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演员已就位,美联储大戏马上开战
美股研究社· 2025-09-17 11:07
C o o k 获 准 留 任 但 投 票 立 场 成 谜 来源 | 华尔街大事件 在美联储本周关键利率决议前夕,两项人事变动为高度紧张的市场增添了戏剧性。 据央视报道,当地时间9月15日,美国哥伦比亚特区联邦上诉法院驳回了美国司法部的紧急申请,维持了下级法院暂时阻止特朗普撤换Lisa Cook的禁令。 这意味着Cook将能够参加本周的美联储会议。 几乎在同一时间,据央视新闻,参议院以48票对47票的微弱优势,通过了对Stephen Miran出任美联储理事会成员的提名。在共和党的快速推动 下,Miran预计将于周二上午履新,可能也正好赶上本周的美联储会议。 白宫支持的候选人成功入主美联储理事会,而一位面临总统解雇压力的现任理事则通过法庭裁决保住了投票权,这使得一场关于央行独立性的 政治角力,直接延伸到了联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)的决策桌上,让本已备受关注的利率决议更添变数。 虽然市场普遍预期美联储将降息25个基点,但两位立场截然不同的投票委员的加入,让最终结果变得难以预测。 甚至有分析认为,FOMC可能出现罕见的"四方混战"局面,对市场预期构成重大挑战。 Cook的留任为此次会议增添了最大的不确定性。上 ...
谷歌市值突破3万亿!重大利好力推股价大涨
美股研究社· 2025-09-17 11:07
Core Viewpoint - Alphabet's market capitalization has surpassed $3 trillion for the first time, making it the fourth company globally to reach this milestone, driven by a significant stock price increase and positive developments in its business operations [3][5]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Alphabet's stock price has increased by 32% this year, outperforming the broader market's 12.5% gain [5]. - The resolution of the antitrust case against Google has alleviated major risks, contributing to the stock price surge [5][9]. Group 2: Business Transformation - Alphabet has evolved from being solely an advertising-driven company to an "AI-native multi-business platform," leveraging AI technologies across various sectors [6]. - The Gemini model enhances search efficiency and advertising effectiveness, while also serving as a foundational capability for Google Cloud applications, thereby strengthening the company's competitive edge [6]. Group 3: Diversification and Resilience - Google's revenue streams are diversifying, with Workspace becoming essential for B2B clients and YouTube adapting to the short video trend through Shorts, which helps maintain user engagement and monetization [6]. - The company has demonstrated stronger cyclical resilience compared to its past reliance on advertising, leading investors to assign a higher "certainty premium" to its stock [7]. Group 4: Antitrust Case Resolution - The recent resolution of the antitrust case has allowed Google to retain its core assets, such as Chrome and Android, which are crucial for user access and revenue generation [11]. - These platforms are integral to Google's long-term cash flow and market position, providing stability amid competitive pressures [11]. Group 5: Market Landscape - Alphabet joins Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia in the $3 trillion market cap club, highlighting the competitive landscape among tech giants [13][16]. - The performance of these companies is closely tied to advancements in AI and large models, with Nvidia emerging as a key player due to its strategic position in the AI hardware market [16][17].
利好出尽?华尔街警告:美联储降息恐使美股涨势“熄火”!
美股研究社· 2025-09-16 12:48
以下文章来源于金十财经 ,作者金十小金 金十财经 . 每日8点,为您呈上金融投资行业的国际动态、财经数据和市场观察。 来源 | 金十财经 华尔街顶级策略师表示,在美联储本周降息后,创纪录的美国股市涨势有暂时后继乏力的风险。 来自摩根士丹利、摩根大通和奥本海默资产管理公司的策略师警告称, 随着投资者转而关注潜在的经济放缓,更为谨慎的基调可能会取代看涨 的情绪。 对美联储放松政策的预期,为标普500指数提供了近期的主要推动力,该指数目前已接近历史高点。然而,人们越来越担心,周四25个基点的降 息,将不足以解决正在放缓的美国劳动力市场问题。投资者也仍在试图衡量关税对通胀的影响,而通胀率仍高于美联储2%的目标。 摩根士丹利的迈克尔·威尔逊(Michael Wilson)说," 短期风险集中在滞后的、疲软的劳动力数据与美联储可能无法满足市场'大幅降息需求'的 紧张关系上。 " 这些警告与对美国股市更广泛的看涨情绪相悖。在大型科技股的带动下,标普500指数今年已上涨12%。包括德意志银行和巴克莱银行在内的一 批策略师本月已上调了他们对标普500指数的年终目标,理由是强劲的企业盈利和围绕人工智能的热议。 奥本海默资产管理公 ...
Adobe:接住这把掉落的刀
美股研究社· 2025-09-16 12:48
Core Viewpoint - Adobe reported strong quarterly performance with revenue growth of 11% year-over-year, reaching $5.99 billion, exceeding Wall Street expectations by $80 million [1] - Non-GAAP EPS increased by 14% to $5.31, surpassing analyst estimates by $0.13 [1] - Free cash flow was $2.126 billion, an 8% year-over-year increase [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The total number of outstanding shares decreased by approximately 5% year-over-year due to active stock buybacks, resulting in a 14% increase in free cash flow per share [2] - Operating cash flow reached $2.2 billion, marking a record high for the third quarter [2] - Digital media segment revenue rose to $4.46 billion, accounting for 74% of total revenue, driven by strong demand for AI products like Creative Cloud Pro and Acrobat [4] Group 2: AI Integration and Product Development - Adobe continues to integrate AI into products such as Photoshop, Premiere Pro, and Illustrator, enhancing features in the Firefly application [5] - Firefly's monthly active users grew by 30%, with millions of downloads since its launch, and a 20% increase in users subscribing through Firefly [7] - The company is leveraging third-party AI models to enhance its offerings, allowing users to select suitable models within Adobe applications [5] Group 3: Market Position and Future Outlook - Digital experience business revenue reached a record high of $1.48 billion, with subscription revenue hitting $1.37 billion, an 11% year-over-year increase [10] - Management's initial forecast for AI product annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $25 million for FY 2025 was exceeded in Q3 2025 [14] - Adobe's current valuation is considered low, with a forward P/E ratio of approximately 15 and a free cash flow yield of about 6.5% [14] Group 4: Competitive Landscape and Strategic Partnerships - Adobe has not faced significant market share loss or major issues in AI commercialization, indicating a strong competitive position [11] - The company is expanding partnerships with firms like Accenture, IBM, and Infosys, with a 60% year-over-year increase in cross-cloud transactions [15] - Over 40% of the top 50 enterprise accounts have doubled their ARR spending since the start of FY 2023 [15]
AI日报丨斩获英伟达63亿美元大单!CoreWeave股价飙升近8%
美股研究社· 2025-09-16 12:48
Group 1 - The article discusses the rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) technology and its potential opportunities in the market [3] - Elon Musk plans to evaluate the design of Tesla's AI5 chip and will hold meetings regarding AI, the Optimus humanoid robot, and vehicle production [5] - Swiss institutions have launched an open-source large language model named Apertus, which contrasts with the proprietary models from major US companies [5] Group 2 - CoreWeave, a cloud service provider, has secured a significant order from NVIDIA valued at over $6.3 billion, leading to a 7.60% increase in its stock price [6][7] - Alphabet has reached a market capitalization of $3 trillion, becoming the fourth US company to achieve this milestone, driven by positive news and a favorable court ruling [11] - Google's cloud business has seen a surge in demand, with remaining performance obligations exceeding $106 billion, and its AI chatbot Gemini has surpassed ChatGPT in app downloads [12]
超微电脑:推动数据中心竞赛的隐藏人工智能工厂
美股研究社· 2025-09-16 12:48
Core Viewpoint - The company is positioned as a key player in the AI infrastructure market, leveraging the new Nvidia Blackwell Ultra GPU architecture to drive significant revenue growth and operational scalability [1][3][25]. Group 1: Product and Technology - The company is launching its next-generation AI systems based on Nvidia's Blackwell Ultra GPU architecture, which is crucial for large-scale deployment [1]. - The company is currently providing cutting-edge AI supercomputers, including Nvidia HGX B300 servers and GB300 NVL72 rack solutions, to global customers [2]. - The systems based on Blackwell Ultra show a performance improvement of 7.5 times compared to the previous Hopper systems, presenting new hardware upgrade opportunities for major AI cloud providers [3]. Group 2: Financial Performance - The management anticipates sales for the fiscal year 2026 to reach at least $33 billion, a 50% increase from $22 billion in fiscal year 2025 [3][12]. - The company reported fourth-quarter net sales of $5.8 billion, an 8% year-over-year increase, but slightly below the market expectation of $6 billion [7]. - Adjusted earnings per share were $0.41, slightly below expectations, with a gross margin of 9.5%, lower than the analyst forecast of around 10% [9]. Group 3: Market Position and Valuation - Despite strong revenue expansion, the company's stock price fell over 16% following the fourth-quarter earnings report due to market overreaction to retrospective data [6][7]. - The company's valuation appears reasonable, with a non-GAAP forward P/E ratio of 17.24, which is 29% lower than its peers, indicating that the market has not fully reflected the expected revenue growth of over 50% this year [15]. - The EV/Sales ratio is projected to be 0.8 for the future, significantly lower than the industry median of 3.6, suggesting a compelling valuation despite the stock price increase [17]. Group 4: Operational Challenges - The fourth-quarter performance was impacted by operational constraints, including insufficient inventory and components to meet demand [9][10]. - The company raised $2.7 billion through convertible bonds to support the surge in demand, highlighting the depth of its order pipeline [9]. - The company faces competitive pricing pressure from Dell and HPE in the AI server market, which has led to a decline in gross margin [22][23]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The company reaffirmed its revenue guidance for fiscal year 2026, expecting at least $33 billion, which is higher than the previous profit forecast of $30 billion [12][26]. - The impressive revenue expectations for the upcoming quarter indicate that previously delayed orders are finally being shipped [11]. - The current entry point for investment appears attractive given the ongoing shipment of Blackwell systems and the company's strong long-term fundamentals [19].
马斯克真金白银表态:斥资10亿美元增持股份,特斯拉抹平年内跌幅
美股研究社· 2025-09-16 12:48
来源 | 华尔街见闻 特斯拉CEO马斯克以约10亿美元的真金白银增持公司股份,向市场传递出强烈的信心信号。公司股价进一步走高,抹平今年内跌幅。 根据周一披露的美国证券交易委员会(SEC)文件,马斯克于上周进行了一系列交易, 以每股371至396美元的价格购入了约257万股特斯拉股 票,总价值约10亿美元。 这是自2020年2月他以约1000万美元购入股票以来,首次在公开市场进行大规模增持。 市场对此反应迅速且积极。文件披露后, 特斯拉股价在周一盘前交易中一度飙升超过8%,触及428美元水平, 推动公司市值猛增约1000亿美 元。有分析指出,此轮上涨帮助该股在技术上实现了突破。 到本周一收盘,特斯拉股价已抹平今年初以来跌幅,较去年末累涨约1.5%,较4月8日的今年内收盘低位累计大反弹近85%。 据一些市场观察人士称,在这次增持的推动下,特斯拉股价突破了"上升三角形"的技术形态。 马斯克并未掩饰其增持股份的战略意图。他曾长期公开表示, 希望持有特斯拉至少20%的股份, 以确保在公司向人工智能和机器人领域转型的 关键时期,能够有效抵御激进投资者或潜在的收购威胁。 此次增持是他实现这一目标的重要一步。就在上月,特斯拉 ...
属于博通的机会来了
美股研究社· 2025-09-15 11:12
Core Viewpoint - Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO) is benefiting from the rapid growth of artificial intelligence (AI), although there are concerns about its ability to maintain such growth rates as the market may have already priced in these factors [1][2]. Group 1: Growth Potential - Analysts believe that Broadcom's growth will continue due to opportunities presented by XPU and its ecosystem, suggesting that current earnings per share forecasts are overly conservative, indicating that the company is undervalued [2]. - 99.9% of internet traffic passes through a Broadcom chip, showcasing its significant competitive advantage, which is difficult for competitors to replicate [4]. - Broadcom's semiconductor revenue grew by 26% year-over-year, while its software division saw a 17% growth rate, leading to an overall sales increase of 22% [9]. Group 2: Competitive Position - Broadcom's understanding of customer pain points in AI infrastructure allows it to provide significant value, particularly in low latency and low-cost solutions [6]. - The integration with VMware is seen as successful, creating more recurring revenue and opportunities to offer a complete software and hardware suite for AI and cloud computing [9]. - Collaborations with leading AI companies like OpenAI enhance Broadcom's position in the market, allowing it to reduce dependency on competitors like NVIDIA and AMD [9]. Group 3: Financial Health - Broadcom's cash increased by 15% to $10.718 billion, while long-term debt decreased by 5% to $62.83 billion, indicating a healthier balance sheet [12]. - The company's trailing twelve months (TTM) net profit reached $18.9 billion, suggesting an acceptable debt and liquidity ratio [12]. - The company is well-prepared for future investments or acquisitions, especially with its CEO's commitment to remain until at least 2030 [13]. Group 4: Market Valuation - Broadcom's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is currently at 92, significantly higher than its five-year average of 56, reflecting market confidence in its growth potential [18]. - Earnings per share growth rates are expected to be significantly above average, with projections of 38%, 36%, and 28% for the next three fiscal years [15]. - If Broadcom captures market share from NVIDIA and AMD, it could become a key player in the AI sector, continuing its strong growth trajectory [16].
20只独角兽、34亿美金,黄仁勋投出一个“AI帝国”
美股研究社· 2025-09-15 11:12
以下文章来源于创业邦 ,作者薛皓皓 创业邦 . 创业邦,国际创新生态服务平台。我们致力于打造全球化的创业生态,深度服务创新经济及其推动者,并为创业者提供一站式解决方案。 来源 | 创业邦 英伟达已成为当今 AI 时代的基石,而它对初创公司的投资,预示着它对未来十年构建英伟达的大生态的野心。 从 2000 年开始,英伟达就开始进行股权投资。起初,它以收并购为主, 2005 年前后并购了 3Dfx Interactive 、 MediaQ 、 Portalplayer 等公 司。后来,它就按照 风险 投资的方式,进行投资。截 至 目前,它已参与了 200 余项投资,投出了 20 只独角兽。 自 2023 年起,英伟达在一级市场 出手 越发频繁,从 2022 年 20 起左右的投资,上升到 2023 年末大约 50 起。此后的时间,英伟达保持着大 约一年 50~60 起的投资节奏。该时期,英伟达的通用 GPU 成为 AI 的关键基础设施,同时也是英伟达的股价受 AI 催化而翻倍增长的时候。 从投资标的发展阶段而言,英伟达横跨了从种子轮到 D 轮、 E 轮、 F 轮,甚至并购的不同企业发展阶段。 这些投资大多围绕着 ...
AI日报丨英伟达,被进一步调查!盘前股价直线下挫
美股研究社· 2025-09-15 11:12
整理 | 美股研究社 在这个快速 变 化的 时代, 人工 智能技术正以前所未有的速度发展,带来了广泛的机会 。 《AI 日 报 》致力于挖掘和分析最新的AI概念股公司和市场趋势,为您提供深度的行 业 洞察和 价 值 分析。 A I 快 报 值得一提的是,不只在中国,AI芯片巨头英伟达在全球范围内已收到多张反垄断"黄牌"警告。 今年2月,英伟达披露法国、欧盟等国家地区反垄断监管机构要求其提供有关GPU销售和分配供 应的信息。今年6月,法国竞争监管机构在一份关于生成式AI领域竞争的报告提到,芯片供应商 存在滥用市场主导地位的风险。一个月后,该机构证实正在调查英伟达涉嫌的反竞争行为。另据 外媒报道,美国司法部也在考虑提前介入调查英伟达。 七 巨 头 日 报 【据报道,苹果人工智能高管计划下个月离职】 据彭博社报道,苹果公司(纳斯达克股票代码:AAPL )人工智能高管之一罗比·沃克(Robby Walker)计划下个月离职。 沃克领导着苹果的解答、知识和信息团队,这些团队隶属于苹果的人工智能和机器学习部门。他 自2013年以来一直在苹果工作,当时这家总部位于库比蒂诺的公司收购了他的初创公司Cue,该 公司开发了一款个 ...