来源："中国人民银行上海总部"公众号 PARESS 第二条 反洗钱是指为了预防通过各种方式掩 饰、隐瞒犯罪所得及其收益的来源、性质 的洗钱活动,依照本法规定采取相关措施 的行为。 黑社会性质的 组织犯罪 毒品犯罪 恐怖活动犯罪 走私犯罪 吸止金融复理 贪污贿赂犯罪 秩序犯罪 金融诈骗犯罪 其他犯罪 4不可 景则和要求 第三条 大常委会第十二次会议表决通过了最新 修订的《中华人民共和国反洗钱法》, 自2025年1月1日起施行。 新《反洗钱法》是中央金融工作会议 之后修订出台的第一部金融领域法律,其 颁布实施标志着中国反洗钱事业发展进入 了一个新的历史阶段,具有里程碑意义。 让我们一同深入了解新《反洗钱法》。 贯彻落实党和国家路线方针政策、 决策部署,坚持总体国家安全观,完善监 督管理体制机制,健全风险防控体系。 第四条 反洗钱工作应当依法进行,确保反洗 钱措施与洗钱风险相适应,保障正常金融 服务和资金流转顺利进行,维护单位和个 人的合法权益。 警告 FEBI 第五条 中国人民银行负责全国的反洗钱监督 管理工作。国务院有关部门在各自职责范 围内履行反洗钱监督管理职责。各有关部 门应当相互配合。 中国人民银行 国务 ...

以下文章来源于中泰资管好朋友 ，作者文/中泰证券资管 中泰证券资管持有人官方服务号。关注我，查最全账户收益；读最新基金经理投研笔记；享最低申购费 率；领用心季度好礼。 朋友们，重磅消息准时送达，第四季度的"快乐加贝"好礼已经上新！从入睡好物到健康监测，开启秋日养 生第一步……快来领取本季贝壳，兑换心仪好物。 本季上新 抱「蛋」入睡更安心 天天都有蛋午睡毯 01 软fufu的鸡蛋造型，专治各种不开心 一物两用：展开是毯子，收起是抱枕 无论今天收蛋与否，先来个美美的午觉 睡眠稳定，更有精力应对投资起伏哦~ 一「秤」在手，新「脂」肚明 小米体脂秤S400 02 花几秒时间，和自己的健康打招呼~ 体重、体脂、肌肉量等多项指标一目了然 多种称重模式，一秤多用更省心 定期"称重"，才能科学管理 03 中泰资管好朋友 . 04 周卡任选，想看就看 热门视听会员周卡 腾讯、芒果、QQ音乐等会员周卡上线 仅需1个贝壳，精准卡点追剧 宅家嗨起来，烦恼请走开 给生活和投资都加点松弛感~ 「友」手好牌，「牌」忧解难 05 「基本功」定制扑克牌 咖啡碰杯，快乐起飞 随身电动咖啡杯 保温杯大小，内置电动研磨系统 咖啡豆现磨现泡，告别速溶 ...

> 中泰证券资产管理 基本功的基,就是基金的基。 做好投资、买对基金, 从夯实投资基金的基本功开始。 1分钟GET一个知识点, 起步更轻松。 如何大致判断 债基的流动性风险? 主要从资产变现难度、持 有人集中度及历史表现综 合等来看。 看持仓,利率债的变现能力通常好于信用债,高等级 债的流动性好于低等级债,另外,久期较长的债券变 扫码进入基本功专栏 本材料不构成投资建议，观点具有时效性。本公司承诺以诚实信用、勤勉尽责的原则管理和运用基金资产，但不 保证基金一定盈利，也不保证最低收益。投资有风险，基金过往业绩不代表其未来表现。基金管理人管理的基金 的业绩不构成对其他基金业绩表现的保证。投资者投资基金时应认真阅读基金的基金合同、招募说明书、基金产 品资料概要等法律文件。基金管理人提醒投资者基金投资的"买者自负"原则，请投资者根据自身的风险承受能力 选择适合自己的基金产品。基金有风险，投资须谨慎。 ...

刚入行做投研工作时，我的一位师友就教导过我， "投研的起点不是当下市场的主流观点，而是生意本 身。" 起初我觉得这句话非常生涩，因为在当时的我看来，投研的起点难道不应该是哪些行业和个股在风 口上、马上要涨吗？ 历经几轮周期洗礼后，我现在对这句话的理解有所加深。做投研，是要致力于去寻找那些能够买入并且长 期持有的公司，自己在晚上依然可以踏实安睡；与此同时，频繁跟踪和判断市场上的即时"信息"并非必选 项。如果借用段永平的说法"只买未来十年后依然强大的公司"，这个目标的出发点就是研究商业模式（生 意本身），想清楚公司赚的是什么钱、辛苦不辛苦、持续不持续， 商业模式甚至可以说是筛选公司的第 一标准。 很多时候，我们经常会粗浅地认为，因为规模经济性的存在，一家公司会随着其规模增长变得越来越强， 毕竟规模增长会带来单位平均成本的降低。但有的时候，一家公司随着规模增长仅仅是变大了而没有变 强。 过往的投研经历让我们 对增长需要不停开店的生意都保持相对谨慎 。例如一些生意可以线下开到过万家 店，单店模型依然优异，但线性外推需要谨慎，因为前期会有规模效应、品牌势能等，但越过最小规模经 济性后，开店密度、管理半径都可能遇到瓶颈， ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential for a style shift in the A-share market in the fourth quarter, based on historical trends and market dynamics [2][4]. Group 1: Historical Trends and Market Behavior - Historical data indicates that there is often a noticeable style shift from Q3 to Q4, with sectors that performed well in Q3 typically underperforming in Q4 [2][4]. - A report from Dongwu Securities highlights that from 2010 to 2024, industries that ranked high in Q3 often see a decline in their rankings in Q4, with sectors like banking and home appliances showing a high excess return probability of 60% [2][4]. Group 2: Institutional Behavior and Market Dynamics - The fourth quarter is crucial for institutions as they aim to lock in profits and avoid ranking volatility, leading to potential profit-taking in previously high-performing sectors [4]. - The current market is characterized by a high degree of structural divergence, which may trigger a style shift as institutions adjust their strategies [4][5]. Group 3: Credit Cycle and Growth Trends - Historical patterns suggest that credit cycles last between 11 to 23 months, with the current credit cycle showing signs of recovery, which may favor technology and growth sectors in Q4 [7]. - Reports indicate that since 2010, technology earnings and credit cycles have been closely aligned, suggesting that a recovery in credit could benefit growth stocks [7][8]. Group 4: Investment Strategies and Market Outlook - The article emphasizes the importance of maintaining a growth-oriented investment strategy, as historical cycles show that growth sectors tend to outperform during recovery phases [8]. - Factors that typically catalyze a shift from growth to value include strong economic recovery or significant policy stimulus, but current conditions suggest limited potential for such shifts, favoring growth styles instead [8].

Group 1 - The core idea emphasizes the importance of foundational knowledge in investment and fund selection, suggesting that solid fundamentals are crucial for successful investing [2] Group 2 - The article discusses how index sample adjustments can impact individual stock prices, highlighting that changes in component stocks may amplify short-term volatility [3] - It explains that when component stocks are adjusted, index funds typically modify their weights to minimize tracking error, which affects the stocks being added to the index [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the concept of "avoiding bull markets" through personal experiences in real estate investment, emphasizing the importance of cautious decision-making and understanding one's risk tolerance in the context of market fluctuations [2][4][5]. Group 1: Real Estate Market Insights - In 2019, the real estate market was booming, with a prevailing belief that property prices in major cities would continue to rise indefinitely [4]. - The author initially considered leveraging more debt to improve living conditions and investment returns but was persuaded to adopt a more cautious approach [5]. - The decision to focus solely on residential improvement rather than investment speculation led to a lower loan-to-value ratio, reducing financial pressure during market fluctuations [8]. Group 2: Behavioral Insights on Investment - Human nature tends to foster overly optimistic future predictions during bullish market conditions, often overlooking potential risks associated with high asset prices [8]. - Investors are prone to follow popular opinions without critical analysis, as seen in the widespread belief that property prices would always increase [8]. - Making decisions based on what is understandable and manageable can mitigate the impact of unexpected negative events, such as job loss or salary reduction [10]. Group 3: Investment Strategy Considerations - The article highlights the importance of focusing on long-term market averages rather than short-term gains, suggesting that ordinary investors should prioritize understanding their risk tolerance and investment goals [11]. - It emphasizes that successful investing is not a race, and individuals should concentrate on their own financial well-being rather than comparing themselves to others [11].

Core Viewpoint - The white liquor market is experiencing a shift from being a social tool to becoming a "lifestyle companion," with mid-to-high-end liquor consumption increasingly focused on self-enjoyment rather than social occasions [3][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The consumption structure of white liquor is changing, with traditional dining and self-drinking scenarios gaining share, aligning with the "self-enjoyment" trend [4]. - High-end liquor prices have recently decreased due to a decline in social demand and increased supply, allowing brands to cater to a broader customer base [5]. - The core social function of high-end liquor remains intact, but the proportion of self-enjoyment is expected to gradually increase from 10-20% [5][6]. Group 2: Brand and Consumer Behavior - White liquor's competitive edge lies in brand recognition and consumer loyalty rather than product iteration, as emotional value in social settings is paramount [6][7]. - High-end liquor brands maintain a significant portion of their sales from business banquets (60-70%), with gifting and collection also contributing [8][9]. - Regional brand strength influences consumption patterns, with local brands often having higher gifting ratios in their core markets [9][10]. Group 3: Pricing and Economic Factors - The pricing of white liquor is cyclical, influenced by economic conditions and supply strategies, with premium brands likely to maintain scarcity to enhance brand value [11][12]. - The trend of lower alcohol content in liquor is unlikely to transform it into a mass-market beverage like cola, as the consumer experience and value proposition differ significantly [11][12]. Group 4: Sales Channels and Trends - Instant retail services are impacting the distribution of mid-to-low-end liquor, while high-end liquor remains less affected due to authenticity concerns [15][16]. - The importance of the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day as peak seasons for liquor sales is declining, with a shift towards experiences over gatherings [18][19].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of solid foundational knowledge in investment and fund selection to enhance investment success [2] Group 2 - The article discusses the significant volatility in the bond market, which can amplify liquidity risks, potentially triggering a downward spiral in bond funds due to concentrated redemptions by investors seeking to lock in profits or cut losses [3]

Core Viewpoint - The overall market sentiment has significantly improved, with the market moving from a "neutral to slightly positive" state to a "significantly positive" range, indicating increased trading activity and investor confidence [4] Market Risk Assessment - The Zhongtai Asset Management risk system score for the stock market is 62.77, an increase from 59.65 last month, surpassing last year's highest score of 61.33 [2] - The valuation of the CSI 300 index has slightly risen to 61.90 from 59.68 last month, marking five consecutive months of upward movement in overall market valuation [2] - The market expectation score has dropped significantly to 50.00 from 60.00 last month, reflecting concerns over macroeconomic data and policy implementation [2] Sector Performance - Among the 28 Shenwan first-level industries, sectors such as steel, electronics, real estate, and defense have valuations above the historical 60th percentile, with real estate driven by fluctuating policy expectations [2] - The agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector remains below the historical 10th percentile in valuation [2] Economic Indicators - August economic data shows a continued weak trend, with industrial output growth at 5.2% (down from 5.7%), retail sales growth at 3.4% (down from 3.7%), and fixed asset investment growth at 0.5% (down from 1.6%) [8] - The "anti-involution" policy is impacting production and investment, suggesting a potential overhang effect on data [8] Liquidity and Financing - In August, the social financing scale increased by 25,693 billion yuan, a decrease of 4,630 billion yuan year-on-year, while new RMB loans amounted to 5,900 billion yuan, down by 3,100 billion yuan year-on-year [9] - The M1 and M2 money supply growth rates were 6% and 8.8%, respectively, both exceeding market expectations [9] - The bond market remains stable under a loose liquidity environment, with the ten-year government bond yield around 1.8% and the thirty-year yield at 2.2% [9]