制不断健全，要素市场化配置改革逐步推进，市场运行效率不断提 高，推动了传统农业向现代农业加快转型升级。 "大"与"小"经营形态长期并存。以小农户为主的家庭经营是我 ...

日前，王乾在接受中国证券报记者采访时，分享了自己践行价值投资的本心与思路。基于长周期投资视 角，王乾始终坚持以合理的价格买入高质量资产，为组合提供足够的安全边际，致力于为基金持有人实 现长期绝对收益。王乾认为，当前部分顺周期及内需类资产已具备可观的隐含回报率，市场风格的再平 衡需要等待基本面的实质改善。 近期市场科技成长风格占优，但仍有一批坚守价值风格的主动权益基金经理稳步前行，永赢基金权益研 究部总经理、基金经理王乾就是其中的一位。十余年的卖方研究经历，为他打下了扎实的行业与公司研 究基础，也让他在面对风格轮转时更加坦然和从容。 保持投资风格稳定 今年以来，科技成长风格强势走高，而价值风格阶段性落后。身为价值派投资者，王乾并不悲观，难得 地保持着理性客观的良好心态。 "风格轮转是市场运行的客观组成，在科技成长行情阶段占优的情况下，成长风格的基金经理业绩领先 是很自然的事情。"在王乾看来，价值投资最重要的是要耐得住寂寞，按照既定策略保证组合稳定运 行，打造符合部分投资者长期理财需求的净值曲线。 逆向策略与长期持股相结合 基于长周期的价值投资视角，在王乾眼中，投资本质上就是以合适价格买入好公司，优质资产是组合长 ...

10月16日，美国联邦政府"停摆"进入第16天。 而在当地时间10月15日，国会参议院依旧未能通过临时预算案，这已是参议院第九次否决该方案。据 悉，参议院预计将于当地时间16日再次就众议院通过的临时拨款法案进行投票。但截至目前，尚未有合 理预期证明将有不同结果出现。 这场政治僵局正不断加剧美国的经济困境与民生危机。 15日，美国财政部长贝森特指出，持续两周的联邦政府停摆，每天给美国经济造成约150亿美元的产出 损失。不过，当天晚些时候，一位美国财政部官员表示，贝森特实际上指的是美国经济顾问委员会的一 份报告，该报告指出，政府关门"每周可能会造成约150亿美元的经济损失"。 重创经济 在10月15日的投票中，51票赞成、44票反对，赞成票数未能达到60票，临时预算案未能获得通过。其 中，3名民主党议员加入共和党阵营投了赞成票、1名共和党议员加入民主党阵营投了反对票。投票结果 较之前未有变化。 医保预算仍是两党核心分歧。民主党人坚持需在临时预算案中加入关于医保方面预算的附加条款。共和 党人则坚持要先结束政府"停摆"再就医保预算进行谈判。 此前，美国历史上最长的一次政府"停摆"发生在特朗普第一个总统任期内。当时国会 ...

10月16日，我们迎来第45个世界粮食日。 悠悠万事，吃饭为大。一碗"安心饭"背后的底气何在？从"汗水农业"向"智慧农业"发展进程如何？节粮 减损取得哪些成效？一起来了解一下。 ■共护粮丰民安 共护粮車民安\ 致山家和部量新零量调度显示 全国联播收藏过 六回 分程物看 中国 河北省成 s se 亚洲成 0:00 / 0:46 ■向智慧农业加速迈进 ■深耕"无形粮田" "另一打多到出 FER 我国粮食加重损失率 降低至 回。目9分 粮食运输损失率 降低至 四冶房物 粮食流通领域节约减损 编导：龙泠宇 包装：张墨琳、热法伊·热合满江 取得显著成效 记者：姜亮、杨进、赵小羽、李爱斌 新华社音视频部制作 ...

根据方案规则，"Zarkhez-e"融资计划明确表示：每英亩最高可提供10万卢比融资，土地所有人最高可获 100万卢比融资，土地租用人最高融资额度则为50万卢比。此融资计划的一个关键特点是，至少75%的 融资资金将以实物形式发放，以确保由银行或小额信贷机构合作的农业商户向农民提供优质的种子、肥 料、农药以及柴油等物品，其余至多25%的资金可以现金形式发放，可供农民支付其他农业相关费用。 此外，该计划还将为农民提供农业咨询服务，以提高作物产量。 为鼓励金融机构参与，方案明确银行及小额金融机构每新增一名未偿贷农户，可获得每借款人1万卢比 的运营成本补贴。目前，多数银行及小额信贷机构已完成自有系统与方案门户网站的对接集成，巴基斯 坦国家银行正督促剩余机构加快系统适配，确保该数字方案全面无缝落地推广。(巴基斯坦财富网供稿) 根据巴基斯坦总理提出的农业领域转型愿景，该国政府于今年8月推出了"小农户及服务薄弱地区风险保 障计划"，旨在改善小农、边缘化农民、服务未触达及服务不足地区农民的融资问题。作为计划的一部 分，"Zarkhez-e"已实现流程数字化，巴农民可直接在相关门户网站申请农业贷款，不再需要前往银行网 点，申请 ...