明日，A股市场将迎来2026年首个交易日。元旦假期期间，港股迎来新年开门红，在美上市的中国资产 也有强势表现，一定程度上提振了市场对A股新年开门红的预期。 展望后市，机构认为，开年后A股震荡向上的概率更高，投资者对春季行情应保持耐心，消费与成长板 块有望成为春季行情的两条主线。配置上，热度和持仓集中度相对较低但关注度开始提升、催化开始增 多且长期ROE有提升空间的板块值得关注，此外人民币汇率也具备继续走强可能，这或为港股带来一定 利好。 影响后市投资大事件 1月1日起房贷利率下调 自2026年1月1日起，存量住房公积金贷款利率下调25个基点。此外，由于2025年5年期以上LPR累计下 调10个基点，因此部分重定价日在1月1日的商贷利率也迎来下调。 2026年"国补"政策明确 近日，国家发展改革委、财政部印发《关于2026年实施大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新政策的通 知》，明确2026年"两新"政策的支持范围、补贴标准和工作要求。通知称：继续实施汽车报废更新和汽 车置换更新补贴；继续实施家电以旧换新补贴，支持范围聚焦冰箱、洗衣机、电视、空调、电脑、热水 器等6类产品；同时，将数码产品购新补贴拓展为数码和智能产品 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the paradox of stock buybacks and share repurchases in the A-share market, highlighting the skepticism surrounding their effectiveness as genuine signals of corporate value amidst instances of stock price declines following such announcements [1][2]. Group 1: Buyback and Repurchase Trends - In early 2026, the trend of buybacks and share repurchases remains strong in the Shenzhen market, with companies like Dongcheng Pharmaceutical and Century Huatong announcing significant repurchase plans [1]. - By the end of 2025, Shenzhen companies disclosed a total of 424 buyback plans, with a maximum repurchase amount exceeding 800 billion and a maximum share purchase amount exceeding 300 billion [1]. - Major players in various sectors, including electronics and biomedicine, are leading the buyback efforts, with Midea Group and CATL making substantial repurchases [1]. Group 2: Investor Skepticism - The case of a company experiencing a stock price drop immediately after announcing a buyback raises questions about the sincerity of such actions, leading investors to wonder if these moves are genuine value affirmations or merely public relations tactics [2][3]. - The disparity between theoretical benefits of buybacks and the reality of declining stock prices creates confusion in the market, prompting investors to question the motives behind these actions [3]. Group 3: Recommendations for Genuine Buybacks - Companies should treat buybacks as strategic decisions based on thorough value assessments rather than as emergency measures during stock price declines [4]. - Regulatory bodies need to enhance rules to prevent buybacks from being used for market manipulation or information arbitrage, ensuring transparency and protecting smaller investors [4]. - Investors should focus on the actual actions taken by companies, assessing the consistency and sustainability of buyback plans rather than just the announcements [4]. Group 4: Trust and Market Confidence - The effectiveness of buybacks as a confidence-building tool relies on the trust of market participants, and misuse of this tool can undermine overall market confidence [5]. - The article emphasizes the need for companies to engage in genuine actions that contribute to long-term value rather than short-term fixes, fostering a partnership between companies and investors based on shared interests [5].

近日，商务部消费促进司负责人就《关于提质增效实施2026年消费品以旧换新政策的通知》(以下简称 《通知》)进行解读。 该负责人表示，2026年继续实施汽车、家电、手机等数码产品等传统领域补贴政策，在保持政策总体延 续稳定基础上，适当优化补贴品类和标准。同时，将补贴范围扩大至智能终端等新兴领域，培育壮大消 费新动能，带动新技术、新装备、新产业（300832）发展。 《每日经济新闻》记者梳理发现，近期，多部门密集出台促消费政策文件。国家发展改革委、财政部发 布《关于2026年实施大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新政策的通知》；商务部等七部门印发《关于提质 增效实施2026年消费品以旧换新政策的通知》等。 商务部国际贸易经济合作研究院学术委员会副主任张建平接受《每日经济新闻》记者电话采访时表示， 消费品以旧换新政策从前两年一直延续至今，实践证明是有效的，各部门在实施过程中积累了丰富的经 验。"2026年继续实施消费品以旧换新政策，是在贯彻落实扩大内需国家战略。" 补贴范围扩至智能终端等 根据《关于做好2026年家电以旧换新、数码和智能产品购新补贴工作的通知》，2026年1月1日起，按照 全国统一的品类和标准，对个人消费 ...

"国补"带动下，各地消费市场的热度正在持续攀升。据央视新闻报道，在成都多家大型家电卖场，咨询选购的人络绎不绝，不少消费者趁假期与新政叠加， 集中升级家中电器。长虹中国区绵阳市场总监冯瑞表示，目前长虹空调已转向将产品全部升级为一级能效，且积极实施家用空调全系列"十年包修"的售后政 策。"这两天门店购买家电的消费者几乎都在咨询一级能效的空调等产品。" 此外，在广州、南京等地，随着"国补"新政的落地，家电数码、汽车市场掀起新一轮"焕新"热潮。 北京商报讯（记者 金朝力 卓洋）1月1日，2026年新一轮"国补"正式开始。其中2026年首批625亿元国补资金已下达，延续消费品以旧换新，并加大对设备更 新的支持力度。 按照全国统一的品类和标准，北京市对在京个人消费者购买1级能效或水效标准的冰箱、洗衣机、电视、空调、热水器、电脑6类家电产品，以及单件销售价 格不超过6000元的手机、平板、智能手表（手环）、智能眼镜4类数码和智能产品给予补贴。补贴标准为上述产品扣除各环节优惠后最终销售价格的15%， 每人每类可补贴1件，其中，家电产品每件补贴不超过1500元，数码和智能产品每件补贴不超过500元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing debate in the air conditioning industry regarding the shift from copper to aluminum in key components, particularly heat exchangers, and the implications for product performance and cost [5][8][25]. Group 1: Industry Trends - Major air conditioning brands, including Haier, Midea, and TCL, have formed an alliance to promote the use of aluminum instead of copper, while Gree has opted out, citing concerns over quality and reliability [5][6][25]. - The shift to aluminum is driven by rising copper prices, which have surged to over $12,000 per ton, making copper a significant cost component in air conditioning units, accounting for approximately 30% to 40% of total costs [30][29][28]. Group 2: Technical Considerations - The transition involves replacing copper pipes in heat exchangers with aluminum pipes, which could potentially affect cooling efficiency due to aluminum's lower thermal conductivity (about 60% of copper's) and other performance metrics [12][10][8]. - Advances in technology, such as microchannel technology and specialized coatings, are being developed to mitigate the disadvantages of aluminum, including its thermal conductivity and corrosion resistance [14][16][18]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The global demand for copper is increasing, driven by sectors like AI and electric vehicles, which require significant amounts of copper for infrastructure and manufacturing [38][42]. - Geopolitical risks and supply chain vulnerabilities related to copper mining are prompting manufacturers to consider aluminum as a more stable alternative, given its abundance and lower cost [50][49]. Group 4: Consumer Implications - Consumers are concerned that the switch to aluminum may compromise the performance of air conditioning units, leading to calls for manufacturers to ensure quality and possibly lower prices to reflect the cost savings from using aluminum [51][52]. - The article suggests that if manufacturers can demonstrate that aluminum-based systems perform comparably to copper systems, they should consider passing on cost savings to consumers through lower prices or extended warranties [52].

资料称，作为中国自主研发的新一代无线短距通信技术，星闪正是为了打破传统蓝牙和Wi-Fi的局限而 生。它融合了两者的优点，具备超低时延、高可靠和抗干扰等特性。作为鸿蒙生态的关键连接底座，星 闪正在从智能汽车、智能制造加速渗透进智能家居，为万物互联带来更强大的连接体验。 北京商报讯（记者 陶凤 王天逸）1月4日，美的集团宣布，国内首个聚焦星闪技术在智能家居领域应用 的开放创新平台——"上海星闪开放实验室"，近期在上海美的全球创新园区正式揭牌。 ...

Group 1 - The report indicates that post-New Year, the bond market sentiment is expected to ease, but a neutral approach is recommended due to low likelihood of interest rate cuts in the short term, suggesting a maintenance of a neutral duration strategy [2][12] - In the stock market, increased volatility is anticipated due to institutional rebalancing at year-end, but the focus on high prosperity sectors remains unchanged, with a positive outlook for the spring market in January-February [3][12] - Investment opportunities are highlighted in sectors with upward trends, specifically AI, semiconductors, new energy, non-ferrous metals, chemicals, and the ChiNext board, with a recommendation to patiently await the upcoming spring market [3][12] Group 2 - The report reviews significant events, including the announcement of a 625 billion yuan special bond to support consumer upgrades and the exemption of VAT on housing sold after two years of ownership, which may stimulate economic activity [9] - The report notes that the official manufacturing PMI for December rose to 50.1, indicating a return to expansion, with both production and demand showing significant recovery [9] - The bond market is described as experiencing weak fluctuations, with long-term bonds underperforming due to concerns over fiscal stimulus and stronger-than-expected PMI data [10]

Economic Initiatives - Various regions are intensifying efforts to boost the economy, with Shanghai and Hubei holding conferences to optimize the business environment and promote technological innovation [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) emphasizes the need for timely policy implementation to stimulate consumption, investment, and green development [1] Consumer Spending Promotion - The "Buy in China" initiative and Spring Festival consumption season have been launched, focusing on product and service consumption [2] - The first batch of 625 billion yuan in national subsidies has been allocated to support consumer demand during the New Year and Spring Festival [3] Investment Expansion - Major projects are being initiated across various regions, with Shanghai's Yangpu District launching 50 key industrial projects with a total investment exceeding 20 billion yuan [4] - The NDRC has organized the early release of approximately 295 billion yuan for "two new" construction projects to accelerate funding and investment [4] Infrastructure Development - The NDRC has approved multiple significant infrastructure projects, including transportation and water resource projects, with total investments exceeding 400 billion yuan [5] - A more proactive fiscal policy is expected to accelerate infrastructure investment growth to around 5.0% in 2026, significantly higher than in 2025 [5]

Group 1 - The AWE2026 (China Household Appliances and Consumer Electronics Expo) will take place from March 12 to 15, 2026, in Shanghai, featuring a new "one exhibition, dual zones" model [4] - The theme of AWE2026 is "AI Technology, Enjoying the Future," focusing on the innovative applications of artificial intelligence in the home appliance and consumer electronics sectors [6][10] - Over 1,500 exhibitors from more than 70 countries and regions are expected, with anticipated attendance exceeding 400,000, showcasing thousands of smart living products and solutions [6] Group 2 - Major Chinese brands such as Haier, Midea, Changhong, TCL, and Hisense will showcase their latest AI technologies and scenario-based products, highlighting China's technological leadership in manufacturing [6] - International brands like Bosch, Panasonic, Samsung, and LG will also participate, adding a global dimension to the expo [6] - The event will emphasize "full-domain interconnection," "proactive intelligence," and "personalized adaptation," marking a shift from focusing solely on product functionality to integrating advanced technologies [8] Group 3 - AWE2026 will introduce a new exhibition area in the Shanghai Oriental Hub International Business Cooperation Zone, aimed at showcasing advanced technologies in the consumer electronics industry [10] - This expo is positioned as a significant international event following the operational launch of the business cooperation zone, leveraging its unique advantages for global brand aggregation and technological innovation [10]

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the "old for new" policy in 2026 aims to stimulate consumer spending, particularly in the automotive and home appliance sectors, with significant financial support from the government [1][4]. Group 1: Policy Implementation - The National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance have allocated 625 billion yuan for the first batch of special long-term bonds to support the "old for new" policy [2]. - The policy covers various sectors, including automotive, home appliances, and digital products, with a focus on enhancing consumer spending during the New Year holiday [3][4]. - The policy aims to optimize the implementation of the "two new" policies by removing unreasonable restrictions in the consumer sector [4]. Group 2: Consumer Impact - In Xi'an, most offline stores have begun to implement the new subsidy policy, offering around 1,000 yuan in subsidies for products like televisions, refrigerators, and washing machines [2][5]. - Sales data from January 1 to 2, 2026, in Hebei showed a total sales volume of 5.90 billion yuan, with 813.24 million yuan in subsidies utilized [7]. - In Henan, the sales of household appliances reached 26.86 million yuan in the first two days of the holiday, indicating a positive impact from the policy [8]. Group 3: Market Trends - The policy has led to a significant increase in sales of energy-efficient and water-efficient appliances, with 92% of products sold in major stores meeting these standards [5][12]. - The sales of smartphones and smartwatches saw a remarkable increase of 170% and 115% respectively, indicating a strong demand for digital products [6]. - The policy is expected to drive innovation and upgrades in the electronics and home appliance industries, benefiting both consumers and the economy [10][12]. Group 4: Policy Adjustments - The new policy includes specific adjustments, such as a maximum subsidy of 20,000 yuan for new car purchases and a 12% subsidy for electric vehicle scrappage [9]. - Subsidies for home appliances are set at 15% of the product price for energy-efficient models, with a cap of 1,500 yuan per item [9]. - The policy emphasizes the importance of standards in promoting energy efficiency and reducing carbon emissions [12].