Domestic Macro Policy - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes expanding domestic demand as a strategic foundation, aiming for GDP per capita to reach the level of moderately developed countries by 2035[2][9]. - The plan outlines that economic and social development should maintain an appropriate speed during the "15th Five-Year" period, with a focus on enhancing living standards and promoting consumption[9][10]. - Infrastructure policies include promoting the application of "AI + healthcare" and accelerating the cultivation of new application scenarios[3][11]. Monetary and Fiscal Policy - The central bank aims to narrow the short-term interest rate corridor and enhance the role of policy interest rates, with expectations of diverse monetary mechanisms by 2026[3][14]. - Fiscal policy will focus on optimizing expenditure structures and increasing the central government's financial contribution, with a goal to strengthen financial support for major strategic tasks and basic livelihood[3][16][17]. Real Estate and Trade Policies - Recent real estate policies aim to promote high-quality development, optimize the supply of affordable housing, and reform financing and sales systems[4][18]. - In trade, significant progress was made in US-China economic talks, with the US agreeing to suspend a 10% tariff on Chinese goods and a 24% tariff for one year[4][22][23]. International Monetary Policy - The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, with internal divisions on future rate decisions, while the European Central Bank and Bank of Japan maintained their rates[4][25]. - The US government remains in a state of partial shutdown, affecting economic data availability and future monetary policy decisions[4][25]. Risk Factors - There is a risk of continued divergence in domestic and international monetary policies, with concerns that domestic policy execution may fall short of expectations[5][29].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - China's exports have been consistently exceeding expectations due to the high cost - effectiveness of Chinese goods, a result of domestic "involution" and technological progress. Even after "anti - involution", China's price advantage is expected to last a long time because other countries' price increases are much faster than China's [6]. - There is no situation where exports will decline after the end of "rush - exports". The so - called "rush - exports" and "rush - imports" ended in April, but China's exports did not decline after that [5][6]. - The year - on - year decline in exports in October was mainly due to the base misalignment in September and October 2024. Trade frictions may have also affected the export rhythm in October. The key is to observe the high - frequency export data in November [6]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Event Overview - According to the General Administration of Customs, in October 2025, in US dollars, China's imports increased by 1.0% year - on - year (previous value +7.4%), decreased by 9.6% month - on - month (+8.5%); exports decreased by 1.1% year - on - year (+8.3%), decreased by 7.1% month - on - month (+2.1%); the trade surplus decreased by 5.9% year - on - year (+10.6%), decreased by 0.4% month - on - month (-11.6%). Exports had their first year - on - year negative growth since March 2025 [3]. Possible Reasons for the First Negative Growth of Exports since March 2025 - **Base factor**: Exports have obvious seasonal patterns. In 2024, September and October's data deviated from the seasonal pattern, while in 2025, it conformed. As a result, the base in September 2025 was extremely low, and in October 2025, it was extremely high, leading to a high year - on - year export growth rate of 8.3% in September 2025 and a low rate of - 1.1% in October 2025 [3]. - **Tariff interference**: Fewer working days in October, combined with tightened manufacturing exports due to unclear Sino - US negotiation results and the threat of 100% tariffs in trade frictions, may have interfered with October's exports. High - frequency export data was weak in mid - October but rebounded significantly in late October. If the high - frequency data in November is similar to that in late October, subsequent exports will still be strong [4]. - **"Rush - exports end, exports will decline" is a false proposition**: The US "rush - imports" ended in April. Since then, US imports have dropped significantly to 2024 levels. However, China's exports have not declined since April, indicating that this narrative may be wrong [5]. Bond Market Viewpoint - In the context of economic expectation correction, bond yields are expected to rise trend - wise. For stock and bond allocation, the report maintains its previous view [7].

Group 1 - The North Exchange 50 Index and the Specialized and Innovative Index will undergo adjustments on December 15, 2025, with the North Exchange 50 Index experiencing its fourth adjustment and the Specialized and Innovative Index its first adjustment [10][12][15] - The North Exchange 50 Index closed at 1,522.73 points, reflecting a weekly decline of 3.79%, while the Specialized and Innovative Index closed at 2,532.06 points, down 5.43% [31][32] - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on high-quality stocks and technology growth within the North Exchange 50 components, particularly those that have undergone significant price adjustments [3][42] Group 2 - The report identifies potential new additions to the North Exchange 50 Index, including companies such as Kaifa Technology, Gobika, and Wantong Hydraulic, with a focus on their average market capitalization and trading volume [12][13] - The North Exchange Specialized and Innovative Index is expected to include companies like Star Map Measurement and Senxuan Pharmaceutical, highlighting their market performance and growth potential [15][16] - The report suggests that the North Exchange's valuation structure shows a significant number of companies with high P/E ratios, indicating a potential investment opportunity in undervalued stocks [21][36][41] Group 3 - The report indicates that the average P/E ratio for key sectors such as high-end equipment, information technology, and chemical new materials are 42.83X, 91.31X, and 48.18X respectively, suggesting varying levels of valuation across industries [36][41] - The North Exchange's market performance shows a decline in trading volume, with an average daily turnover of 230.88 billion yuan, down 20.36% from the previous week [26][30] - The report highlights the importance of monitoring companies with strong quarterly performance and reasonable valuations as the North Exchange approaches its index adjustments [42][43]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (Maintain) [1] Core Views - The company has experienced significant revenue growth driven by its automotive and home appliance sectors, with a focus on expanding into new markets to create a second growth curve [4][5] - The company reported a revenue of 1.379 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 23.73%, and a net profit of 129 million yuan, up 41.87% year-on-year [3][4] - The company is expected to achieve record profits in 2025, supported by ongoing construction projects that will contribute to future performance [4] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to have revenues of 1.856 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 15.1% [7] - The net profit for 2025 is estimated at 154 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 27.1% [7] - The gross margin is expected to be 17.3% in 2025, with a net margin of 8.3% [7] - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 1.02 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19.8 times [7][11]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The flu virus is a highly pathogenic pathogen, emphasizing the importance of flu prevention and treatment [14] - The flu activity is on the rise, with northern regions reporting the highest number of cases in nearly four years [16] - The strategic significance of flu prevention and treatment is highlighted, with opportunities expected in the vaccine, diagnostic, and antiviral drug sectors [19] Summary by Sections Flu Virus and Its Impact - Influenza is a common respiratory infectious disease with a high transmission rate and seasonal patterns, affecting approximately 1 billion people globally each year, with 300,000 to 500,000 severe cases and 290,000 to 650,000 deaths related to respiratory diseases caused by influenza [15] - The flu activity has shown an upward trend, with the ILI% reported at 5.1% in northern provinces, exceeding levels from previous years [16] Market Performance - In the first week of November 2025, the pharmaceutical and biological sector declined by 2.4%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.22 percentage points, ranking 29th among 31 sub-industries [6][26] - The pharmaceutical circulation sector saw the highest increase, up by 1.59%, while the medical research outsourcing sector experienced the largest decline, down by 4.93% [26] Investment Opportunities - The flu prevention and treatment strategy is gaining importance, with structural opportunities expected in the vaccine, diagnostic, and antiviral drug industries due to low vaccination rates and ongoing virus mutations [19] - Specific companies benefiting from the flu season include Innotest and Ansun Biologics in the in vitro diagnostics sector, Huazhong Biological in the biological products sector, and Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical in the traditional Chinese medicine sector [5] Recommended Stocks - Monthly stock recommendations include: Sanofi, Innovent Biologics, Baillie Gifford, Frontier Biologics, Haofan Biologics, Aopumai, Shanghai Yizhong, WuXi Biologics, Zai Lab, and Fangsheng Pharmaceutical [7] - Weekly stock recommendations include: Yaokang Biologics, Bidu Pharmaceuticals, Haoyuan Pharmaceuticals, China Resources Sanjiu, Huadong Medicine, Sunshine Nuohuo, Yuekang Pharmaceuticals, Zhongsheng Pharmaceuticals, and Jichuan Pharmaceuticals [7]

行业走势图 房地产 2025 年 11 月 09 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 数据来源：聚源 -36% -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 2024-11 2025-03 2025-07 房地产 沪深300 相关研究报告 《去库存止跌回稳仍需加力，"好房 子"形成代差扩张需求—房地产行业 2026 年度投资策略》-2025.11.3 《新房成交面积环比增长，促进房地 产市场持续健康发展—行业周报》 -2025.11.2 《二手房成交面积环比增长，推动房 地产高质量发展 — 行 业 周 报 》 -2025.10.26 新房二手房成交面积同环比下降，福州发布预售新政 ——行业周报 | 齐东（分析师） | 胡耀文（分析师） | 杜致远（联系人） | | --- | --- | --- | | qidong@kysec.cn | huyaowen@kysec.cn | duzhiyuan@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790522010002 | 证书编号：S0790524070001 | 证书编号：S0790124070064 | 核心观点：新房二手房成交面积同环比下降，福州发布预售新政 本周我们跟 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report indicates that the rebound in pig prices may be nearing its end, with supply pressure leading to a potential bottoming out of prices. As of November 9, 2025, the average price of live pigs in China is 11.90 yuan/kg, down 0.30 yuan/kg week-on-week and down 4.80 yuan/kg year-on-year [3][12] - The report highlights that the entry of second-stage breeding is nearing its end, with high existing stock levels leading to price pressure ahead of the New Year. The proportion of second-stage breeding in actual sales was 2.12% from October 20-31, 2025, up 0.03 percentage points month-on-month and 0.20 percentage points year-on-year [4][19] - The report suggests that the ongoing losses in pig farming may accelerate the culling of sows, driven by multiple factors including policy adjustments and disease outbreaks. Recommended stocks include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others [5][27] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The report notes that the average weight of pigs being sold has increased to 128.30 kg per head, with a week-on-week increase of 0.40 kg and a year-on-year increase of 2.23 kg. The price difference between fat pigs and standard pigs has narrowed, indicating an increase in fat pig supply [3][12] - The report also mentions that the breeding stock of sows has decreased by 0.77% month-on-month as of October 2025, with the price of 7 kg piglets rebounding to 198 yuan/head due to rising pig prices [4][24] Weekly Market Performance - From November 3 to November 7, 2025, the agricultural sector underperformed the broader market by 0.29 percentage points, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.08% and the agricultural index rising by 0.79% [5][30] - The report highlights that the fishery sector led the gains among sub-sectors, with stocks like Jinxinnong, Yuegui, and Luoniushan showing significant increases [5][30] Price Tracking - As of November 7, 2025, the average price of live pigs is 11.91 yuan/kg, down 0.58 yuan/kg from the previous week, while the price of piglets is 18.93 yuan/kg, up 0.80 yuan/kg [5][38] - The report also tracks the prices of other agricultural products, noting increases in beef, shrimp, corn futures, and soybean meal futures [5][39][48] Key News - The report mentions that the National Bureau of Statistics reported a 10.1% month-on-month increase in the price of live pigs in late October 2025 [5][36] - It also notes that the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has released guidelines for the construction of a smart agriculture standard system [5][37] Feed Production - According to the China Feed Industry Association, the total industrial feed production in September 2025 was 30.36 million tons, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 3.4% [5][57] Import Data - In September 2025, pork imports totaled 80,000 tons, down 22.5% year-on-year, while chicken imports were 7,100 tons, down 75.2% year-on-year [5][54][55]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the computer industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that new government policies are expected to promote the large-scale commercialization of AI and other new technologies [5][12] - Continuous improvement in AI model capabilities and decreasing costs are driving the prosperity of AI applications [6][13] - AI Agents are emerging as a new trend in the application industry, with accelerated commercialization [7][14] Summary by Sections Market Review - During the week of November 3 to November 7, 2025, the CSI 300 index rose by 0.82%, while the computer index fell by 2.54% [4][16] Government Policies - The State Council issued an implementation opinion on accelerating the cultivation and large-scale application of new scenarios, which supports the construction of various integrated scenarios and promotes the efficient allocation of scene resources [5][12] AI Model Development - Since 2025, global model innovation has entered a high-quality development phase, with significant improvements in model capabilities and reductions in costs. For instance, the input price of GPT-5 is 37.5% lower than that of GPT-4.1 [6][13] AI Agent Innovations - AI Agents are redefining software services, with predictions that by 2028, at least 15% of daily work decisions will be made autonomously by agentic AI. Recent innovations include new execution modes that enhance efficiency [7][14] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies in the AI application sector, including Kingsoft Office, Hehe Information, Dingjie Smart, and others, as beneficiaries of the new policies [8][15]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The low-altitude economy is experiencing significant growth, with multiple orders signed at the China International Import Expo, indicating strong market demand and potential for future expansion [17][19] - Strategic collaborations, such as the partnership between Shenzhou Car Rental and Volant, are enhancing the integration of ground and air transportation services, which is expected to improve operational efficiency and customer experience [23] - The establishment of manufacturing bases and headquarters in Shanghai by companies like Shizhi Technology is expected to drive the development of the advanced manufacturing industry in the Yangtze River Delta region [25] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Sector Review - The average weekly change for the low-altitude economy sector was +0.3%, with Wanzhe Co. leading the gains at +30.3% [4][10] - The top five gainers included Wanzhe Co. (+30.3%), Keli Co. (+17.5%), and Yunlu Co. (+16.1%), while the top five losers included Hangxin Technology (-17.2%) and Lingnan Holdings (-10.6%) [10][12] 2. Industry Dynamics - Shenzhou Car Rental and Volant signed a strategic cooperation agreement to develop a "ground + air" commuting solution, marking a significant step in the integration of transportation services [23] - On November 8, Jinan signed contracts for eight low-altitude economic projects, including the AS700 manned airship delivery center, which will support low-altitude tourism and emergency command scenarios [24] 3. Individual Company Developments - Shizhi Technology announced the establishment of its headquarters and manufacturing base in Shanghai, securing a 700 million yuan credit line and signing a procurement agreement for 100 eVTOLs [25] - Volant signed agreements for 95 eVTOLs at the Import Expo, totaling 2.375 billion yuan, and secured a high-level commercial passenger eVTOL order [26] - Yufeng Future showcased its upgraded passenger eVTOL product and signed intention orders for 200 eVTOLs, exceeding 2 billion yuan in total [27]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The solid-state battery sector is transitioning from laboratory stages to mass production validation, with expectations for small batch vehicle trials by the end of 2025 and widespread trials in 2026-2027. Emerging applications in low-altitude, robotics, and AI are expected to expand the market for solid-state batteries, accelerating industrialization [24][28][30] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The solid-state battery index increased by 3.1% during the week from November 3 to November 7, 2025, with a cumulative increase of 67.8% since December 31, 2024. In comparison, the CSI 300 index rose by 18.9% during the same period [4][10][11] Recent Developments - On November 6, 2025, Haimeixing announced it successfully established a complete production process for lithium metal solid-state batteries, securing the industry's first commercial order for high-energy lithium metal solid-state battery equipment, valued at 400 million yuan for a scale of 2GWh. The company is also advancing its full-chain layout for sulfide solid-state battery equipment [28][29] - A strategic cooperation agreement was signed between Huitian New Materials and Tailan New Energy on November 3, 2025, focusing on joint research and development of solid-state battery adhesives, addressing technical challenges such as ionic conductivity and solid-solid interface bonding [30][31] Individual Stock Performance - The top five performing stocks during the week included Huasheng Lithium Battery (+61.2%), Sanxiang New Materials (+20.6%), and Tianji Shares (+17.4%). Conversely, the stocks with the largest declines were Naconoer (-9.9%), Honggong Technology (-9.7%), and Haicheng Pharmaceutical (-9.4%) [16][20][22] Industry Dynamics - A joint venture agreement was signed on November 6, 2025, between Lichun Group's subsidiary and Kunlun New Materials to accelerate the commercialization of sulfide and oxide electrolytes through research, trial production, and equity investment [26] - The fifth xEV Battery Technology Forum and the third Solid-State Battery Technology Industry Conference were held in Shanghai on November 3-4, 2025, where industry players disclosed significant technological breakthroughs [27]