Group 1: Macro and Strategy - The fixed income investment strategy indicates a continuation of the bull market, emphasizing the importance of performance in identifying opportunities for 2026 convertible bonds [5][12] - The report highlights the strong performance of the AI sector, with significant growth expected in the chip design industry, projected to reach a scale of 835.7 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 29.4% [14][16] Group 2: Industry and Company Insights - The social services sector saw a decline of 2.03% during the reporting period, with notable performers including Yum China (up 9.53%) and Kede Education (up 9.20%) [6] - The food and beverage sector experienced a cumulative decline of 1.52%, with leading stocks such as Nanchao Food (up 11.91%) and Yili (up 2.65%) showing resilience [9][10] - The electronic industry remains optimistic, with AI continuing to drive high growth, despite recent market fluctuations [12][13] - The report notes that the white liquor sector is entering a left-side layout phase, with companies like Luzhou Laojiao and Guizhou Moutai recommended for investment [10][11] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report maintains an "outperform the market" rating for the social services sector, suggesting investments in companies like China Duty Free Group and Huazhu Group [8] - For the food and beverage sector, the investment strategy focuses on companies with strong growth potential, such as Guizhou Moutai and Yili, while also recommending a diversified portfolio including emerging brands [11] - In the electronic sector, the report advises maintaining a positive outlook and patience in investment, particularly in domestic supply chains and AI-related companies [13][17]

证券研究报告 | 2025年11月24日 社会服务行业双周报（第 119 期） 优于大市 三亚发放新一轮免税消费券，2026 届预计新增 48 万普通高校毕业生 板块复盘：消费者服务板块报告期内下跌 2.03%，跑赢大盘 2.78pct。报告 期内（2025 年 11 月 10 日-11 月 23 日），国信社服板块涨幅居前的股票为 百胜中国（9.53%）、科德教育（9.20%）、锦江酒店（8.99%）、华住集团 -S（8.69%）、云南旅游（6.96%）、君亭酒店、首旅酒店、米奥会展、兰生 股份、长白山。国信社服板块跌幅居前的股票为呷哺呷哺（-20.20%）、中 国东方教育（-13.28%）、全聚德（-11.93%）、新高教集团（-11.67%）岭 南控股（-11.26%）、学大教育、澳博控股、豆神教育、海伦司、东方甄选。 行业与公司动态：三亚启动第六期免税消费券发放，通过 CDF 三亚国际免税 城、三亚海旅免税城等四家主要免税店的微信小程序发放；2026 届全国普 通高校毕业生规模预计达 1270 万人，同比增长 48 万人，教育部已部署开展 促就业行动；外交部提醒中国公民近期避免前往日本旅游，或冬季出境 ...

Core Insights - JD.com is strategically expanding its food service offerings by launching a group meal service under its brand Qixian Xiaochu, targeting various institutional dining operations and online group meal orders [1][3][4] - The establishment of the prepared food division within JD Retail signifies the company's commitment to the prepared food sector as a key growth area [2][3] Group Meal Service Launch - Qixian Xiaochu will provide comprehensive services for institutional dining, including schools and workplaces, marking a strategic extension of its existing business model [1][3] - The brand has gained market recognition since its launch in July, focusing on fresh cooking and ingredient transparency, which has led to continuous growth in order volume [3][9] Prepared Food Division - The newly formed prepared food division is on par with other major divisions within JD Retail, indicating its strategic importance [2][3] - This division aims to innovate in the prepared food industry and develop proprietary brands, enhancing JD's competitive position in the food supply chain [3][4] Market Potential - The group meal market in China is projected to reach approximately 2.7 trillion yuan in 2024, with expectations to exceed 3.5 trillion yuan by 2026, highlighting significant growth opportunities [6] - The market is characterized by diverse product demands across key sectors such as schools, hospitals, and enterprises, presenting substantial market rewards [6] Challenges in the Group Meal Market - The group meal sector faces challenges including food safety issues and rising operational costs, which can erode profit margins [8] - The industry is undergoing a digital transformation, with increasing consumer demands for efficiency and transparency in meal selection and payment processes [8] Competitive Advantages - JD.com leverages its strong supply chain, logistics capabilities, and digital analytics to optimize food procurement and delivery, ensuring quality and cost-effectiveness [9] - The brand's reputation for quality and reliability enhances its appeal to corporate clients, facilitating partnerships with large enterprises and institutions [9] Strategic Vision - The launch of the group meal service represents a significant strategic shift for JD.com, aiming to redefine traditional group meal offerings through a focus on quality and technological integration [9] - This initiative positions JD.com as a potential leader in the evolving food service landscape, driven by supply chain efficiencies and digital innovations [9]

Core Insights - Longda Food experienced a decline of 2.25% in stock price on November 20, with a trading volume of 106 million yuan [1] - The company reported a net financing outflow of 17.24 million yuan on the same day, with a total financing and securities balance of 375 million yuan [1] Financing Summary - On November 20, Longda Food had a financing buy-in amount of 10.29 million yuan, with a current financing balance of 373 million yuan, representing 7.25% of its market capitalization [1] - The financing balance is below the 10% percentile level over the past year, indicating a low level of financing activity [1] Securities Lending Summary - On November 20, there were no shares repaid in securities lending, while 9,800 shares were sold, amounting to 46,700 yuan at the closing price [1] - The remaining securities lending volume was 285,800 shares, with a balance of 1.36 million yuan, also below the 20% percentile level over the past year [1] Company Performance - As of November 10, Longda Food had 44,000 shareholders, an increase of 1.52%, with an average of 24,485 circulating shares per shareholder, a decrease of 1.50% [2] - For the period from January to September 2025, Longda Food reported a revenue of 7.625 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.85%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -183 million yuan, a significant decrease of 349.93% [2] Dividend Information - Since its A-share listing, Longda Food has distributed a total of 443 million yuan in dividends, with no dividends paid in the last three years [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the retail industry [1] Core Insights - The retail transformation presents significant opportunities, making it one of the most aggressive sectors in China's consumption industry, potentially leading to a wave of long-term bullish companies [1][12] - The Japanese supermarket industry has experienced stable market size due to aging population and population decline, impacting consumer preferences and product categories [1][16] - Life Supermarket's success is attributed to its focus on food products, particularly processed foods, which are resilient in an aging society [2][4] Summary by Sections Japanese Supermarket Demand Changes - Population aging and income changes are the two core factors influencing supermarket demand [16] - Japan's aging rate increased from 17.6% in 1990 to 35.7% in 2022, leading to a shift in consumer demographics [16][20] - The total population peaked in 2010 and has been in decline since, suppressing overall supermarket market growth [16][20] Japanese Supermarket Supply Changes - Despite stable market size, the supply side of Japanese supermarkets has shown aggressive growth, with an increase in the number of smaller supermarkets [1][4] - Traditional large-scale supermarkets are decreasing, while food-focused supermarkets are on the rise [1][4] Life Supermarket's Rise - Life Supermarket focuses on food, with processed foods making up 88.74% of its offerings, allowing it to withstand sales declines in traditional categories [2][4] - The supermarket's location strategy involves dense store openings in populous areas, particularly in regions with positive population growth [2][4] - Revenue growth is primarily driven by new store openings rather than same-store sales, with store numbers increasing from 150 in the late 1990s to 314 by 2024 [3][4] Investment Recommendations and Insights - The aging population is a key driver for the growth of food supermarkets in China, with a high certainty of their rise [4] - The competitive landscape differs between Japan and China, with China's developed online market intensifying competition in high-density, high-income areas, while lower-tier markets remain fertile ground for offline supermarkets [4]

Group 1 - JD Retail has officially established a prepared food business unit, which is on par with other major divisions within the company, indicating a high-level strategic focus on this sector [1] - The core business of the prepared food unit is aimed at developing proprietary brands of prepared food, with recruitment efforts underway for key positions in various food categories [1] - The move into the prepared food market is not new for JD, but the elevation of its strategic importance is noteworthy [1] Group 2 - Since entering the food delivery business in February, JD has rapidly increased its order volume through significant subsidies, achieving over 25 million daily orders during the 618 shopping festival [2] - During the first week of the 11.11 shopping festival, JD's "Seven Fresh Kitchen" significantly boosted order volumes for nearby quality restaurants by over 12% [4] - JD's first restaurant infrastructure brand, "Seven Fresh Food Mall," saw online transaction orders increase by over 150%, while the search volume and order volume for its proprietary brand "Seven Fresh Private Kitchen" surged by over 350% and 400% respectively [4]

Core Insights - JD Retail has established a new Prepared Food Business Unit, elevating its strategic importance within the company and marking a significant shift towards self-branded product development in the prepared food sector [1][3] Group 1: Business Strategy - The new Prepared Food Business Unit will report directly to CEO Xu Ran, indicating a high-level commitment to this sector [1][3] - JD's previous efforts in the prepared food market date back to 2017, with ongoing collaborations with well-known restaurant brands from 2019 to 2023, aiming to create multiple billion-level sales brands within three years [1][3] - The focus will shift from category operations and brand partnerships to the development of proprietary branded products, emphasizing innovation in food technology and alignment with Chinese culinary culture [1][3] Group 2: Market Positioning - The prepared food unit will serve both B2C and B2B markets, providing supply support to offline stores like Qixian Supermarket and Huaguan Discount Supermarket, thus creating a multi-channel synergy [5] - This initiative aligns with the retail logic of "fresh food driving traffic, standard products generating profit," and accurately captures the industry trend of "B-end dominance, C-end acceleration" [5] Group 3: Logistics and Infrastructure - JD's mature cold chain system supports the development of prepared foods, with approximately 60 temperature-controlled cold chain warehouses dedicated to fresh, frozen, and refrigerated foods, covering an operational area of about 400,000 square meters as of June 30, 2025 [5] - The establishment of the Prepared Food Business Unit and the self-operated Qixian Kitchen will enhance the requirements for JD's cold chain systems, technology, and cost control, serving as a catalyst for accelerated upgrades [5]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, total company sales grew 4.8% to $13.9 billion compared to the prior year, with full-year sales at $54.4 billion, an increase of 3.3% [21][22] - Q4 adjusted operating income was $608 million, up 19% year-over-year, while full-year adjusted operating income reached $2.3 billion, a 26% increase [22][23] - Adjusted earnings per share for the quarter were $1.15, up 25% from last year, and full-year adjusted EPS was $4.12, up 33% [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The chicken segment delivered $457 million in adjusted operating income, a 28% increase year-over-year, driven by higher volumes and better operational execution [4][16] - Prepared foods saw a 3% increase in sales, with adjusted operating income affected by higher raw material costs, achieving a margin of 7.4% [14][22] - The beef segment's sales increased due to higher average prices, but adjusted operating income declined as higher cattle costs outpaced sales growth [17][18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Tyson's retail branded products grew by 2.4% in volume, outperforming the broader food and beverage retail sector, which declined by 1.5% [8] - The company’s branded fresh chicken volume grew 7.8%, and frozen value-added chicken rose by 8.7% [9][10] - The company reached nearly 72% of U.S. households with its retail branded products, exceeding private label and other branded competitors [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on operational excellence, innovation, and capturing market share through value-added products [5][6] - Tyson aims to strengthen its fundamentals by prioritizing efficiency, reducing costs, and introducing innovative products [6][7] - The company is committed to meeting growing global demand for protein while delivering value to customers and shareholders [28] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the chicken segment benefiting from changing consumer preferences and high beef prices in 2026 [7][26] - The company anticipates full-year sales growth of 2%-4% for 2026, with adjusted operating income expected between $2.1 billion and $2.3 billion [25][26] - Management acknowledged challenges in the beef segment due to tight cattle supplies and potential heifer retention impacting future supply [26][47] Other Important Information - The company has made significant progress in capital allocation, maintaining net leverage at 2.1 times and returning $893 million to shareholders through dividends and repurchases [24] - The recent launch of high-protein chicken cuts has achieved nationwide distribution, indicating strong consumer demand for convenient, protein-rich options [10][11] - The company plans to remove certain additives from its products by year-end, aligning with consumer preferences for healthier options [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Guidance on chicken segment for 2026 - Management indicated that the chicken segment is expected to perform well, with a guidance range of $1.25 billion to $1.5 billion in adjusted operating income, based on stable grain prices and improved execution [32][33] Question: Prepared foods performance and outlook - Management acknowledged that the prepared foods segment faced challenges due to rising commodity costs but remains optimistic about growth driven by operational excellence and innovation [39][40] Question: Beef segment challenges and cattle supply - Management discussed the impact of heifer retention and cattle supply on the beef segment, indicating a challenging environment for 2026 with expected adjusted operating income losses [46][47] Question: CAPEX guidance for 2026 - Management explained that the CAPEX range of $700 million to $1 billion reflects the pacing of current projects and timing of new initiatives, emphasizing a disciplined capital allocation approach [48][49] Question: Seasonal expectations for beef in Q1 2026 - Management noted that while there is good retail demand, volatility in cattle prices is expected, and operational performance remains strong [72][73]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Longda Food's stock has shown a slight increase recently, despite a significant decline in its stock price this year [1] - As of November 10, Longda Food's stock price is 4.92 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 5.309 billion CNY [1] - The company has experienced a net inflow of main funds amounting to 3.558 million CNY, with large orders contributing significantly to the buying activity [1] Group 2 - For the period from January to September 2025, Longda Food reported a revenue of 7.625 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year decrease of 4.85% [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the same period was -183 million CNY, a significant year-on-year decrease of 349.93% [2] - The number of shareholders increased to 43,300, while the average circulating shares per person decreased to 24,857 shares [2] Group 3 - Since its A-share listing, Longda Food has distributed a total of 443 million CNY in dividends, with no dividends paid in the last three years [3]

Core Viewpoint - Longda Food is a leading meat food enterprise in China, rapidly developing in the prepared food sector, with a full industry chain advantage [1] Group 1: Business Performance - In Q3 2025, Longda Food reported revenue of 7.625 billion, ranking 3rd in the industry, above the median of 6.088 billion but below the average of 11.342 billion [2] - The main business composition includes fresh and frozen meat at 4.073 billion (81.87%), prepared foods at 783 million (15.74%), and cooked products at 83.5 million (1.68%) [2] - The net profit for the same period was -215 million, ranking 7th in the industry, significantly lower than the average net profit of 567 million and the median of 21.57 million [2] Group 2: Financial Ratios - As of Q3 2025, Longda Food's debt-to-asset ratio was 73.58%, higher than the previous year's 70.94% and the industry average of 46.39% [3] - The gross profit margin for the same period was 3.01%, down from 4.84% year-on-year and below the industry average of 10.89% [3] Group 3: Management and Shareholder Information - The chairman and general manager, Yang Xiaochu, received a salary of 485,500, an increase of 404,500 from the previous year [4] - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders increased by 0.83% to 41,600, with an average holding of 25,900 shares, a decrease of 0.82% [5] Group 4: Future Outlook - In H1 2025, Longda Food's revenue and profit both declined, with revenue at 4.975 billion (down 1.38% year-on-year) and net profit at 35.17 million (down 39.52% year-on-year) [5] - The company is focusing on the "one body, two wings" strategy, with online sales of prepared foods increasing by 44.98% year-on-year [5] - For FY 2024, the company is expected to achieve revenue of 10.99 billion (down 17.49% year-on-year) and a net profit of 22 million, turning a profit [6]