// 市场要闻 // 1 、 10 月 15 日，国家统计局将公布 9 月 CPI 、 PPI 数据。除 CPI 、 PPI 外， 9 月新增 贷款、 M2 、社融等金融数据也即将公布。 2 、根据"十个工作日"原则，本轮调价窗口为 10 月 13 日 24 时。据金联创测算，截至 10 月 10 日第八个工作日，参考原油品种均价为 64.97 美元 / 桶，变化率为 -0.34% ，对应 的国内汽柴油零售价应下调 20 元 / 吨。 3 、由工业和信息化部、交通运输部、北京市人民政府共同主办的 2025 世界智能网联汽车 大会将于 10 月 16 日 -10 月 18 日在北京举办。大会将聚焦人工智能、信息通信、数据利 用、芯片等前沿科技在内的汽车产业应用创新，与全球多国海外政府机构相关负责人、专家 分享中国智能网联汽车产业领域的最新技术突破、产业趋势。 4 、北京时间周六早上 5 时 20 分左右开始， USDe 在某知名交易所的现货价格突然脱锚， 在之后的半个小时里最低跌至 0.65 美元。整场风波持续了近两个小时，期间多种主流货币的 封装代币同步暴跌，共同形成币圈历史级别的大爆仓。 在 CoinMar ...

Overview of M&A Market - In the first three quarters of 2025, China's M&A market disclosed 5,870 events, a slight increase of 0.51% year-on-year, with a total transaction value of approximately 1,498.1 billion RMB, representing a decrease of about 2.61% year-on-year [3][6]. Regional Distribution and Ranking - The most active region for M&A in the first three quarters of 2025 was Shanghai, with a transaction value of 385.9 billion RMB, down 43.98% year-on-year. Beijing followed with 289.5 billion RMB, down 52.96%, while Zhejiang saw an increase to 273.6 billion RMB, up 31.48% [6]. Industry Distribution and Ranking - The top three industries by M&A transaction value were: - Technology Hardware and Equipment: 195.8 billion RMB, up 176.29% year-on-year - Materials: 162.7 billion RMB, up 52.21% year-on-year - Capital Goods: 143.8 billion RMB, down 34.20% year-on-year [8]. M&A Method Distribution - The distribution of M&A methods showed that: - Agreement acquisitions led with a total of 710.3 billion RMB, accounting for 45.34% of the total - Capital increase acquisitions followed with 183.0 billion RMB, making up 11.68% - External absorption mergers ranked third with 159.7 billion RMB, representing 10.19% [10]. Purpose of M&A Distribution - The purposes of M&A transactions were categorized as follows: - Strategic cooperation: 261.4 billion RMB, 17.14% of total transaction value - Horizontal integration: 218.0 billion RMB, 14.29% - Asset adjustment: 108.9 billion RMB, 7.14% [13]. M&A Scale Distribution - The distribution of M&A transaction sizes indicated that: - Transactions between 1 billion and 10 billion RMB accounted for the highest proportion at 37.95% - Transactions exceeding 10 billion RMB accounted for 36.78% [14]. Top 10 M&A Transactions - The largest M&A transactions in the first three quarters of 2025 included: 1. Haiguang Information's absorption merger of 100% equity of Zhongke Shuguang for 1159.67 billion RMB 2. New Hope's subsidiary acquisition of 65.89% equity of New Hope Energy for 552.97 billion RMB 3. Dalian Wanda's sale of 48 Wanda Plazas for 500.00 billion RMB [18][19][21]. Financial Advisor Rankings - Based on the scale of M&A transactions, the top financial advisors were: 1. CICC: 2410.04 billion RMB 2. CITIC Securities: 2400.85 billion RMB 3. China Post Securities: 1163.67 billion RMB [31][32]. Legal and Accounting Firms Rankings - The leading law firms by transaction scale were: 1. Guofeng Law Firm: 791.90 billion RMB 2. Zhonglun Law Firm: 696.11 billion RMB 3. Jindu Law Firm: 340.18 billion RMB [37]. - The top accounting firms included: 1. Tianjian CPA: 974.93 billion RMB 2. Zhongxi CPA: 561.29 billion RMB 3. Lixin CPA: 505.50 billion RMB [40]. Asset Evaluation Institutions Rankings - The top asset evaluation institutions were: 1. Zhonglian Asset Evaluation: 1019.58 billion RMB 2. Zhongqi Hua Asset Evaluation: 974.05 billion RMB 3. Lixin Asset Evaluation: 588.25 billion RMB [43].

3 、有记者问：美东时间 10 月 10 日，美方宣布， 针对中方采取的稀土等相关物项出口管制，将对中方加征 100% 关税 ，并对所有关键软件实施出口管 制，请问商务部对此有何评论？ 答：中方注意到有关情况。 10 月 9 日，中方发布了关于稀土等相关物项的出口管制措施，这是中国政府依据法律法规，完善自身出口管制体系的正常行 为。中国作为负责任大国，始终坚定维护自身国家安全和国际共同安全，始终秉持公正、合理、非歧视的原则立场，审慎适度实施出口管制措施。 美方 有关表态是典型的"双重标准"。 长期以来，美方泛化国家安全，滥用出口管制，对华采取歧视性做法，对半导体设备、芯片等众多产品实施单边长臂管 辖措施。美方管制清单物项超过 3000 项，而中方出口管制清单物项仅 900 余项。美方使用出口管制最低含量规则由来已久，低至 0% 。美方相关举措严 重损害企业正当合法权益，严重冲击国际经贸秩序，严重破坏全球产供链安全稳定。 特别是 9 月中美马德里经贸会谈以来，短短 20 多天时间，美方持续新增出台一系列对华限制措施，将多家中国实体列入出口管制实体清单和特别指定国 民清单；通过穿透性规则任意扩大受管制企业范围，影 ...

Group 1 - The National Development and Reform Commission reported that the approval amount for real estate whitelist projects has exceeded 7 trillion yuan, indicating a growing scale in the existing housing market [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasized the need for innovation in specialized and innovative enterprises, particularly in the chemical sector, to enhance safety and promote digital transformation [3] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced a plan to deepen the integration of 5G and industrial internet, focusing on the construction of new information infrastructure [3] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China conducted a total of 11,370 billion yuan in reverse repurchase operations, achieving a net withdrawal of 4,263 billion yuan [3] - The Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area is projected to reach an economic total of 14.79 trillion yuan by 2024, positioning it among the top global economic and innovation centers [4] - The latest brokerage reports indicate a strong focus on technology sectors, particularly electronics and power equipment, as key investment areas for October [5] Group 3 - The automotive market saw a retail volume of 2.239 million units in September, with new energy vehicles accounting for 1.307 million units, reflecting a penetration rate of 58.5% [8] - Shenzhen is revising regulations to support the development of intelligent connected vehicles, allowing for fully unmanned testing scenarios [8] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology reported that China's computing power ranks second globally, with key technology developments in 5G-A and 6G [7] Group 4 - The third quarter saw a 9.3% year-on-year increase in the issuance of dim sum bonds, totaling 221.06 billion yuan, indicating a recovery in the offshore bond market [14] - The Guangdong provincial government plans to issue up to 7.5 billion yuan in offshore RMB local government bonds [14] - Country Garden is restructuring nine domestic bonds, with eight bondholder meetings approving the restructuring plan [14]

Group 1 - The scale of bank wealth management has increased, with "rights-containing" products gaining popularity. Currently, there are over 300 mixed and equity wealth management products available in the market. From the beginning of 2025 to now, 259 equity and mixed wealth management products have been issued, with a total scale of 72.7 billion yuan, compared to 217 products and 37.1 billion yuan in the same period last year. Analysts expect that the total scale of wealth management funds allocated to equity products will exceed 100 billion yuan in the second half of the year and throughout 2026 [2][3] - The real estate market in Shenzhen has shown significant recovery one month after the "9·5" policy was implemented. From September 6 to October 6, the number of new residential sales in Shenzhen reached 2,824 units, a year-on-year increase of 23.48%, while second-hand residential sales reached 3,699 units, up 32.63% year-on-year, indicating the gradual effectiveness of the policy [2][3] - China has implemented export controls on rare earths and other items, marking a significant step in its extraterritorial jurisdiction. The Ministry of Commerce announced export controls on relevant rare earth items and technologies, and included 14 foreign entities in an unreliable entity list. Additionally, several announcements were made regarding export controls on superhard materials, certain rare earth equipment, and lithium battery materials [2][3] Group 2 - Nearly 70 new funds are scheduled for issuance in October, with many managed by high-performing fund managers. The main types of new funds include active equity funds, index funds, and rights-containing bond funds, which are expected to bring continuous incremental capital to the equity market [4][5] - Following the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival, the issuance of new funds has reached a peak, with 23 funds launched on October 9 alone. This marks the final "decisive season" for fund managers in 2025 [4][5] - The Federal Reserve's September meeting minutes indicate a willingness among officials to further cut interest rates this year, although concerns about inflation have made some cautious. Most participants expect inflation to remain high in the short term before gradually returning to 2% [5] - The asset size of U.S. money market funds has reached a record high of 7.39 trillion U.S. dollars [5] Group 3 - In the past week, major global stock markets showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising slightly by 0.37%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and other indices recorded declines. The Hang Seng Index fell by 3.13% [6][8] - Recent trends in bond yields have shown mixed results, with the 1-year Chinese government bond yield rising slightly to 1.37%, while the 10-year U.S. government bond yield decreased to 4.05% [6][9] - The recent week saw a weak overall performance of the Wind Fund Index, with various fund indices, including equity and mixed funds, experiencing declines [6][10] Group 4 - In the commodity market, gold prices have shown a mixed trend, with COMEX gold rising by 3.24% while oil prices have continued to adjust, with ICE Brent crude oil falling by 3.78% [11][12] - UBS predicts a supply surplus in the global oil market of 1.2 million barrels per day in 2025, expanding to 1.5 million barrels per day in 2026, driven by OPEC+ production increases [18] - Goldman Sachs indicates that major global stock indices remain above key moving averages, with no clear signals of a shift towards risk aversion, suggesting continued buying interest in the market [18] - According to Zhongjin Company, short-term gold price increases may be driven by risk aversion, with expectations for gold prices to potentially exceed 4,500 U.S. dollars per ounce in early 2026 under neutral assumptions [19]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed resilience despite a divergence between growth and value styles, with the ChiNext index falling by 3.86% and the CSI 300 index rising by 0.37% [2] - The value style, represented by the CSI Dividend Index, performed well, increasing by 1.79%, indicating a preference for high dividend and low valuation stocks amid rising overseas uncertainties [2] - The average weekly increase for Wind's first-level industry was 0.15%, with 55% of sectors yielding positive returns, particularly in non-ferrous metals, coal, and steel, which rose by 4.44%, 4.41%, and 4.18% respectively [2] Fund Issuance and Performance - A total of 4 funds were issued last week, including 2 equity funds, 1 bond fund, and 1 FOF fund, with total issuance of 1.13 billion units [3][4] - The Wind All Fund Index decreased by 0.62%, with the ordinary equity fund index down by 1.58% and the mixed equity fund index down by 1.52% [3][7] Global Asset Review - Global equity markets experienced significant divergence, with major U.S. indices declining due to supply chain issues and government shutdowns, while Asian markets showed mixed results [4] - Gold prices reached a historical high, surpassing $4000 per ounce, while energy commodities showed weaker performance [4][5] Domestic Fund Market Review - The average weekly increase for Wind's first-level industry was 0.15%, with the public utility sector leading with a 3.69% increase, reflecting demand for stable cash flow and low valuation amid uncertainty [13] - The healthcare sector saw a decline of 1.21% for the week and 3.22% over the past month, attributed to internal sector differentiation and short-term sentiment [13] Bond Market Review - The bond market showed mixed performance, with long-term government bonds underperforming while mid-term bonds remained stable [15] - The 10-year government bond yield was recorded at 1.846%, reflecting a slight decrease of 1 basis point from the previous week [17]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant decline in the U.S. stock market due to heightened tensions in U.S.-China trade relations, ongoing government shutdown, and profit-taking in tech stocks, leading to a shift in market sentiment towards risk aversion [3][4] - On the same day, major global markets experienced sharp declines, with the Dow Jones falling nearly 2%, the S&P 500 dropping over 2.5%, and the Nasdaq decreasing by more than 3.5% [4] - Following the market downturn, a prominent domestic investor, Chen Xiaoqun, shared on social media that the maximum loss on Monday would be limited to 30 million, indicating a sense of relief amidst the turmoil [3]

Market Overview - The US stock market experienced significant declines, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping 878.82 points, a decrease of 1.9%, closing at 45,479.60 points. The S&P 500 fell by 2.71%, ending at 6,552.51 points, marking its largest single-day drop since April 10. The Nasdaq Composite plummeted 3.56%, closing at 22,204.43 points after reaching a historical high earlier in the day [1][3]. Factors Influencing Market Sentiment - Increased trade war risks and the ongoing US government shutdown have led to a rapid decline in global market risk sentiment, causing collective sell-offs in US and European markets. The Dow fell nearly 2%, the S&P 500 over 2.5%, and the Nasdaq more than 3.5%. European indices such as Germany's DAX and France's CAC40 also saw declines of approximately 1.5% [3][9]. Sector Performance - Technology stocks were the primary drivers of the market downturn, with significant losses in sectors such as semiconductors and electric vehicles. Many leading stocks in these sectors experienced declines between 5% and 8%. Concerns arose regarding the impact of global supply chain issues and slowing growth expectations in their sales markets [9][10]. Volatility and Investor Behavior - The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), often referred to as Wall Street's fear gauge, surged above 22, indicating heightened investor anxiety and a rush to purchase protective options against potential further declines. This spike in volatility reflects a shift in investor sentiment from optimism to caution, particularly in a high-valuation environment [9][10]. Economic and Political Context - The ongoing US government shutdown, now in its tenth day, has exacerbated market uncertainties. The Senate's failure to pass a temporary funding bill has raised concerns about its impact on economic growth in the fourth quarter. Analysts warn that prolonged political deadlock could undermine consumer and business confidence, affecting economic data releases and fiscal spending [10][11]. Weekly Market Performance - For the week, the S&P 500 fell by 2.4%, while the Nasdaq and Dow Jones recorded declines of 2.5% and 2.7%, respectively. The previous market support from corporate earnings and interest rate cut expectations has been overshadowed by emerging risks, prompting a shift towards defensive sectors and cash assets [11].

Open Market Operations - The central bank announced a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 409 billion yuan at a fixed rate of 1.40% on October 10, with a total bid amount of 409 billion yuan and a successful bid amount of 409 billion yuan [1] - On the same day, 600 billion yuan in reverse repos matured, resulting in a net withdrawal of 191 billion yuan [1] Funding Conditions - The interbank market saw continued easing, with overnight repurchase rates for deposit institutions dropping close to 1.30% [3] - The overnight quotes on the anonymous click (X-repo) system also fell to 1.3%, indicating ample supply [3] - Non-bank institutions faced a three-day actual borrowing period for overnight funds due to a weekend holiday, with the latest quotes remaining above 1.5% [3] - The latest overnight financing rate in the U.S. was reported at 4.12% [3] Interbank Certificates of Deposit - The latest transaction for one-year interbank certificates of deposit among major banks was around 1.66%, showing a slight decrease from the previous day [7] Government Bond Futures - The closing prices for government bond futures showed a decline: 30-year main contract down 0.49%, 10-year down 0.06%, 5-year down 0.09%, and 2-year down 0.05% [13] Recent Developments in Government Bonds - The issuance of special long-term government bonds is nearing completion, with a 50-year special bond issued on October 10 at a weighted average yield of 2.2977%, slightly higher than the previous day's closing yield of 2.2975% [14] - The yield on 30-year government bonds increased by approximately 1 basis point following the issuance [14] - The People's Bank of China reported that as of August 2025, the loan balance for Shanghai's "Five Major Articles" reached 4.8 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.7%, outpacing the growth rate of various loans by 6.6 percentage points [14] Regulatory and Market News - The former head of the China Securities Regulatory Commission's issuance review committee is under investigation for serious violations of duty [15] - Qualcomm is under investigation by China's market regulatory authority for failing to legally declare its acquisition of Autotalks, potentially violating antitrust laws [15] Global Macro Developments - Japan and the U.S. reaffirmed their commitment to trade agreements, with Japan's chief negotiator confirming ongoing discussions to strengthen economic ties [16] - Federal Reserve's Daly indicated that inflation is not as concerning as previously expected, with expectations for further rate cuts as part of risk management [16] - Bridgewater's founder Dalio warned about the rapid growth of U.S. government debt, likening the current atmosphere to the years leading up to World War II [16] Bond Market Highlights - The total amount raised by securities firms through bond issuance this year reached 1.27 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 80.22% [18] - New home sales in major cities like Beijing and Shenzhen saw a year-on-year increase at the start of October, indicating structural differentiation in the real estate market [18] - Japan's Ministry of Finance plans to auction 4.3 trillion yen in short-term government bonds on October 17 [18] - Japan's 5-year government bond yield reached 1.24%, the highest since July 2008 [18]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market has shown a strong upward trend in Q3 2025, with the Hang Seng Index rising approximately 33.88% year-to-date, and the Hang Seng Tech Index leading with a nearly 45% increase, indicating sustained investor interest in technology innovation companies [1] - The primary equity financing market in Hong Kong has performed robustly, with total equity financing (including IPOs and refinancing) reaching HKD 414.8 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, a significant increase of 253.30% compared to HKD 117.4 billion in the same period last year [1] Group 1: Equity Financing Overview - The total equity financing in the Hong Kong primary market for the first three quarters of 2025 reached HKD 414.8 billion, more than doubling from HKD 117.4 billion in the same period last year, with a growth rate of 253.30% [4] - The IPO financing scale was HKD 186.2 billion, up 233.97% from HKD 55.8 billion year-on-year [21] - The placement financing scale saw a remarkable increase, raising HKD 218.2 billion, a growth of 541.01% compared to the previous year [4] Group 2: Financing Methods Distribution - In the first three quarters of 2025, the IPO fundraising amount was HKD 186.2 billion, accounting for 44.89% of total fundraising; placement raised HKD 218.2 billion, making up 52.61% [8][11] - Rights issues raised HKD 58.15 billion, representing 1.40%, while consideration issues and public offerings raised HKD 22.86 billion and HKD 22.77 billion, each accounting for 0.55% [8][11] Group 3: Industry Distribution of Financing - The top three industries in terms of fundraising amounts were hardware equipment (HKD 634 billion), pharmaceuticals and biotechnology (HKD 603 billion), and automotive and parts (HKD 570 billion) [12] - The pharmaceutical industry led in the number of financing events with 49 occurrences, followed by software services with 42 and non-bank financials with 36 [15] Group 4: IPO Trends - The number of IPOs in Hong Kong for the first three quarters of 2025 was 68, an increase of 51.11% from 45 in the same period last year [18] - The total amount raised through IPOs was HKD 186.2 billion, significantly up from HKD 55.8 billion year-on-year [21] - The highest fundraising industry for IPOs was electrical equipment, raising HKD 436 billion, followed by non-ferrous metals at HKD 357 billion and pharmaceuticals at HKD 200 billion [25] Group 5: Refinancing Trends - Total refinancing raised HKD 2,285.73 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, a substantial increase of 270.77% from HKD 616.48 billion in the previous year [38] - The hardware equipment sector led refinancing amounts at HKD 507 billion, primarily from Xiaomi Group's placement of HKD 426 billion [42] - The pharmaceutical sector had the highest number of refinancing projects with 38, followed by software services with 37 [45] Group 6: Institutional Rankings - CICC topped the IPO sponsorship scale with HKD 328.13 billion, followed by CITIC Securities (HK) at HKD 242.40 billion and Morgan Stanley at HKD 221.44 billion [52] - Goldman Sachs led in refinancing underwriting with HKD 308.84 billion, followed by CICC at HKD 226.69 billion and CITIC Securities (HK) at HKD 195.35 billion [66]