Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Maintain Overweight" [4] Core Viewpoints - The current coal price adjustment has been ongoing for nearly four years since the historical peak in Q4 2021, with prices generally returning to levels before the recent uptrend. The market is well aware of the price decline, indicating that the bottom may be near. It is essential to understand the industry's fundamental attributes and maintain confidence and determination [3] - The report highlights that domestic coal companies are increasingly facing losses, with over half (54.8%) of coal enterprises reporting losses as of March 2025. This situation may lead to a higher probability of production cuts as prices continue to decline [3] - The report recommends key coal enterprises such as China Shenhua (H+A), China Coal Energy (H+A), and others, emphasizing that performance-driven stocks will outperform [3][7] Summary by Sections Coal Mining - In May 2025, India's coal imports rebounded, primarily supported by coking coal imports, with total imports reaching 25.82 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 3.72% and a month-on-month increase of 15.28%, marking the highest level since July 2022 [6][2] - The report notes that the coking coal market remains relatively stable, particularly for high-quality hard coking coal, due to tightening supply from Australia [6] - The performance of the electricity, steel, and cement sectors shows significant divergence, with electricity generation from coal declining by 9.5% year-on-year, while crude steel production increased by 9.5% due to infrastructure development [6] Key Stocks - Recommended stocks include: - China Shenhua (601088.SH) - Buy - Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry (601225.SH) - Buy - China Qinfa (00866.HK) - Buy - China Coal Energy (601898.SH) - Buy - Electric Power Investment Energy (002128.SZ) - Buy - Jinneng Holding (601001.SH) - Buy - Yanzhou Coal Mining (600188.SH) - Buy - Xinjie Energy (601918.SH) - Buy [7] Price Trends - As of June 20, 2025, Newcastle coal prices (6000K) are at $218.90 per ton, unchanged from the previous week, while IPE South African Richards Bay coal futures settled at $91.35 per ton, up by $0.10 per ton [35] - The report indicates that coal prices in Europe ARA ports remain stable at $89.00 per ton, with no change from the previous week [35]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several key companies in the textile and apparel industry, including Anta Sports, Xtep International, and others, indicating a positive outlook for their performance [10][26][36]. Core Insights - Inditex, the parent company of Zara, reported strong performance in FY2025Q1, with revenue growth of 1.5% year-on-year to €8.3 billion, and a net profit increase of 0.8% to €1.3 billion, benefiting from strict cost control [1][15]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on brands with solid fundamentals and quality, anticipating performance recovery and valuation increases in 2025 [3][22]. - The apparel manufacturing sector is expected to benefit from easing tariff policies, which may enhance company valuations [24]. Summary by Sections Inditex Performance - Inditex's FY2025Q1 revenue reached €8.3 billion, with a gross margin of 60.6% and a net profit of €1.3 billion, reflecting stable profit margins due to effective cost management [1][15]. - The company’s inventory as of April was €3.791 billion, up 6% year-on-year, indicating healthy inventory quality [17]. Long-term Growth Drivers - Inditex plans to optimize store productivity and expects a 5% year-on-year increase in average sales area per store from 2025 to 2026, alongside continued e-commerce growth [2][20]. Apparel and Footwear Sector - The report highlights the robust growth of sportswear brands, with a healthy inventory and discount levels, particularly in outdoor and running segments, which are expected to expand significantly in 2025 [3][22][25]. - Key recommendations include Anta Sports and Xtep International, with respective 2025 PE ratios of 17x and 10x, indicating strong growth potential [10][25]. Jewelry Sector - Chow Tai Fook's operating profit increased by 10% in FY2025, despite an 18% decline in revenue, attributed to product structure optimization and rising gold prices [9][37]. - The report suggests that companies with strong product differentiation and brand power are likely to outperform the industry in 2025 [4][23]. Textile Manufacturing - The easing of tariff policies is seen as a potential positive for the valuation of leading textile manufacturing companies, which are expected to maintain stable orders and shipments in the short term [24]. - Recommended companies include Shenzhou International and Huayi Group, with 2025 PE ratios of 11x and 14x, respectively [7][24].

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 06 22 年 月 日 电力设备 国轩高科与亿航智能达成战略合作，中天科技预中标红海湾六主缆 光伏：需求疲软，硅料价格持续下行。本周根据硅业分会报价，n 型复投料成交均 价 3.44 万元/吨，环比下降 6.27%。n 型颗粒硅成交均价为 3.35 万元/吨，环比下 降 2.90%。p 型多晶硅暂无批量成交。当前受下游需求疲软影响，产业链成交疲 软，价格整体下行。叠加近期硅料企业产能置换逐步推进，带来一定产量增加，6 月硅料产出预计上调环比约 8%左右，带动产业链价格下行。建议持续关注三季度 产业链排产控制情况。核心关注两大方向：1）供给侧偏刚性、后续需求复苏后价 格弹性更大的硅料和玻璃，核心关注协鑫科技、通威股份、福莱特等。2）新技术 背景下带来的中长期成长性机会，核心关注爱旭股份、聚和材料等。 风电&电网：中天科技预中标红海湾六海上风电项目 500kV 海底电缆。2025 年 6 月 20 日，深能汕尾红海湾六海上风电项目 500kV 海底电缆供货及敷设采购项目 预中标公示，其中中天科技以 8.96 亿元预中标。深能汕尾红海湾六海上风电项目 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 06 22 年 月 日 增持（维持） 行业走势 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 2024-06 2024-10 2025-02 2025-06 食品饮料 沪深300 食品饮料 周观点：啤酒旺季重视成长，白酒企业持续变革 投资建议：1、白酒：股东大会展现白酒企业理性客观、持续深化变革、 重视股东回报，优质龙头配置价值凸显，行业静待边际改善，建议关注 "优势龙头、红利延续、强势复苏"三条主线：1）优势龙头，头部酒 企份额持续提升：贵州茅台、五粮液、山西汾酒、古井贡酒；2）红利 延续，高确定性区域酒：今世缘（江苏格局红利）、迎驾贡酒（洞藏大 单品红利）等；3）受益复苏与风险偏好提升，弹性标的：泸州老窖、 水井坊、舍得酒业、老白干酒、港股珍酒李渡、酒鬼酒等。2、大众品： 珠啤董事长换届落地，百润崃州上新，IFBH 通过港交所聆讯：1）高 景气或高成长逻辑：盐津铺子、东鹏饮料、燕京啤酒、珠江啤酒、三只 松鼠、百润股份、有友食品、好想你等，港股农夫山泉、华润饮料、卫 龙美味等。2）政策受益或复苏改善：青岛啤酒、海天味业、新乳业、 伊利股份、 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2025 06 22 年 月 日 四川路桥（600039.SH） 再论四川路桥高分红的持续性如何？ 四川交通基建需求广阔、财政充沛，四川路桥订单充裕、有望向业绩持续 转化。 从四川交通基建需求来看，2024 年四川完成公路水路交通固定资产投资 2608 亿元，连续 4 年超 2000 亿元，2024 年占全国的比为 9.3%，连续 4 年稳步提升，2015-2024 年投资额复合增速 8.2%；2024 年底四川高速公 路通车里程 10310 公里，占全国的比为 5.4%，连续 10 年占比提升。四 川规划到 2035 年高速公路网达 2 万公里，因此未来 10 年省内高速公路 有翻倍建设空间。此外，四川省已被明确定义为国家战略腹地省市，预计 后续将在国家战略腹地建设中占据核心地位，若后续国家战略腹地顶层设 计出台，四川高速公路项目及大量基建项目有望获国家专项补助资金，保 障项目现金流、利润率，并驱动项目加快推进。 从四川财政情况来看，2024 年四川省地方财政收入 5635 亿元，全国排名 第 7；地方财政支出 1.34 万亿元，全国排名第 3。四川财政 ...

Investment Rating - Maintain "Increase" rating for the agricultural sector [5] Core Views - The pet industry continues to show strong performance during the 618 shopping festival, with 400 merchants doubling their transaction volume and significant growth in user engagement [12][13] - In the pig farming sector, the average selling price of lean pigs is 14.05 CNY/kg, down 0.1% from the previous week, indicating a relatively low valuation and highlighting potential investment opportunities in leading companies with cost advantages [15][16] - The poultry sector is experiencing price declines, with broiler prices at 7.12 CNY/kg, down 2.1%, and chick prices down 32.1% to 1.86 CNY each, suggesting a need for monitoring price recovery opportunities [15][25] Summary by Sections Pet Industry - During the 618 shopping festival, 400 merchants on JD.com saw their transaction volume double, with a 32% year-on-year increase in transaction users and a 39% increase in new pet owners [2][13] - Leading brands in pet food include Royal Canin and Maffidi, with significant improvements in rankings for domestic brands [3][14] Pig Farming - The average price for lean pigs is 14.05 CNY/kg, down 0.1% from last week, while the average wholesale price for pork is 20.33 CNY/kg, up 0.3% [16][17] - The profitability for self-breeding pigs is 19.4 CNY/head, while purchasing piglets results in a loss of 186.79 CNY/head [18][19] Poultry Farming - Broiler prices have decreased, with the average price at 7.12 CNY/kg and chicken product prices at 8.65 CNY/kg, both showing declines [30][32] - The price of meat chicks has dropped significantly, indicating potential volatility in the market [25][28] Crop and Agricultural Products - The approval of genetically modified varieties is expected to enhance the growth potential of industry companies, with commercial sales anticipated to begin soon [4] - The agricultural sector is currently facing price fluctuations, with leading feed companies likely to benefit from their scale and supply chain advantages [15]

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2025 06 22 年 月 日 资料来源：Wind，国盛证券研究所 注：股价为 2025 年 06 月 20 日收盘价 | 买入（维持） | | | --- | --- | | 股票信息 | | | 行业 | 生物制品 | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 06 月 20 日收盘价（元） | 27.70 | | 总市值（百万元） | 10,157.04 | | 总股本（百万股） | 366.68 | | 其中自由流通股（%） | 31.82 | | 30 日日均成交量（百万股） | 5.17 | 智翔金泰-U（688443.SH） 重磅产品成功出海，迈入全球化开发新阶段 海外 BD 落地，海外市场启航。公司近期与 Cullinan Therapeutics 签署授 权许可和商业化协议，就 GR1803 达成独家许可与合作协议。Cullinan Therapeutics 获得 GR1803 的除大中华区域（包括中国香港、中国澳门、 中国台湾）以外的开发，生产，商业化权益。 交易总里程碑至高 7.12 亿美金，其中包括 2000 万美金首付款，累计不超 过 2 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [3][5]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes that the current policy environment is being driven by fundamental pressures, suggesting that the policy response may exceed the measures taken in 2008 and 2014 [3]. - Real estate is viewed as an early-cycle indicator, serving as a barometer for economic trends, making it a strategic investment focus [3]. - The competitive landscape in the industry is improving, with leading state-owned enterprises and select mixed-ownership and private firms performing well in land acquisition and sales [3]. - The report continues to favor investment in first-tier cities, two-thirds of second-tier cities, and a very limited number of third-tier cities, which has been validated by recent sales performance [3]. - Supply-side policies, including land storage and management of idle land, are highlighted as critical areas to monitor, with first and second-tier cities expected to benefit more [3]. Summary by Sections New Housing Market - In the past week, new housing sales in 30 cities totaled 196.6 million square meters, a month-on-month increase of 9.6% but a year-on-year decrease of 16.4% [24]. - First-tier cities accounted for 51.4 million square meters, with a month-on-month increase of 2.2% and a year-on-year decrease of 17.8% [24]. - Second-tier cities saw sales of 101.1 million square meters, up 15.6% month-on-month but down 16.0% year-on-year [24]. - Third-tier cities recorded 44.2 million square meters, with a month-on-month increase of 6.1% and a year-on-year decrease of 15.5% [24]. Second-Hand Housing Market - In the same week, second-hand housing sales across 14 sample cities totaled 214.0 million square meters, remaining flat month-on-month but down 7.1% year-on-year [31]. - First-tier cities contributed 85.0 million square meters, down 2.8% month-on-month [31]. - Second-tier cities recorded 99.7 million square meters, a slight increase of 0.3% month-on-month [31]. - Third-tier cities saw a month-on-month increase of 7.5%, totaling 29.3 million square meters [31]. Credit Bond Market - During the week of June 16-22, 15 credit bonds were issued by real estate companies, totaling 10.358 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.187 billion yuan from the previous week [42]. - The total repayment amount was 13.495 billion yuan, an increase of 10.049 billion yuan week-on-week, resulting in a net financing amount of -3.137 billion yuan, down 10.236 billion yuan [42]. - The majority of the bonds issued were rated AAA, constituting 65.6% of the total [42].

证券研究报告 | 首次覆盖报告 gszqdatemark 2025 06 20 年 月 日 矩阵股份（301365.SZ） 云图藏器，智启新境 优质室内创意设计龙头，资产质量优异。公司业务聚焦室内装饰设计领域， 覆盖空间设计、软装陈设两大板块，下游行业以地产为主，同时积极开拓 办公空间、酒店文旅等多业态。2024 年公司减值规模显著收窄，地产减值 高峰已过，随着营收逐步恢复稳增，业绩有望稳步修复。公司毛利率、现 金流等指标表现优异，2024 年净现比 407%，截至 2024 年末在手现金资 产超 15 亿元（最新市值 29 亿元），有息负债率仅 2%，安全边际充足。 室内设计属地产后周期产业，近两年行业需求有所收缩。室内设计为装饰 工程前端环节，需求主要受房地产新开工数据影响，基于 2024 年新开工 面积测算行业市场总规模约 969 亿元。2020 年以来新开工面积已连续 5 年下滑，后端设计、房建、装饰需求同步收缩，上市 13 家房建设计院 2024 年营收/归母净利润总额同降 18%/130%，龙头经营承压。从竞争格局看， 受制于管理瓶颈及非标用户需求，设计龙头较难实现规模持续扩张，行业 整体格局分散 ...

证券研究报告 | 首次覆盖报告 gszqdatemark 2025 06 19 年 月 日 布鲁可（00325.HK） 拼搭角色玩具龙头，用户象限拓展可期 ➢ 公司概况：拼搭角色玩具龙头，成长性充足。 公司成立于 2014 年，以拼搭角色类玩具为主，奥特曼为公司最为核心的 授权 IP，同时不断扩充 IP 产品矩阵，通过线下经销渠道覆盖国内市场， 低基数下海外增速更快。公司的股权架构稳定，创始人持股比例较高。股 权激励深度绑定公司核心高管，管理层团队稳定，经验丰富。公司营收高 速增长，盈利能力步入上升通道。 ➢ 行业：谷子经济乘风而起，成长空间广阔。 谷子经济，即二次元文化周边经济，指围绕动漫、游戏、漫画等 IP 衍生的 商品及其市场体系。在新消费蓬勃发展的产业趋势下，具备口红效应+社 交货币属性的谷子精准满足情绪消费需求，供给端优质 IP 增加+渠道扩张 助力谷子进入大众视野。 从细分市场来看，拼搭角色类玩具引领行业发展。在全球市场，2019 至 2023 年拼搭角色类玩具市场规模从 132 亿元增长至 278 亿元，年均复合 增长率为 20.5%。拼搭角色类玩具赛道行业集中度高，布鲁可国内排名第 一，全球排 ...