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【宏观经济】一周要闻回顾(2025年10月1日-10月15日)
乘联分会· 2025-10-15 08:37
Transportation Economic Operation in August - In August, the overall transportation economic operation continued to show a recovery trend, with stable growth in freight volume and cross-regional personnel flow, and a rapid increase in port cargo throughput [7] - The completed operating freight volume in August reached 5.06 billion tons, a year-on-year increase of 3.6%, with road freight volume at 3.75 billion tons (up 3.9%) and waterway freight volume at 0.85 billion tons (up 1.2%) [7] - The port cargo throughput in August was 1.59 billion tons, a year-on-year increase of 4.7%, with container throughput at 31.49 million TEUs, up 6.5% [5] Foreign Trade Performance in the First Three Quarters - In the first three quarters, China's total goods trade import and export reached 33.61 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4%, with exports at 19.95 trillion yuan (up 7.1%) and imports at 13.66 trillion yuan (down 0.2%) [11] - The growth rate of imports and exports accelerated quarterly, with the third quarter showing a growth of 6%, marking eight consecutive quarters of year-on-year growth [12] - The diversification of markets continued, with trade with countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative reaching 17.37 trillion yuan, up 6.2%, accounting for 51.7% of total trade [12] Consumer Price Index (CPI) Trends - In September 2025, the national consumer price index (CPI) decreased by 0.3% year-on-year, with urban prices down 0.2% and rural prices down 0.5% [14] - Food prices fell by 4.4%, while non-food prices increased by 0.7%, leading to an average CPI decline of 0.1% from January to September [15] - The prices of various goods and services showed mixed trends, with fresh vegetable prices down 13.7% and pork prices down 17.0%, impacting the CPI significantly [16] Industrial Producer Price Trends - In September 2025, the industrial producer ex-factory price decreased by 2.3% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.6 percentage points from the previous month [20] - The average industrial producer ex-factory price from January to September fell by 2.8%, with the purchase price down by 3.2% [20] - The prices of production materials decreased by 2.4%, with mining industry prices down 9.0% and raw material industry prices down 2.9% [21]
【周度分析】车市扫描(2025年10月1日-10月12日)
乘联分会· 2025-10-15 08:37
Market Overview - In the first 12 days of October, the national retail sales of passenger cars reached 686,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 8%, but a month-on-month increase of 12%. Cumulative retail sales for the year reached 17.694 million units, up 8% year-on-year [2][4] - Wholesale sales of passenger cars during the same period totaled 546,000 units, down 11% year-on-year and down 15% month-on-month. Year-to-date wholesale sales reached 21.393 million units, an increase of 12% year-on-year [2][6] New Energy Vehicle (NEV) Performance - Retail sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in the first 12 days of October were 367,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 1%, but a month-on-month increase of 1%. The retail penetration rate for NEVs reached 53.5%, with cumulative retail sales for the year at 9.236 million units, up 23% year-on-year [2][4] - Wholesale sales of NEVs were 328,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 1%, but a month-on-month decrease of 11%. The wholesale penetration rate for NEVs was 60.2%, with cumulative wholesale sales for the year at 10.775 million units, up 31% year-on-year [2][4] Sales Trends and Seasonal Effects - The first week of October saw an average daily retail of 44,000 units, down 18% year-on-year, while the second week saw an average daily retail of 85,000 units, up 7% year-on-year [4] - The traditional peak season of "Golden September and Silver October" is expected to boost sales, but tightening subsidy standards and the impending expiration of vehicle purchase tax incentives may gradually release consumer purchasing enthusiasm [4][6] Price Competition and Promotions - The price competition in the passenger car market has returned to rationality, with a moderate scale of new car price reductions. In the first nine months of 2025, 148 new car models saw price cuts, with an average reduction of 21,000 yuan, representing a 10.8% decrease [8][9] - In September 2025, the average price reduction for new energy vehicles was 19,000 yuan, with a reduction rate of 9.8%, while conventional fuel vehicles saw an average reduction of 11,000 yuan, with a reduction rate of 5.9% [8][9] Export Performance - The export market for Chinese automobiles has shown strong growth, particularly in Southeast Asia, Africa, and the EU. In the first eight months of 2025, the overseas sales of Chinese self-owned brands reached 2.1 million units, up 11% year-on-year [11] - The strategy for exporting Chinese automobiles has evolved, focusing on local assembly and production, with companies like SAIC, Geely, Great Wall, and Chery achieving significant success in overseas markets [11]
【行业政策】一周要闻回顾(2025年10月6日-10月12日)
乘联分会· 2025-10-14 08:43
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the public announcement regarding the 400th batch of the "Announcement on Road Motor Vehicle Production Enterprises and Products" and the 79th batch of the "Directory of Energy-Saving and New Energy Vehicle Models Enjoying Tax Reductions" by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, highlighting the approval process and technical requirements for new energy vehicles [1][3]. Group 1: New Product Approvals - A total of 569 vehicle production enterprises applied for new product approvals, including 430 automobile manufacturers, 138 motorcycle manufacturers, and 1 three-wheeled vehicle manufacturer, with a total of 1,800 new products submitted [2]. - Among the new products, 234 enterprises submitted 668 models of new energy vehicles, including 545 pure electric models, 87 plug-in hybrid models, and 36 fuel cell models [2]. Group 2: Product Changes and Rectifications - There are 836 vehicle production enterprises that applied for product changes, with 7262 products submitted for changes, including 6634 automobile products and 622 motorcycle products [4]. - 33 automobile manufacturers submitted 41 automobile products for rectification [4]. Group 3: Technical Requirements for Tax Exemptions - The announcement outlines the technical requirements for new energy vehicles to qualify for vehicle purchase tax exemptions for 2026-2027, including specific energy consumption limits for pure electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles [13][14][15]. - Vehicles listed in the new tax exemption directory must meet the updated technical requirements starting January 1, 2026, with non-compliant models being removed from the directory [16]. Group 4: Carbon Footprint Standards - The article mentions the solicitation of opinions on three national standards related to the carbon footprint of electric vehicles, including methods for quantifying greenhouse gas emissions [7][8]. - These standards aim to provide a framework for managing carbon emissions in the automotive industry, supporting low-carbon development and compliance with national regulations [9][10][11]. Group 5: Adjustments to Tax Policies - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced adjustments to the technical requirements for energy-saving and new energy vehicles to align with industry developments and standards [21][22]. - The new requirements will take effect on January 1, 2026, and will replace previous regulations, ensuring that vehicles meet updated standards for tax benefits [22].
【联合发布】新能源商用车周报(2025年10月第2周)
乘联分会· 2025-10-14 08:43
Core Insights - The article discusses the rapid growth and trends in the new energy commercial vehicle market, particularly focusing on electric trucks and the impact of government policies on this sector [4][21]. Policy and Regulations - The Ministry of Transport and six other departments have jointly issued implementation opinions on "AI + Transportation," aiming for widespread application of AI in the transportation sector by 2027 and deep integration by 2030 [6][8]. - The National Development and Reform Commission has announced measures to regulate price competition, urging operators to adhere to pricing guidelines to maintain market order [9][11]. Market Insights - From January to August 2025, sales of new energy tractors increased by 243.5% year-on-year, reaching 85,100 units, with a penetration rate of 31.9% [21][25]. - The mainstream products in the market are those with battery capacities between 301-430 kWh, while products with capacities of 500-600 kWh are rapidly gaining traction [25][31]. - Traditional heavy truck manufacturers are accelerating their entry into the new energy vehicle market, intensifying competition [25][32]. - Future demand is expected to shift from short-distance transport to long-haul transportation scenarios [33][35]. Company Monitoring - Changan Automobile has launched new models, including the "Xingta" and "Kua Yue Xingguang," focusing on user experience and comfort [38][40]. - Zhongtong Bus has introduced the H12E-Plus and N12D electric buses, specifically designed for the European market [42][48]. - Supao Technology has partnered with Alltrucks to provide comprehensive service support for its electric truck customers across Europe [46][50].
【快讯】每日快讯(2025年10月14日)
乘联分会· 2025-10-14 08:43
Domestic News - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology plans to comprehensively enhance the intelligence and connectivity capabilities of automotive enterprises, raising production access thresholds and emphasizing cybersecurity and data security requirements [7] - In the first three quarters, the export share of domestic brand electric vehicles reached 59.5%, reflecting a significant increase compared to the previous year [8] - Starting November 1, the Ministry of Public Security will implement a fully digital process for new car registration, allowing users to complete the process without leaving home [9] - China has established the world's largest charging network, with 17.348 million charging facilities, equating to two charging stations for every five vehicles [10] - Seres Group has made significant progress in its listing process on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, planning to issue up to 331 million shares [11] - XPeng Motors has begun exporting its MONA series to the Middle East and Africa, marking its expansion in overseas markets [12] - Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory has initiated production capacity expansion for the fourth quarter of 2025 [13] - BYD's flagship store in South Africa has officially opened, indicating the company's growth in the African market [13] International News - The average price of new cars in the U.S. has surpassed $50,000 for the first time, driven by increased sales of luxury and electric vehicles [15] - The Manitoba provincial government in Canada is urging the federal government to eliminate the 100% tariff on Chinese electric vehicles, citing adverse effects on bilateral trade [16] - Renault plans to launch a new electric vehicle model priced below $20,000, leveraging advancements in battery technology to reduce production costs by 40% [17] - SK On is expanding its battery production facility in Georgia, USA, to include capabilities for both electric vehicle batteries and energy storage systems [18][19] Commercial Vehicles - Weishi Energy and the Brazilian Institute of Technology have announced a strategic partnership to promote the commercialization of hydrogen-powered heavy trucks in Brazil [20] - Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle has formed a strategic cooperation with Shijiazhuang Anruike to develop integrated vehicle and trailer solutions, promoting the use of clean energy [21] - The Remote Star Intelligent F3E has been launched in northern and eastern regions, addressing operational challenges faced by local users [22] - Shenzhen will implement a full ban on National III diesel trucks starting January 1, 2026, following previous restrictions [23]
【月度排名】2025年9月厂商销量排名快报
乘联分会· 2025-10-14 08:43
Core Viewpoint - The domestic narrow passenger car market in China shows strong growth in September 2025, with retail sales reaching 2.244 million units, a year-on-year increase of 6.4% and a month-on-month increase of 11.2% [2][3]. Sales Data Summary - In September 2025, the cumulative sales for the first nine months reached 17.008 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.2% [2][3]. - The breakdown of September sales by vehicle type includes: - SUVs: 474,000 units, year-on-year increase of 4.9%, month-on-month increase of 13.1% [3]. - MPVs: 92,000 units, year-on-year decrease of 4.9%, month-on-month increase of 3.5% [3]. - Sedans: 1.13 million units, year-on-year increase of 8.9%, month-on-month increase of 10.1% [3]. - New Energy Vehicles (NEVs): 1.299 million units, year-on-year increase of 15.7%, month-on-month increase of 16.5% [3]. Manufacturer Performance - The top manufacturers by retail sales in September 2025 are: - BYD: 393,060 units, month-on-month increase of 5.8%, year-on-year decrease of 5.9%, market share of 14.1% [6]. - Geely: 273,125 units, month-on-month increase of 9.2%, year-on-year increase of 35.2%, market share of 9.8% [6]. - Chery: 269,070 units, month-on-month increase of 16.3%, year-on-year increase of 13.5%, market share of 9.6% [6]. - Cumulative sales from January to September 2025 show: - BYD: 3.218 million units, year-on-year increase of 17.6%, market share of 15.4% [7]. - Geely: 2.170 million units, year-on-year increase of 45.7%, market share of 10.4% [7]. New Energy Vehicle (NEV) Insights - In September 2025, the NEV wholesale sales rankings are led by: - BYD: 393,060 units, month-on-month increase of 5.8%, year-on-year decrease of 5.9%, market share of 26.3% [10]. - Geely: 165,201 units, month-on-month increase of 12.1%, year-on-year increase of 81.3%, market share of 11.1% [10]. - Cumulative NEV sales from January to September 2025 show: - BYD: 3.218 million units, year-on-year increase of 17.6%, market share of 30.8% [11].
【地方市场】2025年8月北京汽车市场分析
乘联分会· 2025-10-13 02:01
New Car Transaction Situation - In August, Beijing's new car transactions totaled 57,100 units, representing a month-on-month decrease of 5.41% and a year-on-year decrease of 9.85%. The month-on-month growth rate is 15.51 percentage points lower than the national average, and the year-on-year growth rate is 26.25 percentage points lower than the national average [4][24]. - From January to August, Beijing's cumulative new car transactions reached 421,700 units, a year-on-year decline of 3.93%, which is 16.53 percentage points lower than the national average [4][24]. Imported Car Sales Situation - In August, Beijing's imported car transactions were 2,268 units, with a month-on-month decrease of 7.69% and a year-on-year decrease of 20.59% [8][11]. - From January to August, the cumulative transactions of imported cars in Beijing totaled 19,200 units, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 21.01% [8]. New Energy Vehicle Sales Situation - In August, Beijing's new energy vehicle transactions amounted to 36,700 units, with a month-on-month decrease of 7.17% but a year-on-year increase of 1.17%, accounting for 64.23% of total new car transactions [13][24]. - Cumulatively, from January to August, new energy vehicle transactions reached 250,500 units, a year-on-year increase of 16.21%, representing 59.04% of total new car transactions [13]. Used Car Transaction Situation - In August, Beijing's used car transactions totaled 54,300 units, with a month-on-month decrease of 11.15% and a year-on-year decrease of 2.1% [16][24]. - From January to August, the cumulative used car transactions were 438,800 units, remaining stable year-on-year [17]. Market Trends and Outlook - The decline in new car sales in July and August is attributed to a significant drop in new energy vehicle demand following the release of new purchase indicators in June. The sales of new energy vehicles in August fell to 36,700 units, a 19.51% decrease compared to June [24]. - The used car market in Beijing is also affected by strict security measures, leading to a decrease in external migration rates and transaction volumes. The average transaction price of used cars decreased by 817 yuan compared to July and by 8,398 yuan year-on-year [20][24]. - Looking ahead to September, despite initial impacts from national events, there is potential for a rebound in car purchases before the holiday, with expectations for an increase in both new and used car sales [24].
【二手车】2025年8月全国二手车市场深度分析
乘联分会· 2025-10-13 02:01
Market Overview - In August 2025, the national used car market saw a transaction volume of 1.7074 million units, with a month-on-month increase of 2.80% and a year-on-year increase of 9.02%, totaling a transaction value of 106.517 billion yuan [3] - From January to August 2025, the cumulative transaction volume reached 12.9384 million units, a year-on-year growth of 3.03%, with a total transaction value of 835.761 billion yuan [3] Weekly Analysis - From September 15 to 21, 2025, the average daily transaction volume in the used car market was 68,100 units, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.3% and a year-on-year increase of 5.6% compared to August [6] Segment Market Changes - In August 2025, the transaction volume for basic passenger cars was 953,000 units, with a month-on-month increase of 3.13% and a year-on-year increase of 6.88% [8] - The SUV segment saw 225,000 units sold, with a month-on-month increase of 3.49% and a year-on-year increase of 6.37% [8] - Commercial vehicles showed mixed results, with passenger cars down 0.86% month-on-month but up 11.84% year-on-year, while cargo vehicles increased by 1.88% month-on-month and 15.91% year-on-year [8] Price Analysis - In August 2025, the average transaction price of used cars was 62,400 yuan, down 1400 yuan from July and down 3200 yuan year-on-year [28] - The largest market share was for vehicles priced below 30,000 yuan, accounting for 29.7%, although this segment saw a month-on-month decline of 0.7 percentage points [25] Regional Performance - The used car market showed varied performance across six major regions, with only the North China region experiencing a slight decline, while the other regions saw growth, particularly in Central South and Southwest regions [26] - The East China region recorded a transaction volume of 477,300 units, up 2.79% month-on-month [26] New Energy Vehicle Market - In August 2025, the transaction volume for used new energy vehicles reached 148,400 units, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 3.9% and a year-on-year increase of 59.6% [32] - From January to August 2025, the cumulative transaction volume for new energy vehicles was 978,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 41.8% [32] Vehicle Age Analysis - In August 2025, vehicles aged 3-6 years accounted for the largest share of transactions at 42.36%, although this was a decrease of 1.33 percentage points from the previous month [19] - Vehicles aged over 10 years saw an increase in market share to 13.13%, up 0.64 percentage points month-on-month [19] Transfer Rate and Dealer Insights - The transfer rate for used cars in August was 30.85%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month and 1.8 percentage points year-on-year [47] - The top five provinces for transfer rates were Beijing, Zhejiang, Tianjin, Guangdong, and Jiangsu, with Beijing leading at 36.55% [51]
【新能源】2025年8月新能源汽车行业月报
乘联分会· 2025-10-13 02:01
Sales Performance - In August, the total passenger car sales reached 1.985 million units, a year-on-year increase of 0.7% and a month-on-month increase of 7.7% [4] - The new energy vehicle (NEV) market saw sales of approximately 1.096 million units, a year-on-year increase of 8.3% and a month-on-month increase of 12.4%, significantly outperforming the overall market [4] - NEVs accounted for 55.2% of total passenger car sales in August, an increase of 2.2% from the previous month and up 3.9% year-on-year [4] New Energy Market Performance - In August, pure electric vehicle sales were approximately 704,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 20.6% and a month-on-month increase of 15.3% [9] - Plug-in hybrid sales were about 393,000 units, showing a year-on-year decline of 8.4% but a month-on-month increase of 7.5% [9] - Cumulative NEV sales reached 7.347 million units by 2025, with a cumulative year-on-year increase of 24.0% [9] Top Cities for NEV Sales - The top 10 cities accounted for 26.0% of NEV sales, an increase of 0.5% from the previous month [10] - The top three cities for NEV sales were Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Chengdu, with Tianjin replacing Ningbo in the top ten [10] - NEV penetration rates in the top 10 cities exceeded 50%, with Shenzhen leading at 65.2%, followed by Wuhan at 64.8% and Chongqing at 63.4% [10] Pure Electric Market Analysis - The top three segments in the pure electric market were B-SUV (17.0%), A0 class (16.8%), and A00 class (13.0%) [15] - The B-SUV and D-SUV market shares increased by 2.0% and 1.4% respectively, while the A-SUV market share decreased by 2.3% [15] - The C-SUV market share expanded from 3.0% to 6.6% year-on-year, with other segments showing relatively minor changes [15] User Ownership Analysis - In August, personal users accounted for 86.8% of the pure electric market, a year-on-year increase of 27.2%, while unit users accounted for 5.8%, a year-on-year decline of 5.4% [16] - Cumulatively, personal users made up 85.6% of the pure electric market, while unit users accounted for 6.3% [16] Industry Dynamics - Significant events in the NEV sector included the expansion of electronic and electrical architecture technology cooperation between XPeng Motors and Volkswagen Group [20] - GAC Group launched the "Star Source Range Extender" technology, marking its return to the range extender market after over a decade [22] - Geely released the industry's first AI cockpit, indicating a shift towards AI-driven automotive technology [24] Policy and Industry Trends - The State Council issued opinions on the implementation of "Artificial Intelligence +" actions, promoting the integration of AI across various sectors, including the automotive industry [25][29] - The focus on smart connected vehicles and intelligent manufacturing is expected to drive the transformation of the automotive industry towards greater intelligence and connectivity [29]
【月度分析】2025年9月份全国乘用车市场分析
乘联分会· 2025-10-13 02:01
Overall Market Summary - In September 2025, the retail sales of passenger cars reached 2.241 million units, a year-on-year increase of 6.3% and a month-on-month increase of 11.0%. Cumulative retail sales for the year reached 17.005 million units, up 9.2% year-on-year [13][15][16] - The production of passenger cars in September was 2.838 million units, a year-on-year increase of 17.2% and a month-on-month increase of 15.7%. Cumulative production for the year was 20.78 million units, up 13.9% year-on-year [17][18] - The wholesale volume for September was 2.803 million units, marking a historical high for the month, with a year-on-year increase of 12.4% and a month-on-month increase of 13.0% [18] New Energy Market Summary - In September 2025, the production of new energy vehicles (NEVs) reached 1.501 million units, a year-on-year increase of 22.9% and a month-on-month increase of 17.5%. Cumulative production for the year was 10.376 million units, up 32.2% year-on-year [19] - The wholesale volume of NEVs in September was 1.500 million units, a year-on-year increase of 22.4% and a month-on-month increase of 15.9%. Cumulative wholesale for the year reached 10.444 million units, up 31.9% year-on-year [19] - The retail sales of NEVs in September were 1.296 million units, a year-on-year increase of 15.5% and a month-on-month increase of 16.2%. Cumulative retail for the year was 886.6 thousand units, up 24.4% year-on-year [19] Export Performance - In September, the export of passenger cars reached 528,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 20.7% and a month-on-month increase of 5.7%. Cumulative exports for the year were 3.999 million units, up 12.5% year-on-year [17] - NEVs accounted for 40.1% of total exports in September, a year-on-year increase of 15 percentage points. The export of NEVs reached 211,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 96.5% [24][17] Market Trends and Insights - The market is experiencing a shift towards stable pricing and reduced promotional activities, with 23 models seeing price cuts in September, compared to 36 last year [13][15] - The penetration rate of NEVs in the domestic market reached 57.8% in September, with a notable increase in the share of domestic brands [23][19] - The competitive landscape is evolving, with significant growth in domestic brands, particularly in the NEV segment, where brands like BYD and Geely are leading [27][26] Inventory and Production Dynamics - The overall industry inventory increased by 70,000 units in September, indicating a proactive approach by manufacturers to build inventory [19] - The production of luxury brands increased by 7% year-on-year, while domestic brands saw a 21% increase, reflecting strong demand [17][19] Future Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a "front low, middle high, back flat" trend, with a focus on new energy vehicles driving growth [15][29] - The upcoming months may see a more moderate growth rate due to seasonal factors and changes in consumer purchasing behavior [29][30]