Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Weichai Power (2338 HK) with a target price of HKD 20.50, indicating a potential upside of 25.8% from the current price of HKD 16.30 [1][7][11]. Core Insights - Weichai Power's 1H25 performance was stable, with revenue of RMB 113.15 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 56.43 billion, a decrease of 4.4% year-on-year. The company expects strong growth from its M series large-bore engines and data center engines, driven by increasing demand in these segments [2][8]. - The company is experiencing significant growth in its large-bore engine sales, with over 5,000 units sold, representing a 41% year-on-year increase. The sales of new energy heavy trucks surged by 255% year-on-year, with over 10,000 units sold [8]. - The report highlights the acceleration of overseas business expansion, with new orders from Kion Group amounting to EUR 6.21 billion in 1H25, setting a new quarterly record in 2Q25 [8]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for Weichai Power are as follows: RMB 213.96 billion in 2023, RMB 215.69 billion in 2024, and RMB 237.92 billion in 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10.3% from 2024 to 2025 [3][13]. - The net profit is expected to grow from RMB 9.01 billion in 2023 to RMB 14.64 billion in 2025, with a significant year-on-year growth rate of 28.4% in 2025 [3][13]. - The report indicates a projected dividend yield of 6.5% in 2025, with a payout ratio expected to increase to 60% in the future, providing a strong safety margin for investors [8]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - Weichai Power holds an estimated market share of 9-10% in the domestic data center engine market, with significant growth potential due to the increasing demand for AI data centers and the domestic replacement of foreign products [8]. - The company benefits from a short supply cycle, product reliability, and strong product capabilities, which are expected to enhance its market share in the high-margin large-bore engine segment [8].

交银国际研究 公司更新 | 互联网 | 收盘价 | | 目标价 | 潜在涨幅 | 2025 年 9 月 1 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 美元 | | 135.00 | 美元 165.00 | +22.2% | | | 阿里巴巴 (BABA US) | | | | | | 阿里云超预期，支撑 AI 价值 股份资料 | 52周高位 (美元) | 147.57 | | --- | --- | | 52周低位 (美元) | 80.53 | | 市值 (百万美元) | 301,672.35 | | 日均成交量 (百万) | 82.17 | | 年初至今变化 (%) | 59.22 | | 200天平均价 (美元) | 122.12 | | 资料来源 : FactSet | | 谷馨瑜,CPA | 财务数据一览 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 年结3月31日 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | 收入 (百万人民币) | 941,168 | 99 ...

| 中国香港房地产 | 收盘价 | 目标价 | | 潜在涨幅 | 2025 年 9 月 1 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 4.82 | 港元 | 港元 | 5.92↑ | +22.8% | | | 置富产业信托 (778 HK) | | | | | | 交银国际研究 公司更新 料组合维持平稳、降息有助提升估值；上调目标价 近期，我们与公司交流最新的营运情况，并考虑到组合最新的运营情况，借贷 成本波动的影响及中国香港零售市场环境的变化。同时，我们更新了财务模型 以及预测。小幅上调目标价至 5.92 港元，维持买入。 微调收入以及分派预测。鉴于中国香港零售市场或仍需时间整固，我们轻微下 调置富 2025 年及 2026 年收入及分派预测，但相信股票市场及房地产表现的改 善或将带来财富效应，并在中长期有助稳定市场。我们预测 2026 年及 2027 年 分派可按年增长约 2 – 3%。 上调目标价，维持买入。置富以必需消费为主的中国香港零售组合保持韧性， 大致将保持高出租率。近期 HIBOR 的波动引至股价下跌，但我们相信今年 9 月 或年末美联储降息将有助 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating an expectation of total returns exceeding the relevant industry over the next 12 months [3][12]. Core Insights - The company has experienced rapid sales growth following the resolution of capacity constraints, with sales for the first eight months of 2025 exceeding both the report's and market expectations. The management has raised sales guidance, reflecting strong confidence in clinical data and commercialization capabilities [2][7]. - The target price has been raised to HKD 84.00, representing a potential upside of 32.2% from the current price of HKD 63.55 [1][12]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2025 is projected at RMB 1,611 million, with a significant increase to RMB 2,951 million in 2026 and RMB 4,408 million in 2027, reflecting a growth trajectory [6][13]. - The company reported a net loss of RMB 160 million for 2025, with expectations of turning profitable by 2026 with a net profit of RMB 325 million [6][13]. - The gross profit margin is expected to stabilize around 70% in 2025, improving to 73% in 2026 and 74.5% in 2027 [6][13]. Sales and Market Dynamics - The company’s flagship product, Nanfukang, has seen sales growth of 81% year-on-year, with total sales expected to reach RMB 12-14 billion for the year, and potentially doubling to RMB 24-26 billion in 2026 [7][8]. - The company is also advancing its pipeline with promising clinical data, particularly for its third commercialized product, which is anticipated to achieve peak sales of RMB 5 billion [7][8]. Valuation and Future Outlook - The report utilizes a DCF model to arrive at a target price of HKD 84.00, based on optimistic revenue forecasts and improved operating expense ratios [8][12]. - The company is expected to achieve operational breakeven in the second half of 2025, earlier than previously anticipated [7][8].

交银国际研究 每日晨报 2025 年 9 月 1 日 今日焦点 每月金股 九月研选-宏观环境趋稳+流动性宽松，港股有望 延续向好态势 交银国际研究团队 宏观不确定性持续消退，全球风险偏好明显回升。8 月以来海外宏观环境的 不确定性延续降温态势，美国与主要经济体就贸易框架达成初步共识，同时 宣布将对华关税措施延迟 90 天实施并继续推进双边谈判。与此同时，欧洲 地缘冲突相关谈判有所转机，整体局势边际缓解。 "反内卷"政策效应持续释放，流动性波动对交投活跃度形成扰动。"反内卷" 政策持续推进，相关预期继续推动传统周期行业及部分新兴产业龙头企业的 估值修复进程。 海内外流动性宽松周期下，港股有望延续向好势头。当前我国流动性延续宽 松，A 股市场情绪活跃，亦有望提振港股交易氛围。南向资金对港股科技等 板块的配置需求保持旺盛，资金净流入态势有望延续。海外方面，美联储主 席鲍威尔杰克逊霍尔释放 9 月降息大门敞开的信号，港股有望受益于外资流 入的增加。 九月研选 | 全球主要指数 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 收盘价 | 升跌% | 年初至今 升跌% | | 恒指 | 25, ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of HKD 18.00, indicating a potential upside of 24.3% from the current price of HKD 14.48 [2][3][12]. Core Insights - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 (1H25) faced pressure due to external environmental changes, increased operational costs, and depreciation from new hospitals. However, there are signs of marginal improvement, with better cash flow and capital allocation expected to enhance shareholder returns. The report anticipates a gradual recovery in performance starting from the second half of 2025 (2H25) [2][6][15]. - The report highlights that the company is reducing new capacity investments, with only one hospital under construction by the end of 2025. This optimization in capital allocation is expected to lead to significant free cash flow growth [6][15]. - The introduction of new hospitals and advancements in medical technology are expected to drive future growth, with the management projecting monthly profitability for a newly opened hospital in 2H25 [6][15]. Financial Summary - Revenue for 2025 is projected at RMB 4,158 million, a decrease of 16.6% from previous forecasts. The gross profit is expected to be RMB 1,160 million, reflecting a 23.0% decline [15]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be RMB 509 million for 2025, down 31.6% from earlier estimates [15]. - The report provides a detailed financial outlook, including a decrease in gross margin to 27.9% for 2025, compared to 30.2% previously [15][17].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Neutral" with a target price reduced to HKD 16.50, indicating a potential downside of 13.4% from the current price of HKD 19.05 [1][6][16]. Core Views - The company faced higher-than-expected operational pressures in the first half of the year, leading to a significant decline in net profit by 30.5% year-on-year, which was below market expectations [2][6]. - Despite the disappointing performance, the company increased its interim dividend by 20% to HKD 0.3 per share, indicating a commitment to shareholder returns [6]. - The company anticipates a rebound in retail gas sales and comprehensive service revenue in the second half of the year, with a projected 1.1% year-on-year increase in retail gas sales for 2025 [6][10]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: HKD 101,272 million in 2023, HKD 102,676 million in 2024, and HKD 102,403 million in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 7.3% in 2023 but a decline of 0.3% in 2025 [3][18]. - Net profit is expected to decrease from HKD 5,224 million in 2023 to HKD 3,846 million in 2025, representing a year-on-year decline of 7.3% [3][18]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be HKD 1.79 in 2023, remaining flat in 2024, and decreasing to HKD 1.66 in 2025 [3][18]. Operational Data - The company reported a total revenue of HKD 49,785 million in the first half of 2025, down 4.4% year-on-year, with gas sales contributing HKD 44,298 million [7][8]. - The retail gas volume is projected to grow to 10,442 million cubic meters in 2025, with a slight increase in gross margin to RMB 0.55 per cubic meter [9][10]. - The number of new residential connections is expected to be adjusted down to 2.1 million for 2025, from an earlier estimate of 2.3 million [6][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price raised to $5.20, indicating a potential upside of 30.7% from the current closing price of $3.98 [2][4][3]. Core Insights - The company reported better-than-expected Q2 performance, with a revenue increase of 38% year-on-year to 1.4 billion RMB, surpassing market expectations by 5%. The K12 segment showed strong growth, with revenues increasing by over 50% [8][3]. - Adjusted operating losses narrowed by 49% year-on-year to 230 million RMB, reflecting improved operational efficiency and cost structure optimization [8][3]. - The company is expected to continue its upward trajectory, with projected revenues of 6.13 billion RMB in 2025 and a return to profitability in 2026 [3][7]. Financial Forecast Adjustments - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted upwards, with 2025 revenue now expected at 6,133 million RMB, a 3.2% increase from previous estimates. The growth rate for 2025 is projected at 34.7% [7][3]. - Adjusted net profit for 2025 is forecasted to be a loss of 176 million RMB, improving to a profit of 213 million RMB in 2026 [7][3]. - The gross profit margin is expected to stabilize around 67.7% for 2025, with operational improvements anticipated to enhance profitability [7][3]. Performance Metrics - The company’s market capitalization stands at approximately 529.34 million USD, with a year-to-date stock price increase of 81.74% [6]. - The stock has a 52-week high of $4.37 and a low of $1.88, indicating significant volatility and potential for growth [6]. - The average daily trading volume is reported at 1.78 million shares, reflecting active market interest [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Neutral" rating for the company with a target price adjusted to HKD 80.84, reflecting a potential downside of 8.3% from the current price of HKD 88.15 [1][10][7]. Core Insights - The company's Q2 revenue and profit were generally in line with expectations, but the guidance for Q3 was below market expectations, indicating short-term demand pressures [2][7]. - The average selling price per vehicle decreased by 2.1% quarter-on-quarter, which was slightly better than anticipated due to promotional efforts to clear old inventory [7]. - The company is facing competitive pressures and promotional challenges that may continue to erode sales and pricing, particularly for its L series vehicles [7]. - The forecast for vehicle deliveries in Q3 is between 90,000 to 95,000 units, which represents a significant quarter-on-quarter decline [7]. - The report suggests that the company's ability to stabilize in Q4 will depend on the ramp-up of the i8 model and market feedback on the i6 model [7]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: RMB 123.85 billion in 2023, RMB 144.46 billion in 2024, and a decline to RMB 123.19 billion in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 173.5% in 2023 but a decrease of 14.7% in 2025 [6][11]. - Net profit is expected to decline significantly from RMB 11.70 billion in 2023 to RMB 5.26 billion in 2025, with a corresponding drop in earnings per share from RMB 5.95 to RMB 2.64 [6][11]. - The company’s price-to-earnings ratio is projected to rise from 13.6 in 2023 to 30.6 in 2025, indicating a potential increase in valuation despite declining profits [6][11]. Stock Performance - The stock has experienced a year-to-date decline of 6.17%, with a 52-week high of HKD 128.70 and a low of HKD 71.90 [4][10]. - The average daily trading volume is reported at 27.49 million shares, indicating active trading interest [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is Neutral [2][10]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the growth in household storage demand in Europe and Australia, with a notable recovery in performance [7]. - The company's revenue for Q2 2025 was RMB 2.02 billion, showing a year-on-year increase of 9.0% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17.1% [7]. - The net profit for Q2 2025 was RMB 0.11 billion, a significant year-on-year increase of 129% and a return to profitability compared to the previous quarter [7]. - The company has seen strong sales growth in various products, particularly in the domestic market, although the profit contribution remains limited [7]. - Exports to Europe have shown a significant recovery, with a year-on-year increase of 28% in July, while exports to Australia surged by 187% [7]. - The target price for the company has been raised to RMB 49.00, reflecting an adjustment in market valuation [7]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: RMB 7,353 million in 2023, RMB 6,738 million in 2024, and expected to rise to RMB 8,022 million in 2025 [6][12]. - The net profit is projected to recover from a loss of RMB 62 million in 2024 to RMB 170 million in 2025, and further to RMB 457 million in 2026 [12]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is expected to improve from a loss of RMB 0.25 in 2024 to RMB 0.70 in 2025 [12]. - The company’s market capitalization is approximately RMB 7,976.76 million, with a year-to-date change of 22.89% [4].