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924行情一周年:你成了别人口中的“老登”吗?
雪球· 2025-10-07 04:13
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant market differentiation observed over the past year, particularly between technology stocks and traditional consumer sectors, highlighting the struggles of investors who have remained committed to consumer stocks while technology stocks have soared [3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The article reflects on the drastic changes in market performance since the "924行情," where many investors saw substantial gains in technology stocks, while those invested in consumer sectors faced losses [3][4]. - A detailed ETF performance table shows that traditional sectors like liquor and coal have negative returns, while technology-related ETFs have seen significant gains, with some like the AI-focused ETFs achieving over 60% returns [6][7]. Group 2: Investment Sentiment - The terms "老登" (Old Deng) and "小登" (Young Deng) are introduced to describe traditional investors versus those embracing technology, illustrating the generational and strategic divide in investment approaches [4][5]. - The article draws parallels between current market sentiments and historical events, such as the dot-com bubble, where traditional value investors faced criticism for their cautious strategies while technology stocks surged [8][22]. Group 3: Long-term Investment Perspective - The article emphasizes the cyclical nature of markets, suggesting that patience and a long-term view are essential for investors holding undervalued assets, as market dynamics will eventually shift [24][26]. - It encourages investors to remain steadfast in their strategies, likening investment to a marathon where the true value of companies will be reflected in their stock prices over time [26].
投资,不急,才更有乐趣
雪球· 2025-10-07 04:13
以下文章来源于终身黑白 ,作者终身黑白投资感悟 终身黑白 . 畅销书《行稳致远,价值投资的底层逻辑》作者,雪球网2024年十大影响力用户,聊聊投资和人生,适 度分散 长期持有 选优秀的企业 做时间的朋友 1 、愿三月有耕耘,九月有惊讶 今天是国庆节,先祝大家国庆快乐,假期就好好休息,优秀的企业不用我们天天费心,他自己会 照顾好自己。 什么时候你发现自己持有的企业一周,一月不看,你也并不着急,那么证明你选对了企业,选到 了确实是自己认可的那些企业,也找对了方法,能基于长期价值。 昨天的雪球文章下收到这样一篇评论 来源:雪球 《皮囊》里有句话: 有人说生命始于40岁,也有人说是50岁。其实都不对,生命应该始于你不再 取悦围观者的那一天。 ↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 风险提示:本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见,所涉及标的不作推荐,据此买卖,风险自负。 作者:终身黑白 确实啊,不知不觉我们都走过了艰难的阶段,获得了不错的收获。 "愿三月有耕耘,九月有惊讶",这是《岁月里的话》这首歌的一句歌词。 初看歌词,可能有些不理解,如果说有惊讶的收成需要祝愿。那么,播种有什么好祝愿的,这不 是应该做的事吗?没见过哪个农 ...
史诗级合作!AMD暴涨24%,一夜市值飙升千亿!openAI零成本入股AMD!英伟达要慌了?AI资本链疯狂闭环!
雪球· 2025-10-07 04:13
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant partnership between OpenAI and AMD, which is expected to generate substantial revenue for AMD and challenge NVIDIA in the AI accelerator market. The collaboration involves a unique "equity-for-purchase" structure that binds AMD's hardware sales to OpenAI's GPU deployment, creating a symbiotic relationship between the two companies [5][6][11]. Group 1: Partnership Details - OpenAI has entered a four-year agreement with AMD to procure a total of 6 gigawatts (GW) of AMD Instinct series GPUs, with the first 1 GW to be delivered in the second half of 2026 [5][8]. - As part of the deal, AMD will issue up to 160 million stock warrants to OpenAI at an exercise price of $0.01, contingent on GPU deployment progress and AMD's stock performance [8][10]. - This structure is unprecedented in the semiconductor industry, allowing OpenAI to potentially become a 10% shareholder in AMD while ensuring AMD retains governance rights [9][10]. Group 2: Financial Implications - The agreement is projected to bring hundreds of billions in revenue to AMD, marking a significant challenge to NVIDIA in the AI accelerator market [6][11]. - If AMD's stock price reaches $600, the value of OpenAI's stake could approach $96 billion, nearly equivalent to the total hardware value involved in the agreement [11]. - The partnership is seen as a win-win strategy, combining the strengths of both companies to advance AI infrastructure globally [11]. Group 3: Market Reactions - Following the announcement of the partnership, AMD's stock surged by 23.71%, marking its largest single-day gain since 2016, while NVIDIA and Broadcom saw declines in their stock prices [2][12]. - The article notes a broader market phenomenon where companies associated with OpenAI experience stock price increases, termed the "OpenAI golden finger effect" [27]. Group 4: Broader Industry Context - The collaboration is part of a larger trend where companies like NVIDIA, AMD, and OpenAI are engaging in a strategic race to build AI infrastructure, driven by national interests in AI capabilities [16][18]. - The innovative financing model of "equity-for-purchase" is seen as a potential template for future collaborations between AI companies and chip manufacturers, especially for those with less capital [19].
摩根斯坦利首席Laura Wang:外资眼中,中国真正的“核心资产”不是茅台,而是它们
雪球· 2025-10-06 13:00
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the current market rally is driven by fundamental performance rather than liquidity, indicating a shift from a "liquidity bull market" to a "performance bull market" [6][7][22] - The "Earnings Revision Breadth" for the MSCI China Index turned positive in August, signaling that the number of companies with upward earnings revisions exceeds those with downward revisions, marking a recovery in corporate profitability [8][27] - The sectors showing strong performance include technology, internet, finance, and biotechnology, while traditional sectors like consumer goods and real estate are facing downward revisions in earnings expectations [10][11][12][31] Group 2 - The importance of selecting the right sectors is emphasized, with a recommendation to focus on "hot" sectors while avoiding "cold" ones, as the market is experiencing significant internal differentiation [9][10][12] - AI is not viewed as a bubble; instead, leading companies in this space are considered undervalued compared to their U.S. counterparts, presenting a significant investment opportunity [14][15][16] - Global investor interest in the Chinese stock market is rising, particularly among U.S. investors, with over 90% expressing plans to increase their exposure to Chinese stocks [17][18][33] Group 3 - The market dynamics are changing, moving towards a more structured market that requires deeper understanding and insight into specific industries rather than relying on macroeconomic trends [21][22] - Investors are encouraged to focus on companies with strong competitive advantages and the potential for growth, particularly in sectors like AI, automation, and biotechnology [19][20][24] - The upcoming consumption data from the Golden Week holiday and the 14th Five-Year Plan meeting are seen as potential catalysts for market movement [35][36]
2025国庆黄金周——文旅消费见闻
雪球· 2025-10-06 05:44
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the cultural significance and economic impact of the Qingming Riverside Landscape Garden in Kaifeng, emphasizing the role of government-issued consumption vouchers in enhancing visitor experience and promoting local tourism [27][29]. Group 1: Cultural Experience - The Qingming Riverside Landscape Garden offers a vivid recreation of Song Dynasty life, attracting visitors with its immersive experiences, such as traditional performances and historical reenactments [9][19]. - The atmosphere in the garden transforms from day to night, creating a vibrant scene filled with lights and cultural activities, enhancing the overall visitor experience [11][17]. Group 2: Economic Impact - The introduction of "Golden Autumn Consumption Vouchers" significantly reduces costs for visitors, allowing them to save nearly 200 yuan during their visit, which encourages spending and participation in various activities [27]. - The model of "government subsidies + merchant discounts + visitor benefits" effectively promotes cultural consumption, making it a more enjoyable and less burdensome experience for tourists [27]. Group 3: Visitor Engagement - The article notes that the garden's popularity is reflected in the high visitor numbers, with the peak daily entry surpassing 20,000 during the National Day holiday, indicating a strong interest in cultural tourism [29]. - Visitors express a sense of nostalgia and connection to cultural heritage, as the garden serves as a platform for experiencing traditional Chinese culture [25][29].
投资最容易踩的坑,都在这里了!
雪球· 2025-10-06 05:44
Group 1 - The article discusses the phenomenon of "champion curse" in the fund industry, where fund managers who achieve top rankings often struggle to maintain their performance in subsequent years due to market cycles and style shifts [4][6][7] - It emphasizes the importance of focusing on long-term performance of fund managers rather than being misled by short-term rankings when selecting funds [9] Group 2 - The article highlights the issue of misleading fund names, where fund managers may use popular industry themes in fund titles while the actual investment direction may differ significantly [10][12] - It advises investors to check the actual holdings and changes in holdings of funds to avoid those with a history of style drift [14] Group 3 - The article points out the problem of ineffective diversification, where investors may follow popular influencers and end up investing in funds that are heavily concentrated in the same sector, leading to synchronized downturns [16][18] - It stresses that true diversification should focus on the underlying assets rather than just the number of funds [20] Group 4 - The article discusses the limitations of large-scale funds, where a fund manager managing a significant amount of capital may face constraints in selecting small-cap stocks, potentially impacting performance [22][24] - It recommends choosing funds with a moderate scale to allow fund managers more flexibility in their investment decisions [27] Group 5 - The article warns against the risks of small-scale funds, which may face forced liquidation if they do not attract enough capital, leading to potential losses for investors [30][31] - It suggests avoiding funds with a scale below 100 million to mitigate the risk of forced selling [34]
太疯狂了!黄金年内涨超50%!今日价格继续创新高!港股走弱,恒科跌超1%,有机构表示:当前港股市场性价比仍突出
雪球· 2025-10-06 05:44
↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 朋友们中秋快乐~ 今日市场表现上冰火两重天, 黄金价格一路高歌猛进,继续突破新高;而港股市场特别是恒生科技指数,在经历一波反弹后,今日稍作回调,让我 们看看具体的市场表现。 01 港股开盘走弱 恒生科技跌逾1% 今日开盘,港股三大指数集体走弱,截止发文,恒生指数跌1%,恒生科技跌超1.5%。个股来看,宁德时代跌近3%,阿里跌2%。 华虹半导体则大涨近6%,股价再创历史新高,该股年内大涨超320%。 | 华虹半导体 | | | --- | --- | | 01347 交易中 10-06 13:08:54 北京 | | | 92.40 +4.90 +5.60% | 6.00万人加自选 36.0 > HK 空 通 窝 LO | | 高 92.80 | 总市值 1601.86亿 。 | | 低 86.15 换 1.16% 额 13.97亿 | 市盈TTM 660.86 | | A股 114.56 +15.72% +15.72% = | > | | 轮证 认股48类 牛熊24类 | > | | 股价异动 历史新高 +1.49% 现价88.80 | 09:32 | | 分时 五日 日 ...
顶级投资大师多次推荐的费德勒演讲:最优秀的人,也经常失败
雪球· 2025-10-05 13:00
Group 1 - The core message emphasizes that success often appears effortless but is the result of significant hard work and dedication [4][14][23] - The article draws parallels between the challenges faced in sports and those in investing, highlighting the importance of resilience and learning from failures [4][30][53] Group 2 - The first lesson shared is that the perception of "effortless" success is a myth, as true achievement requires immense effort [14][16][23] - The second lesson discusses the inevitability of failure, illustrating that even top athletes experience losses and must learn to move forward [30][43][50] - The third lesson emphasizes that life extends beyond the confines of sports, advocating for a broader perspective that includes personal growth and social contributions [54][58][66]
财富自由基础门槛——存款300万,在国内到底算什么水平?
雪球· 2025-10-05 06:55
Core Insights - The article discusses the significance of having 3 million yuan as a benchmark for financial freedom in China, highlighting its implications for wealth distribution and social class dynamics [4][28]. - It emphasizes that 3 million yuan is not just a number but a reflection of personal aspirations, lifestyle choices, and regional economic conditions [15][25]. Group 1: Wealth Distribution - The average household savings in China is approximately 300,000 yuan, which is ten times less than the 3 million yuan benchmark [7]. - Only about 0.03% to 0.05% of households have savings of 3 million yuan, indicating that it is a significant threshold that only a few can reach [7]. - The article presents a wealth pyramid categorizing households based on their savings, placing 3 million yuan in the "small wealthy" tier [10]. Group 2: Regional Differences - The value of 3 million yuan varies significantly across different cities in China, affecting its purchasing power and lifestyle implications [13]. - In cities like Beijing, 3 million yuan may only cover a down payment for a modest property, while in smaller cities, it could afford multiple properties [13]. Group 3: Financial Dynamics Over Time - The purchasing power of 3 million yuan can diminish over time due to inflation, with projections showing it could be equivalent to about 220,000 yuan in ten years if inflation remains at 3% [19]. - Investment strategies can significantly alter the future value of 3 million yuan, with potential growth ranging from 444 million yuan to 778 million yuan over ten years depending on the investment approach [19]. Group 4: Psychological Aspects - The article discusses the emotional response to having 3 million yuan, which can evoke feelings of both excitement and emptiness, as it represents a threshold for financial security but not complete freedom [22]. - It highlights the importance of personal goals and desires in determining the true value of 3 million yuan, suggesting that it serves as a stepping stone rather than an endpoint [24][25].
成长股投资的难题
雪球· 2025-10-05 06:55
Core Viewpoint - The decision to hold an investment is more crucial than the decision to buy it, emphasizing the importance of long-term commitment to growth stocks [13]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - Many investors struggle to hold onto high-performing stocks, often selling too early due to short-term price increases or perceived overvaluation [4][5]. - Successful investors recognize that the true value of a company lies in its potential for future growth rather than its current valuation metrics [8][10]. - The concept of "let winners run" is essential for avoiding premature sales of growth stocks [6]. Group 2: Long-term Holding Strategies - Establishing a deep connection with a company through consistent engagement can provide investors with the confidence to hold their investments long-term [11]. - A steadfast belief in value investment principles is necessary, especially during market downturns, to maintain faith in the eventual recognition of a company's true value [12]. - Historical examples, such as the long-term holdings of successful investors, illustrate the benefits of patience and commitment to quality companies [13]. Group 3: Valuation and Growth - Investors should focus on the future growth potential of companies rather than solely relying on static financial statements [8][9]. - The ability to assess a company's future cash flows and growth prospects is critical for making informed investment decisions [8]. - The journey of companies from perceived overvaluation to reasonable price-to-earnings ratios can highlight the dynamic nature of growth investing [8].