来源：市场资讯 （来源：广发头条） 根据国际知名指数编制公司MSCI最新公布的指数审核结果，广发证券（股票代码：01776.HK）被纳入 MSCI中国指数，已于2025年11月25日生效。 （MSCI Equity Indexes November 2025 Index Review） MSCI指数作为全球机构投资者广泛采用的基准指数体系，其成分股筛选标准较为严格，涵盖市值规 模、股票流动性、行业代表性等核心维度。MSCI中国指数作为MSCI全球可投资市场指数系列的重要组 成部分，是国际投资者配置中国资产的重要参考。 （MSCI China Index additions/deletions） 此次广发证券的纳入，标志着公司在国际资本市场的影响力与长期投资价值获得权威认可。作为中国领 先的综合性证券公司，广发证券拥有稳健的经营业绩、完备的业务体系、均衡的业务结构和广泛的市场 认可度，本次纳入为全球投资者提供多样化的中国资产配置选择，将进一步提升公司在全球资本市场中 的关注度及资金配置比例。 ...

③全球知名指数公司MSCI此前宣布了2025年11月份指数审核结果，此次调整将于11月24日收盘后正式 生效。本次调整中，MSCI中国指数新纳入26只中国股票，剔除20只。(王宇露) ②近期，以纳斯达克100、标普500等相关指数基金为代表的QDII产品，进一步收紧申购限额，部分产 品已暂停申购。与此同时，场内产品溢价率高企。华泰证券认为，近期QDII-ETF产品高溢价或是由于 过去一段时间不同市场科技资产的表现出现差异。若A股吸引力增强或美股吸引力减退，溢价可能会回 落。目前，多家基金公司已发布溢价风险提示公告，不建议投资者盲目投资高溢价产品。 中证网讯①11月21日，16只硬科技主题基金同日获批，包括首批7只科创创业人工智能ETF、3只科创板 芯片ETF、4只科创板芯片设计主题ETF，以及2只科技主题主动权益类基金，涉及易方达基金、广发基 金、景顺长城基金、摩根资产管理、华宝基金、天弘基金等多家基金管理人。这些硬科技主题基金有望 不久后发售。 ...

Group 1: Gold Market Insights - Goldman Sachs indicates that central banks may purchase significant amounts of gold in November to diversify reserves against geopolitical and financial risks, maintaining a price forecast of $4,900 by the end of 2026 [1] - Year-to-date, gold prices have risen by 55%, driven by economic and geopolitical concerns, increased inflows into exchange-traded funds, and expectations of further interest rate cuts in the U.S. [1] - In September, central banks purchased 64 tons of gold, up from 21 tons in August [1] Group 2: Oil Price Forecasts - Goldman Sachs has lowered its average price forecasts for Brent and WTI crude oil to $56 and $52 per barrel, respectively, due to strong global supply (excluding Russia) [2] - UBS expects Brent crude oil prices to fluctuate between $60 and $70 per barrel, with a year-end target of $62 per barrel and a 2026 target of $67 per barrel [3] Group 3: Chinese Stock Market Outlook - UBS forecasts a prosperous year for the Chinese stock market in 2026, driven by factors such as innovation and a projected 14% upside for the MSCI China Index by year-end [4] - Earnings per share are expected to grow by 10% in 2026, supported by anti-involution measures and a decrease in depreciation expenses [4] Group 4: Currency Trends - Barclays economists suggest that the USD/JPY exchange rate may continue to rise, recommending investors to remain long on USD/JPY due to Japan's fiscal policies [5] Group 5: Central Bank Policies - Goldman Sachs Asset Management predicts that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates twice in 2026, while the European Central Bank may maintain rates and the Bank of England may resume cuts in December [6] - Morgan Stanley anticipates further rate cuts from the European Central Bank in the first half of next year, with a target for the 10-year German bond yield at approximately 2.45% by the end of 2026 [8] Group 6: Semiconductor Sector - Galaxy Securities asserts that the long-term growth logic for the semiconductor sector remains intact despite recent underperformance, emphasizing supply chain security and domestic substitution trends [11] Group 7: AI and Consumer Electronics - Galaxy Securities highlights the potential for smart glasses to become a major consumer electronics category, following the entry of major tech companies into the AI glasses market [12] Group 8: Multi-Modal AI Trends - CITIC Securities identifies the shift towards native multi-modal architectures as a pivotal point for the industry, suggesting investment opportunities in both foundational and application layers [13] Group 9: Energy Demand and Coal Prices - Huatai Securities predicts that electricity consumption growth in October may exceed 10%, supporting a positive outlook for thermal coal prices in the fourth quarter [14]

报告认为，若要进一步突破当前水平，市场需要应对以下因素：企业盈利质量与可持续性仍有待观察； 过去12个月估值显著上升，估值继续扩张的空间有限；全球宏观经济不确定性扩大，包括利率路径、地 缘政治及外部需求变化等。 【导读】摩根士丹利对中国股票的最新研判 11月17日，摩根士丹利发布最新研报，预计明年中国股市将取得温和涨幅。 摩根士丹利策略师在报告中写道，2026年的关键在于在多重内外部因素交织下维持市场动能。挑战包括 企业盈利质量及其可持续性、将持续到2026年的通缩压力，以及全球宏观经济的不确定性等。 摩根士丹利将2026年12月的主要股指目标定为：恒生指数27500点、国企指数9700点、沪深300指数4840 点。相较于11月17日收盘水平，这分别意味着约4%、4%和5%的上行空间。 研报写道，2026年将是今年大涨之后的企稳期。得益于投资者对中国科技发展前景的乐观预期，中国A 股的基准股指沪深300指数今年以来已上涨约17%，有望实现连续第二年上涨。 报告称："在盈利温和增长、估值在更高水平上企稳的背景下，中国在全球科技竞赛中重新站稳脚跟， 同时贸易紧张局势有所缓和，指数整体上行空间相对温和。" 摩根士 ...

智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利最新发布的展望报告指出，中国股市在2025年大幅走强后，预计2026年 将进入"稳步发展"阶段。受每股盈利增长温和、估值处于相对高位等因素影响，主要指数的上升空间或 有限。 摩根士丹利给予恒生指数(HSI)2026年底目标：基本情境：27,500点;乐观情境：34,700点;悲观情境： 18,700点。 MSCI中国指数2026年底目标：基本情境：90;乐观情境：114;悲观情境：58。 摩根士丹利指出，MSCI中国指数及恒生指数今年以来均上涨超过30%，表现居全球主要股市前列。这 反映出投资者对中国经济及企业盈利结构改善的积极预期。 报告认为，若要进一步突破当前水平，市场需要应对以下因素：企业盈利质量与可持续性仍有待观察; 过去12个月估值显著上升，估值继续扩张的空间有限;全球宏观经济不确定性扩大，包括利率路径、地 缘政治及外部需求变化等。 摩根士丹利表示，尽管短期挑战仍存，但预计中国市场将在2026年维持稳定且具可持续性的增长态势。 国企指数(HSCEI)2026年底目标：基本情境：9,700点;乐观情境：12,190点;悲观情境：6,670点。 沪深300指数(CSI 30 ...

Core Insights - MSCI announced the results of its November index review, adding 26 stocks to the MSCI China Index, including 17 A-shares and 9 H-shares, while removing 16 A-shares and 4 H-shares [1] - The adjustments will take effect after the market closes on November 24, 2025, with significant implications for passive fund tracking [3] MSCI Index Adjustments - The MSCI China Index is part of a broader set of indices, including the MSCI China A-shares Onshore Index and the MSCI China All Shares Index, with the MSCI China Index being particularly significant as it is embedded in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index [1] - The number of new A-share inclusions in this review is notably higher than in previous adjustments this year, which had single-digit additions [2] Global Market Context - In the global context, the MSCI ACWI added 69 stocks and removed 64, with notable new inclusions from sectors like cloud services and biopharmaceuticals [2] - The largest new additions to the MSCI Emerging Markets Index include companies from Indonesia and Hong Kong [2] Market Sentiment and Predictions - Recent reports from foreign institutions indicate a positive outlook on A-shares and Chinese innovative companies, with Goldman Sachs raising its forecasts for China's export growth and GDP growth [3] - Goldman Sachs predicts a 5% to 6% annual growth in China's export volume over the next few years, leading to an upward revision of the actual GDP growth forecast to 5.0% for 2025 [3] - Nomura Securities has also expressed optimism regarding the Asian market's profit growth cycle, adjusting target levels for the MSCI China Index and other Asian indices [3]

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining International (02259) saw a significant increase of over 6%, specifically a rise of 6.62%, reaching a price of 135.3 HKD with a trading volume of 243 million HKD [1] Group 1: MSCI Index Changes - On November 6, 2023, MSCI announced the results of its November index review, which included the addition of 17 new stocks to the MSCI China A-share index and the removal of 16 stocks [1] - The changes from this review will take effect after the market closes on November 24, 2025 [1] - In addition to A-share stocks, the MSCI China Index also added 9 Hong Kong stocks, including Zijin Mining International [1]

Group 1 - The A-share market continues to strengthen, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3876.34 points, reflecting a 0.37% increase, maintaining its recent strong performance [2] - The Federal Reserve is expected to announce an interest rate cut, marking a significant shift towards global liquidity easing, which aligns with current market expectations [2] - Goldman Sachs indicates that once the Fed opens the rate cut channel, US capital will seek investment targets globally, with A-shares being a significant allocation target [2] Group 2 - Foreign capital has shown increased interest in Chinese assets, with net foreign investment in domestic stocks and funds reaching $10.1 billion in the first half of the year, particularly surging to $18.8 billion in May and June [2] - In August, passive equity funds saw inflows into the Chinese market amounting to $3.684 billion, a significant increase from $313 million in July, while active equity funds experienced a reduced outflow [2][3] Group 3 - The current trend of foreign capital inflow is expected to be strong and sustainable, with no immediate risk of reversal [3] - The cancellation of the registration requirement for foreign investment enterprises' domestic reinvestment by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange is seen as a significant reform that reduces institutional trading costs [3] Group 4 - The improvement in China's economic fundamentals and profit expectations, along with continuous policy dividends and enhanced industrial competitiveness, are driving the strategic allocation of overseas "long money" to Chinese assets [4] - China's GDP growth rate for the first half of 2025 is reported at 5.3%, showing an increase compared to the same period in 2024, which supports foreign capital's confidence in increasing their stakes [5] Group 5 - The MSCI China Index's 12-month forward P/E ratio is only 12.1 times, significantly lower than the Nasdaq's 28 times, indicating a valuation discount of up to 20%, providing a safety margin for international capital [6] - Global funds are increasingly viewing Chinese assets as an ideal allocation choice due to their low valuation and high growth potential, especially in the context of a weakening dollar and rising economic uncertainty in the US [8] Group 6 - The influx of long-term foreign capital into the Chinese market is expected to enhance market liquidity, improve supply-demand dynamics, and elevate market activity, leading to rising stock prices [10] - The preference of foreign investors for stable, transparent governance in leading enterprises may shift the A-share market from a "liquidity premium" to a "profit premium," potentially reducing market volatility and raising long-term valuation levels [10]

Group 1 - Bridgewater Associates, known as the "king of hedge funds," is experiencing significant demand in the Chinese market, with wealthy investors injecting billions into domestic private banks to gain access to its products [1][2][3] - The hedge fund's investment strategy combines Ray Dalio's risk parity approach with active management, achieving over 35% returns in 2024, significantly outperforming competitors [2][6] - Bridgewater's assets under management in China grew approximately 40% to over 55 billion RMB, highlighting its strong market position compared to other international hedge funds [2][3][6] Group 2 - The scarcity of Bridgewater's products has led to a situation where wealthy clients are often unable to purchase desired fund shares, likening the fund to the luxury brand Hermès in terms of exclusivity [3][6] - In contrast to Bridgewater's success, other major hedge funds like D.E. Shaw and Two Sigma have only managed assets between 5 billion to 10 billion RMB in China, indicating Bridgewater's unique position in the market [3][6] - Bridgewater's strong performance is attributed to its diversified investment across stocks, bonds, and commodities, with significant contributions from gold and active management strategies [7][9] Group 3 - The hedge fund's recent fundraising efforts targeted 2.5 billion RMB, with strong demand leading to oversubscription, particularly from institutions like China Merchants Bank [8] - The ongoing AI and innovative pharmaceutical trends are driving the Chinese stock market's growth, with Bridgewater's strategies aligning well with these market dynamics [9][10] - Morgan Stanley reports that hedge funds, including Bridgewater, are increasing their bullish bets on Chinese stocks, with expectations of continued policy support and low valuations compared to developed markets [10][11] Group 4 - The Shanghai-based fund platform of Bridgewater has seen its onshore asset scale rise to over 60 billion RMB, positioning it alongside major domestic quantitative hedge funds [7][8] - High-net-worth clients are facing increasing competition for Bridgewater's products, with limited allocations being offered even to those with substantial assets [7][8] - The overall market sentiment is positive, with expectations of further gains in the A-share market driven by liquidity improvements and a shift of funds from deposits to equities [11][14]

Group 1 - MSCI announced the quarterly review results for its indices, including the inclusion of 14 stocks in the MSCI China Index and the removal of 17 stocks, effective after the market close on August 26 [1][2] - The newly added stocks include 5 A-shares such as Guizhou Compass and CITIC Bank, and 9 Hong Kong stocks, primarily focusing on technology, innovative pharmaceuticals, and new consumer sectors [2][3] - The stocks removed from the index are mainly traditional consumer and cyclical stocks, indicating a shift in market focus towards technology and innovation [2][3] Group 2 - The MSCI China Index serves as a key benchmark for global investors looking to invest in Chinese assets, and its inclusion in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index enhances the visibility and passive fund allocation for the newly added stocks [3][4] - Since the inclusion of A-shares in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index in 2018, foreign index funds have significantly influenced the market, increasing foreign ownership from approximately 1.3% in 2012 to 3.7% in 2020 [4] - The ongoing influx of foreign capital is expected to continue, providing new incremental funds to the A-share market and leading to further innovations in product offerings and trading mechanisms [4]