Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 13.65 CNY, based on a 15x PE for 2025 [2][4]. Core Insights - The company has shown steady performance with a revenue of 4.16 billion CNY in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.99%. The net profit attributable to the parent company reached 712 million CNY, up 15.04% year-on-year [9]. - The sales structure adjustment is complete, and both commercialization and R&D are expected to make progress. The company has successfully entered nearly 600 hospitals with its product, Didasyn, and has conducted over 160 academic promotion activities [7][9]. - The company has achieved significant growth in finished drugs and medical devices, with finished drug revenue increasing by 8.42% to 2.52 billion CNY, driven by marketing reforms [9]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 7.81 billion CNY, 8.91 billion CNY, and 10.49 billion CNY respectively, with an upward adjustment in gross margin [2]. - The company’s gross margin is projected to improve from 50.0% in 2024 to 52.9% by 2027, while net profit margin is expected to rise from 17.1% to 19.6% over the same period [7][12]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to grow from 0.83 CNY in 2024 to 1.22 CNY in 2027 [12].

⚫ 创新药研发不及预期的风险，创新药销售不及预期的风险，仿制药进入集采的风 险。 创新发力，国际化快速推进 ——恒瑞医药 2024 年报点评 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 我们预计 2025-26 年 EPS 为 1.06/1.17 元（原预测值分别为 1.03/1.21 元），新增预 测 2027 年 EPS 为 1.42 元。根据 PE 估值法及可比公司估值水平，给予公司 2025 年 53 倍市盈率，对应目标价为 56.18 元，维持"买入"评级。 风险提示 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 22,820 | 27,985 | 31,684 | 35,553 | 40,900 | | 同比增长 (%) | 7.3% | 22.6% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 15.0% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 4,910 | 7,491 | 7,808 | 8,643 | 10,425 | | 同比增长 (%) | 19.4% ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 24.38 CNY based on a PE valuation method, reflecting a 23x earnings multiple for 2025 [3][12]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 12.276 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.4%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.793 billion CNY, up 12.0% year-on-year [12]. - The company experienced a significant increase in new orders, with a growth rate exceeding 20% in 2024, particularly in laboratory services and CMC services, which saw increases of over 15% and 35% respectively [12]. - The report highlights the resilience of the company's integrated platform, which supports its ability to meet global pharmaceutical innovation demands and ensures long-term stable growth [12]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 13.809 billion CNY in 2025, 15.721 billion CNY in 2026, and 17.988 billion CNY in 2027, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 12.5%, 13.8%, and 14.4% [9]. - The company's gross profit margin is expected to stabilize around 36.0% in 2025 and 36.3% in 2026 and 2027, while the net profit margin is projected to be 13.7% in 2025 and improve to 15.1% by 2027 [9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast is 1.06 CNY for 2025, 1.29 CNY for 2026, and 1.53 CNY for 2027, indicating a steady increase in profitability [9].

纺织服装行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 美国消费龙头未来指引谨慎，关注关税推 进进度 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 ⚫ 通过观察以上美国消费龙头企业表现，总结来看它们对于未来财年预期大多较为谨 慎，其中关税压力和美国消费客群的消费降级为核心因素。另一方面，沃尔玛、露 露乐檬对于中国市场的表述则更为积极，我们推荐龙头运动服饰品牌公司安踏体育 (02020，买入)，建议关注李宁(02331，买入)、特步国际(01368，买入)和滔搏 (06110，增持)，同时也中长期看好经营韧性较强、具备全球竞争力的龙头制造企业 申洲国际(02313，买入)、伟星股份(002003，买入)、华利集团(300979，买入) 等。 风险提示：关税、全球经济衰退、地缘政治风险 注：沃尔玛 FY26 财报时间为 2025 年 2 月-2026 年 1 月，塔吉特、露露乐檬和达乐 FY25 财报时间为 2025 年 2 月-2026 年 1 月，耐克 FY25Q4 财报时间为 2025 年 3 月-2025 年 5 月。 国家/地区 中国 行业 纺织服装行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 04 月 08 日 看好（维持） | 施红梅 | 02 ...

贵州茅台 600519.SH 公司研究 | 年报点评 业绩符合预期，看好中长期发展 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 据 24 年年报、25 年年度目标，略下调 25-26 年收入、毛利率。我们预测公司 2025- 2027 年每股收益分别为 73.20、81.42、91.00 元（原预测 25-26 年为 73.25、81.50 元）。我们维持采用 FCFF 估值法，预测目标价为 1853.36 元，维持买入评级。 风险提示：消费复苏不及预期、飞天批价大幅下跌、1935 增量不及预期、品牌力降 低、环境恶化风险。 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 147,694 | 170,899 | 185,322 | 205,199 | 225,778 | | 同比增长 (%) | 19.0% | 15.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 103,709 | 119,689 | 126,970 | ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 13.65 CNY, maintaining the rating from previous assessments [2][4]. Core Insights - The company has shown steady performance with revenue and net profit growth, achieving a revenue of 41.59 billion CNY (up 3.99% year-on-year) and a net profit of 7.12 billion CNY (up 15.04% year-on-year) in the latest report [9]. - The sales structure has been adjusted, and the commercialization and research and development are expected to make progress, particularly with the product Didasyn [7][9]. - The company has successfully entered nearly 600 hospitals with Didasyn and has conducted over 160 academic promotion activities, indicating strong commercial potential [9]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 7.81 billion CNY, 8.91 billion CNY, and 10.49 billion CNY respectively, with an upward adjustment in gross margin [2]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve from 50.0% in 2024 to 52.9% by 2027, while net profit margin is projected to increase from 17.1% to 19.6% over the same period [7][12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.83 CNY in 2024 to 1.22 CNY in 2027 [12]. Segment Performance - Finished drug revenue reached 25.22 billion CNY (up 8.42% year-on-year), while raw material drug revenue was 8.76 billion CNY (down 8.37% year-on-year) [9]. - Medical device revenue grew to 6.87 billion CNY (up 7.84% year-on-year), driven by market share gains and international expansion [9]. Market Position and Valuation - The company’s market capitalization is approximately 11.12 billion CNY, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 18.0 for 2023, expected to decrease to 10.6 by 2027 [4][12]. - The company is positioned favorably within the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry in China, with a focus on innovative drug development and commercialization strategies [4][9].

传媒行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 快手加速 AI 布局，关注国内大模型发布动 态 ——AI 周度跟踪 2025 年第 4 期 核心观点 国家/地区 中国 行业 传媒行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 04 月 08 日 | 项雯倩 | 021-63325888*6128 | | --- | --- | | | xiangwenqian@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号：S0860517020003 | | | 香港证监会牌照：BQP120 | | 李雨琪 | 021-63325888-3023 | | | liyuqi@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号：S0860520050001 | | | 香港证监会牌照：BQP135 | | 金沐阳 | jinmuyang@orientsec.com.cn | 执业证书编号：S0860525030001 | | | | 阿里发布多款大模型，AI 产业链持续景 | 2025-03-31 | | --- | --- | | 气：——人工智能动态跟踪 2025 年 3 月第 | | | 3 期 | | | GTC 大会重磅发布 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 24.38 CNY based on a PE valuation method, reflecting a 23x earnings multiple for 2025 [3][12]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 12.276 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.4%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.793 billion CNY, up 12.0% year-on-year [12]. - The company has shown resilience with stable growth in its core segments, particularly in laboratory services, which generated 7.047 billion CNY in revenue, a 5.8% increase [12]. - New order signings have rebounded significantly, with a year-on-year growth exceeding 20%, indicating strong future revenue potential [12]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 13.809 billion CNY in 2025, 15.721 billion CNY in 2026, and 17.988 billion CNY in 2027, with respective growth rates of 12.5%, 13.8%, and 14.4% [9]. - The company's net profit is expected to reach 1.893 billion CNY in 2025, 2.287 billion CNY in 2026, and 2.719 billion CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 5.6%, 20.8%, and 18.8% respectively [9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast is 1.06 CNY for 2025, 1.29 CNY for 2026, and 1.53 CNY for 2027 [9]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company operates in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry, facing increasing competition but also benefiting from a recovering investment environment in the sector [12]. - The integrated platform model of the company is expected to enhance its ability to meet global pharmaceutical innovation demands, supporting long-term growth [12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 1853.36 CNY per share [3][5]. Core Views - The company's performance aligns with expectations, and there is optimism regarding its medium to long-term development [2]. - The company has slightly adjusted its revenue and gross margin forecasts for 2025-2026, predicting earnings per share of 73.20 CNY, 81.42 CNY, and 91.00 CNY for 2025-2027 [3][9]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, the company reported a revenue of 147,694 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 19.0%. The projected revenues for 2024, 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 170,899 million CNY, 185,322 million CNY, 205,199 million CNY, and 225,778 million CNY, respectively, with growth rates of 15.7%, 8.4%, 10.7%, and 10.0% [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 was 74,734 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 19.2%. The projected net profits for the following years are 86,228 million CNY, 91,960 million CNY, 102,276 million CNY, and 114,314 million CNY, with growth rates of 15.4%, 6.6%, 11.2%, and 11.8% [4]. - The gross margin for 2024 is expected to be 91.9%, remaining stable over the forecast period [8]. Revenue Breakdown - The company expects stable pricing for its flagship products while anticipating growth from non-standard and series products. The revenue from Moutai liquor is projected at 1,459.28 million CNY, with a year-on-year increase of 15.3%, while series liquor revenue is expected to reach 246.84 million CNY, growing by 19.7% [8]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on dual drivers of product sales through Moutai liquor and series liquor, alongside channel collaboration between wholesale and direct sales, which is expected to support stable performance amid a challenging consumption environment [8].

创新发力，国际化快速推进 ——恒瑞医药 2024 年报点评 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 我们预计 2025-26 年 EPS 为 1.06/1.17 元（原预测值分别为 1.03/1.21 元），新增预 测 2027 年 EPS 为 1.42 元。根据 PE 估值法及可比公司估值水平，给予公司 2025 年 53 倍市盈率，对应目标价为 56.18 元，维持"买入"评级。 风险提示 ⚫ 创新药研发不及预期的风险，创新药销售不及预期的风险，仿制药进入集采的风 险。 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 22,820 | 27,985 | 31,684 | 35,553 | 40,900 | | 同比增长 (%) | 7.3% | 22.6% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 15.0% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 4,910 | 7,491 | 7,808 | 8,643 | 10,425 | | 同比增长 (%) | 19.4% ...