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国富期货早间看点:MPOB马棕10月库存升至246万吨,美豆当周出口检验量为1,088,577吨符合预期-20251111
Guo Fu Qi Huo· 2025-11-11 05:32
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints The report presents a comprehensive overview of the futures market, including overnight and spot prices, important fundamental information on weather, supply - demand, macro news, fund flows, and arbitrage tracking. It analyzes data from multiple agricultural and energy commodities, as well as currency exchange rates, to offer insights into market trends and potential investment opportunities [1][6][8][16][21]. 3. Summary by Directory Overnight行情 - Overnight closing prices and percentage changes are provided for various futures, including palm oil, Brent crude, US crude, soybeans, soybean meal, and soybean oil. For example, the closing price of BMD palm oil 01 is 4124.00, with a previous day's increase of 0.02% and an overnight increase of 0.32% [1]. - Latest prices and percentage changes are given for multiple currency indices, such as the US dollar index, Chinese yuan, Malaysian ringgit, etc. For instance, the US dollar index is at 99.56, with a 0.02% increase [1]. Spot行情 - Spot prices, basis, and basis changes are presented for DCE palm oil 2601, DCE soybean oil 2601, and DCE soybean meal 2601 in different regions. For example, the spot price of DCE palm oil 2601 in North China is 8780, with a basis of 100 and no change in basis compared to the previous day [3]. Important Fundamental Information Region Weather - In Brazil, rainfall may increase in the coming week, which is beneficial for soybean crops. However, growers may be concerned about soil moisture for soybean germination and early growth. In Argentina, current weather is favorable for soybean sowing, but long - term models suggest a possible return to dry conditions [6]. International Supply - Demand - MPOB data shows that Malaysia's palm oil inventory at the end of October increased by 4.4% to 2460000 tons, with production up 11.02% to 2040000 tons and exports up 18.58% to 1690000 tons [8]. - AmSpec and ITS reported that Malaysia's palm oil exports from November 1 - 10 decreased by 9.5% and 12.28% respectively compared to the same period last month [8][9]. - India's soybean oil imports in 2025 may jump by about 40% to 4.7 - 4.9 million tons, while palm oil imports are expected to drop to about 8 million tons [9]. - US soybean and corn harvests are nearly complete, with a 96% soybean harvest rate and a 92% corn harvest rate [9]. - As of November 6, 2025, the US soybean export inspection volume was 1088577 tons, in line with expectations [10]. - As of November 8, Brazil's soybean sowing rate was 58.4%, and AgRural reported a 61% sowing rate as of last Thursday [10]. - Anec data shows Brazil's soybean, soybean meal, and corn export volumes for the weeks of October 26 - November 1 and November 2 - 8 [10]. - The Baltic Dry Index ended a four - day increase, mainly due to the decline in Capesize ship freight rates [11]. Domestic Supply - Demand - On November 10, the total trading volume of soybean oil and palm oil was 40300 tons, a 104% increase from the previous trading day [12]. - On November 10, the trading volume of soybean meal in major domestic oil mills was 193600 tons, an increase of 129700 tons from the previous day. The overall operating rate of oil mills was 56.06%, up 5.26% from the previous day [12]. - As of November 7, 2025, the commercial inventory of palm oil in key domestic regions was 597300 tons, a 0.76% increase from the previous week and a 10.86% increase year - on - year [12]. - As of November 7, 2025, the commercial inventory of soybean oil in key domestic regions was 1157200 tons, a 4.82% decrease from the previous week but a 5.09% increase year - on - year [12]. - As of November 7, 2025, the total commercial inventory of three major oils (soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil) in key domestic regions was 2204700 tons, a 5.16% decrease from the previous week but an 8.52% increase year - on - year [13]. - As of November 10, the port inventory of imported soybeans in China was 767077 tons, a decrease of 50337 tons from the previous week [13]. - The estimated production, import, and consumption of edible vegetable oil in China for the 2024/25 and 2025/26 seasons are provided [13]. - On November 10, the "Agricultural Product Wholesale Price 200 Index" and the "Vegetable Basket Product Wholesale Price Index" increased, while the average pork price in the national agricultural product wholesale market decreased by 0.5% [14]. Macro News International News - The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 64.1%, and Fed Governor Milan believes a 50 - basis - point cut in December is appropriate [16]. - The US Senate advanced a federal government temporary appropriation bill, which may end the 40 - day government shutdown, but its passage in the House is uncertain [16]. - The Eurozone's November Sentix Investor Confidence Index is - 7.4, lower than the expected - 4 [16]. Domestic News - On November 10, the US dollar/Chinese yuan exchange rate was 7.0856, up 20 points (depreciation of the Chinese yuan) [18]. - On November 10, the People's Bank of China conducted 1199 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, resulting in a net injection of 416 billion yuan [18]. - The US will suspend the 301 investigation measures on China's shipbuilding and other industries for one year, which is a step towards implementing the Sino - US Kuala Lumpur economic and trade consultation consensus [18]. Fund Flows On November 10, 2025, the futures market had a net capital inflow of 18.119 billion yuan, including 9.752 billion yuan in commodity futures (592 million yuan in agricultural product futures, 1.372 billion yuan in chemical futures, - 227 million yuan in black - series futures, and 8.015 billion yuan in metal futures), 7.867 billion yuan in stock index futures, and 435 million yuan in Treasury bond futures [21]. Arbitrage Tracking No relevant content provided.
国富期货早间看点:市场预期马棕10月库存料升至244万吨StoneX预计2025年美豆单产53.6蒲/英亩-20251105
Guo Fu Qi Huo· 2025-11-05 06:53
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2) Core Viewpoints The report presents a comprehensive overview of the agricultural and energy futures markets, including overnight and spot prices, important fundamental information, macro - economic news, and capital flow data. It also provides forecasts on the supply and demand of key agricultural products such as palm oil and soybeans. 3) Summary by Relevant Catalogs Overnight行情 - Overnight closing prices, previous day's and overnight percentage changes are given for various futures including palm oil, Brent crude, US crude, soybeans, soybean meal, and soybean oil. For example, the closing price of BMD palm oil 01 is 4139.00 with a previous day's increase of 0.70% and an overnight decrease of 0.12% [1]. - Latest prices and percentage changes are provided for multiple currencies such as the US dollar index, Chinese yuan, Malaysian ringgit, etc. For instance, the US dollar index is at 100.20 with a 0.34% increase [1]. 现货行情 - Spot prices, basis, and basis changes for DCE palm oil 2601, DCE豆油 2601, and DCE豆粕 2601 in different regions are presented. For example, the spot price of DCE palm oil 2601 in North China is 8720 with a basis of 100 and no change in basis [3]. - CNF升贴水 and CNF报价 for imported soybeans from different regions are shown. The CNF升贴水 for Brazilian soybeans is 235 cents per bushel and the CNF报价 is 503 dollars per ton [5]. 重要基本面信息 - **产区天气**: Rainy weather has returned to central Brazil, which is beneficial for soybean crops. Different states in Brazil have different weather conditions and temperature trends [6]. - **国际供需** - MPOB月报前瞻: Malaysian palm oil inventory is expected to rise 3.5% to 2440000 tons in October, with production reaching 1940000 tons (up 5.6% from the previous month) and exports increasing 3.8% to 1480000 tons [8]. - StoneX: Reduced the US 2025 soybean yield forecast from 53.9 to 53.6 bushels per acre, and the production forecast to 4.303 billion bushels [8]. - S&P Global Commodity Insights: Predicted the 2025 US soybean average yield at 53.0 bushels per acre and production at 4.260 billion bushels [8]. - StoneX: Kept the forecasts for Brazil's 2025/26 soybean and summer corn harvests largely unchanged, with a 0.1% increase in the 2025/26 soybean production forecast [9]. - Imea: The soybean crushing profit in Mato Grosso state from October 27 - 31 was 502.44 Brazilian reals per ton [9]. - Deral: The soybean planting area in Parana state reached 79% of the expected area, with 93% of the evaluated area having good growth [9]. - EU: As of November 2, the 2025/26 palm oil, soybean, soybean meal, and rapeseed imports were 960000 tons, 3.81 million tons, 6.11 million tons, and 1.26 million tons respectively, all lower than the previous year [10][11]. - Kazakhstan: Exports of livestock feed meal in September 2025 reached a record high of 305000 tons, 2.5 times the previous year [11]. - Baltic Dry Index: Rose 13 points or 0.7% to 1958 points due to increased demand for Capesize vessels [11]. - **国内供需** - On November 4, soybean oil and palm oil total sales were 23200 tons, a 121% increase from the previous day [13]. - On November 4, the total soybean meal sales of major domestic oil mills were 70100 tons, a decrease of 34200 tons from the previous day. The national oil mill operating rate was 51.51%, a 2.37% decrease [13]. - As of November 4, the national soybean oil port inventory was 1199000 tons, a decrease of 35000 tons from October 28 [13]. - The average prices of piglets, live pigs, and pork in China changed compared to the previous week and the same period last year [13]. - On November 4, the "Agricultural Product Wholesale Price 200 Index" decreased by 0.13 points, and the "Vegetable Basket" product wholesale price index decreased by 0.16 points [14]. 宏观要闻 - **国际要闻** - The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 70.1%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 29.9% [17]. - The US Red Book commercial retail sales annual rate increased 5.7% in the week ending November 1 [17]. - The US Senate failed to pass the federal government's temporary appropriation bill on November 4, and the government "shutdown" is set to become the longest in history [18]. - The US API crude oil inventory in the week ending October 31 was 6.521 million barrels [18]. - The Reserve Bank of Australia kept the benchmark interest rate at 3.60% and is cautious about further easing [18]. - **国内要闻** - On November 4, the US dollar/Chinese yuan exchange rate was 7.0885, up 18 points [20]. - On November 4, the People's Bank of China conducted 117.5 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net withdrawal of 357.8 billion yuan [20]. - On November 5, the People's Bank of China will conduct 700 billion yuan of 3 - month (91 - day) outright reverse repurchase operations [20]. 资金流向 On November 4, 2025, the futures market had a net capital outflow of 15.329 billion yuan, including a net outflow of 9.065 billion yuan in commodity futures and 6.369 billion yuan in stock index futures, and a net inflow of 0.01 billion yuan in treasury bond futures [23]. 套利跟踪 No specific content is provided in the given report.
油脂油料早报-20251017
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-10-17 00:41
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - SPPOMA data shows that Malaysia's palm oil production from October 1 - 15, 2025, increased by 6.86% month - on - month, with fresh fruit bunch yield up 5.76% and oil extraction rate up 0.21% [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Overnight Market Information - SPPOMA reported a 6.86% month - on - month increase in Malaysia's palm oil production from October 1 - 15, 2025, with a 5.76% increase in fresh fruit bunch yield and a 0.21% increase in oil extraction rate [1] Spot Prices | Date | Bean Meal (Jiangsu) | Rapeseed Meal (Guangdong) | Soybean Oil (Jiangsu) | Palm Oil (Guangzhou) | Rapeseed Oil (Jiangsu) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/10/10 | 2880 | 2510 | 8520 | 9350 | 10370 | | 2025/10/13 | 2910 | 2510 | 8470 | 9270 | 10270 | | 2025/10/14 | 2890 | 2480 | 8480 | 9240 | 10260 | | 2025/10/15 | 2900 | 2490 | 8460 | 9230 | 10280 | | 2025/10/16 | 2900 | 2500 | 8450 | 9220 | 10230 | [2] Protein Meal Basis, Oil Basis, and Oilseed Futures Spreads No detailed information provided [3]
豆一期货日报-20251010
Guo Jin Qi Huo· 2025-10-10 13:55
Report Summary 1. Report Information - Research variety: Soybean (Bean 1) [1] - Report date: October 9, 2025 [1] - Report cycle: Daily report [1] - Researcher: Qi Jianhua [1] 2. Investment Rating - No investment rating is provided in the report. 3. Core Viewpoint - Currently, domestic soybean prices are generally stable with a slight decline, while imported soybean prices are stabilizing and rising. Port inventory has decreased, and enterprise crushing profits have stabilized and rebounded. In the futures market, the price of the main contract (A2511) of Bean 1 futures showed a strong trend throughout the day. In the short term, in an atmosphere where the overall spot price of soybeans is rising steadily, the price of the main contract (A2511) of Bean 1 futures may continue to show a strong oscillatory trend [14]. 4. Summary by Directory 4.1 Futures Market - **Contract Quotes**: On October 9, 2025, the main contract (A2511) of DCE Bean 1 futures oscillated strongly throughout the day. The opening price was 3930 yuan/ton, the highest price was 3984 yuan/ton, the lowest price was 3930 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 3975 yuan/ton, up 46 yuan/ton or 1.17% from the previous day. The trading volume was 105,525 lots, the open interest was 137,560 lots, and the daily increase in positions was 951 lots [2]. - **Variety Prices**: The closing prices of contracts A2511, A2601, A2603, and A2605 were 3975 yuan/ton, 3973 yuan/ton, 3970 yuan/ton, and 4000 yuan/ton respectively, with increases of 46 yuan/ton (1.17%), 70 yuan/ton (1.79%), 67 yuan/ton (1.72%), and 65 yuan/ton (1.65%) respectively. The trading volumes were 105,525 lots, 56,116 lots, 5,614 lots, and 1,681 lots respectively, and the open interests were 137,560 lots, 136,282 lots, 34,333 lots, and 8,740 lots respectively. The daily increases in positions were 951 lots, 8816 lots, 168 lots, and 45 lots respectively [3]. 4.2 Spot Market - Today's Bean 1 basis was -15 yuan/ton, and the basis weakened. The total number of registered Bean 1 warehouse receipts was 7,290 lots, which was the same as the previous trading day [5]. 4.3 Influencing Factors - **Important Events**: According to Wind data, today's average quotation of domestic soybeans was 3971 yuan/ton, a slight increase of 0.05% from the previous observation day. Recently, the spot price of domestic soybeans has been generally stable with a slight decline. The port soybean inventory was 6.6094 million tons, an increase of 1.01% from the previous observation day. Recently, with the decrease in imported arrivals, the current port soybean inventory has generally decreased [8][9]. - **Industry News**: According to Wind data, today's near - month landed duty - paid prices of imported soybeans showed a stable and rising trend. The near - month landed duty - paid price of US Gulf soybeans was reported at 4568.05 yuan/ton, that of Brazilian soybeans was reported at 3975.71 yuan/ton, and that of Argentine soybeans was reported at 3792.05 yuan/ton. Recently, the decline in enterprise crushing profits has slowed down, and the crushing profits have rebounded [10]. 4.4 Market Outlook - In the short term, in an atmosphere where the overall spot price of soybeans is rising steadily, the price of the main contract (A2511) of Bean 1 futures may continue to show a strong oscillatory trend [14].
豆一期货日报-20250918
Guo Jin Qi Huo· 2025-09-18 07:27
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided 2. Core View The price of the main contract of DCE Bean No.1 futures (A2511) was blocked from rebounding and showed a weak trend. In the short term, in the context of the stable - to - declining spot price of soybeans, the price of the A2511 contract of Bean No.1 futures may continue the low - level volatile and weak trend [2][14] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Futures Market - **Contract Market**: On September 16, 2025, the main contract of DCE Bean No.1 futures (A2511) was blocked from rebounding and fluctuated weakly throughout the day. The opening price was 3935 yuan/ton, the highest price was 3948 yuan/ton, the lowest price was 3922 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 3924 yuan/ton, a decrease of 18 yuan/ton or 0.46% from the previous day. The trading volume was 102,878 lots, the open interest was 210,185 lots, and the daily increase in positions was 12,737 lots [2] - **Variety Price**: Different contracts of Bean No.1 futures all showed a downward trend. For example, the A2511 contract closed at 3924 yuan/ton, down 18 yuan/ton or 0.46%; the A2601 contract closed at 3930 yuan/ton, down 11 yuan/ton or 0.28% [3] 3.2 Spot Market - **Basis and Registered Warehouse Receipts**: The basis of Bean No.1 was 136 yuan/ton, and the basis continued to strengthen. The total number of registered warehouse receipts of Bean No.1 was 7952 lots, which was the same as the previous trading day [5] 3.3 Influencing Factors - **Important Events**: The average quotation of domestic soybeans was 4037 yuan/ton, a month - on - month decrease of 0.47%, and the spot price of soybeans weakened slightly. The inventory of soybeans in major ports was 6.6584 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 0.69%, and the inventory accumulation speed of port soybeans slowed down [8][9] - **Industry News**: The landed duty - paid price of imported soybeans in the near - month was blocked from rebounding, with stable - to - decreasing prices. The domestic soybean crushing profit was stable - to - decreasing, while the decline of the imported soybean crushing profit slowed down and the profit stabilized and rebounded [10]
不锈钢农产品日报-20250912
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-09-12 05:11
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Corn: In the current new - old crop transition period, the spot market shows weak prices in North Ports and strong prices in production areas, with chaotic and differentiated quotes. Corn futures prices can move up or down. The short - term 11 - month contract has a pressure area at 2180 - 2200, with a short - term adjustment expected and a medium - term bearish outlook due to expected high yields and lower costs [1]. - Soybean and Soybean Meal: CBOT soybeans rose on Thursday. Analysts expect a decrease in US soybean yield, export estimates, and a slight reduction in inventory. Domestic soybean meal prices are mainly oscillating, with stable import costs, sufficient domestic supply, and increased apparent consumption. Short - term participation is recommended [1]. - Oils: BMD palm oil closed higher on Thursday, but weak demand curbed the increase. Canadian rapeseed and US soybean oil also rose. Domestic oil futures prices are oscillating. Strategies include trading volatility or selling put options [1]. - Eggs: Egg futures oscillated on Thursday. Seasonal increases support spot prices, but supply pressure limits the rebound. With the current long - short game, it is recommended to wait and see and focus on market sentiment and supply - side changes [1][2]. - Pigs: Pig futures continued to oscillate on Thursday. Spot prices are generally stable with partial adjustments. The short - term fundamentals are stable, and the market is waiting for policy guidance [2]. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Information - EU Soft Wheat and Corn: The EU's 2025/26 soft wheat production is expected to reach a record high of 136.1 million tons, up 330,000 tons from last month's forecast and 19.8% higher than the previous season. However, EU soft wheat exports are weak due to Russian competition and lack of Chinese imports. The EU's corn production forecast is lowered to 55.7 million tons, a 5.4% decrease from 2024/25 due to adverse weather [3]. - Malaysian Palm Oil: From September 1 - 10, 2025, Malaysian palm oil's yield, oil extraction rate, and production decreased compared to the same period last month [3]. - Imported Soybean Auction: On September 11, the National Grain Trading Center planned to auction 22,524.3 tons of imported soybeans, all of which were sold at an average price of 3801 yuan/ton [4]. Variety Spreads - Contract Spreads: The report provides charts of 1 - 5 spreads for various agricultural products including corn, corn starch, soybeans, soybean meal, eggs, and pigs [5][6][7][11]. - Contract Basis: The report provides charts of the basis for various agricultural products such as corn, corn starch, soybeans, soybean meal, eggs, and pigs [13][14][17][24].
豆一期货日报-20250912
Guo Jin Qi Huo· 2025-09-12 02:55
Report Summary 1. Report Information - Research variety: Beans - Report cycle: Daily - Date of report: September 4, 2025 - Researcher: Qi Jianhua [1] 2. Investment Rating - No investment rating is provided in the report. 3. Core View - Currently, domestic soybean prices fluctuate, recent imported soybean prices trend weakly, port inventory accumulation slows, and enterprise crushing profits weaken again. The price of the main soybean futures contract A2511 oscillates around the 5 - day moving average, and the short - term bearish power on the disk weakens. The price of the A2511 contract may continue to fluctuate around the 5 - day moving average [15]. 4. Summary by Directory 4.1 Futures Market - **Contract行情**: On September 4, 2025, the main continuous contract of DCE soybean futures oscillated strongly. The opening price was 3951 yuan/ton, the highest was 3982 yuan/ton, the lowest was 3951 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 3965 yuan/ton, up 1 yuan/ton or 0.03% from the previous day. The trading volume was 101,673 lots, the open interest was 199,022 lots, and the daily increase in positions was - 6675 lots [2]. - **Variety price**: Different contracts have different closing prices, price changes, and trading volumes. For example, the A2509 contract closed at 4056 yuan/ton, down 31 yuan/ton or 0.76%; the A2511 contract closed at 3965 yuan/ton, up 1 yuan/ton or 0.03% [3]. 4.2 Spot Market - The basis of soybean No. 1 today is 95 yuan/ton, showing a slight weakening. The total registered warehouse receipts of soybean No. 1 today are 8510 lots, a decrease of 64 lots compared with the previous trading day [5]. 4.3 Influencing Factors - **Important events**: The average domestic soybean price today is 4039 yuan/ton, a month - on - month decrease of 0.81%. The prices have fluctuated in recent days. The soybean inventory in major ports today is 6.7903 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 0.76%, and the inventory accumulation speed has slowed [8][10]. - **Industry information**: The recent arrival - at - port duty - paid prices of imported soybeans are generally weak. The recent arrival - at - port duty - paid price of US Gulf soybeans is 4583.97 yuan/ton, that of Brazilian soybeans is 3993.74 yuan/ton, and that of Argentine soybeans is 3852.45 yuan/ton. The enterprise crushing profit has continued to decline from a high level and has weakened again [11].
豆一期货日报-20250815
Guo Jin Qi Huo· 2025-08-15 12:14
Report Overview - Report Date: August 12, 2025 - Report Cycle: Daily - Research Variety: Beans - Researcher: Qi Jianhua [1] 1. Futures Market 1.1 Contract Quotes - On August 12, 2025, the main continuous contract of DCE Bean No.1 futures fluctuated weakly. The opening price was 4,067 yuan/ton, the highest price was 4,073 yuan/ton, the lowest price was 4,015 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 4,034 yuan/ton, down 29 yuan/ton or 0.71% from the previous day. The trading volume was 141,159 lots, and the open interest was 185,359 lots, with a daily increase of 30,232 lots [2]. 1.2 Variety Prices | Contract Name | Closing Price (yuan/ton) | Change (yuan/ton) | Change Rate | Trading Volume (lots) | Open Interest (lots) | Daily Increase in Open Interest (lots) | Amplitude | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | A2509 | 4,087 | -11 | -0.27% | 62,101 | 47,467 | -24,040 | 0.81% | | A2511 | 4,034 | -29 | -0.71% | 141,159 | 185,359 | 30,232 | 1.43% | | A2601 | 4,031 | -24 | -0.59% | 38,907 | 63,644 | 10,304 | 1.09% | | A2603 | 4,031 | -1 | -0.47% | 5,184 | 25,892 | 377 | 0.94% | [3] 2. Spot Market - Today's basis of Bean No.1 was -14 yuan/ton, and the basis continued to strengthen. The total registered warehouse receipts of Bean No.1 today were 12,865 lots, a decrease of 258 lots from the previous trading day [5]. 3. Influencing Factors 3.1 Important Events - According to Wind data, today's average quotation of domestic soybeans was 4,054 yuan/ton, a month-on-month increase of 0.17%. In recent days, the spot price of soybeans has continued to rise steadily. Today, the soybean inventory in major ports was 6.8283 million tons, a month-on-month decrease of 0.19%. Currently, the inventory accumulation of port soybeans has slowed down [8][9]. 3.2 Industry News - In terms of imported soybeans, according to Wind data, today's near - month landed duty - paid prices of imported soybeans showed an overall upward trend. The near - month landed duty - paid price of US Gulf soybeans was reported at 4,839.38 yuan/ton, that of Brazilian soybeans was reported at 4,024.47 yuan/ton, and that of Argentine soybeans was reported at 3,867.78 yuan/ton. Recently, the overall crushing profit of enterprises has maintained a steady - to - rising trend [10].
以低位震荡偏强走势为主
Guo Jin Qi Huo· 2025-08-07 11:06
Report Summary 1. Report Information - Research Variety: Beans - Report Type: Daily report on soybean No. 1 futures - Date: August 5, 2025 [1] 2. Futures Market 2.1 Contract Quotes - The main continuous contract of DCE soybean No. 1 futures fluctuated, closing with a doji on the daily K - line. The opening price was 4,115 yuan/ton, the highest was 4,134 yuan/ton, the lowest was 4,109 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 4,116 yuan/ton, a decrease of 10 yuan/ton (-0.24%) from the previous day. The trading volume was 65,168 lots, the open interest was 107,330 lots, and the daily change in open interest was -3,096 lots [2]. 2.2 Variety Prices | Contract Name | Closing Price (yuan/ton) | Change (yuan/ton) | Change Rate | Trading Volume (lots) | Open Interest (lots) | Daily Change in Open Interest (lots) | Amplitude | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | A2509 | 4,116 | -10 | -0.24% | 65,168 | 107,330 | -3,096 | 0.61% | | A2511 | 4,102 | -3 | -0.07% | 38,020 | 127,497 | 2,997 | 0.37% | | A2601 | 4,104 | 6 | 0.15% | 13,298 | 42,264 | 2,425 | 0.56% | | A2603 | 4,095 | 6 | 0.15% | 2,072 | 24,245 | 188 | 0.49% | [3] 3. Spot Market - The basis of soybean No. 1 was -96 yuan/ton, continuing to narrow. The total registered warehouse receipts of soybean No. 1 were 13,678 lots, a decrease of 10 lots from the previous trading day [5] 4. Influencing Factors 4.1 Important Events - The average price of domestic soybeans was 4,002 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.22% from the previous day, with the price stabilizing and declining in recent days. The inventory of soybeans in major ports was 6.7739 million tons, a decrease of 1.99% from the previous day, and the inventory accumulation rate slowed down [6][8] 4.2 Industry News - The recent arrival - at - destination duty - paid prices of imported soybeans showed a stable - to - rising trend. The recent arrival - at - destination duty - paid price of US Gulf soybeans was 4,783.13 yuan/ton, that of Brazilian soybeans was 3,962.21 yuan/ton, and that of Argentine soybeans was 3,814.33 yuan/ton. The overall crushing profit of enterprises has been showing a stable - to - rising trend recently [9]
大豆现货价格稳中有升,低位震荡偏强走势为主
Guo Jin Qi Huo· 2025-08-06 02:55
Market Conditions Futures Market - The main continuous contract of DCE Soybean No. 1 futures fluctuated within a narrow range today, closing at 4117 yuan/ton, down 0.22% from the previous day, with a trading volume of 111,267 lots and an open interest of 110,426 lots, a decrease of 10,173 lots [2]. - The closing prices of A2509, A2511, A2601, and A2603 contracts were 4117 yuan/ton, 4101 yuan/ton, 4095 yuan/ton, and 4084 yuan/ton respectively, with decreases of 0.22%, 0.22%, 0.07%, and 0.15% respectively [3]. Spot Market - Today's basis of Soybean No. 1 was -97 yuan/ton, and the basis continued to narrow. The total number of registered warehouse receipts for Soybean No. 1 was 13,688 lots, an increase of 286 lots from the previous trading day [5]. Influencing Factors Important Events - The average price of domestic soybeans was 4011 yuan/ton, up 0.22% from the previous day, and the spot price of soybeans has fluctuated up and down in recent days. The soybean inventory at major ports was 6.9117 million tons, up 0.81% from the previous day, and the port soybean inventory continued to accumulate [7][9]. Industry News - The decline of the near - month landed duty - paid price of imported soybeans has slowed down, and the price has stabilized with a slight increase. The near - month landed duty - paid price of US Gulf soybeans was 4755.44 yuan/ton, that of Brazilian soybeans was 3909.75 yuan/ton, and that of Argentine soybeans was 3762.30 yuan/ton. Recently, the overall profit of enterprise crushing has maintained a stable and rising trend [10].