证券研究报告 | 季报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 10 29 年 月 日 豪威集团（603501.SH） 25Q3 营收及扣非归母均创新高，CIS 龙头行稳致远 25Q3 营收再创历史新高。豪威集团正式发布 2025 三季报：公司 25Q1- Q3 实现营收 217.8 亿元，yoy+15.2%；实现归母净利 32.1 亿元， yoy+35.1%；实现扣非归母净利 30.6 亿元，yoy+33.5%。 单季度来看，25Q3 实现营收 78.3 亿元，yoy+14.8%，qoq+4.6%；实现 归母净利 11.8 亿元，yoy+17.3%，qoq+1.8%；实现扣非归母净利 11.1 亿元，yoy+20.4%，qoq+0.5%。我们看到，公司 25Q3 营收再次创下历 史新高，主要得益于公司 CIS 产品在智驾、全景、运动相机等领域的持续 渗透，市占率稳步提升。 25Q3 利润率保持稳定，扣非归母净利创下历史新高。盈利能力方面，25Q3 毛利率达到 30.3%，yoy-0.1pct，qoq+0.3pct，毛利率基本保持稳定，我 们认为手机 CIS 高端新料号有望从 25H2 开始陆续放量，因此毛利 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company has experienced rapid growth in performance, with a revenue of 9.74 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.6 billion yuan, up 15.9% year-on-year [1] - The acquisition of Yuefeng Environmental has significantly enhanced the company's operational capabilities and efficiency, contributing to its high-quality development [4] - The company has established a complete ecological environment service industry chain, with strong resource sharing and synergy effects, indicating stable development [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.97 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36.7%, and a net profit of 640 million yuan, up 28.1% year-on-year [1] - The comprehensive gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 35.1%, an increase of 3.7 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Operating cash flow net amount reached 2.66 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 98.2% [2] Business Segments - The solid waste treatment business generated revenue of 5.48 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.4%, with a net profit of 1.36 billion yuan, up 42.9% [3] - The energy business revenue remained stable at 2.78 billion yuan, while the water supply and drainage businesses reported revenues of 710 million yuan and 500 million yuan, respectively [3] Strategic Developments - The integration of Yuefeng Environmental since June 1, 2025, has positioned the company among the top three in the domestic industry for waste incineration power generation projects [4] - The company has signed agreements for external heating services for 30 waste incineration power generation projects, with 22 already operational, which is expected to enhance profitability [4] - The company anticipates net profits attributable to shareholders of 2.01 billion yuan, 2.23 billion yuan, and 2.44 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11.6, 10.4, and 9.5 [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the benchmark index [5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue growth of 0.9% year-on-year in Q3 2025, reaching 1.29 billion yuan, with a net profit attributable to shareholders increasing by 3% to 210 million yuan [1]. - The international business is expected to outperform domestic operations, with a 14% year-on-year revenue growth in H1 2025 for international operations, while domestic revenue declined by 4% [1]. - The establishment of the Vietnam factory is anticipated to enhance the company's ability to meet overseas production demands and improve customer engagement [2]. - The company is projected to achieve a revenue growth of 3.8% in 2025, reaching 4.852 billion yuan, while net profit is expected to decline by 4.4% to 669 million yuan [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the gross margin improved by 0.9 percentage points to 45.2%, while the net profit margin increased by 0.3 percentage points to 16.5% [1]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company experienced a revenue increase of 1.5% to 3.63 billion yuan, but net profit decreased by 6.5% to 580 million yuan [1]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 0.57 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19 times [2][4]. Production Capacity - As of H1 2025, the company’s button production capacity reached 6.3 billion pieces, and zipper production capacity was 485 million meters, showing an increase from H1 2024 [2]. - The Vietnam factory is expected to contribute positively in the long term, despite short-term losses due to foreign exchange impacts [2]. Market Position - The company is recognized as a leading player in the global accessories market, with enhanced product development capabilities and expanded business scale driving revenue growth [2]. - The report emphasizes the company's competitive advantages through smart manufacturing and operational efficiency improvements [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.29 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.0%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 260 million yuan, up 8.5% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.25 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.1%, and a net profit of 100 million yuan, up 16.2% year-on-year, indicating a significant acceleration in revenue growth [1][3] - The company is expanding its business in various channels, including MCN, cross-border e-commerce, and new retail brands, while also enhancing its global supply chain efficiency and targeting emerging markets [1][3] Financial Performance - The gross margin for Q3 2025 increased by 1.1 percentage points to 30.8%, attributed to ongoing cost reduction efforts [2] - The company’s net profit margin for Q3 2025 decreased by 0.4 percentage points to 6.8% due to an increase in income tax [2] - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 370 million, 470 million, and 560 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 14.7%, 25.8%, and 18.3% [3] Future Outlook - For Q4 2025, the company is expected to maintain good revenue growth, driven by the expansion of new consumer clients in China and increased sales efforts in overseas markets [3] - The potential divestiture or sale of Best Formulations PC LLC is anticipated to enhance overall profitability and provide higher profit elasticity [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5] Core Views - The company has shown a significant improvement in revenue on a quarterly basis, with Q3 2025 revenue reaching 590 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.4%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 26.3% year-on-year to 80 million yuan due to increased brand expenditure [1][2] - The gross margin improved by 0.3 percentage points to 37.1% in Q3 2025, marking the first positive growth this year, attributed to product structure optimization amidst rising palm oil costs [2] - The company is undergoing a channel transformation, with ongoing expansion in direct supermarkets and overseas markets, which is expected to yield positive results in the future [2][3] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.53 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.5% year-on-year, and a net profit of 160 million yuan, down 43.7% year-on-year [1] - The projected revenue for 2025-2027 is estimated at 2.23 billion yuan, 2.57 billion yuan, and 2.88 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -1.2%, +15.2%, and +12.2% respectively. The net profit for the same period is expected to be 260 million yuan, 340 million yuan, and 400 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -32.2%, +33.8%, and +16.6% respectively [3][4] - The company’s net profit margin for Q3 2025 was 13.9%, down 5.8 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to brand expenditure [2] Financial Ratios - The company’s P/E ratio for 2025 is projected to be 19.9, while the P/B ratio is expected to be 2.6 [4] - The return on equity (ROE) for 2025 is estimated at 13.3% [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Maintain Buy" [5] Core Views - The company has experienced a slowdown in revenue growth due to business structure adjustments, but profitability has improved. For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.61 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 170 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.3% [1][2] - The gross margin and net margin have improved due to the suspension of low-margin businesses. The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 increased by 0.9 percentage points to 49.4%, while the net margin increased by 1.0 percentage points to 19.8% [2] - The company has adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 274 million yuan, 412 million yuan, and 450 million yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 62.8%, 50.5%, and 9.2%, respectively [2] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to have a revenue of 4.809 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 3.7%. The net profit is expected to be 274 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 62.8% [4] - The latest diluted EPS is projected to be 1.06 yuan per share for 2025, with a P/E ratio of 36.3 times [4] - The company’s total assets are expected to reach 9.16 billion yuan by 2025, with a total liability of 3.27 billion yuan [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [2][5] Core Views - The company has experienced significant revenue decline, with total revenue for Q1-Q3 2025 at 337 million yuan, down 48.52% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 18 million yuan, a decrease of 83.21% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the company's total revenue was 124 million yuan, down 36.16% year-on-year, and the net profit was 6 million yuan, down 37.91% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 decreased by 1.7 percentage points to 39.09% [1] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 26 million yuan, 32 million yuan, and 35 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 76.1% in 2025, followed by growth of 23.0% in 2026 and 7.5% in 2027 [2] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to have total revenue of 483 million yuan, a decrease of 45.0% year-on-year, with a net profit of 26 million yuan [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.04 yuan, with a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 194.5 times [4] - The net asset return rate (ROE) is expected to drop to 1.3% in 2025, with a gradual increase to 2.2% by 2027 [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6]. Core Views - The company reported a slight improvement in revenue growth, with Q3 2025 revenue at 780 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.0%, indicating a stabilization in the company's fundamentals [1]. - The gross margin remained stable at 70.2% in Q3 2025, while the net profit margin decreased by 2.1 percentage points to 20.5% due to increased sales expenses related to whisky investments [2]. - The company is expected to accelerate its pre-mixed beverage business in Q4 2025, supported by new product launches and enhanced marketing efforts for whisky [2]. Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.27 billion yuan, down 4.9% year-on-year, and a net profit of 550 million yuan, down 4.4% year-on-year [1]. - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 729 million yuan, 877 million yuan, and 1.006 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 1.4%, 20.3%, and 14.7% respectively [3]. - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 39, 33, and 28 times respectively [3].

Group 1: Macro Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" has established a clear direction for the "15th Five-Year Plan," emphasizing foundational consolidation and comprehensive efforts, with a focus on "common prosperity" and strengthening "internal circulation" [6] - The plan identifies four strategic emerging industries and six future industries, aiming to promote key core technology breakthroughs in six priority areas through extraordinary measures [6] Group 2: Fixed Income - Er Yong Bonds - Recent market conditions have led to a decline in risk appetite, benefiting Er Yong bonds with both interest rate and spread reductions [7] - The supply of Er Yong bonds remains weak, continuing the trend of asset scarcity, while the monthly turnover rate has remained stable [7] - The pricing model suggests that the yield of 5-year AAA-rated secondary capital bonds may decline to approximately 2.07% next year [7] Group 3: Banking Sector - Precious Metals - The banking sector is expected to see growth in precious metals business despite challenges from high volatility in the gold market [8] - As of September 2025, China's official gold reserves reached 74.06 million ounces, marking an increase for 11 consecutive months, with a global trend of central banks increasing gold reserves [8] - The introduction of pilot programs for insurance funds to invest in gold is creating new opportunities for banks to provide services and increase intermediary income [8] Group 4: Textile and Apparel - Baoxini - Baoxini's revenue is expected to stabilize, with a projected decline in net profit due to ongoing adjustments in its main brand [12] - The company is anticipated to achieve a net profit of 2.95 billion, 3.74 billion, and 4.49 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [12] Group 5: Food and Beverage - Haitian Flavoring - Haitian Flavoring reported a revenue of 21.628 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.02% [13] - The company is expected to benefit from its leadership position in the industry and aims for significant growth in overseas markets [13] Group 6: Computer Industry - Zhongke Chuangda - Zhongke Chuangda's revenue for Q3 2025 reached 1.848 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42.87% [15] - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 606 million, 695 million, and 782 million yuan from 2025 to 2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [15] Group 7: Home Appliances - Hisense - Hisense's profitability has slightly declined, but the company remains optimistic about its long-term globalization strategy [16] - The projected net profits for 2025 to 2027 are 3.398 billion, 3.771 billion, and 4.154 billion yuan, with a "hold" rating [16] Group 8: Coal Industry - China Coal Energy - China Coal Energy reported a revenue of 110.584 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 21.24% [27] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 16 billion, 17.1 billion, and 18.5 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [27] Group 9: Automotive - Huguang - Huguang's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 5.84 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6% [34] - The company is expanding its customer base and enhancing its overseas market presence, which is expected to drive future growth [34]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for Hisense Home Appliances [5] Core Views - The company has shown slight declines in profitability but is optimistic about its long-term globalization strategy [1][2] - The company reported total revenue of 71.533 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.35%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.812 billion yuan, up 0.67% year-on-year [1] - The third quarter of 2025 saw a single-quarter revenue of 22.192 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.16%, but a net profit of 735 million yuan, down 5.40% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 decreased by 0.56 percentage points to 20.20% [1] - The company is committed to a globalization strategy, enhancing its brand influence overseas, and accelerating digital transformation [2] Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve net profits of 3.398 billion yuan, 3.771 billion yuan, and 4.154 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 1.5%, 11.0%, and 10.2% [2] - The operating revenue is expected to grow from 85.6 billion yuan in 2023 to 107.296 billion yuan in 2027, with a growth rate of 15.5% in 2023 and slowing to 6.0% by 2027 [4] - The latest diluted EPS is projected to increase from 2.05 yuan in 2023 to 3.00 yuan in 2027 [4] - The net profit margin for Q3 2025 decreased by 0.3 percentage points to 4.88% [1]