★ 宏观动态 ★ 央行：2月中期借贷便利（MLF）净投放3000亿元 中国人民银行今天公布2026年2月中央银行各项工具流动性投放情况。数据显示，2月，中期借贷便利 （MLF）净投放3000亿元，常备借贷便利（SLF）净投放0亿元，其他结构性货币政策工具净投放-76亿元。与 此同时，公开市场操作方面，2月，公开市场国债买卖净投放500亿元，7天期逆回购净投放-1205亿元，中央国 库现金管理净投放0亿元，其他期限逆回购净投放6000亿元。 美国多地民众集会抗议对伊朗动武 据新华社，美国纽约、旧金山、洛杉矶、芝加哥、亚特兰大等主要城市的民众2日傍晚举行游行集会，抗议美 国对伊朗发动军事打击，要求特朗普政府停止针对伊朗的战争行为。 美议员提议对亿万富翁征收5%年度财富税，马斯克首年或缴420亿美元 美国参议员伯尼·桑德斯以及众议员罗·卡纳周一（3月2日）提出了一项法案，拟对美国亿万富翁征收5%的年度 财富税。议员们表示，根据该法案，马斯克第一年将须缴纳420亿美元的税款。 国际一流湾区加速崛起，粤港澳融合发展成效可圈可点 据央视新闻，全国政协十四届四次会议新闻发布会今天（3月3日）下午举行，大会新闻发言人刘结一向 ...

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is injecting liquidity into the market through various monetary policy tools, including a significant increase in reverse repos, to maintain ample liquidity in the banking system during February, a month typically characterized by high credit demand [1][2]. Group 1: Reverse Repo Operations - On February 4, the PBOC conducted an 800 billion yuan reverse repo operation with a term of three months, marking the first increase in this type of operation in four months, indicating a proactive approach to inject medium-term liquidity into the market [1]. - The operation was necessitated by the maturity of 700 billion yuan in three-month reverse repos in February, resulting in a net increase of 100 billion yuan in liquidity for the month [1]. Group 2: Market Liquidity and Economic Analysis - According to Dong Ximiao, Chief Economist at Zhongan, February is a month with concentrated bank credit issuance, compounded by cash withdrawal demands before the Spring Festival, leading to increased liquidity needs in the market [1]. - Dong Ximiao anticipates that around February 15, the PBOC will conduct a six-month reverse repo operation, potentially maintaining or increasing the current liquidity levels [1]. - The PBOC has been consistently injecting liquidity through various tools, including a 900 billion yuan one-year Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) operation in January, which resulted in a net liquidity injection of 700 billion yuan [2]. Group 3: January Liquidity Injection Details - In January, the PBOC's liquidity injection included a net MLF injection of 700 billion yuan, a net outflow of 79 billion yuan from the Standing Lending Facility (SLF), and a net injection of 641 billion yuan from other structural monetary policy tools [2]. - The open market operations in January also included a net injection of 1 billion yuan from government bond transactions and a net injection of 1.678 billion yuan from seven-day reverse repos [2].

Market Performance - The majority of government bond futures closed higher, with the 30-year main contract down 0.10% at 111.960 yuan, the 10-year main contract up 0.02% at 108.260 yuan, the 5-year main contract up 0.06% at 105.905 yuan, and the 2-year main contract up 0.03% at 102.414 yuan [1] - The yields on major interbank bonds showed mixed movements, with the 10-year China Development Bank bond "25国开15" yield rising by 0.30 basis points to 1.9610%, while the 10-year government bond "25附息国债16" yield fell by 0.30 basis points to 1.8120%, and the 30-year government bond "25超长特别国债06" yield decreased by 0.15 basis points to 2.2500% [1] Funding Conditions - The central bank announced a 1,055 billion yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation on February 3, with a fixed rate of 1.40%, and the full bid amount was accepted [2] - On the same day, 4,020 billion yuan of reverse repos matured, resulting in a net withdrawal of 2,965 billion yuan [2] - The overall funding conditions in the interbank market remained stable, with the weighted average rate of DR001 dropping about 5 basis points to around 1.31% [2] News Updates - The central bank reported liquidity injection for January 2026, with a net withdrawal of 79 billion yuan from the Standing Lending Facility (SLF), a net injection of 700 billion yuan from the Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF), and a net injection of 1,744 billion yuan from the Pledged Supplementary Lending (PSL) [3] - The central bank will conduct an 8,000 billion yuan buyout reverse repurchase operation on February 4, with a term of 3 months (91 days), aiming for a net injection of 1,000 billion yuan after accounting for 7,000 billion yuan of 91-day reverse repos maturing on the same day [3] Operational Suggestions - The recent rebound in the equity market has slightly suppressed long bond sentiment, but the central bank's announcements of 1,000 billion yuan bond purchases and a 1,000 billion yuan net injection through buyout reverse repos support expectations for a loose funding environment [4] - In the absence of further catalysts, the 10-year bond yield may continue to fluctuate within the 1.8%-1.85% range, while the T2603 contract may oscillate between 108-108.3 [4] - It is suggested to maintain range trading strategies and consider narrowing the spread between ultra-long bonds and other varieties, especially with the seasonal rise in funding rates before the Spring Festival [4]

"当前，逆回购、MLF、国债买卖等保障日常的流动性供给，SLF可向有需要的银行提供临时的流 动性支持，各类再贷款对应结构性的流动性供给。总体看，我国流动性工具体系已较为完整，基本覆盖 了国际通行的流动性工具范围。"业内人士表示，"这套相互配合、各有侧重的立体化工具体系，有力保 障了流动性的充裕，充分体现了我国货币政策调控的专业性与有效性，为经济高质量发展营造了适宜的 流动性环境。" 对于下一步政策思路，董希淼预计，2月份仍然是银行信贷投放较为集中的月份，叠加春节之前取 现因素影响，市场对流动性需求增加。他分析认为，央行已经建立起了一套流动性管理工具"组合拳"， 预计可通过各种工具的配合使用，有效应对财政税收、政府债券发行等短期波动，保持货币市场运行整 体平稳，短端货币市场利率围绕政策利率中枢小幅波动，银行体系流动性保持充裕。 中信证券首席经济学家明明表示，1月份国债净买入规模1000亿元，1月份央行买断式逆回购加上 MLF净投放规模达到1万亿元，流动性整体稳中偏松。2月份，资金面临跨节和现金扰动双重压力，预 计后续可能综合运用多种工具，保持流动性充裕。 2月3日，中国人民银行官网公布，为保持银行体系流动性充裕 ...

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is set to conduct an 800 billion yuan reverse repo operation on February 4, marking the first increase in the three-month reverse repo in four months, indicating a proactive approach to inject medium-term liquidity into the market in response to increased liquidity demand during February, a month typically characterized by concentrated bank credit issuance and cash withdrawal ahead of the Spring Festival [1][2][5]. Group 1: Reverse Repo Operations - The PBOC will implement an 800 billion yuan three-month reverse repo operation on February 4, which is an increase of 100 billion yuan compared to previous operations [2]. - February is expected to see 700 billion yuan of three-month reverse repos maturing, making the new operation a significant addition to liquidity [2]. - The increase in reverse repo operations is aimed at addressing the heightened liquidity demand due to the Spring Festival and the issuance of government bonds [3][6]. Group 2: Market Conditions and Expectations - Experts indicate that February's liquidity conditions may be affected by the issuance schedule of government bonds, with a projected net financing increase of 200 billion yuan [3]. - The PBOC's actions align with its ongoing strategy to maintain market liquidity, especially during the critical period of year-end and early-year financial operations [4]. - Following the structural policies introduced on January 15, the monetary policy is currently in an observation phase, reducing the immediate necessity for a reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cut [5][6]. Group 3: Future Monetary Policy Outlook - The PBOC is expected to continue utilizing a mix of MLF and reverse repos to inject medium-term liquidity into the market, with additional operations planned for February [6][7]. - The central bank has indicated that while there is room for RRR cuts, the timing and pace will be carefully considered, suggesting a cautious approach to monetary easing [5][7]. - The focus of monetary policy is shifting towards enhancing the efficiency of existing tools rather than simply increasing the scale of interventions [6].

综合来看，2月中长期流动性合计到期15000亿元，其中3个月期、6个月期买断式逆回购到期规模分别为 7000亿元、5000亿元，中期借贷便利（MLF）到期规模为3000亿元。而2月4日央行将开展8000亿元买 断式逆回购操作，实现净投放1000亿元。 2月3日，中国人民银行官网公布，为保持银行体系流动性充裕，2月4日，中国人民银行将以固定数量、 利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展8000亿元买断式逆回购操作，期限为3个月（91天）。 "当前，逆回购、中期借贷便利（MLF）、国债买卖等保障日常的流动性供给，常备借贷便利（SLF） 可向有需要的银行提供临时的流动性支持，各类再贷款对应结构性的流动性供给。总体看，我国流动性 工具体系已较为完整，基本覆盖了国际通行的流动性工具范围。"业内人士解释，"这套相互配合、各有 侧重的立体化工具体系，有力保障了流动性的充裕，充分体现了我国货币政策调控的专业性与有效性， 为经济高质量发展营造了适宜的流动性环境。" 对于下一步政策思路，董希淼预计，2月仍然是银行信贷投放较为集中的月份，叠加春节之前取现因素 影响，市场对流动性需求增加。他分析称，央行已经建立起了一套流动性管理工具组合拳， ...

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 105.5 billion yuan at an interest rate of 1.40%, resulting in a net withdrawal of 296.5 billion yuan from the open market due to the maturity of 402 billion yuan in reverse repos on the same day [1]. Group 1: Market Rates - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) showed slight fluctuations, with the overnight Shibor decreasing by 4.80 basis points to 1.3170%, while the 7-day Shibor increased by 0.30 basis points to 1.4880%, and the 14-day Shibor rose by 0.20 basis points to 1.5110% [1][2]. - The overnight funding rate in the interbank pledged repo market slightly fell to around 1.3%, while the 7-day and 14-day rates saw minor increases [4]. Group 2: Trading Activity - The overall funding environment on February 3 was relatively loose, with overnight rates for certificates of deposit trading around 1.52%-1.55% and 7-day rates at 1.52%-1.53% [10]. - The secondary market for certificates of deposit was active, with yields showing slight upward movements, particularly for 3-month and 6-month maturities [11]. Group 3: Central Bank Operations - In January, the central bank reported a net injection of 700 billion yuan through Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) and a net withdrawal of 79 million yuan through Standing Lending Facility (SLF) [13]. - The central bank emphasized the importance of maintaining a reasonable growth in credit volume and balanced allocation, aiming to support the real economy effectively [14].

2月3日，中国人民银行公布2026年1月中央银行各项工具流动性投放情况。数据显示，1月，中期借贷便 利（MLF）净投放7000亿元，常备借贷便利（SLF）净回笼79亿元，抵押补充贷款（PSL）净投放1744 亿元，其他结构性货币政策工具净投放641亿元。公开市场操作方面，1月，公开市场国债买卖净投放 1000亿元，7天期逆回购净投放1678亿元，中央国库现金管理净回笼600亿元，其他期限逆回购净投放 1000亿元。 ...

【导读】央行将开展8000亿元买断式逆回购操作 2月3日，央行发布消息称，为保持银行体系流动性充裕，2026年2月4日，中国人民银行将以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展8000亿元买断式 逆回购操作，期限为3个月（91天）。 | | | | 中国人民银行 THE PEOPLE'S BANK OF CHINA | 货币政策司 Monetary Policy Department | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 信息公开 | 新闻发布 | 法律法规 | 货币政策 | 宏观审慎 | 信贷政策 | 金融市场 | 金融稳定 | 调查统计 | 银行会计 | 支付体系 | | | 金融科技 | 人民币 | 经理国库 | 国际交往 | 人员招录 | 学术交流 | 征信管理 | 反洗钱 | 党建工作 | | | 服务互动 | 政务公开 网送文告 | 政策解读 办事大厅 | 公告信息 在线申报 | 图文直播 下载中心 | 央行研究 网上调查 | 音频视频 意见征集 | 市场动态 金融知识 ...

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is maintaining ample liquidity in the banking system through a series of monetary policy tools, including a 1.1 trillion yuan reverse repurchase operation set for January 8, which is a continuation of previous operations aimed at ensuring liquidity stability in the financial market [1][2]. Group 1: Monetary Policy Operations - On January 8, the PBOC will conduct a 1.1 trillion yuan reverse repurchase operation with a term of three months, marking the third consecutive month of maintaining the same amount for this operation [1]. - The 1.1 trillion yuan reverse repurchase operation on January 8 corresponds to the same amount maturing on that day, indicating a strategy of rolling over liquidity support [1]. - The PBOC has a total of 600 billion yuan in six-month reverse repos maturing in January, suggesting a continued commitment to ensuring liquidity remains abundant [1]. Group 2: Liquidity Management Tools - The PBOC has established a comprehensive set of liquidity management tools that can effectively respond to short-term fluctuations in fiscal revenue and government bond issuance [1]. - China's liquidity tool system aligns with international practices, featuring various tools such as automatic pledge financing, reverse repos, medium-term lending facilities (MLF), and regular lending facilities (SLF) [2]. - The management logic of these tools is consistent with international standards, focusing on banks as primary counterparties and utilizing high liquidity, low-risk assets like government bonds for collateral [2]. Group 3: Economic Impact - The current ample liquidity in China's banking system is crucial for stabilizing the macroeconomic environment and ensuring the healthy operation of financial markets [1]. - Recent innovations in monetary policy tools, such as including government bond trading in the toolkit, are expected to enhance the effectiveness of liquidity management [1][2]. - The multi-faceted liquidity tool system reflects the professionalism and effectiveness of China's monetary policy, creating a conducive liquidity environment for high-quality economic development [2].