证券研究报告 | 半年报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 08 31 年 月 日 中联重科（000157.SZ） Q2 扣非归母净利润增长接近 50%，表现亮眼 公司发布 2025 年半年度报告。今年上半年公司实现营业收入 248.55 亿 元，同比增长 1.30%；归属于母公司净利润 27.65 亿元，同比增长 20.84%。 今年单 2 季度，公司扣非后归母净利润 10.51 亿元，同比增长接近 50%。 混凝土、起重机市场地位稳固。混凝土机械、工程起重机械、建筑起重机 械三大传统优势产品线，公司坚守稳健发展战略，统筹优化全局资源配置， 全面推进海外转型。三大产品线国内市场地位稳固，新能源搅拌车、履带 吊产品实现翻番增长。海外业务规模与市场地位持续提升，三大产品线整 体出口销售规模同比增幅超 13%。 土方机械全场景产品矩阵筑优势，实现海内外市场双增长。土方机械通过 全面完善微小挖型谱、全方位提升中大挖性能、引领超大吨位绿色矿山技 术，已构建覆盖全场景的产品矩阵，形成行业领先的竞争力。国内市场方 面，销售模式切换为经销模式，产品结构持续优化，中大挖市占率位居行 业前列。海外市场方面，深耕全球化布局 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][7]. Core Views - The company has a rich content reserve and is actively expanding into new consumer sectors, with a significant increase in net profit year-on-year [1][3]. - The domestic cinema sector faced challenges due to market conditions, but the Australian cinema operations showed strong performance [2][4]. - The company is enhancing its non-ticket revenue streams and improving profit margins through innovative business strategies [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 6.689 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.57%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 536 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 372.55% [1]. - In Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 1.980 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 17.38%, and a net loss attributable to shareholders of 294 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 38.48% [1]. Domestic and International Cinema Operations - The domestic cinema sector generated box office revenue of 4.21 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 19.2%, with a market share of 14.4% [2]. - The Australian cinema operations turned profitable, achieving box office revenue of 144 million AUD in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.9% [2]. Non-Ticket Revenue and New Business Initiatives - Non-ticket revenue reached 1.366 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a gross margin increase of 10 percentage points [3]. - The company launched new food brands and established strategic partnerships to enhance its product offerings and sales strategies [3]. Film and TV Production - Revenue from film and TV production and distribution increased by 44.39% to 322 million yuan [4]. - The company has a robust pipeline of upcoming projects, including several high-profile films and series [4]. Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 980 million yuan, 1.29 billion yuan, and 1.44 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with significant year-on-year growth rates [5].

证券研究报告 | 半年报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 08 31 年 月 日 博纳影业（001330.SZ） AI+影视战略加速推进，关注储备内容上线节奏 事件：公司发布 2025 半年报。2025H1 公司实现营收 6.73 亿元（yoy+5.09%），主要 是由于公司影院业务春节档回暖，归母净亏损 10.56 亿元（yoy-661.93%），扣非净亏 损 10.92 亿元（yoy-637.75%），主要是由于公司部分投资与推广影片受到市场表现波 动影响。2025Q2 实现营 收 1.48 亿元（ yoy-26.39%），归母净亏损 1.00 亿元 （yoy+30.30%），扣非净亏损 1.07 亿元（yoy+19.70%）。 市占率排名保持稳定，影院持续优化运营。据公司报告，2025H1 全国电影票房 292.3 亿元（yoy+23.0%），观影人次 6.4 亿（yoy+16.9%）。公司旗下影院票房收入 4.39 亿 元（不含服务费）（yoy+12.81%），电影院业务营收 5.44 亿元（yoy+7.75%）。其中 2025Q2 受电影大盘较为低迷和影院经营固定成本刚性影响，预计影院业务处 ...

证券研究报告 | 金融工程 、 gszqdatemark 2025 08 30 年 月 日 量化分析报告 择时雷达六面图：本周外资指标弱化 择时雷达六面图：基于多维视角的择时框架。权益市场的表现受到多维度 指标因素的共同影响，我们尝试从流动性、经济面、估值面、资金面、技 术面、拥挤度选取二十一个指标对市场刻画，并将其概括为"估值性价比"、 "宏观基本面"、"资金&趋势"、"拥挤度&反转"四大类，从而生成[-1,1] 之间的综合择时分数。 本周综合打分。本周市场的估值性价比与资金&趋势分数下降，宏观基本 面与拥挤度&反转分数变化不大，综合打分位于[-1,1]之间，当前的综合打 分为-0.48 分，整体为中性偏空观点。当前六面图各个维度的观点如下： 流动性。本周货币强度、信用强度发出看空信号，货币方向、信用方向 发出看多信号，当前流动性得分为 0.00 分，综合来看信号中性。 经济面。本周通胀方向指标发出看多信号，增长方向、增长强度发出看 空信号，当前经济面得分为-0.25 分，综合来看发出中性偏空信号。 估值面。本周席勒 ERP、PB 与 AIAE 指标分数下降，当前市场的估值 面得分为-0.39 分，综合来看 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core View of the Report The report tracks the liquidity and institutional behavior in the fixed - income market. It shows that the funds remain loose, and the leverage ratio has slightly increased. The overnight fund prices have declined, while the seven - day fund prices are volatile. The central bank has injected funds to support the cross - month liquidity. The yields of certificates of deposit (CDs) have different trends, and the net financing of CDs continues to be negative with a shortened average issuance term. The net issuance of government bonds will increase next week, and the net payment will decrease. The inter - bank leverage ratio has slightly risen this week [1][2][3]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Funds - Overnight fund prices have declined, and seven - day fund prices are volatile. R001 closed at 1.42% (previous value: 1.45%), DR001 at 1.33% (previous value: 1.41%), R007 at 1.52% (previous value: 1.48%), and DR007 at 1.52% (previous value: 1.47%). The spread between DR007 and 7 - day OMO was 11.58bp. The 6M national and joint - stock bank bill transfer and discount rate closed at 0.80% (previous value: 0.59%) [1]. - The central bank injected funds to support the cross - month liquidity. This week, the central bank's reverse repurchase injection was 227.31 billion yuan, with 207.7 billion yuan maturing, resulting in a net injection of 19.61 billion yuan. MLF injection was 60 billion yuan, with 30 billion yuan maturing, resulting in a net injection of 30 billion yuan [1]. 3.2 Certificates of Deposit - The yields of CDs have different trends. The 3M yield decreased by 1.00bp to 1.54%, the 6M yield increased by 0.04bp to 1.61%, and the 1Y yield decreased by 0.50bp to 1.66%. The spread between the 1 - year CD and R007 narrowed by 3.82bp to 14.29bp [2]. - The net financing of CDs continues to be negative, and the average issuance term has shortened. This week, the net financing of CDs was - 19.47 billion yuan (previous value: - 24.55 billion yuan). The 1 - year CD issuance rates of state - owned banks, joint - stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks were 1.67%, 1.67%, 1.71%, and 1.76% respectively, with changes of + 0bp, - 0.80bp, - 3.68bp, and + 4.40bp compared to the previous values. The weighted average issuance term this week was 6.0M (previous value: 6.5M), with 3M CDs issued at 10.5 billion yuan, 6M at 19.87 billion yuan, and 1Y at 7.17 billion yuan [2]. 3.3 Institutional Behavior - Next week, the net issuance of government bonds will increase, and the net payment will decrease. This week, the net issuance of national bonds was - 23.71 billion yuan, and that of local bonds was 24.36 billion yuan, with a total net issuance of 0.65 billion yuan and a total net payment of 19.93 billion yuan. Next week, the expected net issuance of national bonds is 11.98 billion yuan, and that of local bonds is 3.67 billion yuan, with a total net issuance of 15.65 billion yuan and a total net payment of - 0.79 billion yuan [3]. - The inter - bank leverage ratio has slightly risen this week. The average daily trading volume of pledged repurchase was 7.07 trillion yuan (previous value: 7.13 trillion yuan), and the average daily inter - bank market leverage ratio was 108.78% (previous value: 108.42%) [3].

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report focuses on the asset allocation strategies of US banks and life insurance companies during the low - interest rate period and their responses to interest rate reversals, and provides implications for the Chinese financial industry [1][9]. - US banks contract high - risk exposures, increase low - risk asset holdings, and adjust the structure of securities investment accounts according to different interest rate stages. The bankruptcy of Silicon Valley Bank is a typical case of liquidity crisis caused by maturity mismatch [1][2]. - US life insurance companies optimize asset allocation in different accounts, increase equity - based asset investments, lengthen bond durations, and lower bond credit ratings to obtain higher returns [3][5]. Summary by Directory 1. Low - interest Rate Period of US Bank Asset Allocation 1.1 US Bank Asset - side Allocation Situation - US banks contract high - risk exposures, reduce high - risk asset holdings (such as real estate construction and development loans), and increase low - risk asset holdings (such as Treasury bonds). The proportion of real estate construction and development loans dropped from 8.0% in 2007 to 2.9% in Q2 2012, while the proportion of Treasury bond holdings increased during several periods [10]. - In terms of account structure, in the early stage of low - interest rates, the proportion of securities - related assets increased, but the proportion of income decreased. In the later stage, the scale of loan business increased. The proportion of loan - related assets decreased from 61% in Q2 2007 to 55% in Q4 2010 and then gradually recovered [13]. - In securities investment accounts, the proportion of AFS accounts increased in the early stage of low - interest rates and shifted to HTM accounts in the later stage. From 2013 - 2017, the average HTM holding ratio increased by 11.8 percentage points compared with 2009 - 2012, and in 2022, it increased by 15.9 percentage points compared with 2020 - 2021 [16]. 1.2 Silicon Valley Bank Event Occurrence - In 2023, Silicon Valley Bank went bankrupt due to its aggressive business strategy and loopholes in interest rate risk management. During the low - interest rate period, it adopted a single - variety, long - term asset allocation model, ignoring potential interest rate risks. By the end of 2022, the total investment in securities - related assets was as high as $120.1 billion, accounting for 57% of assets [17][20]. - During the rapid interest rate increase period, the negative convexity of MBS lengthened the duration passively, and the accounting treatment concealed the real risk. As of the end of 2022, the unrealized loss of HTM assets was as high as $15.16 billion [29]. - The early business model had a maturity mismatch between assets and liabilities, and the structural defects on the liability side amplified the crisis. In 2023, due to increased depositor withdrawal demand and difficulty in attracting deposits, it announced the sale of $21 billion of AFS and recognized an $1.8 billion loss, leading to a run and being taken over by the FDIC [31]. 1.3 Silicon Valley Bank Event Disposal and Systemic Risk - After the Silicon Valley Bank event, the treatment measures included takeover, deposit insurance, liquidity support, and mergers. The FDIC estimated that the risk disposal would cost about $20 billion to the US Deposit Insurance Fund [34]. - There are systemic risks during the rapid interest rate increase period in the US. Some small and medium - sized US banks are more affected by spill - over effects, such as Signature Bank and First Republic Bank. A large amount of deposits flowed out of small US banks after the event [35][36]. 2. Low - interest Rate Period of US Life Insurance Asset Allocation 2.1 Optimize Asset Allocation in Different Accounts and Increase Equity - based Asset Investment in Independent Accounts - US life insurance funds are managed through general accounts and independent accounts. In the general account, the proportion of bond investments decreased from about 72.4% in 2010 to 63.8% in 2023, while in the independent account, the average stock investment ratio was about 78.58% from 2009 - 2021 [44][45]. 2.2 Expand the Proportion of Corporate Bonds and Lengthen Asset Duration to Narrow the Duration Gap - US life insurance companies increase the proportion of investment - grade corporate bonds (AAA) and show a characteristic of lengthening bond durations. The weighted average duration of bond investments increased from 10.7 years in 2007 to 12.265 years in 2022 [50]. 2.3 Obtain Risk Premium Returns by Lowering Bond Credit Ratings - US life insurance companies lower bond credit ratings to obtain risk premium compensation. The proportion of Class 1 bonds decreased from 68.15% in 2005 to 59.10% in 2023, while the proportion of Class 2 bonds increased from about 26.11% to 35.88% [59]. 2.4 Increase the Proportion of Independent Account Products on the Liability Side - The independent account's liability side consists of investment - type policies. As interest rates decline, the investment scale of independent accounts expands, and the stable management fee income can support the investment profits of life insurance companies [67]. Implications for China - Banks should contract high - risk exposures, increase low - risk asset holdings, and adjust the structure of securities investment accounts according to interest rate trends [4][68]. - Banks should pay attention to the stability of asset - liability structures, use risk management tools such as stress tests, and make contingency plans for extreme situations [4]. - Financial risk disposal should be prompt and forceful. - Insurance companies should optimize asset allocation in different accounts, appropriately increase equity - based asset investments, and obtain higher returns by lengthening bond durations and lowering bond credit ratings [5][70].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Insights - The company is positioned in the Internet of Things (IoT) sector, focusing on wireless communication modules and cloud products, with significant growth expected in its cloud business [1][3] - The company has a strong management team with an average of over 20 years of experience in the telecommunications industry, enhancing its competitive edge [1][2] - The financial outlook is optimistic, with projected revenue growth of 229.3% year-on-year in 2024, driven by the rapid expansion of cloud products [1][9] Company Overview - The company, established in 2006, focuses on providing IoT communication products and services, including cloud solutions [1][15] - It has recently expanded into cloud products, with plans to enter the computing cloud service market by 2025 [1][3] Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 932 million RMB in 2023, with projections of 3,069 million RMB in 2024 and 5,158 million RMB in 2025, indicating substantial growth [9][26] - The net profit is expected to turn positive in 2024, reaching 100 million RMB, and further increasing to 235 million RMB in 2025 [9][26] Industry Outlook - The IoT industry is recognized as a strategic emerging industry in China, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 15% for cellular IoT connections from 2024 to 2030 [2][32] - The wireless communication module market is highly concentrated, with the top five companies holding over 75% of the market share [2][33] Competitive Advantages - The company possesses multiple core competencies in wireless communication technology, including proprietary technologies and patents [2][35] - It has established a leading position in the smart grid sector, with over 50% of the market share in wireless communication modules for the national grid [2][36] Cloud Business Potential - The domestic demand for intelligent computing is strong, and the company's cloud products are expected to experience significant growth due to favorable market conditions [3][28] - The company plans to sign a procurement contract for up to 4 billion RMB for servers to support its computing cloud services, which is anticipated to positively impact future financial performance [3][8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Suzhou Bank is "Buy" (maintained) [6]. Core Views - Suzhou Bank reported a revenue of 6.5 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.81%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.1 billion yuan, which is a 6.15% increase year-on-year [1][2]. - The bank's net interest margin showed signs of stabilization, with a decrease of 5 basis points compared to the previous year, and a net interest margin of 1.33% for the first half of 2025 [2][3]. - The bank's asset quality remains strong, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.83% as of the end of Q2 2025, unchanged from the previous quarter [5][9]. Financial Performance - Revenue and net profit growth rates for H1 2025 were 1.81% and 6.15%, respectively, with net interest income increasing by 2.72% year-on-year [2]. - The bank's total assets reached 755 billion yuan, with total loans amounting to 363.5 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 14.5% and 11.8%, respectively [4]. - The bank's fee and commission income grew by 9.0% year-on-year, although other non-interest income decreased by 3.7% [2][3]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio for personal loans was 1.80%, which increased by 14 basis points compared to the end of the previous year [5][9]. - The bank's provision coverage ratio was 437.91% at the end of Q2 2025, down 9 percentage points from the previous quarter [9]. - The bank's credit cost for H1 2025 was 0.34%, which remained stable compared to the previous year [9]. Future Outlook - The bank is expected to maintain a net profit growth rate of 6.86%, 5.36%, and 4.51% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [9]. - The bank's business license is continuously improving, indicating potential for rapid and high-quality development in the future [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook on its future performance [4][7]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 2.657 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.12%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 747 million yuan, up 3.57% year-on-year [1]. - The WPS AI user base has seen rapid growth, with monthly active users reaching 29.51 million by the end of the reporting period, showcasing the company's strong positioning in the AI-driven office solutions market [2]. - The WPS 365 platform has shown significant growth, with revenue increasing by 62.27% year-on-year to 309 million yuan, indicating a recovery in the software business [3]. - The company is committed to R&D investments, with a research expense ratio of 36.07%, which is expected to benefit from the ongoing AI development trends [4]. Financial Performance - For Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.356 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.14%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 2.83% to 344 million yuan [2]. - The cash flow from operating activities reached 738 million yuan, marking a significant year-on-year increase of 17.51% [1]. - The WPS personal business generated revenue of 1.748 billion yuan, up 8.38% year-on-year, with a total of 41.79 million annual paying users in the domestic market [2]. Business Segmentation - The WPS personal business in the domestic market generated 1.619 billion yuan, while the overseas market contributed 129 million yuan, with 1.89 million annual paying users [2]. - The WPS software business reported a revenue of 542 million yuan in the first half of 2025, with a notable recovery in Q2, where revenue increased by 26.23% year-on-year [3]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 5.939 billion yuan, 7.196 billion yuan, and 8.873 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 1.784 billion yuan, 2.212 billion yuan, and 2.838 billion yuan for the same years [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company achieved steady revenue growth in H1 2025, with revenue of 5.36 billion yuan (up 7.2% year-on-year) and a net profit of 800 million yuan (up 13.8% year-on-year) [1] - The main brand, Proya, is focusing on product matrix upgrades to meet diverse consumer needs, while sub-brands are contributing to incremental growth in niche markets [2] - The company is expected to continue its brand upgrade strategy and aims to establish itself as a new-generation platform cosmetics group, with projected revenues of 11.74 billion yuan, 12.80 billion yuan, and 14.00 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the gross profit margin was 73.4% (up 3.6 percentage points), driven by cost reduction and efficiency improvements [1] - The company’s operating cash flow reached 1.29 billion yuan (up 95.34% year-on-year) [1] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 1.75 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.8% [3] Brand and Product Strategy - The main brand Proya generated revenue of 3.979 billion yuan (down 0.08% year-on-year), focusing on high-growth and medical beauty integrated products [2] - The sub-brand Caitang saw a revenue increase of 21.11% year-on-year, emphasizing traditional Chinese aesthetics and expanding its product line [2] - The OR sub-brand experienced significant growth, with revenue up 102.52% year-on-year, focusing on hair care products [2] Channel Performance - Online sales accounted for 51.09 billion yuan (up 9.17% year-on-year), with direct sales contributing 39.05 billion yuan [3] - Offline sales decreased to 2.47 billion yuan (down 21.49% year-on-year), with a focus on high-end product lines and strategic partnerships with premium department stores [3]