智通财经APP获悉，华源证券发布研报称，建议持续把握AI+应用逐步落地，以及B端、C端用户真实反 馈，关注商业模式的延展。目前传媒行业景气度仍在持续提升，调整中建议继续沿新渠道+新内容方向 布局。 风险提示：新电影上线表现不及预期、新技术发展不及预期、行业竞争加剧、新产品研发上线及表现不 及预期。 游戏：春节档期间玩家偏好以大DAU游戏为主，集中于MOBA和FPS赛道 从2026年2月1日至21日的游戏畅销榜数据来看，春节档期间玩家偏好以大DAU游戏为主，集中于 MOBA和FPS赛道。腾讯游戏占据主导地位，《王者荣耀》和《和平精英》几乎稳居前两名，具有较大 的用户基本盘。《三角洲行动》多次位列第三、四名，2月10日至11日短暂登顶。中游排名竞争激烈， 《金铲铲之战》《无畏契约》《无尽冬日》《火影忍者》等产品位次每日均有波动，各游戏通过限时活 动、版本更新等方式争夺用户时间和消费。SLG游戏表现分化，《无尽冬日》凭借持续攀升势头多次进 入总榜前10名，成为SLG品类头部游戏。 影视：口碑分化明显，三四线城市成为观影主力 2026年春节档（2月15日-23日）长达9天，创下史上最长纪录。截至2月22日，春节档总票 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the Chinese gaming market is showing steady growth, with actual sales revenue reaching 32.468 billion yuan in January 2026, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 2.99% and a year-on-year increase of 4.47% [1][2] - The client game market generated actual sales revenue of 8.236 billion yuan, with a month-on-month growth of 7.77% and a year-on-year growth of 23.46%, driven primarily by the launch of new products [5][10] - The mobile game market achieved actual sales revenue of 22.621 billion yuan, with a month-on-month increase of 1.8% but a year-on-year decrease of 1.52%, indicating a mixed performance influenced by new releases and high competition [10][9] Group 2 - The overseas market for self-developed games saw actual sales revenue of 2.077 billion USD, with a month-on-month decrease of 2.5% but a year-on-year increase of 24.05%, highlighting the dual engine of mature products and new games driving growth [27][30] - The top-performing mobile games in January 2026 included "Peacekeeper Elite" and "Dungeon & Fighter: Origin," which saw significant revenue increases due to new content and updates [14][16] - The new game "Arknights: Endfield" achieved over 500 million yuan in its first month, showcasing the effectiveness of innovative gameplay and strong IP influence in attracting players [24][26]

Core Insights - The Chinese gaming industry in 2025 is characterized by a complex landscape of "recovery" and "internal competition," with market revenue exceeding 350 billion yuan and user base surpassing 680 million, indicating a year of continued recovery despite intense competition [3][4][12] - The industry is experiencing a significant market divide, with the "winner-takes-all" trend intensifying, leading to a situation where a few leading companies dominate the market, while smaller teams find new opportunities in single-player and AI-native games [3][10][12] Market Performance - In 2025, the domestic gaming market revenue is approximately 350.8 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.7%, while the user base has grown by 1.4% to over 680 million [4][5] - Self-developed games have generated overseas revenue of about 20.46 billion USD, maintaining a scale exceeding 100 billion yuan for six consecutive years [4][5] - Despite the overall upward trend in the gaming and esports industry, the market has entered a phase of stock competition, with a saturated user base and increased self-developed game output [4][5] Industry Challenges - The competition among gaming companies has intensified, with many projects failing despite significant investments, as seen with NetEase's "射雕" and Kingsoft's "解限机," which faced substantial player drop-off and negative feedback [5][6] - The cost of developing successful mobile games has increased significantly, making it harder for companies to achieve profitability [6][9] Market Dynamics - The market recovery is largely driven by a few top-tier games from leading companies like Tencent and NetEase, which dominate the revenue charts [7][9] - Tencent's gaming revenue reached 636 billion yuan in Q3 2025, with total revenue for the first three quarters exceeding 1.8 trillion yuan, solidifying its position in the market [9][10] Future Trends - The rise of single-player games is a notable trend, with companies increasingly focusing on high-quality, creative content rather than just marketing [12][13] - AI technology is emerging as a potential game-changer, offering new opportunities for smaller developers to compete by lowering development costs and enhancing creativity [11][15] - The industry is expected to enter a new "golden decade" of growth, driven by improved game quality, expanded overseas markets, and supportive policies [12][15]

Core Insights - The 二次元 (anime) gaming sector, once a booming market, is now facing significant challenges, with many products being discontinued and a notable slowdown in growth among leading companies [1][2]. Market Overview - In 2025, a total of 2222 products are expected to be discontinued, with a significant portion being 二次元 games, indicating a saturated market [1]. - The 二次元 gaming market is experiencing severe polarization, where top products continue to generate substantial revenue while a majority of new entrants struggle to achieve profitability [1]. Financial Performance - Among the 717 二次元 games in the domestic market, only 407 (57%) reported revenue, meaning 43% did not generate any income over the past year [1]. - Notably, one product achieved over 10 billion in revenue through iOS channels, and 14 games surpassed 100 million in revenue [1]. Product Trends - The market is characterized by a clear gradient of product performance, ranging from highly profitable top-tier products to those that fail to meet expectations or are discontinued [2]. - A total of 126 games have been confirmed to be discontinued or halted in development, highlighting the ongoing challenges in the industry [2]. Revenue Data - The revenue data for 二次元 games from January 1 to December 15, 2025, shows a diverse range of performance among various titles, with leading games from companies like Tencent and miHoYo dominating the charts [3][4][16].

Core Insights - The gaming industry has seen record revenue and user growth in the first half of 2025, but this recovery is primarily driven by leading companies, indicating a shift away from high-speed growth and increasing pressure on mid-tier firms [2][8] - The latest Q3 data shows a decline in actual sales revenue for the Chinese gaming market, approximately 880 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of about 4% [2][3] - The overseas market for self-developed games also faced a decline, with actual sales revenue around 5 billion USD, down over 3% year-on-year [2][3] Industry Trends - The decline in revenue is attributed to the waning popularity of high-grossing products like "Black Myth: Wukong" and "Dungeon & Fighter: Origin" [3] - The gaming landscape is increasingly characterized by a "Matthew Effect," where a small percentage of games generate the majority of revenue, making it difficult for new players and small studios to survive [5][6] - Approximately 40% of new games released on the Steam platform have earned less than 100 USD, with around 60% earning less than 1,000 USD, indicating a significant challenge for new entrants [3][5] Market Dynamics - The top 10 mobile games in Q3 2025 were dominated by Tencent, which had seven titles, highlighting the concentration of revenue among a few major players [7][8] - The gaming industry is experiencing a bifurcation, where companies must either invest heavily in high-quality products or focus on niche markets to survive [8] - Industry experts suggest that the gaming sector is not returning to a boom cycle but rather stabilizing after a period of rapid growth, with ongoing opportunities for successful content creation [8]

Core Insights - The success of "Luo Luo Mountain Little Monster" with a box office of 1.3 billion RMB highlights the potential audience for domestic animation, ranking it as the fourth highest-grossing domestic film of 2025 [1] - Despite the apparent prosperity of the domestic animation industry, there is a significant imbalance between the number of 2D and 3D animated films, with only four notable 2D films released since "The Monkey King: Havoc in Heaven" [1][2] - The shift in educational focus towards 3D animation has created a talent gap in 2D animation, leading to a lack of skilled professionals in this area [2][4] Industry Overview - The domestic animation market has seen over a hundred animated films released, but the majority are 3D, with 2D animation facing a creative crisis [1][2] - The recruitment market for 2D animation talent has diminished, as companies prefer to integrate 2D tasks into 3D workflows, reducing the need for dedicated 2D positions [2][4] - The lack of projects requiring traditional 2D animation has led to a decline in job opportunities for pure hand-drawn animation roles [2][4] Educational Challenges - Educational institutions have shifted their curricula to focus on 3D animation, resulting in graduates who are less familiar with 2D techniques [4][6] - There is a significant absence of a structured system for passing down 2D animation skills, making it difficult for new creators to learn from experienced professionals [6] Market Dynamics - The influence of Japanese animation has led many domestic 2D projects to mimic its style, diluting the unique identity of Chinese 2D animation and reducing its market competitiveness [7] - While 3D animation is often seen as more cost-effective, 2D animation offers greater potential for stylistic differentiation and cultural expression [8][12] Production Efficiency - The production process for 2D animation in Japan is highly organized, allowing for lower costs and higher output compared to the fragmented approach in China [12][14] - The perception that 2D animation is expensive stems from inefficiencies in the domestic production system, rather than the inherent costs of the medium itself [12][14] Future Prospects - There is potential for the domestic 2D animation industry to improve by adopting the structured, standardized practices seen in Japanese animation, which could lead to a balance of cost control and artistic quality [14]

Group 1 - The toy and trendy play industry in China is experiencing explosive growth during the 618 shopping festival, with six merchants surpassing 100 million yuan in sales and nearly 100 merchants exceeding 10 million yuan [1][2] - The top IP products, including Sanrio and Ultraman cards, are performing exceptionally well, indicating a strong demand for Japanese IP in the Chinese market [2][3] - The overall market for trendy toys is expanding, with over 2,400 stores achieving triple-digit growth compared to the previous year [1][2] Group 2 - Major Japanese companies like Bandai, Sanrio, and Tsuburaya have reported significant revenue from their IPs, with Bandai's Dragon Ball generating approximately 9.44 billion yuan, a 35.6% increase year-on-year [4][5] - Sanrio's revenue in China has surged to 816 million yuan, with IP licensing contributing significantly to its growth [5][7] - Tsuburaya's Ultraman IP has generated 260 million yuan in licensing revenue in China, highlighting the strong performance of card sales [7][19] Group 3 - The competitive landscape of the trendy toy market is intensifying, with over 100 stores closing in the first half of 2025, indicating a significant shakeout in the industry [15][16] - The trend of localization is evident, as companies like Sanrio and Bandai are focusing on developing original IPs and collaborating with local partners to enhance their market presence [21][29] - The shift from content output to collaborative ecosystem building is becoming a key strategy for Japanese IP companies in China, aiming for sustainable growth in the competitive market [29][30]

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Outperforming the Market" with an expected increase of over 10% relative to the market index in the next six months [4][36]. Core Insights - The Chinese gaming market showed a strong performance in April 2025, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 21.93% and a month-on-month growth of 2.47%, reaching a total revenue of 27.351 billion yuan [1][14]. - The mobile gaming sector specifically saw a revenue of 20.424 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 28.41% and a month-on-month increase of 3.07%, driven by strong performances from long-term products and new releases [1][15]. - The global gaming market experienced a decline in revenue, with a year-on-year decrease of 0.31% and a month-on-month decrease of 4.57%, totaling 6.5 billion USD in April 2025 [2][18]. - The top three revenue-generating games globally were "Honor of Kings," "Honkai: Star Rail," and "SD Gundam G Generation ETERNAL," with the first and third benefiting from strong IP collaborations [2][21]. Summary by Sections 1. Chinese Gaming Market - In April 2025, the actual sales revenue of the Chinese gaming market was 27.351 billion yuan, with a month-on-month growth of 2.47% and a year-on-year growth of 21.93% [14]. - The mobile gaming market achieved a revenue of 20.424 billion yuan, with a month-on-month increase of 3.07% and a year-on-year increase of 28.41%, supported by strong long-term products and new releases [15]. 2. Global Gaming Market - The global mobile gaming revenue in April 2025 was 6.5 billion USD, showing a year-on-year decline of 0.31% and a month-on-month decline of 4.57% [2][18]. - The top three games in terms of revenue growth were "Honor of Kings," "Honkai: Star Rail," and "SD Gundam G Generation ETERNAL," with significant contributions from IP collaborations and new character releases [21]. 3. Revenue Rankings - In the Chinese App Store's top 10 games for April 2025, Tencent's games occupied 7 positions, maintaining a dominant market presence [24]. - The top five games included "Honor of Kings," "Peacekeeper Elite," "Gold Shovel Battle," "Dungeon & Fighter: Origin," and "Endless Winter," with Tencent holding four of these spots [24]. 4. Overseas Market Performance - The revenue from self-developed games in overseas markets reached 1.554 billion USD in April 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 9.62% despite a month-on-month decline of 4.40% [34]. - "Honkai: Star Rail" saw a significant increase in overseas revenue, rising by 136%, while "Kingshot" experienced a 209% increase in revenue [31][34]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with rich license reserves, strong R&D capabilities, frequent high-quality IP collaborations, and stable content output capabilities, as the market shows robust growth potential [33].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the gaming industry [7] Core Insights - The Chinese gaming market continues to experience rapid growth, with a market size of 27.351 billion yuan in April 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 21.93% and a month-on-month increase of 2.47% [2][4] - Long-standing products such as "Honor of Kings," "Naruto," and "Honkai: Star Rail" have shown stable growth, contributing to the industry's high growth rate [2] - The overseas performance of self-developed games is impressive, with a 9.62% year-on-year increase in actual sales revenue from overseas markets, amounting to 1.554 billion USD in April 2025 [9] - The new game product cycle for listed gaming companies is underway, with several new titles performing well in May, indicating a positive outlook for the gaming sector [9] - The gaming sector's valuation remains relatively low, with potential for upward elasticity, suggesting continued investment opportunities in the gaming sector [9] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Chinese gaming market size reached 27.351 billion yuan in April 2025, with mobile gaming accounting for 20.424 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 28.41% [9] - Key growth drivers include seasonal events and updates for existing games, which have significantly boosted their revenue [9] Overseas Expansion - The overseas market for self-developed games generated 1.554 billion USD in April 2025, with notable contributions from long-term products [9] - "Honkai: Star Rail" and "Kingshot" ranked among the top revenue-generating games in overseas markets [9] New Game Launches - Several new games from listed companies have shown promising performance, with titles like "Staff Sword Legend" and "Supernatural Action Group" gaining traction in the market [9] - Major gaming companies have a rich pipeline of upcoming products, indicating a robust new game cycle [9] Valuation and Investment Opportunities - The gaming sector's valuation is positioned for potential recovery, driven by stable policies and the introduction of new games [9] - Recommended stocks for investment include Giant Network, Kaiying Network, G-bits, Perfect World, and Yaoji Technology [9]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the gaming industry Core Insights - The Chinese gaming market reached a scale of 857.04 billion yuan in Q1 2025, showing a year-on-year growth of 17.99% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 1.21% [5] - The mobile gaming market generated 636.26 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 20.29% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.18% [15] - The client game market saw a revenue of 179.19 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.85% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.62% [8] - The web game market continues to decline, with a revenue of 11.13 billion yuan in Q1 2025, marking a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.54% [13] Summary by Sections Market Overview - The overall Chinese gaming market is valued at 857.04 billion yuan, with mobile and client games contributing to the growth [5] - The mobile gaming sector is the largest, with significant contributions from long-standing titles and new releases [15] Client Games - The client game market achieved a revenue of 179.19 billion yuan, driven by seasonal events and the return of popular titles [8] - New dual-end products have contributed to revenue growth, with notable performances from games like "Hearthstone" and "Delta Action" [8] Mobile Games - The mobile gaming market's revenue reached 636.26 billion yuan, with significant growth attributed to long-term operational potential of leading titles [15] - Major titles like "Honor of Kings" and "Crossfire: Gun Battle" achieved record revenues during the quarter [15] Web Games - The web game market has seen a continuous decline, with revenues dropping for four consecutive quarters [13] New Releases - The new game "Heroes No Flash" topped the new release revenue chart, with significant contributions from IP adaptations [39] - The iOS download rankings saw "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" debuting strongly, indicating a positive reception for new titles [32] Overseas Market - The overseas revenue for self-developed games reached 48.05 billion USD, marking a year-on-year growth of 17.92% [47] - Key titles like "Last War: Survival Game" and "Whiteout Survival" have driven this growth, alongside new releases [47] User Experience Insights - User experience remains a critical factor, with 60% of users considering gaming experience when upgrading devices [67] - Performance issues such as overheating and frame drops are significant pain points for mobile gamers [69]