Summary of J.P. Morgan's China Healthcare Sector Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the **China Healthcare sector**, particularly the **biotech** and **pharmaceutical** subsectors, which have shown significant financial performance in the first half of 2025 (1H25) [1][4]. Key Financial Performance - The **MSCI China Healthcare Index** and **Hang Seng Healthcare Index** have rallied over **70%** and **100%** respectively year-to-date [1]. - Most companies in the China healthcare sector met or slightly exceeded financial expectations for 1H25, with biotech companies showing solid growth in both top-line and bottom-line metrics [1][4]. Subsector Insights - **Biotech**: Remains a strong performer with robust growth driven by out-licensing, efficiency improvements, and cost control. Companies like **Kelun Biotech**, **RemeGen**, and **Innovent** reported results that met or exceeded expectations, prompting raised price targets [4][5]. - **CXO**: Continued positive momentum with companies like **WuXi AppTec**, **WuXi Bio**, and **WuXi XDC** exceeding market expectations and raising FY25 guidance [6]. - **Pharma**: Experienced slight revenue pressure, potentially due to **volume-based procurement (VBP)**, but net profit showed mild recovery year-over-year (YoY) and quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) [5]. - **Medtech**: Reported mixed results with some companies experiencing revenue growth while others faced declines. The competitive landscape is shifting, with **United Imaging** gaining market share [6]. - **Diagnostics**: Faced overall pressure with significant sales declines for key players due to price reductions and policy changes [12]. Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The Hang Seng Healthcare Index saw a **10%** surge in the last 30 days, indicating a search for broader catalysts to sustain growth [4]. - Upcoming events such as **WCLC'25** and **ESMO'25** are expected to be significant catalysts for the sector [4]. - The sector is also looking forward to outcomes from **NRDL negotiations** and the drug coverage list from commercial health insurance in late 2025 [4]. Company-Specific Highlights - **Innovent** is highlighted as a top pick due to its diversified and innovative pipeline [4]. - **Akeso** showed potential despite results falling short of expectations, with promising data from its **HARMONi-A** trial [4]. - **Hengrui** is pursuing an independent global expansion strategy, which may lead to increased licensing income in the future [5]. Risks and Challenges - The **pharmacy sector** is expected to see consolidation, with an anticipated **100,000 store closures** in 2025 and 2026 [6]. - **Consumer sentiment** remains weak, impacting medical services and growth for companies like **Topchoice** and **Aier** [6]. Conclusion - The China healthcare sector is poised for further growth, driven by innovation and upcoming catalysts, despite facing challenges in certain subsectors. The overall sentiment remains optimistic, particularly for biotech and CXO companies, while pharma and diagnostics may require strategic adjustments to navigate current pressures [1][4][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Hold" rating for the company, with an increased target price of HKD 65 for the Hong Kong stock and RMB 85 for the A-share [1][10]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a significant reduction in losses, with an estimated 50% year-over-year decrease in losses for the full year [2][10]. - Revenue for Q2 2025 was approximately RMB 566 million, representing a 38.3% year-over-year increase, driven primarily by the sales of core products RC18 and RC48 [2][3]. - The gross margin improved to 85.5%, up 9.3 percentage points year-over-year, indicating better-than-expected performance [2][10]. Financial Performance - The company reported a net loss of RMB 195 million for Q2 2025, which is a 54.7% reduction year-over-year [2]. - Research and development expenses decreased by 33.0% year-over-year to RMB 318 million, contributing to the improved financial performance [2][10]. - The company’s cash position improved significantly, reaching RMB 1.271 billion as of June 30, 2025, following an HKD 800 million placement [4][10]. Product Development and Commercialization - The commercialization progress of two core products, TaiTasi and VidiXimab, is in line with expectations, with sales of RMB 650 million and RMB 440 million respectively for the first half of the year [3][10]. - The company plans to enhance its early-stage research and development efforts, anticipating a significant increase in IND submissions next year [4][10]. Future Catalysts - Key upcoming catalysts include data readouts for various clinical trials, including the long-term data for TaiTasi in MG expected in October 2025 and the data for other indications in late 2025 and early 2026 [10].

Core Viewpoint - Lyon's report indicates that Rongchang Biologics (09995) achieved a 39.1% year-on-year increase in sales for the second quarter, which, while below market expectations, exceeded the company's annual guidance [1] - The net loss narrowed by 54.7% year-on-year, outperforming market expectations [1] - The management maintains its annual sales guidance, anticipating over 30% year-on-year growth, and expects to achieve breakeven by 2026 [1] Financial Performance - Second quarter sales increased by 39.1% year-on-year [1] - Net loss reduced by 54.7% year-on-year [1] - Annual sales guidance remains unchanged, with expectations of over 30% growth [1] Business Development - The indications for RC18 and RC48 are gradually expanding [1] - The company's new immunotherapy (I/O) and ADC research and development pipeline is taking shape [1] Profit Forecast and Target Price - Profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been raised by 79.6%, 106.9%, and 116.4% respectively [1] - Target price has been significantly increased from HKD 33.7 to HKD 103, while maintaining an "outperform" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Credit Lyonnais indicates that Rongchang Biologics (09995) achieved a 39.1% year-on-year increase in sales for the second quarter, which, while below market expectations, exceeded the company's annual guidance [1]. Financial Performance - The net loss narrowed by 54.7% year-on-year, outperforming market expectations [1]. - The management maintained the annual sales guidance, projecting a year-on-year increase of over 30% [1]. Business Development - The indications for RC18 and RC48 are gradually expanding, and the company's new immunotherapy (I/O) and ADC research and development pipeline is taking shape [1]. - Credit Lyonnais has raised its net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 by 79.6%, 106.9%, and 116.4% respectively [1]. Target Price Adjustment - The target price has been significantly raised from HKD 33.7 to HKD 103, while maintaining an "outperform" rating [1].

Summary of Rongchang Biopharmaceuticals Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Rongchang Biopharmaceuticals - **Industry**: Biopharmaceuticals Key Financial Performance - **Revenue**: Approximately 4.4 billion CNY in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 38% [2][3] - **Net Loss**: 450 million CNY, a reduction of 42.4% year-on-year [2][3] - **Cash Reserves**: Approximately 1.48 billion CNY in cash and notes, with an additional 2.7 billion CNY in bank credit lines [2][3] Product Sales and Market Strategy - **Tadasucept**: Revenue of approximately 650 million CNY in H1 2025, a 59% increase year-on-year; entered over 1,000 hospitals with nearly 600 officially approved [2][6] - **Vitesi Monoclonal Antibody**: Sales of approximately 4.4 billion CNY in H1 2025, a 38% increase; entered about 1,000 hospitals with around 450 officially approved [2][11] - **RC48**: Positive results in Phase III trials for urothelial carcinoma; BLA submission in progress [2][5] Research and Development Progress - **RC148**: Received FDA breakthrough therapy designation for non-small cell lung cancer; ongoing clinical trials and international collaborations [4][8][25] - **New Drug Developments**: RC278 and RC288 are in patient enrollment stages; RC28 for ophthalmic diseases is expected to submit DME application this year [9][21] - **Clinical Trials**: Tadasucept's MG clinical trial data to be updated at the AANEM conference in October [23][25] Financial and Operational Outlook - **Sales Growth Target**: 30% revenue growth for the full year 2025, with H1 growth at 48% [4][30] - **Cost Management**: Continued reduction in sales expense ratio, expected to maintain or further decrease in H2 2025 [17][18] - **Funding Strategy**: Plans to increase early-stage R&D investment, focusing on ADCs, bispecific antibodies, and fusion proteins [21][22] Competitive Landscape and Market Position - **Market Strategy**: Focus on expanding coverage in lower-tier cities and enhancing physician engagement in rheumatology and nephrology [6][10] - **Product Differentiation**: Tadasucept's mechanism offers advantages over competitors, particularly in long-term use and safety [23][41] Future Catalysts and Milestones - **Upcoming Data Releases**: Important data updates expected in H2 2025, including MG and dry syndrome trial results [38] - **Regulatory Submissions**: Anticipated BLA submissions for multiple products, with a focus on maintaining competitive advantages in the market [20][30] Conclusion Rongchang Biopharmaceuticals is positioned for significant growth with a strong pipeline of products and a focus on strategic market expansion. The company aims to optimize its financial structure while enhancing its R&D capabilities to drive future success.

维持"持有"评级和目标价（港股29 港元、A 股人民币40 元）：我们将2025E/2026E/2027E 净亏损预测轻 微调整+0.6%/+1.0%/-1.9%,主要由于轻微上调收入预测和微调毛利率预测所致。基于我们的DCF 估值模 型，（WACC：10%，永续增长率：3%），维持公司"持有"评级和目标价29 港元（港股）和人民币40 元（A 股）。我们认为目前公司处于合理估值区间，若后续泰它西普成功实现出海，则公司股票有望迎 来上调机会。 1Q25 费用管控和净亏损均符合预期：1Q25 研发费用为3.29 亿元（-0.7%YoY, -14.9% QoQ）。此前公司 在年报业绩会上提及全年研发费用将控制在13 亿元以下，目前一季度研发费用已占据该指引的25%。 销售费用为2.51 亿元（+33.7% YoY, -23.1% QoQ），销售费用率为47.7%，符合公司全年销售费用率低 于50%的指引。管理费用为9 千万元（+21.4% YoY, -7.1%QoQ），管理费用率进一步降低至 17.1%（1Q24: 22.5%, 4Q24: 19.5%）。 得益于上述费用管控得当，1Q25 归母净亏损为2.54 ...