这是一个"黄金坑"吗？ 黄金、白银不断刷新历史新高的行情突然变脸。1月30日，伦敦黄金现货大跳水，创1980年2月以来最大 单日跌幅，白银价格也一度创出历史最大日内跌幅。 业内普遍认为，本次黄金"巨震"，直接原因或是美国总统特朗普提名凯文·沃什为新任美联储主席，导 致"独立性危机"担忧降温，美元反弹。 目前，投资者最为关注的问题是，此次暴跌，是黄金上涨行情中一个难得的"黄金坑"，抑或暗示着黄金 趋势将由此结束，对此，多家机构周末紧急研判。 "黄金十年魔咒"到了？ 在暴跌之前，金价已经处于狂热状态，本月以来，伦敦金现从4318美元/盎司起步，接连突破数个整数 关口，气势如虹，一度剑指5600美元/盎司，月内最大涨幅超过20%。 招商银行研究院认为，自1968年以来，黄金单月涨幅超过20%的情形极为罕见，仅出现过8次，且全部 集中在布雷顿森林体系瓦解、第二次石油危机等特殊历史阶段。1983年之后，如此级别的单月涨幅更是 从未出现。 尤其是1月19日至29日短短9个交易日，黄金价格上涨了1000美元左右，已经处于"超买"状态。一有风吹 草动，这些"热钱"会率先撤离，加剧下跌。 "当金银以超乎历史的斜率上行时，这样的 ...

1月30日，第一财经从香港证监会获悉，近期监管机构已通过通函要求上市保荐人迅速开展内部检讨， 并纠正招股文件准备中出现的严重缺失，包括文件质量不足、保荐人可能存在的失当行为及其资源管理 重大失误等。截至2025年12月31日，已有16宗港股上市申请被暂停审理。 2025年，港股IPO数量与募资额同比大幅跃升，排队企业已突破300家，市场热度持续攀升。然而，申 报文件质量下滑、保荐人资源不足、人才争夺激烈、费率竞争加剧等问题也随之显现。为此，此次香港 证监会在通函中表示，将密集推出多项针对性整改措施，涵盖从严审核标准、强化保荐人员与项目匹配 度披露要求、设定人员负荷上限等方面。 业内人士指出，随着2026年可能到来的新一轮IPO高峰及潜在的限售股解禁压力，香港资本市场正步入 一段机遇与挑战并存的关键时期。 上市激增引发质量隐忧 近期香港市场监管机构已通过通函要求上市保荐人迅速开展内部检讨 香港证监会在近期通函中指出，高度关注2025年新股申请激增期间暴露的问题，包括部分上市文件存在 严重缺失、保荐人可能行为失当及其资源管理出现重大疏漏。 第一财经注意到，2025年香港IPO市场呈现井喷态势。Choice数据显示 ...

"以长远战略视角推进双边关系的新阶段" 凯尔表示，本届英国政府希望跳出原有范式，"与中国建立一种长期、稳定且全面的关系"，为双方经贸 往来筑好基石。 凯尔向第一财经记者说，政府间建立伙伴关系能为商业创造机会，既为中国企业，同样也为英国企业。 2015年，时任英国首相卡梅伦率先提出了中英关系"黄金时代"的倡议，在特蕾莎·梅2016年接任英国首 相时，创立了中英企业家委员会，继续坚持了 "黄金时代"的大方向，中英关系保持持续发展的态势。 但此后唐宁街10号几易其主，"黄金时代"遭遇雨打风吹，这一阶段被斯塔默称为"冰河时代"。在访华前 夕，斯塔默曾公开批评前几任政府的"失职行为"，对待中国不能"鸵鸟埋沙"，不能忽视中国带来的经济 机遇。 虽然英国首相斯塔默是8年来首位访华的英国首相，但作为英国商业和贸易大臣的凯尔（Peter Kyle）， 4个月之内已经来了两次中国。 凯尔向第一财经记者表示："本届政府不仅派我多次来华，首相本人更是亲自到访，这充分展现了我们 对于切实拓展双向投资潜力的承诺。" 斯塔默在行前表示，希望摆脱保守党执政时期英中关系的"冰河时代"，对此凯尔表示，"中国在国际关 系中发挥着非常重要的作用"， ...

增值税两档优惠税率适用范围进一步明晰。 在农机方面，《公告》在此前相关规定列举的拖拉机、土壤耕整机械等十类农机产品外，还新增了畜牧 业机械、渔业机械、林业机械、小农具4类农机。 中国第一大税种增值税税率主要有三档，其中基本税率是13%，两档优惠税率分别是9%和6%。随着今 年起增值税法及实施条例正式实施，详细适用两档优惠税率的具体范围也得以明晰。 比如畜牧业机械是指畜牧业生产中所需的各种机械，包括草原建设机械、牧业收获机械、饲料加工机 械、畜禽饲养机械、畜产品采集机械、养鸡和养猪设备系列产品、动物尸体降解处理机。渔业机械，包 括捕捞机械、增氧机、饵料机，机动渔船不属于本货物的征税范围等。 1月31日，财政部、税务总局发布《关于增值税征税具体范围有关事项的公告》（下称《公告》），明 确了适用9%增值税税率货物范围，以及销售服务、无形资产、不动产具体范围，这涉及多档税率。该 《公告》自2026年1月1日起施行。 上海国家会计学院副教授葛玉御告诉第一财经，总体来看适用9%税率的货物范围跟此前大体一致，变 化不大。但《公告》附件2《销售服务、无形资产、不动产注释》里则有些变化，比如加工修理修配纳 入"生产生活服务"， ...

Core Insights - Moltbook has gained significant attention in the AI community, with mixed reactions regarding its impact and validity as a platform for AI agents to interact autonomously [1][9] - The platform has rapidly grown to host 1.5 million AI agents engaging in discussions across thousands of forums, marking a notable experiment in AI self-organization [1][6] Group 1: Platform Overview - Moltbook is a social platform designed exclusively for AI agents, allowing them to interact without human participation, which differentiates it from traditional social media [5] - The platform was inspired by the success of Clawdbot, an AI assistant that can automate tasks across various chat applications, leading to the creation of a community where AI can communicate and share skills [5][6] Group 2: Growth and Functionality - Within three days, the number of registered AI agents surged from 1 to over 1 million, demonstrating the platform's rapid adoption and self-sustaining nature [6] - AI agents on Moltbook engage in discussions on various topics, including technology, existentialism, and even the creation of virtual religions, showcasing a range of social behaviors [6][10] Group 3: Industry Reactions and Concerns - Experts have expressed skepticism about the notion of AI consciousness, emphasizing that the interactions are based on human-defined parameters and not true autonomy [7][10] - Concerns have been raised regarding the quality of content on Moltbook, with reports of spam, scams, and security vulnerabilities, indicating potential risks associated with the platform [4][9][14] Group 4: Long-term Implications - Despite criticisms, many professionals see long-term value in Moltbook as it opens new avenues for research on AI collaboration, identity management, and privacy protection [12][13] - The platform serves as a case study for the emergence of complex behaviors in AI when given the ability to interact autonomously, reflecting the potential for future developments in AI technology [10][14]

一图速览>> ( 指数 涨跌幅 深证成指 上证指数 234.08% 志特新 4 = 03 : 1 锋龙股 213.97% 累计涨幅 175.14% 湖南白 累计跌幅 普冉 股 140.55% 四川黄 137.54% 133.68% 白银有 133.33% 遛源石 连城数 130.47% 122.33% 膀程科 118.92% 可川科 一图速览>> E = 7 分分 浄流） (亿元) 净流出 (亿元) 34.35 25.45 24.02 21.36 . . . . . 兴 北 招 獸 商 小 方 华 武 银 银 纪 创 行 行 180.43 139.91 139.37121.42 立 胜 三花 金 坛 讯 风 矢 业生 手机 手 14 个十 自 个月 控 技 技 容 82.05 相关会会 54.34 33.61 31.81 净流入 (亿元) 彩 招 中 大 子 金 商 E न्त 遛 银 矿 安 业 信 行 国后 中际旭创 62 649.00 股价市值 源杰科技 最新收盘价 823.00 7 (元/股) 寒武纪 MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ 责任编辑：江钰涵 all and the see and t ...

Group 1 - NIO launched a limited-time financial car purchase plan in February, offering a 7-year, 84-installment financing option with a down payment as low as 20% and an annual interest rate starting at 0.49% [1] - Currently, a total of 9 automotive companies, including Tesla, Xiaopeng, Li Auto, Xiaomi, and Geely, have introduced low-interest financing plans, with some options featuring a 0 down payment [1]

美国就业市场继续不温不火。美国劳工部数据显示，美国上周初请失业金人数20.9万人，预期20.5万 人，前值由20万人修正为21万人。持续申请失业救济金人数降至185万人，环比减少3.8万人。 牛津经济研究院高级经济学家施瓦茨（Bob Schwartz）在接受第一财经记者采访时表示，年末贸易、运 输和仓储成本高企，使得去年12月生产者价格通胀率同比维持在3%的高位。如果贸易政策趋稳，加之 提前备货行为结束，或有助于2026年运输和仓储成本下降，关税对物价的传导效应在逐步释放，但整体 物价或仍高于2%的美联储设定目标。 科技股能否卷土重来。 美股本周尾盘走低，不过三大股指仍以亮眼表现收官1月。下周市场将迎来月度就业报告，外界对货币 政策预期可能对风险偏好产生影响，同时还有谷歌、亚马逊、AMD等多家企业发布核心财报，或将继 续引发指数盘中剧烈波动，各板块走势分化格局下，波动性风险并未完全释放。 通胀压力打击降息前景 本周美国有大量经济数据出炉，同时降息前景依然并不明朗。 美国商务部周五称，12月生产者价格指数（PPI）环比上涨0.5%，高于前值0.2%的涨幅，同比涨幅达 3.0%，高于市场预期的2.7%。剔除食品和 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market showed a trend of rising and then narrow fluctuations in January, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 3.76%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 5.03%, and the ChiNext Index by 4.47% [1] Group 1: Stock Recommendations - Multiple brokerages have released their investment portfolios for February, covering various sectors including finance, non-ferrous metals, and materials [1] - The most frequently recommended stocks include China Pacific Insurance, Zijin Mining, and Wanhua Chemical, each receiving recommendations from three brokerages [4] - Notable stock performances include兆易创新, which saw a nearly 47% increase in January, and中国中免, which experienced a decline of over 5% [4] Group 2: Industry Preferences - Brokerages suggest that the spring market may see a prolonged period of activity, with potential new trends emerging post-Chinese New Year [6] - Recommendations focus on technology, consumer sectors, and cyclical industries, with an emphasis on identifying Alpha opportunities in cyclical sectors [7] - Specific sectors highlighted for potential growth include food and beverage, real estate, and resource-related industries, with a focus on quality stocks that exhibit both Beta elasticity and Alpha value [7][8] Group 3: Investment Strategies - A balanced growth strategy is recommended, focusing on technology, raw materials, and construction materials benefiting from urban renewal policies [8] - The service consumption sector, including tourism and dining, is suggested for early positioning ahead of the holiday season [9] - Attention is drawn to sectors likely to exceed performance expectations during the earnings reporting period, particularly in resource products and equipment manufacturing [10]

Group 1 - Alibaba's AI triangle, consisting of Tongyi Lab, Alibaba Cloud, and Pingtouge, has officially emerged with the launch of the self-developed AI chip "Zhenwu 810E" [2] - The "Zhenwu" PPU features a 96G HBM2e memory and an inter-chip bandwidth of 700 GB/s, suitable for AI training, inference, and autonomous driving [2] - The launch of the "Zhenwu" chip enhances Pingtouge's influence in the chip sector, indicating a potential for independent development and market validation [2] Group 2 - Amazon has initiated a new round of layoffs affecting 16,000 positions, providing transition support for employees unable to find new roles [3] - The trend indicates that AI is replacing certain jobs, with Amazon's CEO noting that the company will require fewer employees for some tasks while needing more for others due to AI advancements [3] Group 3 - Tencent has launched a cash red envelope campaign worth 1 billion yuan during the Spring Festival, reminiscent of its previous successful marketing strategy [6][7] - The campaign aims to enhance user engagement and expand the user base for WeChat payment services [7] Group 4 - Four robotics companies have partnered with the Central Broadcasting Television to participate in the 2026 Spring Festival Gala, marking a shift towards commercial applications of robotics [8] - This collaboration reflects the industry's transition from experimental technology to commercial viability [8] Group 5 - The National Press and Publication Administration has approved 182 game licenses in January 2026, including 177 domestic and 5 imported games, indicating a steady approval pace [9] - In 2025, a total of 1,771 game licenses were issued, marking a 20% increase from 2024, with a significant portion being domestic games [9] Group 6 - Huawei has announced a collaboration with Ruijin Hospital to launch the RuiPath smart pathology integrated machine, aimed at enhancing diagnostic capabilities in grassroots hospitals [10] - The initiative highlights the accelerating adoption of AI-assisted diagnostics in the healthcare sector [10] Group 7 - Qingcheng Jizhi and Huqing Puzhi have released an industry analysis report on large model API services, indicating that DeepSeek and Qwen series models dominate the market [11] - The report emphasizes the shift in AI infrastructure focus from model training to efficient and stable usage in real business applications [11] Group 8 - Tuo Zhu Technology has reported annual revenue exceeding 10 billion yuan within five years of its establishment, reflecting rapid growth in the consumer-grade 3D printing market [12] - The global consumer-grade 3D printing market is projected to grow significantly, with increasing competition among manufacturers as the technology becomes more accessible [12]