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技术性牛市!这一指数,创10年新高!
证券时报· 2025-06-25 04:07
6月25日,中证转债指数盘中最高到达439.86点,再次刷新2015年6月26日以来新高。自去年9月以来,中证转债指数的累计涨幅已超过20%,转债市场进入技术性牛 市。 对于今年以来的转债市场,受访人士认为,可转债市场存量规模萎缩,"稀缺性"持续凸显令可转债受到资金青睐。同时,目前A股持续强势震荡行情,有望支撑可 转债估值。 在A股市场近期震荡攀升的情况下,转债市场也呈现持续上行态势。 中证转债指数创10年新高 6月25日,中证转债指数开盘后快速拉升,盘中最高到达439.86点,再次刷新2015年6月26日以来新高。 在去年"924"A股行情带动下,转债市场自2024年9月也出现了一轮快速上涨行情。今年以来,尽管A股市场整体保持震荡走势,但转债市场仍保持上行趋势。 截至 目前,中证转债指数自2024年9月以来累计涨幅超过20%,转债市场再次进入技术性牛市。 对于转债市场持续走强的原因,中海外钜融投资总监冯昊向证券时报记者表示,转债市场表现强势主要得益于政策层面对实体经济和资本市场的支持较过去几年明 显更加积极,而且资本市场的定位已经得到显著提升,去年9月24日以来A股市场强势表现,增强了转债市场投资者的信心。 ...
专家访谈汇总:特朗普转变政策,伊朗或迎来军事打击?
1.《 短剧市场规模增长迅猛 》摘 要 闻泰科技的多元化业务缩减 尤其是剥离产品集成业务后 半导体业务面临行业周期波动及国际政 ■ 闻泰科技的多元化业务缩减,尤其是剥离产品集成业务后,半导体业务面临行业周期波动及国际政 治环境变化的风险,且商誉减值风险增加,2024年公司业绩可能出现较大亏损。 ■ 尽管今年已有多家公司遭遇可转债评级下调,但在A股市场整体震荡偏强的背景下,低价转债并未 出现明显波动。 ■ 低价转债并未出现普遍的调整压力,主要由于转债的平价水平因为正股上涨和转债下修等因素有所 提升,转股权的价值也上升了。 ■ 根据市场的表现,尽管评级下调可能反映公司基本面恶化(如亏损、债务压力等),但由于当前市 场的风偏较高,尤其是在政策支持和资金推动下,评级下调对转债的影响可能相对较小。 ■ 尽管可转债市场出现了一些评级下调的现象,但由于政策和资金推动的因素,预计可转债市场整体 风险仍可控,结构性机会仍然存在。 ■ 随着短剧行业竞争的加剧,单一环节的优势逐渐不再有效,更多企业开始向全链路布局转型,推动 产业链各环节的融合。 ■ 2025年,数据表明,半数在微短剧热力榜TOP20中的作品出自具有全产业链运营能力 ...
午后大金融爆发!但网格开始逢高减仓了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-15 03:27
Core Viewpoint - The market has rebounded to the level of 3400, returning to the position seen in March, following a 10% adjustment over two months, indicating a potential recovery in investor sentiment and market dynamics [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The banking, brokerage, and insurance sectors have surged, contributing to a significant increase in the index, which has now surpassed 3400 [3][9]. - The banking index has reached a historical high, with a total market capitalization exceeding 10 trillion, representing over 10% of the total market capitalization of the CSI All Share Index, which stands at 99 trillion [9]. Group 2: Fund Management Regulations - New regulations for public funds are expected to tie performance assessments to benchmarks and investor profitability, prompting a shift in investment strategies [3][4]. - Most public funds benchmark against the CSI 300 index, leading to a potential increase in buying activity in the index's constituent sectors, particularly in banking and finance [4][5]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - The anticipation of new regulations has led to a tactical shift in fund managers' strategies, with early buying seen as advantageous for cost efficiency [4][6]. - High-profile institutions, including Goldman Sachs, have noted that the financial sector is experiencing a rise due to the new public fund management guidelines, with significant reallocations observed since the announcement on May 7 [7][10]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The current market behavior is characterized as a short-term tactical repositioning rather than a fundamental improvement in the market [11][12]. - The expectation is that public funds will increasingly invest in CSI 300 constituents, but fund managers are likely to maintain their research-driven investment approaches to outperform the index over time [12][13].