Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Resources Land (1109 HK) with a target price of HKD 31.68, indicating a potential upside of 23.0% from the current price of HKD 25.75 [1][2][10]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing stable development across its diversified business segments while maintaining its dividend payout ratio. Despite a decline in profit margins, the company has managed to sustain its dividend rate [2][6]. - The report highlights a projected revenue growth of 11.0% year-on-year for 2024, with total revenue expected to reach RMB 278.8 billion, driven by increased property deliveries [6][7]. - The company’s net profit is forecasted to decline by 18.5% to RMB 25.6 billion in 2024, primarily due to a decrease in gross profit margin [6][7]. Financial Overview - Revenue for 2023 is reported at RMB 251.1 billion, with a projected increase to RMB 278.8 billion in 2024 [5][7]. - The gross profit margin is expected to decrease from 25.2% in 2023 to 21.6% in 2024, reflecting a 3.6 percentage point decline [7][11]. - The company’s net debt ratio is projected to remain low at 31.9% by the end of 2024, with a decrease in average financing costs to 3.11%, the lowest in the industry [6][7]. Business Performance - The company’s property development revenue is expected to grow by 11.8% to RMB 237.2 billion in 2024, supported by increased property deliveries [6][7]. - Contract sales for 2024 are projected to reach RMB 261.1 billion, although this represents a 15% decline year-on-year [6][7]. - The asset management segment has shown an 8.1% increase in scale, with operational income from shopping centers, offices, and hotels totaling approximately RMB 193 billion, RMB 18.8 billion, and RMB 20.7 billion respectively [6][7]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates a stable sales performance in 2025, supported by a total saleable value of approximately RMB 500.9 billion [6][7]. - The report suggests that the stable performance of the investment property portfolio will help mitigate the impact of declining industry gross margins, maintaining overall profit stability [6][7].

Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of the company to "Buy" with a target price of HKD 13.45, indicating a potential upside of 17.6% from the current price of HKD 11.44 [1][7][12]. Core Insights - The company's fourth-quarter performance demonstrates resilience, with a strong rebound in photovoltaic glass prices recently, prompting the upgrade to "Buy" [2][7]. - The report highlights that the supply-side reform in the photovoltaic industry is becoming more certain, which is expected to positively impact the company's future performance [7][9]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for the company show a decline from RMB 21,524 million in 2023 to RMB 18,683 million in 2024, followed by a slight increase to RMB 18,695 million in 2025E [3][15]. - Net profit is expected to drop significantly from RMB 2,760 million in 2023 to RMB 1,007 million in 2024, before recovering to RMB 1,054 million in 2025E [3][15]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to decrease from RMB 1.17 in 2023 to RMB 0.43 in 2024, with a slight recovery to RMB 0.45 in 2025E [3][15]. Market Dynamics - The report notes a significant increase in demand for photovoltaic glass, particularly in North America, where revenue is expected to grow by 232% in 2024, despite an overall revenue decline [7][9]. - The average price of 2.0mm photovoltaic glass is projected to increase by 15% in March, with further increases expected in April, driven by supply constraints and rising demand [7][9]. Production Capacity and Strategy - The company plans to ignite only two new production lines in 2024, with total production capacity expected to decrease to 19,400 tons by year-end [7][9]. - The report indicates that the company is strategically managing its production capacity in response to market conditions, with a focus on maintaining high gross margins [7][9].

交银国际研究 每日晨报 2025 年 3 月 28 日 今日焦点 | 瑞浦兰钧 | | 666 HK | | --- | --- | --- | | 规模效应下毛利率提升，动力电池业务增速强 | | 评级: 买入↑ | | 劲；上调至买入评级 | | | | 收盘价: 港元 10.56 | 目标价: 港元 14.25 | 潜在涨幅: +35.0% | | 李柳晓, PhD, CFA | joyce.li@bocomgroup.com | | 2024 年瑞浦兰钧收入 178.0 亿元，同比+29.4%，其中动力电池/储能电池 收入 73.8 亿/72.6 亿元，同比+71.4%/+3.9%。盈利能力方面，2024 年公 司整体毛利率提升 1.6 个百分点至 4.1%，净亏损同比缩减 21%至 11.6 亿 元。 2025 年 1 月，公司发布公告将于印度尼西亚投资建设电池厂，公司预计 一期投产后可年产 8GWh 动力与储能电池及系统以及电池组件。 上调至买入评级。我们预计 2025-27 年归母净亏损为 11.2 亿/7.1 亿/1.5 亿元。基于 DCF 模型，维持目标价 14.25 港元，当前股价较目标价 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, Kunlun Energy (135 HK), with a target price of HKD 9.02, indicating a potential upside of 15.1% from the current price of HKD 7.84 [1][14]. Core Insights - The company has set an ambitious retail gas growth target of 8% for 2025, supported by the addition of 8 city gas projects and an increase in commercial users [2][7]. - The financial outlook shows a slight decrease in core profit expectations for 2024, primarily due to lower-than-expected earnings from the LNG/upstream segment [7]. - The company maintains a healthy financial position with over RMB 20 billion in net cash by the end of 2024, and plans to increase the dividend payout ratio to 45% in 2025 [7][10]. Financial Overview - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 177,354 million in 2023 to RMB 200,497 million in 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7.2% [3][15]. - Net profit is expected to increase from RMB 5,682 million in 2023 to RMB 6,948 million in 2025, with a corresponding EPS growth from RMB 0.71 to RMB 0.80 [3][15]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is forecasted to decrease from 10.3 in 2023 to 9.1 in 2025, indicating potential valuation upside [3][15]. Segment Performance - The natural gas sales segment is expected to generate revenue of RMB 152,090 million in 2024, with a slight decline in tax profit forecasted for this segment [9][11]. - The LNG processing and storage segment is projected to see a modest increase in revenue, while the exploration and production segment is expected to decline significantly [9][11]. - Overall, the company anticipates a tax profit growth of 16.4% in 2025, driven by improved performance in the natural gas and LNG segments [11][15]. Operational Metrics - The company’s gas sales volume is expected to rise from 30.3 billion cubic meters in 2023 to 35.5 billion cubic meters in 2025, reflecting an annual growth rate of 8.3% [10]. - The LNG plant processing volume is projected to increase from 2.83 billion cubic meters in 2023 to 3.80 billion cubic meters in 2025, with a utilization rate of 68.5% [10]. - The gross margin for gas sales is expected to stabilize at RMB 0.47 per cubic meter through 2025, despite potential discounts for commercial users [7][10].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation of total returns exceeding the relevant industry over the next 12 months [2][21]. Core Insights - The company is expected to see stable growth in clean energy products, with significant contributions from hydrogen projects anticipated to increase profitability [2][6]. - The target price has been adjusted to HKD 8.12, reflecting a potential upside of 15.8% from the current closing price of HKD 7.01 [1][15]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: RMB 23,626 million - 2024: RMB 24,756 million (4.8% YoY growth) - 2025E: RMB 28,287 million (14.3% YoY growth) - 2026E: RMB 31,988 million - 2027E: RMB 36,066 million [5][18]. - Net profit estimates are: - 2023: RMB 1,114 million - 2024: RMB 1,095 million - 2025E: RMB 1,411 million (28.8% YoY growth) - 2026E: RMB 1,523 million - 2027E: RMB 1,670 million [5][18]. Segment Performance - The clean energy segment is projected to grow significantly, with revenues expected to reach RMB 20,036 million by 2025, reflecting a 16.6% growth rate [9]. - The chemical equipment segment is forecasted to stabilize, with a projected revenue of RMB 3,354 million in 2025, showing a 7.7% growth [9]. - Liquid food equipment revenue is expected to reach RMB 4,896 million by 2025, with a 10% growth rate [9]. Order Book and Growth - New orders in the clean energy equipment sector are expected to increase by 17% YoY in Q4 2024, with a total of RMB 21,790 million [8]. - The backlog of orders in the clean energy equipment sector is projected to grow by 39.5% YoY, reaching RMB 23,210 million by Q4 2024 [8]. Dividend Policy - The company plans to maintain a dividend of HKD 0.3 per share, consistent with previous distributions [6].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, Kunlun Energy (135 HK), with a target price of HKD 9.02, indicating a potential upside of 15.1% from the current closing price of HKD 7.84 [1][13]. Core Insights - The company aims for an aggressive retail gas growth target of 8% for 2025, supported by the addition of 8 city gas projects and an increase in commercial users [2][6]. - The financial outlook shows a slight decrease in core profit expectations for 2024, primarily due to lower-than-expected earnings from the LNG/upstream segment [6][7]. - The company maintains a healthy financial position with over RMB 20 billion in net cash by the end of 2024, and plans to increase the dividend payout ratio to 45% in 2025 [6][9]. Financial Overview - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 177,354 million in 2023 to RMB 200,497 million in 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7.2% [3][14]. - Net profit is expected to increase from RMB 5,682 million in 2023 to RMB 6,948 million in 2025, with a corresponding EPS growth from RMB 0.71 to RMB 0.80 [3][14]. - The company’s P/E ratio is forecasted to decrease from 10.3 in 2023 to 9.1 in 2025, indicating potential valuation improvement [3][14]. Segment Analysis - Natural gas sales are expected to generate revenue of RMB 152,090 million in 2024, with a slight decline in profit margins due to increased competition [8][10]. - The LNG processing and storage segment is projected to see a modest increase in revenue, with processing volumes expected to rise by 7% year-on-year [6][9]. - The exploration and production segment is anticipated to face significant challenges, with a projected revenue drop of 81.2% in 2024 [8][10]. Operational Metrics - The company’s gas sales volume is expected to grow from 30.3 billion cubic meters in 2023 to 35.5 billion cubic meters in 2025, reflecting an annual growth rate of 8.3% [9][10]. - LNG terminal utilization is forecasted to remain stable at 88% in 2025, with processing capacity expected to increase [6][9]. - The gross margin for gas sales is projected to stabilize at RMB 0.47 per cubic meter through 2025, despite competitive pressures [6][9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of HKD 8.12, indicating a potential upside of 15.8% from the current price of HKD 7.01 [2][15][21]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing stable growth in clean energy products, with significant contributions expected from hydrogen projects. The revenue from clean energy is projected to grow by 15% year-on-year, with hydrogen product revenue expected to reach RMB 1 billion in 2025, reflecting a growth of approximately 15% [6][9]. - The company maintains a consistent dividend of HKD 0.3 per share, indicating a stable return to shareholders amidst growth initiatives [6]. - The overall revenue for the company is forecasted to increase from RMB 23.626 billion in 2023 to RMB 36.066 billion by 2027, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8% [5][18]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for the upcoming years are as follows: RMB 24.756 billion in 2024, RMB 28.287 billion in 2025, RMB 31.988 billion in 2026, and RMB 36.066 billion in 2027, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 4.8%, 14.3%, 13.1%, and 12.7% [5][18]. - Net profit is expected to grow from RMB 1.114 billion in 2023 to RMB 1.670 billion in 2027, with a projected CAGR of approximately 8% [5][18]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from RMB 0.63 in 2023 to RMB 0.82 in 2027, reflecting a steady growth trajectory [5][18]. Order and Backlog Analysis - New orders in the clean energy segment are expected to grow, with a 17% year-on-year increase in new signed orders for Q4 2024 [8]. - The backlog of orders in the clean energy segment is projected to increase significantly, with a 39.5% year-on-year growth expected by Q4 2024 [8]. Segment Performance - The clean energy equipment segment is anticipated to see substantial revenue growth, from RMB 14.907 billion in 2023 to RMB 26.392 billion by 2027, with a CAGR of 14.5% [9]. - The chemical equipment segment is expected to stabilize, with revenue projected to recover from RMB 4.414 billion in 2023 to RMB 3.749 billion in 2027 [9].

Group 1: Kunlun Energy - The company aims for an 8% growth in retail gas volume for 2025, supported by the addition of 8 city gas projects and a 18%/21% increase in industrial/commercial users [3][4] - The core profit for 2024 is expected to grow by 3.5% to 6.36 billion HKD, slightly below expectations due to lower-than-expected LNG/upstream segment profits [3][4] - The target price has been adjusted to 9.02 HKD, reflecting a potential upside of 15.1% based on a 10.5x P/E ratio for 2025 [3][4] Group 2: CIMC Enric - The company anticipates a 4% growth in core profit for 2024 to 1.34 billion HKD, with clean energy revenue increasing by 15% [5] - The hydrogen production project with Ansteel has shown promising results, contributing 26 million HKD in profit during its initial three months of operation [5] - The target price has been revised to 8.12 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 15.8% [5] Group 3: Tencent Holdings - Tencent's evergreen games are projected to contribute 20% of total revenue, with a strong presence in MOBA and shooting genres [12][13] - The company maintains a leading market share of approximately 55% in the domestic market, with overseas growth outpacing the industry average [12][13] - The expected growth in gaming revenue for 2025 is 9%, contributing 30% to total revenue, supported by strong R&D capabilities and a robust game pipeline [12][13] Group 4: Yadea Group - The company expects a revenue of 28.24 billion RMB for 2024, a decrease of 18.8%, with electric scooter and bicycle sales declining by 20.7% and 21.4% respectively [14][15] - Yadea is strategically focusing on mid-to-high-end products, aiming for over 50% of its product mix to be in this category [14][15] - The target price has been raised to 19.84 HKD, reflecting a favorable outlook for the company in the new regulatory environment [14][15] Group 5: Watson Bio - The company achieved its first commercial profit in 2024, with sales revenue expected to exceed 1 billion RMB in 2025, driven by significant contributions from its key products [8][9] - The AI-enabled mRNA technology platform is expected to enhance the company's pipeline, with several projects progressing rapidly [9] - The target price has been adjusted to 65 HKD, reflecting an optimistic long-term revenue outlook [8][9]

交银国际研究 公司更新 | 医药 | 收盘价 | | 目标价 | 潜在涨幅 | 2025 年 3 月 27 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 港元 | | 54.20 | 港元 65.00↑ | +19.9% | | | 云顶新耀 (1952 HK) | | | | | | 2024 年实现商业化层面盈利，耐赋康快速渗透目标市场，上调目标价 | 财务数据一览 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 年结12月31日 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 收入 (百万人民币) | 126 | 707 | 1,689 | 2,819 | 3,908 | | 同比增长 (%) | 884.5 | 461.2 | 138.9 | 66.9 | 38.6 | | 净利润 (百万人民币) | (844) | (1,041) | (264) | 311 | 794 | | 每股盈利 (人民币) | (2.80) | (3.24) | (0.81) | 0.96 ...

交银国际研究 公司更新 | 医药 | 收盘价 | | 目标价 | 潜在涨幅 | 2025 年 3 月 27 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 港元 | | 54.20 | 港元 65.00↑ | +19.9% | | | 云顶新耀 (1952 HK) | | | | | | 2024 年实现商业化层面盈利，耐赋康快速渗透目标市场，上调目标价 | 财务数据一览 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 年结12月31日 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 收入 (百万人民币) | 126 | 707 | 1,689 | 2,819 | 3,908 | | 同比增长 (%) | 884.5 | 461.2 | 138.9 | 66.9 | 38.6 | | 净利润 (百万人民币) | (844) | (1,041) | (264) | 311 | 794 | | 每股盈利 (人民币) | (2.80) | (3.24) | (0.81) | 0.96 ...