Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 29.90 [1][5][32] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of HKD 27.4 billion for the first half of 2025, a decrease of 6.5% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 7.709 billion, an increase of 27.5% year-on-year. However, the recurring profit was below expectations at HKD 3.391 billion, down 15.7% year-on-year [1][5] - The property development segment is experiencing a harvest period, with profits from property development reaching HKD 5.542 billion, up 218.5% year-on-year, driven by the recovery of the Hong Kong property market [1][4] - The report highlights the challenges faced by the Hong Kong rail operations due to rising operational costs, with EBIT down 76% year-on-year despite a revenue increase of 3.3% [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s revenue for 1H25 was HKD 27.4 billion, a decrease of 6.5% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 7.709 billion, an increase of 27.5% year-on-year. The recurring profit was HKD 3.391 billion, which was 9% lower than expectations [1][5] - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of HKD 0.42 per share, unchanged from the previous year [1] Operational Insights - The Hong Kong rail operations generated revenue of HKD 11.5 billion in 1H25, up 3.3% year-on-year, but EBIT fell to HKD 0.98 billion, down 76% year-on-year due to increased employee costs and inflation [2] - The report notes that the new rental rates for shops in the Hong Kong stations continued to decline, with a drop of 7.0% year-on-year [3] Property Development - The property development segment recorded a net profit of HKD 5.542 billion, primarily from projects in the Whampoa area, with a significant increase attributed to a low base from the previous year [4] - The report indicates that the Hong Kong property market is showing signs of recovery, with a 0.6% increase in the private residential price index over three consecutive months [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report adjusts the net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 downwards by 11%, 3%, and 17% to HKD 18.1 billion, HKD 21 billion, and HKD 11 billion respectively [5][31] - The valuation is based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) method with a WACC of 7.0% and a perpetual growth rate of 3%, leading to a target price of HKD 29.90 per share [5][32]

Group 1: Silver Economy Growth Potential - The silver economy in China is estimated to reach approximately 7 trillion yuan in 2023, accounting for 6% of GDP, and is projected to grow to 19 trillion yuan by 2035, representing 10% of GDP[1] - The population aged 65 and above in China is around 220 million in 2023, making up 15.6% of the total population, and is expected to exceed 380 million by 2050, which will be 30.9% of the population[1] - The improvement in healthcare and living standards for the elderly is anticipated to further expand the silver economy[1] Group 2: Consumption Capacity of the Elderly - The elderly population has a relatively high net asset level due to early home purchases and low debt ratios, with average housing prices increasing by about 8% annually from 2000 to 2020[3] - The average household size in China decreased from 3.1 people in 2010 to 2.6 in 2020, indicating a trend towards smaller families, which enhances the economic independence of the elderly[3] - In 2020, 55.7% of elderly individuals lived alone or with a spouse, and the reliance on family support decreased from 40.7% in 2010 to 32.7%[3] Group 3: Policy Support for Silver Economy - Since 2024, policies have been introduced to support the silver economy, focusing on supply-side improvements and demand-side subsidies for elderly care services[4] - The government aims to enhance elderly care facilities and services, with significant potential for infrastructure upgrades, such as the installation of elevators in buildings where nearly 70% lack them[4] - Financial subsidies for elderly care services are being implemented, with a focus on improving the accessibility and affordability of these services[4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 34.40 [1][5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 1.461 billion for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.70%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 282 million, up 26.49% year-on-year. The growth is primarily driven by the high revenue increase in the new energy lithium battery and automotive sectors [1][5]. - The company has adjusted its revenue growth forecast for the new energy lithium battery and automotive sectors from 20% to 50% for 2025, reflecting a strong recovery in downstream demand [5]. - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 39.10%, an increase of 3.46 percentage points year-on-year, indicating improved profitability driven by the recovery in the new energy and automotive sectors [3][5]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In the first half of 2025, the company's revenue from the 3C mobile phone sector accounted for 24% of total revenue, showing a decline of 4% year-on-year. In contrast, the automotive sector saw a revenue increase of 53%, accounting for 12% of total revenue. The semiconductor sector grew by 28%, while other sectors increased by 42% [2]. - The gross margins for the 3C, new energy lithium battery, and automotive sectors in the first half of 2025 were 40.48%, 33.85%, and 37.12%, respectively, with significant year-on-year improvements [3]. Strategic Direction - The company aims to build a comprehensive strategic framework to enhance product capabilities, focusing on a one-stop procurement platform that includes FA (non-core standard parts), FB (non-standard parts), and FX (core branded components) [4]. Financial Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is RMB 508 million, RMB 616 million, and RMB 773 million, respectively. The price-to-earnings ratio for comparable companies in 2025 is projected to be 36 times, while the company is given a higher PE of 43 times due to its strong business model [5][11].

证券研究报告 电能实业 (6 HK) 港股通 1H25 业绩符合预期，派息稳定 2025 年 8 月 15 日│中国香港 发电 电能实业发布半年报，1H25 实现营收 3.52 亿港元（yoy -22.5%），归母净 利 30.42亿港元（yoy +1.2%），基本符合我们此前业绩前瞻报告预期的 30.96 亿港元。公司分派中期股息 16.62 亿港元，同比持平，占归母净利的 54.6%； 对应 DPS 0.78 港元，同比持平。考虑公司业务模式具有强抗风险能力，多 个资产有望于 2025/26 年迎来回报率上调窗口期，我们认为未来公司利润或 稳中有增，维持"买入"评级。 1H25 英国/港灯溢利贡献同比+11/+6%，澳洲溢利贡献同比-4% 受益于受规管资产与 2024 年收购的可再生能源组合的稳健运营及英镑汇率 走强，1H25 英国业务贡献溢利 17.24 亿港元（yoy +11.2%），考虑到 RIIO-2 约定超支费用回收周期自 2 年调整为 1 年内，UK Power Networks（UKPN） 于 2H24 迎来超支费用回收高峰期（RIIO-ED2 自 2023/4/1 开始），2H25 溢利贡 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of HKD 16.70 [1][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue growth of 14.1% year-on-year to HKD 98.53 billion in 1H25, with a net profit of HKD 2.58 billion, reflecting a 13.9% increase, slightly above expectations [1][5]. - The growth in revenue and profit is primarily driven by an increase in JD Retail revenue, the addition of JD's food delivery business, and strong growth in external customer business [1][2]. - The company has accelerated its international business expansion, launching a self-operated express service in Saudi Arabia and establishing logistics networks in multiple countries [4][5]. Revenue Breakdown - In 1H25, revenue from JD Group increased by 22.9% year-on-year to HKD 32.46 billion, accounting for 32.9% of total revenue, while external customer revenue rose by 10.2% to HKD 66.07 billion, making up 67.1% of total revenue [2]. - The integrated supply chain business generated HKD 50.11 billion in revenue, up 19.9% year-on-year, with external supply chain customer revenue increasing by 14.7% [2]. Profitability Analysis - The company's gross margin and Non-IFRS profit margin for 1H25 were 9.0% and 3.4%, respectively, both showing a decline compared to the previous year [3]. - The decrease in profit margins is attributed to increased investments in logistics infrastructure and personnel, which are expected to improve profitability in the long term as business volume increases [3]. Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been slightly raised by 2.6% to HKD 210.41 billion, HKD 231.95 billion, and HKD 254.25 billion, respectively [5]. - Net profit forecasts remain unchanged at HKD 6.90 billion, HKD 8.10 billion, and HKD 9.38 billion for the same period [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company achieved revenue of RMB 1156.82 billion in 25H1, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.67% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 10.59% [3][4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 17.56 billion, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 60.07% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 469.24% [3][4] - The strong performance in 25H1 is attributed to the growth in both the kitchen food and feed raw materials and oil technology segments, driven by low raw material costs and recovering downstream demand [3][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 25H1, the kitchen food segment generated revenue of RMB 715.51 billion, up 2.69% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 7.66%, an increase of 0.80 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The feed raw materials and oil technology segment reported revenue of RMB 431.79 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.81%, with a gross margin of 4.26%, up 3.25 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The operating cash flow improved significantly, with a net cash flow from operating activities increasing by 793.97% year-on-year [5] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report maintains profit forecasts, expecting net profits attributable to the parent company to reach RMB 40.11 billion, RMB 66.77 billion, and RMB 84.11 billion for 2025-2027, with corresponding growth rates of 60.30%, 66.47%, and 25.98% [6] - The estimated EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 0.74, RMB 1.23, and RMB 1.55 respectively [6] - The target price is set at RMB 37.00, based on a 50x PE ratio for 2025 [6][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][5] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 269.42 billion in 1H25, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, and a net profit of RMB 23 billion, up 5.5% year-on-year, slightly exceeding previous expectations [1] - The company plans to distribute a mid-year dividend of RMB 0.18 per share, with a payout ratio of 72%, reflecting an 8.4% increase in dividends year-on-year [1] - The report highlights the company's strong growth potential in digitalization and AI-related services, particularly through its Tianyi Cloud business, which is transitioning towards intelligent cloud services [1][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H25, mobile communication service revenue grew by 1.3% to RMB 106.6 billion, with mobile users reaching 433 million, a net increase of 25 million from the end of 2024 [2] - Fixed-line and smart home revenue increased by 0.2% to RMB 64.1 billion, with fixed broadband users growing to 199 million, a net increase of 9 million [2] Digital Transformation - The company's digitalization revenue rose by 1.5% to RMB 74.85 billion in 1H25, with Tianyi Cloud revenue increasing by 4% to RMB 57.3 billion [3] - AI-related revenue saw a remarkable growth of 89.4%, with the company's self-owned and accessed intelligent computing capacity reaching 77 EFLOPS [3] Capital Expenditure and Profitability - Capital expenditure in 1H25 was RMB 34.2 billion, with a projected decrease of 10.6% to RMB 83.6 billion for the full year [4] - The company's return on equity (ROE) improved by 0.2 percentage points to 5.0%, and net profit margin increased by 0.3 percentage points to 9.2% [4] Future Outlook - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be RMB 34.8 billion, RMB 36.7 billion, and RMB 38.4 billion respectively, with a slight downward adjustment of 2%-4% from previous estimates [5] - The company is assigned a target price of RMB 9.11 based on a 1.8x PB valuation for 2025, compared to a global average of 1.51x [5][11]

证券研究报告 港股通 网易云音乐 (9899 HK) 盈利超预期，经营杠杆持续释放 2025 年 8 月 15 日│中国香港 互联网 | 华泰研究 | | 中报点评 | 投资评级(维持): | 买入 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 8 月 | 15 日│中国香港 | 互联网 | 目标价(港币): | 360.42 | | | | | 夏路路 | 研究员 | SAC No. S0570523100002 SFC No. BTP154 +(852) 3658 6000 詹博 研究员 zhanbo@htsc.com SAC No. S0570523110002 SFC No. BUS698 郑裕佳 研究员 SAC No. S0570524070002 SFC No. BTB676 zhengyujia@htsc.com +(86) 10 6321 1166 基本数据 | 目标价 (港币) | 360.42 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价 (港币 截至 8 月 14 日) | 270.20 | | 市值 (港币百万) | 58,849 | | 6 个月 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6][1]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of HKD 22.09 billion for 1H25, a year-on-year decrease of 10.9%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 43.48 billion, reflecting a slight increase of 0.9% year-on-year. The interim dividend declared was HKD 18.39 billion, representing 42.3% of the net profit attributable to shareholders, with a corresponding DPS of HKD 0.73 [1][2][4]. - The company is expected to see an increase in profit due to the anticipated adjustment in return rates for several assets in 2025/26, which will enhance earnings stability [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The UK business contributed a profit of HKD 22.23 billion in 1H25, up 19.2% year-on-year, driven by the robust operation of regulated assets and a strong GBP exchange rate. The contribution from the Australian business was HKD 7.93 billion, down 8.2% year-on-year, primarily due to contract expirations and declining market electricity prices. The Canadian business reported a profit of HKD 2.75 billion, down 8.6% year-on-year, due to reduced generation and pricing at gas plants [2][4]. Regulatory Environment - Several regulated assets that entered the previous regulatory period during the low-interest rate environment of 2020/21 are expected to enter a new regulatory period in 2025/26, which is anticipated to lead to an increase in allowed return rates, supporting future earnings growth [3][4]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with expected net profits of HKD 81.2 billion, HKD 87.9 billion, and HKD 92.9 billion respectively. The corresponding EPS for 2025 is projected at HKD 3.22. The target price is set at HKD 64.62, based on a price-to-book ratio of 1.32x for 2025 [4][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][22]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for Q2 2025 reached 356.7 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.4%, exceeding both consensus expectations and previous forecasts [1][11]. - Non-GAAP net profit for Q2 2025 was 7.4 billion RMB, a decline of 48.9% year-on-year, but still better than expected [1][11]. - The retail segment's operational profit exceeded expectations, contributing significantly to the overall performance [1][4]. Revenue and Profitability - The total revenue for JD's retail segment in Q2 2025 was 310.1 billion RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 20.6% [2][21]. - The operating profit for the retail segment was 13.9 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 37.9% [2][11]. - The number of active buyers in the retail segment grew by over 40% year-on-year, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of double-digit growth [2][21]. Business Development and Strategy - The report highlights the rapid development of JD's food delivery business, with peak daily orders exceeding 25 million during Q2 2025 [3][21]. - Management aims to enhance the synergy between the food delivery and retail businesses, focusing on improving core system capabilities and optimizing order algorithms [3][21]. - The company is expected to enter an efficiency optimization phase for its delivery business starting Q3 2025, influenced by the overall growth in order volume [1][3]. Financial Forecasts and Valuation - The report revises the non-GAAP net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 upwards by 25.7%, 9.8%, and 7.1% to 278 billion RMB, 455 billion RMB, and 590 billion RMB respectively [4][19]. - The target price based on SOTP valuation is set at 46.35 USD per ADS and 181.94 HKD per ordinary share, reflecting an increase from previous estimates [4][22]. - The company is currently trading at adjusted PE ratios of 13.3x, 8.1x, and 6.3x for 2025-2027 [4][22].