中泰证券资管
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金融破段子 | 一买就下跌,别总自嘲倒霉
中泰证券资管· 2025-05-19 10:19
Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in gold prices represents a significant market fluctuation, with international gold prices dropping nearly 10% from a high of $3500 per ounce, leading to a similar trend in domestic gold jewelry prices [2][4]. Group 1: Market Behavior - The phenomenon of buying gold and experiencing immediate losses is common, reflecting the unpredictable nature of investments, whether in gold, stocks, or funds [2][4]. - Historical data shows that gold prices have experienced extreme volatility, with significant increases and decreases over decades, indicating that price fluctuations are a normal part of investment [5]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - The concept of diversification in investment is emphasized, suggesting that investors should not concentrate their assets in one area, but rather understand the logic behind new asset classes before investing [8]. - Investors are encouraged to prepare for potential losses by considering various scenarios before making purchases, which can help in maintaining discipline and avoiding emotional decision-making [11].
反洗钱|宣传短剧:保护自己 远离洗钱
中泰证券资管· 2025-05-16 09:19
2025年5月15日是第十六个全国公安机关打击和防范经济犯罪宣传日。中国人民银行上海总部联合上海市 公安局经侦总队、招商银行上海分行共同制作了反洗钱宣传短剧,提醒广大市民朋友防范洗钱风险,远离 洗钱犯罪,守护好自己的"钱袋子"。 来源:中国人民银行上海总部 持有人新福利! 参与投票本季心动好书,即可抽 超千元的墨水屏阅读器、姜诚同款阅读支架、读书 月卡、实体书 等悦读好礼,扫码即可直达 ...
直播实录 | 新消费崛起,旧消费还好吗?
中泰证券资管· 2025-05-16 09:19
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rise of new consumption trends in China, particularly among younger consumers, and contrasts them with traditional consumption patterns, emphasizing the sustainability and structural nature of these new demands [3][4][6]. Group 1: New Consumption Trends - New consumption trends, represented by products like blind boxes and cultural creative goods, are rapidly gaining popularity among younger consumers, indicating a shift in consumer behavior [3][4]. - The demand for new consumption is driven by both functional and emotional value, with consumers seeking products that enhance their quality of life and provide emotional satisfaction [5][6]. - The current economic environment has led to a structural change in consumer demand, where consumers are willing to pay more for products that offer higher functionality and emotional value [6][7]. Group 2: Traditional Consumption - Traditional consumption categories such as liquor, food, and household appliances continue to have stable demand due to their essential nature, although their growth may slow down as market saturation occurs [7][8]. - The value provided by traditional consumption remains significant, even if the growth rate declines, as consumers' expectations for a better quality of life persist [7][8]. - Traditional brands can learn from new consumption trends to better engage with younger consumers and adapt their marketing strategies [9][10]. Group 3: Sustainability of Consumption Trends - The sustainability of new consumption trends is supported by historical patterns, where similar trends have emerged in the past, indicating a long-term demand for collectible and emotionally resonant products [6][8]. - The success of new consumption products often depends on their social attributes and the ability to create a strong brand connection with consumers, which can lead to sustained growth [10][11]. - The potential for cross-generational appeal exists if the products maintain their relevance and adapt to changing consumer preferences over time [11][12]. Group 4: Mergers and Acquisitions in Consumer Brands - Mergers and acquisitions can enhance competitive strength in the consumer sector, especially in a stable market where companies seek new growth avenues [18][19]. - Successful acquisitions depend on the long-term profitability of the acquired business and the ability to integrate resources without compromising existing operations [20][21]. - The strategic alignment of acquired brands with the parent company's goals can lead to sustained growth and market expansion [19][21].
中泰资管天团 | 程冰:低波“固收+”回撤目标的设定依据与干预机制
中泰证券资管· 2025-05-15 08:32
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that "fixed income +" products do not necessarily have larger drawdowns compared to pure bond products, highlighting the importance of asset allocation and risk management in achieving long-term returns above average fixed income yields [2][3]. Group 1: Product Performance - The Zhongtai Shuangli Bond A share has achieved a net value growth rate of 9.97% since its establishment on September 27, 2022, outperforming the benchmark yield of 5.93% [3]. - The maximum drawdown for the A share of Zhongtai Shuangli Bond is 0.66%, which is significantly better than the maximum drawdowns of the mixed bond secondary index (4.25%), pure bond fund index (1.31%), and short-term bond fund index (0.89%) [3]. Group 2: Risk Management Strategy - The company employs a dynamic management approach for drawdown control, where the underlying fixed income provides a safety cushion, and risk exposure is adjusted based on risk budget assessments [5]. - The strategy includes preemptive interventions, allowing for some tolerance during initial drawdowns, but increasing the weight of risk evaluation once thresholds are triggered [5]. Group 3: Investment Philosophy - The investment strategy focuses on increasing positions only when market conditions are favorable and maintaining low positions when opportunities are unclear, often keeping high elastic positions at very low levels (0% or 1%) [5][6]. - The company prioritizes protecting clients' risk-return objectives, emphasizing a disciplined approach to investment that considers potential losses before gains [6]. Group 4: New Product Offering - The Zhongtai Shuangxin Six-Month Holding Bond is currently being issued, designed with a six-month holding period to reduce daily redemption impacts and stabilize fund size, allowing for a more focused execution of medium to long-term investment strategies [6].
基本功 | 债基也能买期货?
中泰证券资管· 2025-05-15 08:32
Group 1 - The core idea emphasizes the importance of foundational knowledge in investing and selecting the right funds, suggesting that solid basic skills are essential for successful investment in funds [2] Group 2 - Certain bond funds can invest in government bond futures, which are futures contracts based on government bonds, highlighting a diversification opportunity within bond investments [3]
李迅雷专栏 | 这轮中美关税战可能只是中美之争的起始点
中泰证券资管· 2025-05-14 11:23
但自特朗普1月20日再次当选总统后,他就迫不及待对中国加征关税,2月1日,特朗普宣布对华加征关 税,税率为10%。到了3月份,特朗普继续对中国商品征税,税率又追加了10%。到了4月2日,借全面对 等关税之名,又向中国加征34%的关税,即在上任不到三个月内,累计加征了54%关税。 与上一轮贸易纷争不同的是,这次美方完全是在没有与中方事先沟通的情况下连续对中国加征关税,其加 征关税的理由也显得荒唐可笑。在中国迅速反制之后,美国对中国加征的关税又一路飙升,从84%、 125%到145%。 2018年的中美关税之争,官方从未用"贸易战"这一词,而是 用贸易摩擦或贸易纷争 来描述。但在4月25日 的政治局会议上,首次把中美贸易冲突定性为 "国际经贸斗争" ,既然上升到斗争的高度,那就意味着已 经做好最坏打算了。四月末,我国商务部明确表示,若美方希望重新进行谈判,必须首先取消所有单边关 税。 不过,5月2日商务部新闻发言人就中美经贸对话磋商情况答记者问时回答说,"中方注意到美方高层多次 表态,表示愿与中方就关税问题进行谈判。同时,美方近期通过相关方面多次主动向中方传递信息,希望 与中方谈起来。对此,中方正在进行评估。" ...
基本功 | 养老目标基金有什么不一样?
中泰证券资管· 2025-05-13 09:39
Group 1 - The core concept of the article emphasizes the importance of foundational knowledge in investing, particularly in mutual funds, to facilitate easier entry into investment activities [2] - The article introduces pension target funds, which are specifically designed for retirement financial planning and are characterized by the inclusion of "pension target" in their names [3] - Pension target funds operate in a fund-of-funds (FOF) format, with over 80% of their assets invested in other funds, catering to retirement needs [3]
读研报 | 银发经济的“含金量”
中泰证券资管· 2025-05-13 09:39
近期有几个与银发经济相关的数据,引起了小编的关注: 事实上,当我们以产业发展的角度来切入老龄化时代,不难发现相关产业内涵的不断延展和新空间。 国家统计局于2021年公布的《养老产业统计分类(2020)》将养老产业范围确定为:养老照护服务、老年 医疗卫生服务、老年健康促进与社会参与、老年社会保障、养老教育培训和人力资源服务、养老金融服 务、养老科技和智慧养老服务、养老公共管理、其他养老服务、老年用品及相关产品制造、老年用品及相 关产品销售和租赁、养老设施建设等12个大类,并进一步细分成51个中类和79个小类。 没错,讨论、关注以及掘金银发经济的人,越来越多了。 除了老龄人口基数变大这一点,这一年龄段人口的财富积累也是其备受关注的重要原因。中国人民银行发 布的《2019年中国城镇居民家庭资产负债情况调查》显示,如果按户主年龄分类,2019年我国56-64岁和 65岁以上群体家庭总资产分别达到约355.4万元和288.0万元,相较于青年群体拥有更多的财富积累,也为 市场进一步发掘其消费潜力奠定了基石。 一是去哪儿发布的《史上最火五一出游报告》显示,"五一"期间,55岁至60岁用户的酒店预订增幅同比达 到了43%,在 ...
股债双驱,中泰双鑫6个月持有债券如何“金”彩三连?
中泰证券资管· 2025-05-12 00:50
Core Viewpoint - The fund adopts a "fixed income +" strategy with an equity position of 0-20%, aiming for low volatility and long-term stable returns that exceed the benchmark [1][5]. Group 1: Fund Strategy and Structure - The fund focuses on high-quality bonds, primarily credit bonds and long-term government bonds, while also incorporating high-potential equity assets to enhance returns [2][10]. - A six-month holding period is established, allowing for trading on any business day, which balances the advantages of closed operations with liquidity needs [3][4]. Group 2: Performance Metrics - The fund's A share net value growth rate is 9.97% since its inception on September 27, 2022, outperforming the benchmark return of 5.93% [5][20]. - The fund has achieved a maximum drawdown of only 0.66%, significantly better than the mixed bond index (4.25%) and pure bond index (1.31%) [5][6]. Group 3: Management Team - The fund employs a dual fund manager approach, emphasizing strict risk control to ensure stability and profitability for investors [10][14]. - The management team has extensive experience in large fund management and absolute return strategies [12][13]. Group 4: Company Background - Founded in 2014, the asset management company has gained recognition from over 10.12 million users by prioritizing the interests of its investors [15].