Workflow
晚点LatePost
icon
Search documents
免征购置税退坡在即,2025 年底汽车市场会如何变动
晚点LatePost· 2025-10-16 12:30
一辆飞速奔驰的行业快车突然踩下刹车。 特约作者 丨 Evan 理清头绪,与购车相关的主要政策都有什么? 如汽车市场叠加的 buff 确实有点多,会让很多消费者在选购之初无从下手。购置税、国补、地补、企 补等等交织在一起,买车仿佛陷入了过去电商的 "双十一" 游戏,不仅要跟企业算优惠,还要算补贴, 还要算日子,什么时间的补贴最划算以及强优惠拼手速。 简单的来说,当前与购车相关的最主要的政策有四类:第一,就是与新能源直接相关的购置税政策, 当前是免征购置税,2026 年就会减半征收;第二,是国家的以旧换新政策,也被称为 "国补",这个 补贴要求比较严格,必须要报废一定要求之下的汽车并买新车才能申请,但额度比较大,买新能源补 贴 2 万,燃油车补贴 1.5 万;第三,是各地方政府在国家总体政策指导下的置换补贴,也就是 "地 补",只要名下有车,置换购买新车的,买新能源最高补贴 1.5 万,燃油车 1.3 万;最后还有一些地方 政府推出的促进汽车经济的补贴,一般来说是限时限量的,以及还有汽车厂商以各种名义推出的打着 补贴名义的促销。 这其中,购置税减免跟其他补贴不冲突,只要是新能源就能享受。"国补" 和 "地补" 一 ...
新能源车门把手,离更安全只差 100 多元
晚点LatePost· 2025-10-16 12:30
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the safety risks associated with the electronic door handles of new energy vehicles, emphasizing the need for mechanical redundancy to ensure that doors can be opened in emergencies, particularly after accidents [5][19]. Group 1: Safety Risks of Electronic Door Handles - New energy vehicles are prone to battery fires after high-speed collisions due to the physical and chemical properties of lithium batteries [5]. - The reliance on electronic systems for opening doors in new energy vehicles poses risks, as failures can prevent doors from opening even if they are not physically deformed [7][11]. - The design of hidden and semi-hidden door handles, while aesthetically pleasing, complicates the emergency opening process [7][12]. Group 2: Cost Implications of Safety Features - Adding mechanical redundancy to door handles can increase the cost of each vehicle by approximately 100 yuan, which can accumulate to tens of millions or even billions when multiplied by production volumes [6][9]. - The most expensive fully hidden door handles can cost around 1,000 yuan per vehicle due to the additional electronic systems involved [8][12]. Group 3: Regulatory Changes and Industry Standards - New regulations require that every car door must have a mechanical release function, ensuring that doors can be opened without tools in emergencies [15][16]. - The automotive industry is being pushed to adopt standardized emergency opening methods for hidden door handles, which will reduce user learning costs and enhance safety [16]. Group 4: Testing and Validation Challenges - Traditional automotive companies have rigorous quality management systems that include failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA) to anticipate potential failures and design redundancies [17][18]. - The testing standards for electronic door handles are as stringent as those for traditional mechanical handles, requiring extensive validation to ensure reliability [18]. Group 5: Industry Evolution and Consumer Expectations - The trend towards electronic door handles in vehicles is influenced by consumer preferences for cleaner and simpler designs, mirroring the evolution seen in consumer electronics [17]. - The automotive industry faces challenges in balancing rapid design iterations with the need for thorough testing and validation, as mistakes can have severe consequences [19].
50℃ 的沙漠里,中国企业的中东供应链历险记
晚点LatePost· 2025-10-13 03:06
Core Insights - The article discusses the challenges and opportunities faced by Chinese companies operating in Saudi Arabia, particularly in logistics and agriculture, highlighting the cultural and environmental factors that influence their operations [1][2][3]. Group 1: Cultural and Environmental Challenges - Saudi Arabia's strict cultural norms, such as the prohibition of alcohol and gender segregation, create a unique work environment that can be isolating for foreign employees [2][3][5]. - The extreme climate, with summer temperatures exceeding 50°C and limited water resources, poses significant operational challenges for companies [5][11][12]. - The local workforce is often unaccustomed to the demands of modern manufacturing and logistics, leading to higher operational costs and inefficiencies [19][28]. Group 2: Business Opportunities and Growth - The Saudi market, with a population of 35 million and a GDP per capita 2.6 times that of China, presents substantial growth potential for foreign companies [9][10]. - Chinese companies like iMile and Lenovo are establishing a strong presence in the region, with iMile becoming the leading logistics provider in the Middle East [24][25]. - The strategic partnership between Lenovo and the Saudi Public Investment Fund aims to diversify the economy away from oil dependency, with plans for a large-scale manufacturing facility [11][12][16]. Group 3: Innovative Solutions and Adaptation - Companies are developing innovative solutions to adapt to local conditions, such as iMile's tailored delivery schedules during Ramadan to accommodate local customs [26][27]. - Lenovo's construction of a factory in Riyadh involves overcoming unique geological challenges, such as hard desert rock, which requires specialized construction techniques [11][19]. - The agricultural sector is also adapting, with farms utilizing local resources and innovative practices to grow vegetables in the harsh desert environment [32][39].
加入电商事业群 100 天,飞猪国庆 GMV 增长 48%
晚点LatePost· 2025-10-11 15:46
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant growth and transformation of Fliggy, Alibaba's travel platform, particularly in the context of its integration with Alibaba's broader e-commerce ecosystem, leading to increased user engagement and merchant participation. Group 1: Performance Metrics - Fliggy reported a 600% increase in order volume from the Fliggy platform for a hotel chain during the National Day holiday, with overall service users growing by 30% and GMV increasing by 48% compared to the previous year [2][3]. - The total number of domestic travelers during the National Day holiday reached 888 million, an increase of 123 million or 16.1% year-on-year, with total spending amounting to 809 billion yuan, up 15.4% [2]. Group 2: Strategic Changes - The merger of Fliggy and Ele.me into Alibaba's China e-commerce business group is seen as a strategic upgrade towards becoming a "big consumption platform" [3]. - Fliggy has gained unprecedented traffic support, with a new primary entry point on the Taobao app, significantly enhancing its visibility and user engagement [4]. Group 3: User Experience and Marketing - The integration with Taobao has led to a more consistent product experience, with users now able to see Fliggy orders categorized alongside other purchases, enhancing usability [5]. - Marketing efforts have intensified, with increased user subsidies and targeted promotions for 88VIP members, leading to a notable rise in hotel bookings during the holiday period [7][12]. Group 4: Business Model Innovation - Fliggy is positioning itself as an Online Travel Platform (OTP), emphasizing merchant autonomy in pricing and operations, which addresses previous concerns about dependency on OTAs [10][11]. - The collaboration with Marriott to establish flagship stores on Fliggy represents a shift towards a model that enhances brand loyalty and user retention without acting as a traditional intermediary [11]. Group 5: Market Dynamics - The article notes a shift in merchant sentiment, with increased willingness to collaborate with Fliggy as they observe significant growth in bookings and market share [12]. - The competitive landscape is evolving, with Fliggy focusing on high-value user segments and improving supply chain quality to differentiate itself from traditional OTAs like Ctrip [9][10].
Lovart 陈冕:Sora 证明巨头无边界,AI 创业得提前描绘未来丨晚点聊
晚点LatePost· 2025-10-10 16:16
Core Insights - The article emphasizes that the year 2024 may mark the beginning of consumer AI applications, driven by the rapid advancements in AI technology and the recent launch of the Sora app by OpenAI, which quickly became the top downloaded app in the US App Store [2][3][7]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The cost of AI models is decreasing, making consumer applications more feasible, and the recent developments in AI applications are expected to change content consumption patterns [3][4]. - The launch of Sora has accelerated the pace of innovation in the consumer AI space, highlighting the competitive landscape where major players are rapidly advancing [3][7]. - The article discusses the potential of Sora to become a significant social product, possibly larger than existing platforms like TikTok and ChatGPT [7][8]. Group 2: Company Insights - Lovart, a company focused on AI-driven design applications, has achieved approximately 200,000 daily active users and an annualized revenue forecast exceeding $30 million [17][18]. - The company aims to serve creative individuals rather than the general public, positioning itself as an AI creative studio that democratizes design capabilities [21][22]. - Lovart's growth strategy involves anticipating future trends and preparing for them, which has allowed the company to maintain a rapid development pace [22][26]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The article notes that the AI social application market is likely to be dominated by major players due to their resources and user base, making it challenging for smaller companies to compete [11][12]. - The emergence of Sora is expected to attract significant investment and attention to consumer AI applications, prompting other companies to rethink their strategies [14][36]. - The competitive environment is characterized by a sense of urgency, with companies needing to innovate quickly to capture market opportunities before larger players respond [36][37]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The potential for Sora to evolve into a major social platform suggests a significant opportunity for user engagement and market growth, possibly reaching billions of users [12][13]. - The article highlights the importance of infrastructure development, such as computing power and energy facilities, to support the rapid growth of AI applications [15][16]. - The future of AI applications is expected to involve a blend of real and virtual interactions, with companies needing to adapt to changing user preferences and technological advancements [16][30].
晚点独家丨小鹏汽车智驾一号位换帅,世界基座模型负责人刘先明接任
晚点LatePost· 2025-10-10 16:16
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent leadership changes in XPeng Motors' autonomous driving division, highlighting the appointment of Xianming Liu as the new head of the autonomous driving center, and the strategic focus on AI large models for enhancing autonomous driving capabilities [5][7][9]. Group 1: Leadership Changes - On October 9, XPeng Motors announced that Li Liyun would no longer lead the autonomous driving center, with Xianming Liu taking over the role [5]. - Xianming Liu has a strong background in machine learning and computer vision, having previously worked at Facebook and Cruise, and joined XPeng in March 2024 [5][7]. - Li Liyun, who took over the autonomous driving team in August 2023, has a background in electronic engineering and computer science, and has been instrumental in the development of XPeng's intelligent driving solutions [8][9]. Group 2: Strategic Focus on AI - The autonomous driving VLA model is a significant application of the world base model, which aims to enhance the predictive capabilities of autonomous driving systems [7]. - XPeng has been developing a large-scale autonomous driving model with 72 billion parameters, marking a significant investment in AI technology [9][10]. - The company plans to invest 4.5 billion yuan in AI and autonomous driving by 2025, indicating a commitment to advancing its technological capabilities [10]. Group 3: Industry Context - The competition in the intelligent driving sector among Chinese automakers has intensified, with companies like Li Auto and NIO making significant advancements in their autonomous driving technologies [9][10]. - The article notes that 2023 has seen significant personnel changes in the intelligent driving teams across various Chinese automotive companies, reflecting a broader trend in the industry [10][11].
涉足现打鲜啤行业,蜜雪的方法是 “复制蜜雪”
晚点LatePost· 2025-10-09 10:14
市场可能低估了 "蜜雪模式" 所蕴含的零售禀赋和商业方法论。 文 丨 胡昊 国庆假期前的最后一天,蜜雪集团签订了对鲜啤福鹿家的投资协议,以此,蜜雪集团正式涉足现打鲜 啤行业。 具体交易内容是,蜜雪集团以现金增资 2.856 亿元获得了后者 51% 的股权,同日,集团再以 0.112 亿 元的对价向后者的独立第三方股东购买其所持 2% 的鲜啤福鹿家老股,最终蜜雪集团以 53% 的股权完 成对鲜啤福鹿家的并表。 对于这一交易,市场普遍反应较为乐观,同时也有小部分人持谨慎的态度。 但实际的交易内容是,蜜雪集团通过现金增资的方式获得了鲜啤福鹿家的控股权,这部分现金将作为 运营储备资金,用以推动鲜啤福鹿家未来规模化扩张的进程。 因此,市场关注的重点大概率就是蜜雪集团或鲜啤福鹿家在啤酒行业的市场前景问题,这篇文章将围 绕这点展开对如下问题的探讨: 通过对这些问题的展开梳理,我们就能更好地判断蜜雪集团涉足啤酒行业到底是一个主动的投资行为 还是一个被动选项。 目前,市场可能还是低估了 "蜜雪模式" 在现打鲜啤行业的差异化竞争能力,正所谓颠覆行业的往往不 是同业竞争,而是跨行、跨赛道竞争,蜜雪集团的渠道体系和零售禀赋之于现打鲜 ...
任少卿的智驾非共识:世界模型、长时序智能体与 “变态” 工程主义
晚点LatePost· 2025-10-09 10:14
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the challenging yet necessary path that NIO is taking in the field of intelligent driving, focusing on the development of world models and reinforcement learning to achieve advanced capabilities in autonomous driving [2][4][6]. Group 1: Company Background and Leadership - Ren Shaoqing, a prominent figure in NIO, has a strong academic background and significant contributions to deep learning, including the development of Faster R-CNN and ResNet [3][4]. - He co-founded the autonomous driving company Momenta before joining NIO, where he took on the challenge of building the second-generation platform from scratch [4][6]. Group 2: Technological Approach - NIO's approach to intelligent driving involves a combination of high computing power, multiple sensors, and a new architecture based on world models and reinforcement learning [5][6]. - The company aims to move beyond traditional end-to-end models, which are limited in their ability to handle long-term decision-making, by focusing on world models that integrate spatial and temporal understanding [8][11]. Group 3: World Model Concept - The world model is defined as a system that builds high-bandwidth cognitive capabilities based on video and images, addressing the limitations of language models in understanding complex real-world scenarios [11][14]. - NIO is the first company in China to propose the concept of world models, which includes understanding physical laws and the ability to predict movements in three-dimensional space over time [12][24]. Group 4: Reinforcement Learning Importance - The article highlights that the intelligent driving industry has yet to fully embrace the significance of reinforcement learning, which is crucial for developing long-term planning capabilities in autonomous systems [5][24]. - NIO recognizes that traditional imitation learning is insufficient for handling complex driving scenarios that require extended memory and decision-making [30][31]. Group 5: Data Systems and Training - NIO has developed a three-tier data system to ensure the quality and relevance of training data, emphasizing the importance of real-world data over expert data for training models [34][36]. - The company utilizes a combination of game data and real-world driving data to enhance the model's understanding of temporal dynamics and decision-making [25][26]. Group 6: Future Directions and Innovations - NIO plans to implement open-set instruction interaction, allowing users to communicate with the vehicle in a more natural and flexible manner, moving beyond limited command sets [16][18]. - The company is focused on continuous improvement and innovation, with plans to release new versions of their systems that enhance user interaction and safety features [19][20].
高德扫街榜的加速 30 天
晚点LatePost· 2025-10-08 15:38
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant growth and user engagement of Gaode's new feature, "Street Ranking," which has rapidly gained popularity and contributed to the overall increase in active users on the platform, reaching 400 million users within a short period [2][11][16]. User Engagement and Growth - Gaode celebrated reaching 300 million active users during the National Day holiday, surpassing last year's record by 60 million [3][11]. - The "Street Ranking" feature has attracted over 400 million users, with half of Gaode's monthly active users engaging with it [3][16]. - The feature's launch coincided with the National Day holiday, a peak travel period, which provided a substantial test of its capabilities [10][11]. Product Development and Feedback - The "Street Ranking" was developed under high secrecy and aimed to create an AI-driven list to enhance consumer trust and stimulate spending [4][6]. - The team received extensive feedback post-launch, leading to rapid iterations and improvements, such as adding features like "Nearby Good Stores" and administrative region switching [6][8]. - The ranking system incorporates various data points, including navigation behavior and user interactions, to ensure a comprehensive and objective representation of local businesses [7][8]. Market Impact and Business Opportunities - The launch of "Street Ranking" has transformed Gaode's positioning from a navigation app to a broader lifestyle service platform, enhancing its strategic importance within Alibaba [18]. - Local businesses have reported increased visibility and customer engagement due to their inclusion in the rankings, with some experiencing record-breaking customer turnout during the holiday [12][14]. - Gaode's user base is projected to grow significantly, with the "Street Ranking" feature achieving a nearly 50% penetration rate among its monthly active users within a month of launch [16]. Future Directions - The company plans to enhance the "Street Ranking" experience by integrating more user-generated content and reliable reviews, aiming to create a comprehensive decision-making tool for users [18][19]. - There is a focus on expanding the service offerings beyond dining to include various lifestyle categories, thereby increasing user engagement and satisfaction [18][19].
半年 8 款新车,大六座 SUV 的 “最卷之战” 即将上演
晚点LatePost· 2025-10-01 10:04
Core Viewpoint - The demand for large six-seat SUVs in the Chinese market is significantly driven by multi-child families and urban immigrants, leading to a rapid increase in product offerings and market growth [4][12][13]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The launch of multiple large six-seat SUVs, including the Tengshi N9 and Galaxy M9, indicates a booming market with significant consumer interest, as evidenced by pre-order numbers exceeding 23,000 within 24 hours for Galaxy M9 [5][12]. - The market for large six-seat SUVs is projected to grow from approximately 300,000 units in 2023 to over 1 million units by 2027, highlighting a strong upward trend [13][14]. Group 2: Consumer Segmentation - The demand for large six-seat SUVs can be categorized based on life stages, with significant needs arising from families with multiple children and three-generation households [6][9]. - Urban immigrants, often with multi-child families, are increasingly opting for large six-seat SUVs due to their practicality for family travel and commuting needs [12][13]. Group 3: Product Offerings and Trends - The large six-seat SUV market is characterized by three energy types: pure electric, range-extended, and plug-in hybrid, with range-extended vehicles currently dominating sales [15][18]. - The range-extended SUV segment has seen substantial sales, with models like the Ideal L9 and Wanjie M9 leading the market, indicating a preference for vehicles that alleviate range anxiety while providing a family-friendly experience [18][19]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with various brands entering the market, including new entrants like Xiaomi and Xiaopeng, which are expected to introduce innovative products [29][30]. - The market is becoming increasingly competitive, with companies racing to capture market share before segments become saturated, particularly in the mid-range and luxury categories [30].