Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the acceleration of commercial aerospace development due to the refined listing standards for commercial rocket companies by the Shanghai Stock Exchange [4][13] - The domestic satellite internet sector is rapidly developing, with various factors contributing to its growth, including supportive policies, technological readiness, and capital investment [5][15] - The report identifies four core investment themes: "Optical, Liquid Cooling, Domestic Computing Power, and Satellite" [7][17] Summary by Sections 1. Investment Outlook - The Shanghai Stock Exchange has detailed the listing standards for commercial rocket companies, focusing on their "hard technology" attributes and requiring clear technical advantages [4][14] - The satellite internet industry is supported by government policies, technological advancements, and private capital, with different segments of the industry expected to benefit variably [5][15][16] 2. Market Review - The communication index fell by 4.07% during the week of December 22-26, 2025, ranking second among TMT sectors [27] 3. Communication Data Tracking - As of November 2025, China has 4.83 million 5G base stations, with a net increase of 579,000 stations from the end of 2024 [28] - The number of 5G mobile phone users reached 1.193 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19.06% [28] - 5G mobile phone shipments in November 2025 totaled 27.614 million units, accounting for 91.6% of total shipments, with a year-on-year growth of 1.08% [28] 4. Operator Performance - The report highlights strong growth in innovative business areas for major operators, with China Mobile's cloud revenue reaching 56.1 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, up 11.3% year-on-year [47] - China Telecom's Tianyi Cloud revenue for the same period was 57.3 billion yuan, reflecting a 3.8% increase [47] - The ARPU values for major operators have remained relatively stable, with slight decreases noted for China Unicom [47][52][56]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The retail industry is experiencing a transformation with a focus on emotional consumption and innovative product offerings, particularly in the jewelry and cosmetics sectors [6][33] - Companies like潮宏基 and毛戈平 are leveraging multi-channel strategies to enhance brand visibility and product sales, indicating a strong market presence [26][31] Summary by Sections Retail Market Overview - The retail index closed at 2462.73 points, with a weekly increase of 0.16%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 1.88% [5][15] - The retail sector has seen a year-to-date increase of 10.00%, lagging behind the Shanghai Composite Index's 18.26% rise [15][19] Company Highlights - **潮宏基**: Achieved a revenue of 62.37 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, up 28.4% year-on-year, with a net profit of 3.17 billion yuan, reflecting a 0.3% increase [42] - **毛戈平**: Launched the "琉光赋活" skincare series, set to debut on January 1, 2026, focusing on high-end skincare needs [31] - **周大福**: Reported a revenue of 389.86 billion HKD for FY2026H1, a slight decrease of 1.1%, but with a net profit increase of 0.1% [39] Investment Themes - **Gold and Jewelry**: Focus on brands with differentiated product offerings and consumer insights, recommending潮宏基 and老铺黄金 as key players [6][33] - **Offline Retail**: Emphasis on companies adapting to market changes, with recommendations for永辉超市 and爱婴室 [6][33] - **Cosmetics**: Highlighting brands that innovate with emotional value and safe ingredients, recommending毛戈平 and珀莱雅 [6][34] - **Medical Aesthetics**: Targeting differentiated product manufacturers and expanding medical aesthetic chains, with recommendations for爱美客 and科笛-B [6][34]

2025 年 12 月 27 日 2026 年债市展望：10 年国债收益率或重回 2%-3%波动 固定收益研究团队 ——固收专题 陈曦（分析师） 刘伟（分析师） chenxi2@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790521100002 liuwei1@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524070008 2025 年债市以估值修复为主 2025 年债市的三次估值修复。（1）2025 年初，短端债券的估值修复，（2）2025 年 7 月，长端和超长端债券的估值修复，（3）2025 年 11 月，超长端债券的 估值修复。 2026 年的预期差或是通胀超预期回升 我们认为，2026 年第一个预期差，或是通胀超市场预期回升。 当前市场对于通胀的预期为物价水平低位稳定，对应 2026 年下半年 PPI 同比 为 0%左右。背后或是因为，对 2025 年 7-10 月 PPI 定基指数横盘震荡的线性 外推，即反内卷力度温和和需求平稳，且这一情形 2026 年有望延续。 2025 年 12 月的新增变化是，政策或重启供给侧结构性改革。12 月中央经济 工作会议在"当前问题、工作部署、财政政策、货币政策、环保"等多处涉 ...

事件点评 2025 年 12 月 26 日 固定收益研究团队 新旧动能转化下货币政策的调整变化 ——2025 年第四季度货币政策委员会例会学习 陈曦（分析师） 王帅中（联系人） 事件：12 月 24 日中国人民银行公告，货币政策委员会 2025 年第四季度（总第 111 次）例会于 12 月 18 日召开，会议基本延续中央经济工作会议对后续工作的 定调，在降准降息、房地产行业金融支持等方面的表述存在变化。 2025 年第四季度货币政策委员会例会关注点 第四季度例会基本延续中央经济工作会议对后续工作的定调，货币政策上要继续 实施适度宽松的货币政策，加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度；国内经济运行供强需 弱的矛盾突出。 chenxi2@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790521100002 wangshuaizhong@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790125070016 1、世界经济增长动能不足，国内经济运行总体平稳，供强需弱矛盾突出。国外 环境的变化影响加深，对世界经济增长动能表述由三季度的减弱变为当前的不 足，贸易壁垒的加深和经济增长缺乏新动能都进一步加深了外部环境的不确定 性。对我国经济运行的表述多增"总体 ...

Group 1: Industry Overview - The media industry has experienced a cumulative increase of approximately 24% in 2025, driven by strong earnings and the impact of AI on profitability [15][16][17] - AI is enhancing the profitability of the media sector, potentially driving long-term growth and a prosperous content ecosystem [16][18] Group 2: AI and Its Applications - Continuous iteration and upgrades of large models by domestic and international tech giants are laying the foundation for a thriving AI application ecosystem [35][36] - The gaming industry is witnessing robust supply and demand, with a significant increase in the issuance of game licenses, totaling 1,532 in 2025, a 29% year-on-year increase [41][42] - AI is transforming the game development process, improving efficiency and innovation in gameplay design and narrative structure [53][54] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - The gaming sector's revenue grew by 24% year-on-year in 2025, with a notable 29% increase in Q3 alone, driven by new game releases and strong user engagement [23][25] - The film industry saw a 9% increase in revenue year-on-year, with a remarkable 110% increase in net profit, largely attributed to successful IP content like "Nezha 2" [24][31] - The advertising and marketing sector experienced a 6% revenue growth year-on-year, with a 14% increase in net profit in Q3, supported by AI-driven cost optimization [28][33] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies in the gaming sector include Giant Network, Kying Network, and Tencent Holdings, which are well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing AI integration [4][41] - In the film sector, companies like Mango Super Media and Shanghai Film are highlighted as key players benefiting from supportive policies and AI tools [4][24] - For the marketing sector, recommended companies include Huimai Technology and Inertia Media, which are expected to gain from AI advancements [4][28] Group 5: IP Expansion and Capitalization - The expansion of IP companies into overseas markets is becoming a core growth driver, with a focus on diversifying product categories [39][40] - Capitalization efforts are accelerating the growth of IP companies, with notable recommendations including Reading Group and Aofei Entertainment [39][40]

2025 年 12 月 26 日 开源晨会 1226 ——晨会纪要 沪深300 及创业板指数近1年走势 数据来源：聚源 -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 沪深300 创业板指 昨日涨跌幅前五行业 | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 国防军工 | 2.913 | | 轻工制造 | 1.588 | | 机械设备 | 1.513 | | 汽车 | 1.465 | | 非银金融 | 1.078 | | 数据来源：聚源 | | 源 证 券 证 券 研 究 报 昨日涨跌幅后五行业 | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 综合 | -1.118 | | 有色金属 | -0.771 | | 商贸零售 | -0.472 | | 煤炭 | -0.240 | | 银行 | -0.178 | 数据来源：聚源 吴梦迪（分析师） wumengdi@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790521070001 观点精粹 总量视角 【策略】组合管理崛起：公募新时代的投资体系重构——"组合管理"系列报告 之一-2025122 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company plans to acquire 35% equity in Limin Da for 875 million yuan, gaining control over 52.78% of voting rights, which will enhance its position in the AI server market, particularly in cooling and power supply [1][2] - The acquisition is expected to create synergies between the company's existing businesses in consumer electronics, robotics, and AI servers, potentially unlocking long-term growth opportunities [1][3] - The profit forecast for the company has been revised upwards, with expected net profits of 2.516 billion, 3.575 billion, and 4.765 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 34.124 billion yuan in 2023, 44.211 billion yuan in 2024, 54.127 billion yuan in 2025, 63.373 billion yuan in 2026, and 73.550 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 29.6% in 2024 and 22.4% in 2025 [4] - The expected net profit margins are projected to be 6.0% in 2023, increasing to 6.5% by 2027, with a net profit of 2.051 billion yuan in 2023 and 4.765 billion yuan in 2027 [4] - The company's P/E ratios are forecasted to decrease from 57.0 in 2023 to 24.5 in 2027, indicating an improving valuation over time [4] Business Overview - Limin Da, established in 2009, specializes in thermal management for enterprise-level servers and is a core supplier for NVIDIA, providing critical components for liquid cooling systems [2] - The company has a comprehensive product matrix in server thermal management, covering both liquid and air cooling solutions, and has established significant customer relationships with industry leaders [2] - The strategic acquisition is expected to enhance the company's capabilities in high-power AI server power supply and cooling systems, aligning with the increasing performance demands in the AI server sector [2][3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - The company is transitioning from a single product supplier focused on wheel manufacturing to a comprehensive solution provider centered on new material technology, specifically the Avatar niobium micro-alloy [3][4]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 42.78 billion, 61.08 billion, and 88.82 billion yuan, with net profits of 0.64 billion, 3.31 billion, and 10.03 billion yuan respectively. The corresponding EPS for these years is projected to be 0.06, 0.33, and 1.01 yuan, leading to PE ratios of 131.8, 25.4, and 8.4 times [3][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Transition from Wheel Manufacturer to New Material Technology Platform - The company has been in the wheel industry for nearly 30 years and is evolving into a new material technology solution provider [12]. - Its main business covers passenger cars and commercial vehicles, with a focus on the Avatar low-carbon wheel and steel wheels [17]. - The company has a relatively dispersed shareholding structure, with stable control by its major shareholders and involvement from state-owned enterprises [22]. 2. Self-developed Avatar Niobium Micro-alloy - The company has developed a revolutionary new material, the Avatar niobium micro-alloy, which addresses pain points in the automotive wheel industry [4][35]. - This new material allows for the production of high-performance, low-cost wheels, facilitating the company's strategic upgrade [4][35]. 3. Expansion of Avatar Product Capacity and New Applications - The demand for Avatar products is increasing, with the company expanding its production capacity to meet new orders from major clients [46]. - The company is also entering the electric two-wheeler market in collaboration with Ninebot, leveraging its existing technology to tap into this emerging market [61]. - In the robotics sector, the company is exploring new application scenarios for the niobium micro-alloy, establishing partnerships with various robotics firms [4][46]. 4. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to see significant revenue and profit growth starting in 2025, following a period of investment in R&D and capacity expansion [24]. - The financial metrics indicate a recovery in profitability, with gross and net profit margins expected to improve as the Avatar product line gains traction [29][32].

北交所信息更新 北 交 所 研 究 奥迪威（920491.BJ） 2025 年 12 月 25 日 投资评级：增持（维持） | 日期 | 2025/12/24 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 28.31 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 42.88/19.56 | | 总市值(亿元) | 39.96 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 32.72 | | 总股本(亿股) | 1.41 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 1.16 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 200.3 | 北交所研究团队 头部智驾客户定点合同 1.76 亿元，我国首批 L3 级智驾准入获批打开增长空间 ——北交所信息更新 诸海滨（分析师） zhuhaibin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522080007 公司收到头部智驾系统集成商的项目定点，预计合同总金额为 1.76 亿元 2025 年 12 月 24 日公告公司收到某头部智驾系统集成商的项目定点通知，确认 公司为其供应车规级智能传感器，根据该客户的预测，本次定点项目预计从 2026 年 12 月开始量产交付，生命周期预计为 3 年，预计合同总金额为人民币 1 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Jinmao (00817.HK) is maintained at "Buy" [5] Core Views - The company has shown strong sales performance against market trends, with profit recovery expected to continue through the cycle. The sales amount for the first half of 2025 reached 53.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19.6%, marking its entry into the top 10 in the full-caliber sales ranking by CRIC [6][17]. - The company is actively reserving core land parcels to ensure long-term profitability, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 estimated at 1.11 billion, 1.56 billion, and 1.62 billion respectively, and corresponding EPS of 0.08, 0.12, and 0.12 [5][9]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance and Land Acquisition - The company has adjusted its development strategy since 2023, leading to a continuous improvement in fundamentals after hitting a low point. The sales performance in the first half of 2025 was strong, with a focus on acquiring core land parcels to secure long-term profitability [17]. - The sales amount for the first half of 2025 was 53.4 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 19.6%. The average signed price for residential properties rose to 22,000 yuan per square meter [24]. - The company has adopted a dual-focus strategy, acquiring 41 projects since 2024, all concentrated in core cities and areas, with an average sales net profit margin exceeding 10% [29]. Investment Properties and Property Services - The investment property segment has been operating steadily, providing stable cash flow despite revenue declines due to the pandemic since 2020. The company focuses on high-quality asset management and gradually exits low-efficiency assets [59]. - The property service segment has seen a year-on-year growth of 11% in management scale, reaching 1.1 million square meters in the first half of 2025, with 85% of new projects located in strategically important cities [7]. Financial Status and Debt Structure - The company has maintained a robust financial status, optimizing its domestic and foreign debt structure and reducing financing costs. The average financing cost for new domestic and foreign financing in the first half of 2025 was 2.70%, down by 0.69 percentage points from the end of 2024 [8]. - The company has successfully issued multiple low-interest bonds, and its debt structure remains healthy, with all three red lines maintained in the green [8]. Profitability Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to see a recovery in profitability, with projected revenues for 2025-2027 showing a positive trend. The projected net profit for 2025 is 1.11 billion, with a corresponding P/E ratio of 13.5 [9][5]. - The report maintains a "Buy" rating based on the company's strong sales performance, strategic land acquisitions, and expected recovery in profitability [5].