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日本就业冰河期:一代年轻人被冻结的青春
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-19 09:14
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses Japan's "Employment Ice Age Generation" and the government's newly launched support program aimed at individuals aged 45-54 who graduated between 1993 and 2004 but have not secured stable employment. This initiative highlights a long-standing social issue that has been largely overlooked for nearly two decades [4]. Group 1: Employment Trends - The "Employment Ice Age Generation" refers to those who entered the job market after the economic bubble burst in Japan, facing significant recruitment cuts and a shift in employment practices [4][6]. - From 1992 to 2000, the regular employment rate for new university graduates in Japan dropped from 74.3% to 55.1%, while non-regular employment rose from 12.6% to 31.8% [5]. - The average recruitment numbers for new graduates in large companies decreased by approximately 40% between 1993 and 2000, leading to a competitive job market where the ratio of job seekers to available positions reached 40:1 in 2003 [8][10]. Group 2: Societal Impact - The inability to secure stable employment has delayed social milestones such as marriage and home ownership, with marriage rates for men born in 1975 dropping to 58% compared to 72% for those born in 1970 [12]. - The average annual income for non-regular employees from the 1993-2004 graduating cohort was only 58% of that of regular employees, perpetuating long-term inequality [10]. - The psychological impact of prolonged unemployment has led to increased rates of depression and suicide among young adults, with economic issues cited as a primary cause [15]. Group 3: Government Response - The Japanese government has only recently acknowledged the systemic issues faced by the "Employment Ice Age Generation," with the 2023 support program being a delayed response to their struggles [14][19]. - Despite the introduction of training and employment subsidies, experts suggest that older non-regular employees will still face challenges competing for new job opportunities against younger candidates [14][19]. - The current labor market dynamics, where companies are now competing for new graduates, are a direct consequence of the sacrifices made by the previous generation, which has led to a labor shortage [18].
看完“宝妈自学中医”,华佗都哭了
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-19 02:36
以下文章来源于那个NG ,作者黄瓜汽水 那个NG . 用关注决定视界|复杂世界的策展人 出品 | 虎嗅青年文化组 作者 | 黄瓜汽水 编辑、题图 | 渣渣郡 本文首发于虎嗅年轻内容公众号"那個NG"(ID:huxiu4youth)。在这里,我们呈现当下年轻人的面貌、故事 和态度。 最近两年,互联网出现了一群诡异的神人。 他们痴迷于古法养生,《黄帝内经》是他们的圣经,倪海厦是他们的精神领袖。 这些被称作"米油神教"的神奇宝妈们,为大家贡献了不少地狱笑话:1岁小孩喝米油不喝奶粉,6岁小孩不吃肉 蛋奶发育迟缓,全家人把中药汤子当水喝。 凭借一群宝妈胡来的"俺寻思之力",中医现在处于"濒临失传"和"宝妈自学"的量子叠加态。 目前,最新版本的医学天梯图,"宝妈自学中医"以碾压级姿态傲视群雄。 哪怕你是正规医学院校的医学生,在这群神人面前,也要俯首称臣。 毕竟医学生在实验室顶多拿小鼠做试验,但宝妈们可是献祭亲生骨肉的身体健康,推动民间野生中医的发展。 其中,传播度最广的案例,是一位山东地区的短视频素人博主,坚持不懈地曝光家里自学中医的妻子有多么走 火入魔。 作为仅有初中学历的宝妈,妻子在中医自学上展示出极高的造诣。 亲生 ...
一双围剿乡村老年人的智能鞋
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-19 02:36
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rise of a controversial product called "某力宝," a so-called smart shoe marketed primarily to elderly individuals, highlighting its questionable health claims and the business model resembling a pyramid scheme [5][14][31]. Group 1: Product Overview - "某力宝" shoes are marketed as smart footwear with claims of health benefits, including features like bioelectricity and 5G chips, priced starting at 398 yuan [5][11]. - The product has gained traction in lower-tier markets, particularly among middle-aged and elderly individuals, with over 100 people pooling 5 million yuan to open stores [5][10]. Group 2: Business Model - The business model involves individuals becoming shareholders by purchasing a minimum number of shoes, with higher investments leading to greater profit margins [10][11]. - Earnings are derived from two main sources: selling shoes directly and recruiting others to buy in, creating a multi-level marketing structure [11][12]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The elderly shoe retail market in China has expanded significantly, surpassing 800 billion yuan in 2023, accounting for about 17% of the entire industry [16]. - Established brands like 足力健 and 回力 are also entering the elderly shoe market, indicating a competitive landscape [17]. Group 4: Marketing Strategies - The marketing strategies employed by "某力宝" differ from traditional shoe retailers, focusing on high-pressure sales tactics and creating a sense of urgency among potential buyers [20][21]. - The product's perceived value is enhanced through demonstrations of its supposed technological features, despite evidence suggesting these claims may be exaggerated or misleading [21][24]. Group 5: Consumer Behavior - Many elderly consumers are drawn to the product due to its purported health benefits and the allure of becoming part of a business opportunity, often influenced by family and friends [27][29]. - The article highlights the psychological manipulation involved, where consumers are led to believe in the product's efficacy through repeated exposure to marketing messages [33]. Group 6: Regulatory and Ethical Concerns - The article raises concerns about the ethical implications of the business model, likening it to a pyramid scheme, where profits are primarily generated through recruitment rather than actual product sales [14][31]. - The company behind "某力宝" has changed its name multiple times to evade scrutiny, indicating potential fraudulent practices [31][32].
如果我死了,请不要用Sora复活我
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-19 02:36
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ethical implications and societal reactions to AI-generated videos that resurrect deceased public figures, highlighting the controversy surrounding the Sora App's capabilities and the emotional distress it causes to the families of the deceased [4][10][22]. Group 1: AI Technology and Its Impact - The Sora App has gained popularity for creating humorous and often inappropriate videos featuring deceased individuals, leading to a surge in downloads, surpassing 1 million in less than five days [8]. - OpenAI's policy initially allowed the creation of videos featuring deceased public figures, which has raised significant ethical concerns and backlash from families [27][28]. Group 2: Public Reactions and Ethical Concerns - Family members of deceased celebrities, such as Zelda Williams and Bernice King, have publicly condemned the use of AI to create videos of their loved ones, calling it disrespectful and harmful [10][15]. - The article emphasizes that the digital legacy of individuals should not be exploited for entertainment, likening the unauthorized use of their likenesses to "digital grave robbing" [22][27]. Group 3: Future Considerations for AI and Digital Assets - The article raises questions about the management of digital assets and the potential for misuse in an era where AI can easily fabricate identities and scenarios [21][31]. - OpenAI has begun to respond to the concerns by allowing representatives of recently deceased public figures to request the cessation of their likenesses in AI-generated content, indicating a shift towards more ethical practices [28][29].
在县城当老师,没那么吃香了
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-18 13:05
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the changing landscape of teaching jobs in rural areas, particularly in Wanian County, Jiangxi Province, where the once stable and respected profession of teaching is facing significant challenges due to declining student populations and shifting educational policies [4][16][23]. Summary by Sections Teacher Employment Situation - Yang Xiao, a former teacher, faced uncertainty after her school was merged due to insufficient student enrollment, leading her to take on tutoring while awaiting a teaching position in the county [5][6]. - Wanian County has seen a drastic decline in birth rates, with the number of newborns dropping from 7,934 in 2008 to 2,478 in 2024, resulting in a surplus of teachers as student numbers decrease [6][25]. - Other counties in Jiangxi have also reported no plans for teacher recruitment due to similar trends, indicating a broader issue across the region [6][7]. Changing Perception of Teaching - Teaching was once viewed as a stable and respectable career, often referred to as a "iron rice bowl," but this perception is changing as job security diminishes [9][15][23]. - Teachers like Li Lin and Hu Qun express concerns about job stability and the pressures of adapting to new roles as schools consolidate and student numbers dwindle [15][20][24]. Declining Student Enrollment - Wanian County's educational landscape is shrinking, with the number of schools decreasing from 153 in 2022 to 113 in 2024, reflecting a significant reduction in student enrollment [18][19]. - The county's education department anticipates a yearly decline of over 4,000 students, leading to an annual surplus of approximately 230 teachers [25][26]. Financial Pressures - The county's education budget has decreased significantly, with a total revenue budget of 98.54 million yuan in 2025, down by 54.25 million yuan from the previous year, indicating financial constraints impacting teacher employment [26]. - The combination of declining student numbers and financial pressures is leading to a reduction in teaching positions, further complicating the job market for educators [27]. Future Outlook - Experts suggest that the current educational management system, which is primarily county-based, is inadequate for addressing the rapid changes in student populations and teacher needs [27]. - There is a call for dynamic teacher allocation systems to better respond to demographic shifts, ensuring that teacher resources are effectively utilized [27][30].
星巴克中国股权出售进入倒计时
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-18 13:05
Core Viewpoint - Starbucks is in the final stages of selling a majority stake in its China business, with private equity giants Carlyle and local firm Boyu Capital as leading bidders, potentially valuing the business at around $4 billion, excluding ongoing franchise fees [2][4]. Group 1: Strategic Motives for Sale - The sale aims to generate over $5 billion in cash for Starbucks' global headquarters, which can be used for debt repayment, stock buybacks, or investments in other markets [4]. - The funds will be directly injected into Starbucks China for store expansion, digital transformation, and product development, enhancing its competitive position against local rivals like Luckin Coffee [4]. Group 2: Benefits of Local Partnerships - Both Carlyle and Boyu can provide valuable resources in government relations, store location, and supply chain management, which are crucial for foreign companies operating in China [5]. - Involving local shareholders will shorten decision-making processes, allowing Starbucks to respond more swiftly to market changes and develop a "Chinese brain" for operations [5][6]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Starbucks faces intense competition from Luckin Coffee, which has a significantly larger store network, making it more convenient for consumers [14]. - The pricing strategy of competitors like Kudai Coffee, which offers lower prices, poses a threat to Starbucks' premium pricing model [16]. Group 4: Transaction Structure - The deal structure allows Starbucks to retain up to 49% ownership, providing a balance of risk and control [9]. - This structure enables Starbucks to continue benefiting from growth in the Chinese market while maintaining brand integrity and operational standards [11][12]. Group 5: Challenges and Future Outlook - The sale represents a gamble for Starbucks; success could lead to a new growth trajectory in China, while failure may result in cultural clashes and brand dilution [18]. - The new capital infusion is expected to accelerate Starbucks China's expansion, intensifying competition in the coffee market [18][19].
老板被抓、强制退市,600亿水果帝国崩了
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-18 13:05
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rise and fall of Hong Jiu Fruit, highlighting the lessons that can be learned from its rapid decline after a brief period of success in the consumer industry [4][6]. Group 1: The Rise of Hong Jiu Fruit - Hong Jiu Fruit was once celebrated as "China's first fruit stock," achieving a market value of 60 billion HKD and dominating the durian market with a 10% share in 2022 [8][9]. - The company reported a revenue of 15.08 billion CNY and a net profit of 1.452 billion CNY in 2022, with a staggering year-on-year profit increase of 405% [8]. Group 2: The Downfall of Hong Jiu Fruit - In March 2024, the company was suspended from trading due to the inability to disclose its 2023 financial report, leading to an indefinite suspension [9]. - The audit firm KPMG resigned, revealing that 34.2 billion CNY in prepayments were made to newly registered shell companies, raising significant red flags about the company's financial practices [9][10]. - By October 2025, Hong Jiu Fruit was officially delisted from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with a low chance of successful appeal [10]. Group 3: Common Pitfalls in the Consumer Industry - The article identifies several pitfalls that consumer brands may encounter, including: - A "self-destructive" cash flow model, where the company relied on prepayments to suppliers while offering extended payment terms to retailers, leading to a cumulative cash outflow of 4.06 billion CNY from 2019 to 2022 [14][16]. - Family governance leading to a lack of oversight, where key positions were filled by relatives, allowing for unchecked financial decisions [17][18]. - Misjudging consumer trends, as the company continued to focus on high-end imported fruits while the market shifted towards more affordable options, resulting in unsustainable pricing strategies [22][23]. Group 4: Lessons for Consumer Brands - The article concludes with actionable advice for consumer brands: - Prioritize cash flow management over scale, conducting regular cash flow pressure tests to avoid financial crises [32][33]. - Break away from family governance structures by introducing external oversight and professional management to ensure accountability [34]. - Stay attuned to consumer trends through regular market analysis and consumer research to adapt to changing preferences [35]. - The overarching message emphasizes that success in the consumer industry requires a focus on product quality, cash flow management, effective governance, and maintaining trust [36][37].
独家|我们与淘宝闪购管理层聊了聊增长的持续性问题
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-18 09:48
Core Insights - The article discusses the significant growth brought by Taobao Flash Sales to the e-commerce market, highlighting its daily order volume of 80 million and a monthly active buyer count of 300 million [2][3] - The sustainability of this growth is a focal point, with emphasis on user scale and purchase frequency as key dimensions [6][7] Group 1: Growth Sustainability - Taobao Flash Sales has rapidly expanded in the instant retail and food delivery sectors, leveraging Alibaba's ecosystem and financial investments [6] - The growth engine may face a "half-life" period, similar to past trends seen in Meituan's community group buying and Alibaba's own Taote, where growth rates may slow as market penetration increases [6][7] Group 2: User Engagement and Cross-Selling - The strategy involves promoting cross-purchases between "far-field" and "near-field" services, with significant growth in cross-selling and repurchase rates observed in recent months [6][7] - Future innovations in product offerings are expected to further enhance user consumption habits and drive engagement [6] Group 3: Business Integration and Synergy - Alibaba is shifting its focus from merely tracking where orders originate to a holistic view of business performance across different platforms [7] - The integration of services like "88VIP" and the Taobao membership system aims to connect various business forms to meet diverse consumer needs [7][8] Group 4: Future Investments and Market Positioning - Taobao Flash Sales plans to increase investments in food delivery and instant retail, with a focus on onboarding traditional e-commerce brands [8] - The introduction of a "4-hour delivery" solution is expected to enhance service offerings, positioning Taobao Flash Sales as a key player in the instant delivery market [8] Group 5: Profitability and Market Dynamics - While overall growth may be strong, Taobao Flash Sales' profitability may remain stable unless integrated with in-store and travel services [9] - The focus for Taobao Flash Sales will likely remain on expanding user scale and purchase frequency rather than immediate profit [9]
吉利战略收缩,李书福的儿子也不能例外
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-18 09:48
Core Viewpoint - The sudden dissolution of "Yixing Robotics," a company founded by Li Xingxing, son of Geely's chairman Li Shufu, raises questions about the strategic direction of Geely and its focus on other ventures like Qianli Technology, which is now seen as the primary vehicle for Geely's ambitions in AI and robotics [4][5][6]. Group 1: Company Overview - Yixing Robotics was established with significant backing, including a few hundred million yuan in seed funding and a strong technical team, but it disbanded within six months of its inception [4][6][12]. - The company had received multiple orders and was perceived to be progressing well in terms of technology and commercialization before its abrupt closure [4][12][14]. Group 2: Strategic Implications - Geely's broader strategy appears to be consolidating its resources and focusing on Qianli Technology, which is positioned as the future leader in AI and robotics, rather than supporting multiple ventures like Yixing Robotics [5][17]. - The dissolution of Yixing Robotics is seen as part of Geely's "One Geely" strategy, which aims to streamline operations and integrate various brands and technologies under a unified framework [17][18]. Group 3: Employee Impact - Employees of Yixing Robotics are left with uncertainty, facing challenges in securing their compensation and dealing with the fallout from the company's closure [10][11][12]. - The technical team, which included many experienced professionals, is now exploring new opportunities, with some considering starting their own ventures [7][21]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Despite the setback of Yixing Robotics, the industry is still viewed as having potential, with ongoing interest in embodied intelligence and its applications in real-world scenarios [20][21]. - The experience gained by the team at Yixing Robotics may contribute to future innovations in the field, as they continue to pursue their ambitions in embodied intelligence [21].
杨振宁先生留给世界的四条“底层代码”
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-18 09:48
Core Viewpoint - The article reflects on the life and contributions of Yang Zhenning, emphasizing his profound impact on modern physics and the lessons his work offers to the business world, particularly in terms of foundational research, collaboration, talent strategy, and long-term vision [12][24]. Group 1: Foundational Research - Yang Zhenning's significant contributions, such as the Yang-Mills theory and the concept of parity violation, highlight the importance of foundational research in creating deep competitive advantages for businesses [14][15]. - The article argues that true, sustainable competitive advantages often stem from invisible foundational theories rather than visible products, urging companies to invest in long-term basic research [15][16]. Group 2: Collaborative Innovation - The collaborative nature of Yang Zhenning's achievements, including his partnerships with other prominent scientists, illustrates the necessity of creating environments that foster collective innovation [16][17]. - Businesses are encouraged to design organizational structures that promote collaboration and allow diverse experts to engage freely, thus enhancing innovation potential [17][18]. Group 3: Talent Strategy - The concept of parity violation serves as a metaphor for breaking conventional norms in talent acquisition, suggesting that organizations should adopt non-traditional strategies to attract top talent [18][20]. - Yang Zhenning's return to China symbolizes a shift in the global talent landscape, indicating that organizations must be open to diverse backgrounds and unconventional paths to attract exceptional talent [19][20]. Group 4: Long-term Vision - Yang Zhenning's life choices reflect a strategic long-term vision, emphasizing the importance of aligning personal and organizational goals with broader societal progress [21][22]. - The article advocates for businesses to adopt a long-term perspective, focusing on enduring value creation rather than short-term financial gains, as exemplified by successful companies like Amazon and Microsoft [23][24].