基础化工/化学制品 拟收购诺亚氟化工 15.7147%股权，进军氟化液液冷领域 2025 年 12 月 22 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/12/19 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 18.27 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 26.40/15.43 | | 总市值(亿元) | 153.77 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 153.77 | | 总股本(亿股) | 8.42 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 8.42 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 109.88 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 金石资源 沪深300 相关研究报告 《Q3 净利润环比+84.69%，营收创历 史新高，各项目潜力不断释放—公司 信息更新报告》-2025.10.29 《2025H1 营收大幅创新高，各项目进 展较好，短期承压不改长期成长—公 司信息更新报告》-2025.8.23 《2024 营收创新高，各项目进展较好， 压力释放或重归增长—公司信息更新 报告》-2025.4.24 ——公司信 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - Major tech companies are accelerating the upgrade of multimodal AI models, which is expected to enhance content production efficiency and diversity, while also increasing demand for inference computing power [4][30] - The gaming sector is anticipated to maintain high prosperity due to new game launches and ongoing operations of evergreen games, with recommendations to increase investments in this area [4][29] Industry Data Overview - "Delta Operation" ranked first in the iOS game free list in mainland China, while "Honor of Kings" topped the iOS game revenue list [10][14] - The film "Zootopia 2" achieved the highest box office for the week [10][25] Industry News Summary - Major companies are continuously investing in large models, with the domestic gaming market reaching new highs in both scale and user numbers [28] - Google’s Gemini 3 Flash has broken the "performance-cost-speed" Pareto frontier, while domestic giants are increasing resource allocation for continuous iteration of large models [28][29] - The launch of the new Alibaba model supports role-playing functions and is the most comprehensive video generation model globally [29] - Tencent's mixed world model 1.5 allows for the creation of interactive worlds from text or images, enhancing the gaming experience [29] - The Doubao large model has seen a significant increase in daily token processing volume, indicating robust growth in AI applications [31][32]

2025 年 12 月 22 日 开源晨会 1222 ——晨会纪要 | 沪深300 | 及创业板指数近1年走势 | | 吴梦迪（分析师） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪深300 | | 创业板指 | wumengdi@kysec.cn | | 60% | | | 证书编号：S0790521070001 | | 40% | | | 观点精粹 | | 20% | | | | | 0% | | | 总量视角 | | -20% | | | 【宏观经济】加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度——宏观周报-20251221 | | -40% | | | 【宏观经济】核心服务带动美国通胀超预期下行——美国11月CPI点评-20251219 | | 2024-12 | 2025-04 | 2025-08 | 【策略】牛市眼光看后市，震荡思维买当下——投资策略周报-20251221 | | 数据来源：聚源 | | | 【固定收益】政府性基金支出当月同比转正——2025 年 月财政数据点评 11 | | 昨日涨跌幅前五行业 | | | -20251219 | | 行业名称 | | 涨跌幅(%) | 【金融工程 ...

REITs REITs 市场单周各板块均有所回调，发行市场保持活 2025 年 12 月 21 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -12% 0% 12% 24% 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 中证REITs全收益 沪深300 相关研究报告 《提升全社会资源配置效率，保障房 REITs 单周表现优异—行业周报》 -2025.12.14 《稳步发展 REITs 和资产证券化， 发行市场保持活跃—行业周报》 -2025.12.7 《基础设施 REITs 将进一步扩围， 保障房 REITs 单周表现优异—行业 周报》-2025.11.30 | qidong@kysec.cn | | --- | | 证书编号：S0790522010002 | | 齐东（分析师） | 胡耀文（分析师） | 杜致远（联系人） | | --- | --- | --- | | qidong@kysec.cn | huyaowen@kysec.cn | duzhiyuan@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790522010002 | 证书编号：S0790524070001 | 证书编号：S0790 ...

2025 年 12 月 21 日 中小盘研究团队 重视火箭核心环节的投资机会 ——中小盘周报 | 周佳（分析师） | 张越（分析师） | 赵晨旭（联系人） | | --- | --- | --- | | zhoujia@kysec.cn | zhangyue1@kysec.cn | zhaochenxu@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790523070004 | 证书编号：S0790524090003 | 证书编号：S0790124120019 | 本周专题：重视火箭核心环节的投资机会 火箭作为一台精密的分级飞行器，需要分级推动载荷入轨。以二级火箭为例，其 结构可以拆分为整流罩、载荷、载荷支架、仪器舱、液氢舱、液氧舱、二级发动 机、一二级间段、一级氧化剂箱、一级箱间段、一级燃料箱、一级发动机、助推 器头锥以及助推器发动机。 整流罩位于火箭顶部，作用包括保护卫星、载荷等；贮箱是火箭的主体结构，累 计长度占火箭总长度约三分之二，占据了箭体 60%的质量，用于储存液氢和液 氧推进剂；液体火箭结构复杂，但具备运载能力强等优势。液体推进剂平时储存 在贮箱内，工作时再输送进发动机燃烧室；而固体推进剂原本就贮存在 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the social services industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the activation of cross-border trade and duty-free consumption in Hainan following the official launch of the Hainan Free Trade Port on December 18, 2025, which is expected to enhance the investment environment for high-end manufacturing and biomedicine sectors [14][21] - The short drama market is experiencing significant growth, with overseas short drama in-app purchases projected to reach $3.8 billion in 2025, reflecting a 153% year-on-year increase, indicating a shift in content consumption patterns [22][25] - The fashion consumption sector is evolving, with professional sports brands like Lululemon becoming new benchmarks for the middle class, driven by the integration of functionality, fashion expression, and lifestyle [32][33] - The "oil skincare" segment is witnessing high growth, with Lin Qingxuan emerging as the leading brand, achieving a 212% growth in GMV across three platforms in 2025 [40][41] Summary by Sections Hainan Free Trade Port - The Hainan Free Trade Port's launch has led to a direct increase in cross-border trade, with zero tariff policies driving significant growth in imports, particularly in high-end manufacturing and biomedicine [14][15] - Duty-free sales have surged, with a 61% year-on-year increase in shopping amounts on the first day of the port's operation, indicating strong consumer demand [15][18] Short Drama Market - The overseas short drama market is projected to exceed traditional film box office revenues, with a notable increase in demand from the Middle East, which is becoming a new market for Chinese short dramas [22][27] - The platform DramaBite, under Chi Zi Cheng Technology, has seen significant user engagement, with 3.46 million downloads in the past year [30] Fashion Consumption - The report identifies three key trends in fashion consumption: the integration of sports into daily life, the rise of outdoor brands as fashion symbols, and the awakening of specific consumer needs for tailored products [32] - Online sales for professional sports brands have shown remarkable growth, with Lululemon achieving over 5 billion yuan in online sales and maintaining a 51% growth rate [33][36] Oil Skincare Segment - The "oil skincare" market is projected to grow significantly, with the market size for facial and eye oils expected to exceed 11 billion yuan by 2025, driven by changing consumer perceptions [40][42] - Lin Qingxuan leads the market with a 12.4% share, supported by a robust supply chain and innovative product development [41][60]

汽车 汽车 2025 年 12 月 21 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 汽车 沪深300 汽车研究团队 邓健全（首席分析师） 证书编号：S0790525090003 赵悦媛（联席首席分析师） 证书编号：S0790525100003 赵旭杨（分析师） 证书编号：S0790523090002 傅昌鑫（分析师） 证书编号：S0790525090005 徐剑峰（分析师） 证书编号：S0790525090004 王镇涛（研究员） 证书编号：S0790124070021 相关研究报告 《"两新"政策有望优化实施，客车 行 业 出 口 加 速 — 行 业 周 报 》 -2025.12.14 《鸿蒙智行尊界 S800 轿车 11 月交付 破 2000 台，宇树科技完成 IPO 辅导— 行业周报》-2025.12.7 《特斯拉 FSD V14.2.1 上线，长安汽车 拟 2.25 亿元参与设立机器人公司—行 业周报》-2025.11.30 首批 L3 级自动驾驶车型获准入许可，全球首条具身 智能机器人电池产线在宁德 ...

《煤价合理才是常态，稳煤价逻辑依 旧—行业周报》-2025.12.14 《重视煤价四段轮推断，稳煤价依旧 —行业周报》-2025.12.7 《煤价第四目标上穿过程兑现，稳价 逻辑依旧—行业周报》-2025.11.30 张绪成（分析师） 程镱（分析师） zhangxucheng@kysec.cn 煤炭 2025 年 12 月 21 日 重视煤价合理才是常态，稳煤价逻辑依旧 ——行业周报 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -19% -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 煤炭 沪深300 相关研究报告 证书编号：S0790520020003 chengyi@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790525090001 本周要闻回顾：重视煤价合理才是常态，稳煤价逻辑依旧 动力煤方面：动力煤价格小跌，截至 12 月 19 日，秦港 Q5500 动力煤平仓价为 703 元/吨，环比下降 50 元/吨，广州港价格为 780 元/吨，前期已经完成了我们估算的 第四目标价格区间，即 800-860 元区间。目前回调至煤电盈利均分的 750 元价格以 下，我们预计未 ...

电力 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 2025 年 12 月 21 日 数据来源：聚源 -14% -7% 0% 7% 14% 22% 29% 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 电力 沪深300 相关研究报告 《日本首份聚变供电协议签署，BEST 订单持续释放—可控核聚变行业周 报》-2025.12.13 《九院中标 5 亿氚工厂项目，NIF 完 成第十次点火—可控核聚变行业周 报》-2025.12.7 《BEST 研究计划首次发布，美国启动 创世纪计划—可控核聚变行业周报》 -2025.11.30 TMTG 并购 TAE 打造全球首家商业聚变上市公司 ——行业周报 风险提示：商业化进度不及预期、资金投入不及预期、技术路线变化风险。 | 周磊（分析师） | 黄懿轩（联系人） | | --- | --- | | zhoulei1@kysec.cn | huangyixuan1@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790524090002 | 证书编号：S0790125070014 | 板块回顾：多数细分环节下跌，个股跌多涨少，回吐月内涨幅 本周（20251215-20251219）可控核聚变 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report indicates that the pig price is supported by both supply and demand factors as the year-end approaches, with expectations for an upward trend in prices before the Spring Festival [3][4] - The report highlights that the pig farming sector is experiencing losses, which may accelerate the reduction of stock, while the pet sector is seeing a rise in domestic brands due to consumption upgrades and tariff barriers [5][29] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - As of December 21, 2025, the national average price of live pigs is 11.41 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.15 yuan/kg and a year-on-year decrease of 3.71 yuan/kg [3][13] - The average weight of pigs sold is 130.18 kg per head, with a week-on-week increase of 0.55 kg [3][13] - The supply of pork may be tight leading up to the Spring Festival, with expectations for prices to rise [3][13] Weekly Insights - The pig farming sector is facing increasing losses, and the reduction of stock may accelerate due to various factors including policy and disease [5][24] - Recommendations include companies such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others in the pig farming sector [5][24] Market Performance (December 15-19) - The agricultural index increased by 0.87%, outperforming the market by 0.84 percentage points [6][30] - Leading stocks include Zhongxing Junye (+18.42%), Xibu Muye (+14.64%), and Xiwang Food (+13.84%) [6][30] Price Tracking (December 15-19) - The average price of live pigs is 11.58 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.10 yuan/kg [7][37] - The average price of piglets is 19.02 yuan/kg, with a slight decrease of 0.02 yuan/kg [7][37] - The average price of white feathered chickens is 7.35 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.27 yuan/kg [7][37] Key News (December 15-19) - The Ministry of Commerce announced anti-dumping duties on imported pork and related products from the EU starting December 17, 2025 [35]