Group 1 - The pesticide industry is experiencing a continuous recovery, with significant improvement in profitability. Several pesticide companies have reported substantial profit increases for the first half of 2025, with Xinda Co. achieving a net profit of approximately 130 million to 150 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2443.43% to 2834.73%, and Limin Co. reporting a net profit of about 260 million to 280 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 719.25% to 782.27% [1][9][10] - The main reasons for the profit growth in the pesticide sector include increases in both product sales and prices. Although pesticide prices are currently at historical lows, improvements in domestic and international supply and steady growth in end-user demand may lead to price turning points for certain pesticide varieties [1][9][13] - The global pesticide market is projected to grow steadily, with an estimated market size of 1,582.375 billion yuan in 2024, expected to reach 1,998.533 billion yuan by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 3.97% [13] Group 2 - The chemical new materials sector on the North Exchange has seen a weekly increase of 2.60%, ranking second among five major industries, only behind the consumer services sector, which rose by 3.59% [2][21] - The performance of sub-sectors within the chemical new materials industry has been mixed, with notable increases in metal new materials (+4.21%), non-metal materials (+6.65%), and rubber and plastic products (+1.03%), while textile manufacturing and professional technical services experienced declines [2][22][23] - Key companies in the chemical new materials sector have shown significant stock performance, with Benlang New Materials rising by 35.14%, Silane Technology by 11.74%, and Kaida Catalysis by 9.26% [2][23][27] Group 3 - Jiashan Co. plans to establish a new electronic materials intermediate project with an annual production capacity of 1,000 tons, focusing on photolithography raw materials, with an estimated total investment of approximately 80 million yuan [3][47] - The company aims to enhance its product variety and strengthen its market position in the high-end photolithography raw materials sector, which is experiencing significant growth opportunities [3][47]

Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing macroeconomic adjustments aimed at addressing "involution" in corporate competition, emphasizing the need for quality improvement and orderly exit of outdated capacities [7][8][9] - The A-share market has shown resilience despite external uncertainties, with significant participation from retail investors and a focus on sectors like technology and finance [12][15][19] - The solid-state battery industry is accelerating its industrialization, with key milestones set for 2027 and 2030, indicating a robust growth trajectory [35][36] Macro Economic Analysis - Recent macro policies focus on promoting a unified national market and addressing low-price competition among enterprises, with an emphasis on enhancing product quality [7][8] - The construction and cement industries are implementing "anti-involution" measures, including production cuts to stabilize the market [8] - Consumer policies are being optimized to stimulate spending, with initiatives like tax refunds and subsidies to boost consumption [8] Market Strategy - The report identifies two main opportunities in the market: the resurgence of new stocks and thematic investments in deep-sea technology, which are expected to outperform in the current economic climate [13][19] - A suggested investment strategy includes a diversified approach focusing on technology, military, finance, and stable dividend stocks, alongside gold [19] Industry Insights - The solid-state battery sector is experiencing rapid advancements, with companies like Ningde Times and others making significant progress towards mass production [35][36] - The REITs market is showing strong performance, with environmental REITs leading the way, indicating a favorable investment environment for income-generating assets [39][41] - The non-bank financial sector is witnessing a positive outlook, particularly for brokerage firms, as they report better-than-expected mid-year results [44][45] Company Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the liquor industry, such as Kweichow Moutai and Shanxi Fenjiu, as they are expected to recover from recent demand pressures [32][33] - In the semiconductor sector, companies involved in probe station equipment are highlighted for their growth potential, driven by increasing domestic demand and technological advancements [29][27]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the prices of thermal coal and coking coal are on the rebound, suggesting a turning point in the market [4][12] - The fundamentals for thermal coal remain favorable, with a current price of 632 CNY/ton for Qinhuangdao Q5500 thermal coal, reflecting a 3.8% increase from the lowest price of 609 CNY/ton earlier this year [3][4] - Coking coal prices have also seen significant increases, with the price at Jing Tang Port reaching 1350 CNY/ton, a 9.76% rise from the previous low of 1230 CNY/ton [4][20] Summary by Sections Investment Logic - Thermal coal is categorized as a policy coal type, with expectations for prices to rebound towards long-term contract prices around 670 CNY/ton, potentially exceeding 700 CNY/ton if favorable fundamentals persist [4][12] - Coking coal is more influenced by market dynamics, with current prices indicating a state of overselling, and supply-side tightening expected due to policy changes [4][12] Key Indicators Overview - The report highlights a slight decrease of 1.08% in the coal sector, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.9 percentage points [7] - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for the coal sector is 11.48, and the price-to-book (PB) ratio is 1.18, indicating relatively low valuations compared to other sectors [9] Thermal Coal Market Insights - As of July 11, the inventory at ports has decreased by 19% from the highest level of 3316.3 million tons earlier this year, currently standing at 26.89 million tons [3][4] - Daily coal consumption in coastal provinces has increased to 2.148 million tons, driven by seasonal demand [4][19] Coking Coal Market Insights - The report notes a significant rebound in coking coal prices, with futures rising from 719 CNY to 913 CNY, a cumulative increase of 27% [4][20] - The average daily pig iron production remains high at 2.408 million tons, although there are signs of potential declines due to seasonal factors [4][20] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a dual logic of cycles and dividends for investment in the coal sector, identifying four main lines for stock selection: dividend logic, cyclical logic, diversified aluminum elasticity, and growth logic [5][13] - Specific companies recommended for investment include China Shenhua, China Coal Energy, and Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry [5][13]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [9] Core Viewpoints - The continuous release of significant models, such as the Li Auto i8, is expected to create opportunities for automakers, particularly in the family SUV market, with a focus on product details and innovation to meet user needs [3][22] - The automotive industry is undergoing unprecedented transformation due to smart technology, with advancements in AI and autonomous driving expected to unlock vast market potential [3][24] - Domestic parts manufacturers are benefiting from local substitution and overseas expansion, with opportunities arising from entering the robot sector [4][24] Summary by Sections Weekly Market Review - The A-share automotive sector experienced a decline of 0.41% this week, ranking 30th among SW primary industries, while the cumulative increase since 2025 is 7.77%, ranking 14th [12][14] Weekly Highlights - Key events include the pre-order launch of the Li Auto i8 on July 17 and its official release on July 29, as well as BYD's global debut of L4-level smart parking technology [5][25][29] Investment Recommendations - Recommended automakers include XPeng Motors, SAIC Group, BYD, Changan Automobile, Great Wall Motors, and Leap Motor. Beneficiary stocks include Seres, JAC Motors, GAC Group, BAIC Blue Valley, Li Auto, and Geely [6][33] - In the parts sector, focus on Huayang Group, Desay SV, Joyson Electronics, and others, with beneficiary stocks including Bertel, Bolong Technology, and Horizon Robotics [6][33] Industry News - The China Automobile Association reported that in the first half of 2025, automotive production and sales exceeded 15 million units, with a year-on-year growth of over 10% [32] - The association predicts that new energy vehicle sales will surpass 16 million units in 2025, accounting for over 50% of total sales [32][31]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights the rapid growth of instant retail, with daily order volumes for Taobao Flash Sale and Meituan Flash Sale reaching new highs, indicating a competitive landscape among major platforms [5][25] - The report emphasizes the shift in the instant retail industry from speed competition to comprehensive strength competition, driven by significant investments from major e-commerce platforms [26] - The report suggests focusing on high-quality companies in high-growth sectors driven by emotional consumption themes [8][29] Summary by Sections Retail Market Review - The retail industry index rose by 2.20% during the week of July 7 to July 11, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.11 percentage points [7][14] - The internet e-commerce sector showed the largest increase among retail sub-sectors, with a weekly rise of 4.37% [17][20] Retail Insights: Instant Retail Competition - Taobao Flash Sale and Meituan Flash Sale reported daily order volumes exceeding 80 million and 150 million, respectively, contributing significantly to market growth [5][25] - Major platforms are implementing substantial subsidy programs to support merchant transformations, indicating a trend towards a three-way competitive landscape [26] Focus on High-Growth Quality Companies - Investment themes include: - **Gold and Jewelry**: Focus on brands with differentiated product offerings, recommending companies like Laopuhuangjin and Chaohongji [8][29] - **Offline Retail**: Emphasizing companies that adapt to trends, with recommendations for Yonghui Supermarket and Aiyingshi [8][29] - **Cosmetics**: Highlighting domestic brands with strong differentiation, recommending brands like Maogeping and Pola [8][29] - **Medical Aesthetics**: Focusing on companies with differentiated product lines, recommending Aimeike and Kedi-B [8][29] Company-Specific Insights - **Zhou Dafu**: FY2025 revenue of 89.66 billion HKD (-17.5%), net profit of 5.916 billion HKD (-9.0%), focusing on product structure optimization [31][36] - **Laopuhuangjin**: FY2024 revenue of 8.506 billion CNY (+167.5%), net profit of 1.473 billion CNY (+253.9%), benefiting from brand expansion [31][36] - **Chaohongji**: 2025Q1 revenue of 2.252 billion CNY (+25.4%), net profit of 189 million CNY (+44.4%), driven by differentiated product offerings [31][39] - **Mao Ge Ping**: FY2024 revenue of 3.885 billion CNY (+34.6%), net profit of 881 million CNY (+33.0%), focusing on high-end cosmetics [31][39] - **Polaya**: FY2024 revenue of 10.778 billion CNY (+21.0%), net profit of 1.552 billion CNY (+30.0%), maintaining a strong position in the domestic market [31][39]

REITs 2025 年 07 月 13 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -19% -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 2024-07 2024-11 2025-03 沪深300 中证REITs全收益 相关研究报告 两只 REITs 启动认购，鹏华前海万科 REIT 封闭运作期满 华夏华电清洁能源 REIT（基金代码：508016）将于 2025 年 7 月 7 日至 7 月 8 日 正式发售，发售价格为 3.789 元/份，拟募资总额为 18.945 亿元。创金合信首农 REIT 募集期为 2025 年 7 月 7 日至 7 月 8 日，发售价格为 3.685 元/份，其中网下 认购 131.30 倍。鹏华前海万科 REITs 于 2025 年 7 月 7 日封闭运作期届满，7 月 8 日转为上市开放式基金（LOF），基金份额继续在深交所上市交易,成为首只转 型为上市开放式基金（LOF）的公募 REITs。鹏华前海万科 REITs 的基金合同于 2015 年 7 月 6 日生效，当年 9 月 30 日起在深交所上市交易。鹏华前海万科 REITs 发行，是国内市场最早的面向社会大众 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The return of everyday dining and the rise of home-cooked meals are significant trends, with the market for casual dining exceeding 1.2 trillion RMB, emphasizing high cost-performance [5][58] - The creator economy, particularly in the music streaming sector, is experiencing stable growth, with platforms enhancing their bargaining power through non-music content [22][24] - The casual dining market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.1% from 2023 to 2028, reaching 55.87 billion RMB by 2028 [56][58] Summary by Sections 1. Trend in Casual Dining - The average spending on Chinese dining has decreased from 87.6 RMB in 2023 to 79.2 RMB in 2024, a decline of 9.6% [53][55] - The casual dining market is characterized by a shift towards high cost-performance and practicality, with a significant increase in home cooking frequency [53][56] - The market for affordable casual dining (under 100 RMB per meal) is the largest segment, accounting for 88.7% of the total dining market, with a current size of 36.18 billion RMB [56][58] 2. Creator Economy and Music Streaming - The global music streaming market is projected to reach over 20.4 billion USD in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 7.3% [27][30] - Subscription users in the music streaming sector are expected to grow to 263 million in 2024, reflecting an increase of 11% year-on-year [30] - Spotify's market penetration in emerging markets is driving user growth, with a CAGR of 35% from 2021 to 2025 [26][30] 3. Trends in Toy and Creator Economy - The online sales of trendy toys in June 2025 reached 1.348 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 16% [12][14] - The sales of blind boxes and plush toys showed strong performance, with blind boxes growing by 109% year-on-year [12][13] - The creator economy is bolstered by the growth of non-music content, enhancing platforms' bargaining power [22][24] 4. Beauty and Personal Care Market - The skincare market on Tmall has seen a concentration increase, with the top 20 brands accounting for 46.2% of the total GMV [66] - Domestic brands have seen a decline in both quantity and market share, while international brands have experienced double-digit growth [66][67]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The food and beverage index increased by 0.8% from July 7 to July 11, ranking 23rd among 28 sectors, performing in line with the CSI 300 index. The sub-sectors of liquor (+1.4%), health products (+1.4%), and beer (+1.2%) showed relatively strong performance [11][12] - The current liquor market is experiencing downward pressure due to unexpected restrictions on alcohol consumption, leading to a decline in demand. However, it is anticipated that the liquor sector will find a bottom in the second half of the year, presenting potential investment opportunities [11][12] - The report suggests focusing on leading liquor companies such as Kweichow Moutai, Luzhou Laojiao, Shanxi Fenjiu, and others for strategic investments. Additionally, it recommends identifying high-quality new consumption companies that align with industry trends for long-term holding [11][12] Summary by Sections Weekly Insights - Strategic focus on leading liquor companies and maintaining high-quality new consumption stocks. The liquor sector is expected to stabilize and present investment opportunities in the second half of the year [11][12] Market Performance - The food and beverage index's performance is consistent with the broader market, with specific sub-sectors like liquor and health products outperforming [12][13] Upstream Data - Some upstream raw material prices are declining, with whole milk powder prices showing a year-on-year increase of 19.9%, while fresh milk prices have decreased by 6.5% year-on-year [15][20] Liquor Industry News - The market price of Kweichow Moutai has been steadily increasing, indicating a recovery in market confidence. Other companies are also taking measures to stabilize their pricing strategies [39] Recommended Portfolio - Recommended stocks include Kweichow Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, Ximai Food, and others, focusing on companies with strong growth potential and favorable market conditions [4][45]

Investment Rating - Investment rating for the power equipment industry is "Positive" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The industry is experiencing accelerated industrialization across all segments, with timelines for vehicle testing set for 2027 and large-scale applications expected by 2030 [12][26] - Solid-state batteries are transitioning from laboratory stages to mass production validation, with small-scale vehicle testing anticipated by the end of 2025 and widespread testing expected in 2026-2027 [28] - Emerging applications in low-altitude, robotics, and AI are expected to open up market opportunities for solid-state batteries, accelerating industrialization [28] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The solid-state battery index increased by 0.7% from July 7 to July 11, 2025, with a cumulative increase of 19.0% for the year [12][13] - The average performance of solid-state battery-related stocks was -0.8% during the same period [12][30] Industry Dynamics - Significant advancements in solid-state battery technology have been reported, including the development of a new silicon-based anode material that enhances stability and performance [34] - A major tender for a hybrid storage system combining semi-solid lithium batteries and sodium batteries was announced, indicating ongoing investment in energy storage solutions [35] Company Developments - Sanxiang New Materials has begun small-scale supply of zirconium-based halide materials to downstream battery companies [36] - Jiayuan Technology expects to achieve a total production capacity of over 130,000 tons by 2025, with solid-state battery copper foil shipments projected at around 100 tons [37] - Haopeng Technology has completed validation of a high-safety semi-solid battery and has received bulk orders from clients [38] - Junpu Intelligent has entered a strategic partnership with Enli Power to accelerate the industrialization of solid-state batteries [39]

Group 1 - The report highlights optimism for the export of air separation equipment and the development of smart fire safety systems under urban renewal policies, indicating a market space exceeding 100 billion yuan for air separation equipment [3][13][14] - Air separation equipment is crucial for producing industrial gases and is widely used in various industries such as coal chemical, petrochemical, metallurgy, and nuclear power [3][13] - The company Fostar has established a strong brand presence in overseas markets due to its quality certifications, customer resources, project experience, and competitive pricing [14][15][16] Group 2 - Urban renewal policies have been continuously introduced since 2025, focusing on creating livable, resilient, and smart cities, which has led to a significant demand for upgrading fire safety systems in older residential areas [3][17][18] - The report mentions that as of the end of 2024, contracts for urban renewal projects in Beijing have exceeded 50%, indicating a robust market for fire safety equipment upgrades [19] - Qingniao Fire Safety, a leading company in fire alarm systems, is actively exploring the market for upgrading fire safety equipment in existing buildings, focusing on intelligent upgrades and integrated safety solutions [19] Group 3 - The probe station market, a key testing equipment in semiconductor manufacturing, has shown strong growth potential, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.28% from 2013 to 2023 in mainland China [5][14] - The demand for probe stations is closely linked to advancements in semiconductor manufacturing processes and increased production volumes, with domestic leaders like Xidian accelerating the pace of domestic substitution [5][14] - The report indicates that Xidian's market share in China reached 25.7% in 2023, reflecting a strengthening trend towards domestic replacement of imported equipment [5][14]