Core Viewpoint - The article argues that while there are concerns about high risks in the A-share market, particularly with 90% of concept stocks exceeding last year's peak prices, there are still investment opportunities in underperforming sectors and the overall market is not as bleak as portrayed [4][5]. Group 1: Market Valuation - The article acknowledges that there are objective risks in already overheated sectors, but emphasizes that the presence of many underperforming sectors indicates ongoing investment opportunities [5]. - It critiques the reliance on PE ratios for evaluating market valuation, noting that during poor economic conditions, low profit bases can inflate PE ratios, making them misleading [6]. - The current PE ratio of the CSI 300 is 13.34, which is at the 54.41 percentile historically, suggesting it is not particularly low but rather in a reasonable range due to the poor economic environment [6]. - In contrast, the PB ratio is only 1.39, at the 23.45 percentile historically, indicating that the market is still undervalued [7]. Group 2: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The article argues that using last year's peak on October 8 as a benchmark is flawed, as that rally was short-lived and not indicative of long-term market health [8]. - Despite the rise in bank stocks and small-cap stocks, sectors with historically high equity returns, such as food and beverage, oil and petrochemicals, and renewable energy, have not seen significant movement this year, suggesting potential investment value [8]. - The article expresses optimism for the future, stating that the most critical indicator of market risk is not individual valuation interpretations but rather the overall market sentiment [9]. - It concludes that the current market sentiment has not reached a level of euphoria that would signal high risk, indicating that the market is not overheating yet [10].

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.42% closing at 3505 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.56% to 10744.56 points, and the ChiNext Index increased by 1.73% to 2235.05 points. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 161.21 billion, an increase of 153.3 billion compared to the previous day [1]. Industry Performance - Most industry sectors experienced declines, with the recently active power, coal, and photovoltaic equipment sectors seeing the largest drops. In contrast, the internet services sector showed the highest gains [2]. AI Sector - The Hong Kong technology sector was active today, with the AI concept stocks rallying significantly in the afternoon, leading to a 2.5% increase in the Hang Seng Technology Index [3][4]. - Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang announced plans to sell the H20 chip to China, which is designed to comply with U.S. export restrictions. This chip is tailored for AI applications but cannot meet the demands of trillion-scale model training [5][6]. - Following this news, AI concept stocks surged, with Kingsoft Cloud rising over 16% and Alibaba gaining nearly 7%. Nvidia's U.S. stock also saw a pre-market increase of over 3% [7]. CPO Sector - NewEase, a leading optical module company, hit the daily limit up of 20% following a significant earnings forecast increase, driven by AI-related computing power investments and product demand. The company expects a net profit of 3.7 billion to 4.2 billion for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 327.68% to 385.47% [11][12]. - Since the tariff impact on April 9, NewEase's stock price has increased over 123%, more than doubling from its lowest to highest price [13]. - Analysts believe NewEase's performance validates the accelerated industrialization and profitability of CPO technology, which is crucial for AI cluster communication. The demand for optical module products is robust due to the AI boom [16]. Alcohol Sector - Several liquor companies, including Shui Jing Fang and Jiu Gui Jiu, reported significant declines in revenue and net profit, with some even posting losses. For instance, Jiu Gui Jiu expects a net profit of only 8 million to 12 million for the first half of 2025, a drop of 90.1% to 93.4% year-on-year [17][18][20]. - Shui Jing Fang anticipates a net profit of 1.05 billion, down 56.52% year-on-year, while its revenue is expected to decline by 12.84% [21]. - Analysts suggest that the liquor sector is still in a bottoming phase, but the current stock prices may have limited downside due to sufficient prepayments and increasing dividend rates among leading companies [22].

以下文章来源于府库 ，作者府库 府库 . 规划投资理财，温暖幸福生活 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者： 府库 从2014年至今的历史行情中，红利类资产呈现出低波动、稳步上涨的特征，走势更为平滑。相比之下，成长类资产如创业板则涨跌剧烈，走势陡 峭起伏，表现更依赖市场情绪与主题炒作。沪深300与偏股基金处于中间状态，既具一定上行弹性，也承受较大波动，风格更偏均衡。 我们把这段历史，拆分成8个阶段，看看在不同的行情下，红利类资产与其他资产的走势对比情况。 在2014-2015年牛市初期（2014/3/31–2015/6/12），流动性极度宽松、杠杆资金涌入推动了全面上涨。红利指数上涨177%，得益于大盘蓝筹行情取 得亮眼收益；但随着杠杆催化的投机升温，成长股全面爆发，创业板指上涨194%，一骑绝尘。偏股基金亦大幅上涨153%，沪深300上涨149%。 红利类资产并没有错过这轮牛市行情，略跑输于成长性更好的创业板，表现也是非常不错的。 2015年股灾阶段（2015/6/15–2016/1/27），市场陷入系统性去杠杆，恐慌情绪主导行情，所有指数普遍暴跌。红利 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rising popularity of the "Permanent Portfolio" investment strategy among young investors, particularly in the context of social media platforms like Xiaohongshu, emphasizing its simplicity and effectiveness in wealth management [2][5]. Group 1: Permanent Portfolio Concept - The "Permanent Portfolio" is a classic multi-asset allocation strategy created by Harry Browne in the 1970s, designed to provide stability and growth through diversified asset allocation [3][5]. - This strategy is not merely a simple four-part allocation but represents a flexible approach that can be tailored to individual preferences, allowing for personal variations in asset allocation [5][12]. Group 2: Market Trends and Historical Context - The resurgence of interest in multi-asset portfolios is linked to macroeconomic conditions reminiscent of the 1970s, particularly the significant rise in gold prices, which increased from $35 to $512, a cumulative increase of 1363% [13][15]. - The current economic environment, characterized by slowing growth and high interest rates, has led to a renewed focus on multi-asset strategies, paralleling the historical context of the 1970s [15][14]. Group 3: Investment Behavior of Young Investors - Young investors today prefer to create their own "safe havens" through personalized investment strategies, reflecting a desire for autonomy and reduced external influence in their financial decisions [17][18]. - The article highlights a cultural shift where younger generations are more inclined to engage in self-directed investment strategies, aligning with the principles of the Permanent Portfolio, which emphasizes diversification and minimal intervention [18][19].

以下文章来源于六亿居士 ，作者六亿居士 六亿居士 . 雪球2024年度十大影响力用户。每周发布指数估值表，坚持指数基金(ETF)低估定投，分享指数基金基础分析，让 我们：买入有依，持有有底，卖出有据。 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者：六亿居士 来源：雪球 这是个永远有人争论的问题 ， 有人说牛市已至 ， 赶紧上车 ； 也有人担心反弹过快 、 估值过高 ， 准备 减仓离场 。 它不一定让你精确买到最低点 ， 但它能让你知道 " 现在是不是能动手 " ； 它不一定帮你赚到最多的钱 ， 但它能大幅降低你出错的概率 ， 让你更有信心熬过市场的震荡与低潮 。 01 看过往 ： 机会就在情绪谷底 2024年9月12日 ， 全市场PB历史新低 ， 61发文提醒机会 。 回首过去几年 ， 从赛道牛到中特估 ， 从全球加息到经济切换 、 港股重估 ， 每一波行情的起起落落 ， 投资者的心情也像是过山车一样 ， 反复起落 。 如果没有一套稳定的估值体系 ， 我们就很容易在市场波动时放大自己的情绪 。 尤其市场底部时 ， 犹如大 海里的一叶孤舟 ， 在惶恐不安之下做出错误 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the unexpected strong performance of actively managed funds in the first half of 2025, outperforming passive funds by nearly 5 percentage points, suggesting a resurgence in the credibility of active fund managers [3][5]. Group 1: Performance of Active Funds - In the first half of 2025, 50 actively managed funds achieved net value returns exceeding 30%, with the top ten funds all surpassing 60% gains, outperforming the best-performing passive ETF, which had a return of 58.76% [12][14]. - Among the top-performing active funds, Guangfa Fund led with 9 funds, followed by Penghua, Changcheng, Huitianfu, and Fuguo, each with 6 funds [14][15]. Group 2: Opportunities in Emerging Markets - The article identifies the Beijing Stock Exchange (北交所) as a "golden opportunity" for active funds, where less transparent information and lower research coverage allow for better identification of mispriced opportunities, thus creating alpha (excess returns) [16][18]. - The North Star 50 Index, a benchmark for the Beijing Stock Exchange, has seen a year-to-date increase of over 30%, significantly outperforming the Zhongzheng 2000 index [18][21]. Group 3: Value of Active Management - The true value of active management lies in the ability to dynamically search for undervalued opportunities across the entire market, rather than being confined to specific industries or styles, which is a key advantage over passive investment strategies [22][24]. - The article emphasizes that while passive funds are effective for obtaining market average returns (beta), allocating a portion of investments to capable active fund managers can yield excess returns (alpha) [25][26].

Market Overview - The market experienced mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.27%, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index fell by 0.11% and 0.45% respectively. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.46 trillion yuan, a decrease of 253.4 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1]. Company Spotlight: Huicheng Environmental Protection - Huicheng Environmental Protection saw a significant drop in stock price after reaching a peak increase of nearly 30 times from a low of 8.17 yuan in April 2022 to 251 yuan [4]. - The company announced the successful trial production of its "mixed plastic refining" project, which is the world's first continuous and large-scale chemical recycling demonstration project for waste plastics, with a designed annual processing capacity of 200,000 tons [6]. - Despite the project's potential economic and environmental value, the company's valuation remains concerning, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 3162 times as of July 14. The company's revenue over the past three years was 363 million yuan, 1.071 billion yuan, and 1.149 billion yuan, with net profits of 2.47 million yuan, 139 million yuan, and 42.6 million yuan respectively [6]. Robotics Industry Development - The humanoid robot sector is experiencing a significant milestone with a procurement project from China Mobile totaling 124 million yuan, marking one of the largest orders in the domestic humanoid robot industry [13]. - The current stage of the humanoid robot industry is critical for commercialization, and with capital market support, manufacturers are expected to enter rapid production and expansion phases, positively impacting the entire supply chain [13]. Pharmaceutical Sector: Innovation Drug Policy - The innovation drug sector is witnessing a resurgence, with companies like Laimei Pharmaceutical and Lianhuan Pharmaceutical hitting the daily limit up [15]. - The National Medical Insurance Administration has initiated the adjustment of the drug catalog for innovative medicines, which is expected to enhance the development of innovative drugs and meet diverse medical needs [19]. - Analysts believe that the strong performance of innovative drugs will continue, driven by improved biotech investment and supportive domestic policies [20]. Lithium Mining Sector Activity - Lithium mining stocks are showing active performance, with companies like Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium seeing increases of 2.67% and 2.92% respectively [22]. - The price of lithium carbonate has surged over 6%, currently reported at 66,720 yuan per ton. However, analysts caution that while there may be short-term price increases due to supply constraints, long-term demand may slow down, particularly in the electric vehicle sector [24].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the stock market, highlighting the contrasting performance of the banking sector and other industries, with a focus on the implications for investment strategies and market dynamics [2][10]. Banking Sector Analysis - The banking sector has seen a significant decline, with the China Securities Banking Index dropping over 2%, which has stabilized the overall market and allowed other sectors to flourish [2][10]. - The long-term value of banking stocks is emphasized, suggesting a structural shift in asset allocation towards banking stocks as real estate declines, leading to a potential valuation recovery for banks [4][5]. - Despite the recent downturn, the banking sector is viewed as having a strong safety margin and potential for returns, with a call for investors to consider this as a pivotal moment for investment [5][9]. Market Dynamics - The article notes that the recent adjustments in banking stocks are beneficial for the overall A-share market, providing room for other industries to rise [10][16]. - The performance of the banking sector has contributed significantly to the Shanghai Composite Index, with a noted contribution of 118.13 points to the index's rise this year [10]. - The article suggests that a continued slight adjustment in banking stocks could free up additional upward space for the index, promoting broader market participation [10][16]. Investment Strategy - The author advises against chasing banking stocks at current levels but also suggests not to reduce holdings, indicating a cautious approach to investment [3]. - The potential for a market consensus shift driven by a rising market is highlighted as a catalyst for breaking investor biases [5]. - The insurance sector's investment behavior is discussed, indicating a preference for long-term stability over short-term fluctuations, which may influence demand for banking stocks [7][8].

风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者：大地任我行 来源：雪球 股市投资不容易 ， 长期下来90%的人不赚钱 ， 许多人为股票付出大量的时间 （ 盯盘 ） 和金 钱 （ 学费 ） ， 仍然亏损累累 ， 这是什么原因 ？ 投资也是一个专业 ， 需要理论和基础知识的学习 。 一般的专业 ， 大约学习2~5年 ， 修完 20~30门课程就大概率能胜任一份工作 。 按股神巴菲特的说法 ， 投资只需学好两门课程 ： 一 、 如何评估一家公司的价值 ； 二 、 如何看待市场波动 。 就算将第一门课程分解开来也不多 ， 按道理更容易学 ， 但是现实并不是这样 ， 主要原因有八点 ： 四 、 所有的成功都离不开实力与运气的相互作用 ， 而投资受运气的影响又特别大 ， 长期下来 占比大约35% ， 短期就更高了 ， 往往错误的决策也能带来丰厚的回报 ， 反而正确的决策可能 会造成损失 。 错误的奖赏会得到错误的经验 ， 让人迷失方向 ， 容易误入歧途 。 五 、 投资是一个长期的过程 ， 不是百米冲刺 ， 而是马拉松 。 都说人无远虑必有近忧 ， 多数 人都是紧盯眼前的利益 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the criminal conviction of Xu Xiong, the actual controller of ST Dongshi, for manipulating the securities market, resulting in a prison sentence of 6 years and 6 months, along with a fine of 170 million RMB [2][3]. Group 1: Legal Proceedings - Xu Xiong was convicted of manipulating the securities market and sentenced to 6 years and 6 months in prison, with a fine of 170 million RMB and the confiscation of illegal gains [2][3]. - The Shanghai First Intermediate People's Court issued the judgment, which can be appealed within ten days [3][4]. - The case has seen multiple developments, including Xu Xiong's arrest in September 2023 and the subsequent removal from all positions within the company [5][6]. Group 2: Company Background and Financial Performance - ST Dongshi, established in August 2005 and listed in 2016, was once valued over 10 billion RMB but has faced significant financial decline, with stock prices dropping to 0.99 RMB [8][10]. - The company has reported continuous losses, with a net loss of 903 million RMB in 2024, following previous losses in 2023 and 2022 [14]. - The company is currently facing challenges, including the occupation of 387 million RMB of its funds by its controlling shareholder and the risk of delisting due to unresolved financial issues [10][14]. Group 3: Market Impact - The stock of ST Dongshi has been suspended since June 20, 2025, due to unresolved fund occupation issues, with potential delisting risks if corrective actions are not taken within the stipulated timeframe [10][14]. - The company’s operational activities are reported to be normal, but the ongoing legal issues and financial challenges pose significant risks to its future [3][14].