Investment Rating - The investment rating for Huadong Medicine is maintained as "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The Phase II results of DR10624 for treating severe hypertriglyceridemia (SHTG) showed significant efficacy, with triglyceride levels reduced by up to 74.5% and liver fat eliminated by up to 67% during a 12-week treatment period [4] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 4.06 billion, 4.72 billion, and 5.54 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding EPS of 2.32, 2.69, and 3.16 yuan [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 18.3, 15.8, and 13.5 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for Huadong Medicine are 40.62 billion, 41.91 billion, 44.68 billion, 47.95 billion, and 51.83 billion yuan from 2023 to 2027, with year-over-year growth rates of 7.7%, 3.2%, 6.6%, 7.3%, and 8.1% respectively [8] - The gross margin is expected to improve from 32.4% in 2023 to 35.4% in 2027, while the net margin is projected to increase from 7.0% to 10.7% over the same period [8] - The return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to rise from 13.2% in 2023 to 15.7% in 2027 [8] Clinical Development and Market Position - The company is advancing its clinical pipeline, with DR30206 in Phase I/II and HDM2005 expected to present Phase I data at the ASH annual meeting in December 2025 [6] - Huadong Medicine is also exploring the MASH indication for DR10624, with data expected in the first half of 2026, positioning itself in a competitive market with multiple multinational corporations targeting FGF21 [5]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The industry is experiencing increasing supply pressure of live pigs as the year-end approaches, with low prices continuing to decline. In October 2025, the national average selling price of live pigs was 11.69 yuan/kg, down 10.74% month-on-month and 33.56% year-on-year. The slaughter volume in October was 5.0352 million heads, up 10.40% month-on-month and 9.55% year-on-year. The actual output in October exceeded the planned output by 5.70%, but the planned output for November is expected to decrease by 3.27% compared to October [3][14][24] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The supply pressure of live pigs is gradually accumulating as the year-end approaches, with low prices continuing to decline. The average selling price in October 2025 was 11.69 yuan/kg, reflecting a significant decrease [3][14] - The slaughter volume in October was 5.0352 million heads, indicating a month-on-month increase of 10.40% and a year-on-year increase of 9.55% [3][14] Market Dynamics - The proportion of large pigs (over 150kg) in the slaughter structure was 4.89%, which is lower than the same period in 2024. The stock of large pigs is expected to increase, leading to a more relaxed supply in the future [4][18] - The winter pork consumption is expected to improve, which may drive the price difference between lean and fatty pork. However, the high inventory rate of frozen products may suppress future prices [4][19][23] Financial Performance - In October, the industry faced deepening losses, with self-breeding losses reaching 167.97 yuan per head. The breeding stock decreased by 0.77% month-on-month [5][24] - The average selling price of major listed pig companies decreased month-on-month, with prices ranging from 10.97 to 11.87 yuan/kg, reflecting declines of 9.9% to 13.9% [6][7][34]

Core Insights - Institutional attention has rebounded, particularly in the construction decoration, automotive, and non-bank financial sectors, indicating a shift in market focus [3][8][11] - The report highlights a significant improvement in the profitability of A-shares in Q3 2025, driven by capacity clearance and price stabilization, suggesting a positive outlook for various industries [14][15][16] Institutional Research Tracking - The report notes a decrease in total institutional research activity across all A-shares, with a notable decline in October 2025, likely due to the earnings disclosure period [8][9] - However, specific sectors such as construction decoration, automotive, and non-bank financial services have seen an increase in research activity, indicating growing interest [8][11] Industry Performance - The report provides a detailed analysis of industry performance, with the retail trade sector showing a 1.426% increase, while telecommunications experienced a decline of 2.200% [4][6] - The construction decoration and automotive sectors are highlighted as areas of increased institutional focus, suggesting potential investment opportunities [8][11] Capacity Cycle and Profitability - The report emphasizes the importance of capacity cycles in determining industry profitability, with a focus on sectors that are experiencing capacity clearance and price recovery [14][15][16] - It suggests that industries such as coal, steel, and electrical equipment are likely to benefit from improved profit margins due to ongoing capacity adjustments [16][17] Inflation and Fixed Income - The report discusses the potential for rising inflation, with October 2025 CPI showing a 0.2% increase, which is higher than market expectations [24][25][28] - It highlights the implications of inflation on bond yields, suggesting that if inflation trends upward, bond market dynamics may shift significantly [28][30] Banking Sector Insights - The report analyzes the impact of deposit non-bankization on liquidity risk indicators within the banking sector, noting a trend of increasing non-bank deposits among major banks [32][33] - It concludes that while the impact on liquidity coverage ratios (LCR) and net stable funding ratios (NSFR) is manageable, banks may need to enhance their liquidity management strategies [33][35]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the banking industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing trend of deposit non-bankization, which is leading to a marginal decline in liquidity indicators for banks. This trend is particularly pronounced among large banks, with a notable increase in the proportion of non-bank deposits [12][16] - The liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) and net stable funding ratio (NSFR) are critical indicators for banks, and the report provides quantitative assessments of how deposit non-bankization impacts these metrics. The effects are manageable for major banks, with LCR expected to remain above 120% even under significant conversion scenarios [4][34] Summary by Sections 1. Deposit Non-Bankization and Liquidity Management - The process of deposit non-bankization is intensifying the demand for banks to manage liquidity indicators more stringently. Since May 2025, the growth rate of personal fixed deposits has been declining, with large banks showing a decrease in monthly increments compared to the same period in 2024 [12][16] - The report quantifies the impact of deposit non-bankization on LCR and NSFR for major banks, indicating that even with a 70% conversion of personal fixed deposits to non-bank deposits, the LCR for most large banks is expected to remain above 120% [4][34] 2. Liquidity Indicator Management - The management of LCR focuses on maintaining liquidity asset reserves, while NSFR management emphasizes improving the liability structure. Issuing long-term interbank certificates of deposit is highlighted as an effective method to optimize these liquidity indicators [5][22] - The report details how the conversion of personal fixed deposits to non-bank deposits affects various liquidity risk indicators, with specific calculations provided for LCR and NSFR under different conversion scenarios [18][23] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a tiered investment strategy: - Core holdings should focus on large state-owned banks, benefiting from institutions like Agricultural Bank of China and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China - Core allocations should include leading comprehensive banks such as China Merchants Bank and CITIC Bank - Flexible allocations can target regional banks like Jiangsu Bank and Chongqing Bank [6][19]

Group 1 - The report indicates that the performance recovery in Q3 2025 is supported by capacity clearance, which in turn aids price improvement. The "policy bottom" signal has become clearer following the public consultation on the amendment to the Price Law in July 2025, leading to expectations of improved competitive landscape and stabilization of PPI year-on-year [3][4][13]. - In Q3 2025, the capital expenditure across the A-share market (excluding financials) continued to decline, with construction projects showing a negative year-on-year growth for the first time in nearly eight years. This indicates proactive adjustments in capacity planning in response to supply excess under policy guidance [4][16][17]. - The report categorizes industries based on their capacity cycle and profitability recovery potential, highlighting two main types: demand-driven industries (e.g., communication, electronics, non-ferrous metals, automotive) and supply-side optimized industries (e.g., steel, building materials, construction decoration, light manufacturing, textiles) [5][21][23]. Group 2 - The report suggests focusing on industries where capacity clearance is accelerating and profitability is expected to improve sustainably. Key sectors include coal, steel, power equipment, and building materials, which have shown price support and potential for profit margin enhancement [6][23][35]. - The analysis emphasizes that industries with current low profit margins and active capacity reduction, such as computers, light manufacturing, construction decoration, and textiles, may experience significant performance recovery if demand-side policies or industry upgrades occur [5][23][35]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring the PPI improvement and broad-based benefits from anti-involution policies, particularly in sectors like steel, non-ferrous metals, power, machinery, photovoltaic, and chemicals [6][37].

Group 1: Industry Perspective on Institutional Research - The research indicates an increase in institutional research activity in the construction decoration, automotive, and non-bank financial sectors [2][11][19] - Weekly data shows that the total number of institutional research instances for the entire A-share market decreased to 696, lower than 832 in the same period of 2024, indicating a cooling in research interest [12][19] - Monthly data for October shows a significant drop in total research instances to 1713, compared to 1994 in October 2024, attributed to the earnings disclosure period [19][20] Group 2: Individual Stock Perspective on Institutional Research - Notable companies receiving increased market attention include Ice Wheel Environment, Tongyu Communication, and Wanma Technology, with Ice Wheel Environment being the most frequently researched with 6 instances last week [23][26] - In the past month, companies such as Oke Yi, Jiang Bolong, and Fangyuan Co. have also garnered significant research interest, with Oke Yi leading with 25 research instances [27][28] - Focusing on specific companies, Furan Energy has been actively researched, with 3 instances last week, particularly due to its advancements in green methanol projects, achieving a production capacity of 50,000 tons annually [25][26]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (maintained) [5][6] Core Views - The company reported revenue of 695 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 18.57%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 56.87 million yuan, down 62.25% year-on-year. Due to the overall slowdown in downstream customer procurement, profit forecasts have been revised downwards [5][6] - The company has sufficient orders on hand amounting to 2.01 billion yuan as of June 30, 2025, with exports exceeding 200 million yuan, indicating a gradual revenue recognition expected over the next 1-2 years. The establishment of a wholly-owned subsidiary in Hainan marks a significant step in the company's international expansion strategy [5][6] - The company has made key breakthroughs in solid-state battery manufacturing technology, evidenced by the successful delivery of the first high-speed wide-width dry electrode equipment to a leading domestic manufacturer [6] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is expected to achieve a revenue of 931 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.6%, and a net profit of 97 million yuan, down 40% year-on-year. The projected EPS for 2025 is 0.62 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 93.8 times [7][10] - The company’s gross margin is projected to be 21.1% in 2025, with a net margin of 10.4% [11] - The company’s total assets are expected to reach 2.07 billion yuan in 2025, with total liabilities of 962 million yuan, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 46.5% [10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (Maintain) [2][4] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 12.384 billion yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.60%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 768 million yuan, up 14.37% year-on-year. The report maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 1.189 billion, 1.671 billion, and 2.002 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.05, 1.48, and 1.78 yuan [4][5] Revenue and Profit Growth - The company achieved a significant increase in sales of negative electrode materials, exceeding 260,000 tons, a growth of 32.83% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 25.59%. Sales of positive electrode materials surpassed 10,000 tons, growing by 4.30% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 11.70%, up 5.72 percentage points [5][6] Capacity Expansion - As of June 2025, the company has established a production capacity of 575,000 tons per year for negative electrode materials and 73,000 tons per year for positive electrode materials. The overseas production base in Indonesia has completed the first phase of an 80,000-ton negative electrode material project, with the second phase under construction. Additionally, the company is developing a 50,000-ton positive electrode and a 60,000-ton negative electrode capacity in Morocco [5][6] Technological Advancements - The company has made breakthroughs in solid-state and semi-solid-state battery materials, with the development of lithium-carbon composite negative electrode materials that match solid-state batteries. The oxide electrolyte products have received orders in the hundred-ton range, with matching cell installation exceeding 1 GWh. New products for CVD silicon-carbon are entering the trial production stage, with expectations for mass production in 2025 [6][8] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - The company’s financial metrics for 2023A to 2027E show a projected revenue increase from 25.119 billion yuan in 2023 to 18.736 billion yuan in 2027, with net profit expected to rise from 1.654 billion yuan to 2.002 billion yuan over the same period. The gross margin is projected to stabilize around 22.3% by 2027, with a P/E ratio decreasing from 24.1 in 2023 to 20.0 in 2027 [8][10]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The inflation reading is likely to rise in the next six months, considering factors such as base dislocation and anti - involution policies. The market, especially the bond market, has not priced in the possibility of a significant inflation rebound. There are risks in the judgment that "inflation is difficult to maintain an upward trend." In the bond market, economic expectations are being revised, and bond yields are expected to rise trend - wise. For stock and bond allocation, it is advisable to pay attention to the potential for a rebound in bond yields and the potential upside of pro - cyclical sectors in the stock market [5][6]. Summary According to Related Contents Event Review - In October 2025, the CPI rose 0.2% month - on - month (previous value: 0.1%) and 0.2% year - on - year (- 0.3% previously); the core CPI rose 0.2% month - on - month (0.0%) and 1.2% year - on - year (1.0%); the PPI rose 0.1% month - on - month (0.0%) and fell 2.1% year - on - year (- 2.3%). The CPI year - on - year increase was significantly higher than the market expectation, with the median forecast of 21 institutions surveyed by Wind being - 0.1% and the maximum only 0.1% [3]. Factors Affecting Inflation CPI Factors - Gold price changes have a relatively large impact on the current CPI year - on - year increase, with gold and platinum jewelry price changes roughly contributing a 0.3% pull to the CPI year - on - year. Gold prices may remain at a high level year - on - year in the next few months [3]. - The anti - seasonal rise in vegetable prices has led to base dislocation. The impact of vegetable prices on the CPI year - on - year may continue to increase, potentially adding an extra 0.2% to the November CPI year - on - year [4]. - Pork prices are still at historical lows, but there are signs of a bottom, and the base is starting to decline, so the negative drag on the CPI may gradually decrease. The situation of eggs is similar. The price of high - priced protein such as beef has risen significantly since April, and the beef CPI year - on - year in October was 5.6% [4]. PPI Factors - The PPI turning positive month - on - month is a positive signal. The improvement in supply - demand relations and input factors led to the first positive month - on - month PPI in October 2025 since November 2024. Future PPI trends depend on oil prices (which may have bottomed out as OPEC's production increase may end) and the effectiveness of anti - involution policies, as prices of coal, lithium, etc. have already risen [4]. Market Implications Bond Market - If inflation returns to 2% in 2026, bond yields will rise. Currently, most bond market investors are skeptical about a significant inflation rebound. If inflation readings rise, market expectations may reverse, which could lead to a 1 - 2 - month impact on the bond market and a yield increase of about 20bp, as seen in 2016 Q2 and 2019 [5]. Stock Market - The logic of paying attention to the possibility of inflation data rising also applies to the stock market. Believing in the "normalization of inflation" in advance can help capture the potential upside of pro - cyclical sectors [6]. Data Tables Table 1: CPI and PPI Data in October 2025 - It shows the month - on - month and year - on - year data of CPI and PPI from January to October 2025, including breakdowns of food, non - food, services, production materials, and living materials [40]. Table 2: Price Changes in Various Industries in October 2025 - It presents the month - on - month and year - on - year price changes of different industries such as mining, manufacturing, and public utilities in October 2025, and compares them with September data [41].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (maintained) [1][3]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, achieving 2.273 billion yuan, which represents a year-on-year growth of 109.02%. This growth is primarily driven by the increase in both sales volume and price of lithium iron phosphate products [3]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company was -243 million yuan, indicating a narrowing of losses by 53.18% year-on-year. The profitability outlook has been adjusted upwards due to the anticipated recovery in the lithium iron phosphate industry and increased demand driven by downstream battery applications [3]. - The company has accelerated its capacity expansion in lithium iron phosphate and its precursors, with a total capacity of 150,000 tons per year for both lithium iron phosphate and iron phosphate as of the first half of 2025. Ongoing projects include a 240,000 tons per year lithium iron phosphate project and a 45,000 tons per year precursor project [4]. Financial Summary - For the fiscal years 2023 to 2027, the projected revenue is expected to grow from 2.964 billion yuan in 2023 to 7.805 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 46% [7]. - The net profit is projected to improve from -634 million yuan in 2023 to 303 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a significant turnaround in profitability [7]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to transition from -1.06 yuan in 2023 to 0.51 yuan in 2027, indicating a positive shift in earnings potential [7].