[Table_Title] 业绩平稳释放，拿地明显改善 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 业绩方面，公司 2025 上半年营收业绩相对平稳，开发业务毛利率回升，全年业绩展望也相对 稳健。经营方面，公司 2025 年上半年销售规模提升至行业第四，拿地表现明显改善，信用优 势持续巩固，且资产运营和物业服务稳健发展、代建业务爆发式增长，综合竞争力维持前列。 公司实际 PB 相对较低，行业止跌回稳目标下估值有望迎来逐步修复，维持"买入"评级。 丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨招商蛇口（001979.SZ） 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 刘义 宋子逸 SAC：S0490520040001 SAC：S0490522080002 SFC：BUV416 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 招商蛇口（001979.SZ） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 业绩平稳释放，拿地明显改善 公司研究丨点评报告 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 公司发布 2025 年中报，报告期内实现营收 515 亿元（+0.4%）， ...

丨证券研究报告丨 联合研究丨公司点评丨芯源微（688037.SH） [Table_Title] 芯源微：化学清洗机签单高增，新一代前道涂胶 显影机推进顺利 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025 年 8 月 28 日，芯源微发布 2025 年半年度报告。 2025H1 公司实现营业收入 7.09 亿元，同比增加 2.24%；实现归母净利润 0.16 亿元，同比减 少 79.09%；实现扣非净利润-0.50 亿元，同比减少 238.44%；毛利率为 36.26%，同比减少 4.0pct。2025Q2 公司实现营业收入 4.34 亿元，同比减少 3.47%；实现归母净利润 0.11 亿元， 同比减少 81.27%；实现扣非净利润-0.09 亿元，同比减少 134.86%；毛利率为 37.51%，同比 减少 2.7pct 。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 杨洋 赵智勇 倪蕤 王泽罡 SAC：S0490517070012 SAC：S0490517110001 SAC：S0490520030003 SAC：S0490521120001 SFC：BUW100 SFC：BRP550 1 芯源微（ ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 2.065 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.60%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 461 million yuan, up 9.32% year-on-year. In Q2 alone, the company recorded operating revenue of 1.160 billion yuan, a 28.11% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 265 million yuan, growing 21.17% year-on-year [2][6] - The acceleration of the co-incineration of aged waste has led to a 28.3% increase in waste processing volume in the first half of the year. The company processed 5.3583 million tons of municipal waste, significantly enhancing the capacity utilization of waste-to-energy projects [12] - The company's gross profit margin improved by 0.7 percentage points, while the expense ratio decreased by 4.3 percentage points, indicating operational efficiency [12] - Capital expenditures have continued to decline, with healthy cash flow maintained. The company’s cash collection ratio was 100.8%, reflecting a slight year-on-year increase of 1.2 percentage points [12] - The company possesses several advantages over its peers, justifying a higher valuation, including high-quality project locations, low national subsidy ratios, and strong cash flow performance [12] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s total revenue for 2025 is projected to be 4.198 billion yuan, with net profits of 932 million yuan, reflecting a PE ratio of 15.1x [17] - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 43.4%, with a significant contribution from the co-incineration of aged waste [12] Operational Insights - The company has actively expanded its waste processing services, leading to a notable increase in waste processing volume and energy generation [12] - The reduction in capital expenditures is attributed to the completion of ongoing projects, with future capital spending expected to decline further [12] Valuation and Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 930 million yuan, 1.04 billion yuan, and 1.11 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a corresponding PE ratio decreasing to 12.7x by 2027 [12][17]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.709 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.33%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 97 million yuan, up 26.32% year-on-year. In Q2 2025, the revenue was 901 million yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 2.34% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.58%. The net profit for Q2 was 79 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 27.96% and a significant quarter-on-quarter increase of 331.33% [2][4]. Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company's revenue from solar storage inverters was 930 million yuan, growing by 7% year-on-year, while revenue from energy storage products surged by 149% year-on-year to 120 million yuan. The gross margin for solar storage inverters was 33.1%, up 2.5 percentage points year-on-year, while the gross margin for energy storage products was 28.1%, down 14.9 percentage points year-on-year [8]. - The metal products business generated a revenue of 650 million yuan in H1 2025, down 5% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 25.7%, a decrease of 2.6 percentage points year-on-year. The company is gradually relocating metal product production capacity to Thailand to enhance profitability [8]. - The company’s operating expense ratio for Q2 2025 was 19.1%, down 2.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, indicating improved operational efficiency. The inventory at the end of Q2 was 1.32 billion yuan, reflecting a 1.5% quarter-on-quarter increase and a historical high [8]. Market Outlook - The company aims to consolidate its advantages in the North American and Japanese markets while expanding into Europe, Asia, Africa, and Latin America. The North American market is expected to benefit from the company's production capacity in Thailand, which will help mitigate tariff impacts. In Europe, the company plans to leverage its product advantages and synergies with the Chint Group to expand its market presence [8]. - The company forecasts profits of 300 million yuan and 400 million yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 15 and 11 times [8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Views - The company reported a significant recovery in gross margin in Q2 2025, alongside the announcement of a stock option incentive plan and employee stock ownership plan, indicating confidence in its future [4][11] - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 23.905 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 36.01%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -2.58 billion yuan [2][4] - The company plans to repurchase 200 to 400 million yuan worth of shares within the next 12 months for employee stock ownership or incentive plans, representing approximately 0.35% to 0.70% of total share capital [3][4] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 13.232 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 38.12%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 23.99%, with a net profit of -942 million yuan [2][4] - The company’s battery module shipment volume reached 33.79 GW in H1 2025, with overseas shipments accounting for approximately 45.93% [11] - The gross margin in Q2 2025 improved significantly by 5.76 percentage points to -0.95% due to increased operating rates and price recovery [11] - The company had cash reserves exceeding 26 billion yuan in Q2 2025, with a debt ratio reduced by 0.4 percentage points to 75.9% [11] Incentive Plans - The 2025 stock option incentive plan targets 1,975 individuals, including directors (excluding independent directors), senior management, core technical personnel, and key staff, with the proposed stock options accounting for 4.89% of the total [5] - The employee stock ownership plan for 2025 includes a maximum of 57 participants, with the stock involved representing approximately 1.28% [5]

Report Title - 9 月地方债计划发行 7658 亿——政府债周报（8/31） [1][4] Report Core View - 报告对 8 月 25 日 - 9 月 7 日地方债发行情况进行复盘与预告，同时展示特殊债发行进展 [2][4][5] Report Key Points 地方债发行情况 - 9 月 1 日 - 9 月 7 日地方债披露发行 933.91 亿元，其中新增债 178.37 亿元（新增专项债 178.37 亿元），再融资债 755.54 亿元 [2][4] - 8 月 25 日 - 8 月 31 日地方债共发行 3515.97 亿元，其中新增债 2232.89 亿元（新增一般债 353.10 亿元，新增专项债 1879.79 亿元），再融资债 1283.08 亿元 [2][5] 特殊债发行进展 - 截至 8 月 31 日，第四轮特殊再融资债共披露 44093.73 亿元，2025 年已披露 20208.48 亿元，下周新增披露 0.00 亿元，披露规模前三为江苏 5647.00 亿元、湖南 2787.32 亿元、河南 2556.26 亿元 [6] - 截至 8 月 31 日，2025 年特殊新增专项债共披露 4407.33 亿元，2023 年以来共披露 16312.46 亿元，披露规模前三为江苏 2102.35 亿元、湖北 1287.69 亿元、新疆 1188.60 亿元；2025 年披露规模前三为江苏 951.00 亿元、河北 391.43 亿元、湖北 369.13 亿元 [6] 地方债净供给与发行进度 - 8 月 25 日 - 8 月 31 日地方债净供给 2435 亿元，9 月 1 日 - 9 月 7 日地方债预告净供给 367 亿元 [12][13][19] - 截至 8 月 31 日，新增一般债发行进度 77.60%，新增专项债发行进度 74.18% [12][24] 特殊债发行统计 - 展示截至 8 月 31 日特殊再融资债统计情况，包含四轮发行额及各省市数据 [28][29] - 展示截至 8 月 31 日特殊新增专项债统计情况，包含 2023 - 2025 年各省市数据 [31][32] 地方债投资与交易 - 展示地方债一二级利差情况 [35][36] - 展示分区域二级利差情况，涉及多个省市不同时间数据 [37] 新增专项债投向 - 涉及新增专项债投向及项目投向逐月统计 [11][39]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the second quarter earnings and revenue of A-shares have improved, with significant marginal improvements in the TMT and real estate sectors [2][7][25] - The report highlights that from the perspective of marginal changes, the TMT and real estate sectors have shown substantial improvements in TTM earnings growth, with leading sectors for Q2 2025 including agricultural products, insurance, and comprehensive finance [2][25][39] - The report notes that the overall A-share revenue growth turned positive in Q2 2025, with a revenue growth rate of 0.64%, while the ChiNext and STAR Market led with growth rates of 11.36% and 8.03% respectively [16][22][25] Group 2 - The report identifies sectors that have not yet reached their previous highs and may experience a rebound, including steel, non-ferrous metals, and agriculture, which have seen upward adjustments in earnings expectations since June 2025 [8][39][43] - It emphasizes that 16 secondary industries have not yet returned to their September 2021 highs, indicating strong potential for rebound, particularly in sectors benefiting from favorable policies and improving fundamentals [8][39][43] - The report suggests that the financial sector, particularly banks, telecommunications, and electronics, contributed significantly to earnings growth in Q2 2025, while sectors like real estate and oil & gas faced declines [22][23][25]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The company is expected to enjoy valuation premiums due to the ongoing recovery in basic property management profitability and the strong performance in market expansion, particularly in residential sectors [2][6]. - The company reported a revenue of 9.11 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 470 million yuan, up 8.9% [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 9.11 billion yuan (+16.2%) and a net profit of 470 million yuan (+8.9%), with a non-recurring net profit of 460 million yuan (+11.9%) [6]. - The overall gross margin slightly decreased by 0.5 percentage points to 12.1%, with the property management segment's gross margin at 10.9% [11]. Market Expansion - The company’s managed area was 368 million square meters, with a 61.7% share in non-residential sectors, although the total managed area saw a slight decline of 4.2% due to the exit from low-efficiency non-residential projects [11]. - New annual contract value signed in H1 2025 was 1.76 billion yuan, down 6.8%, with residential sector contracts increasing by 24.7% [11]. Value-Added Services - The company is focusing on enhancing value-added services, including home services and property management, to meet owner needs and create new profit points [11]. - The asset management segment remains stable, with 72 commercial projects under management and a 93% overall occupancy rate [11]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory in revenue and management scale, with ongoing improvements in operational efficiency and profitability [11]. - Forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are 940 million, 1.05 billion, and 1.17 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding valuations of 14.1, 12.6, and 11.4 times [11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 534 million yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 40.99%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 196 million yuan, up 74.04% year-on-year [2][6] - In Q2 2025, the revenue reached 337 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 39.03% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 70.40%, with a net profit of 134 million yuan, up 50.31% year-on-year and 116.13% quarter-on-quarter [2][6] - The company is benefiting from the recovery in the global semiconductor industry driven by the AI wave, with a significant increase in orders and a global installed base exceeding 8,000 units [6] - The gross margin reached 74.7% and the net margin was 36.6%, indicating strong profitability despite product structure changes [6] - The company is expanding its international market presence, with overseas revenue growing by 141.71% year-on-year to approximately 57.97 million yuan in H1 2025 [6] - R&D investment increased to 110 million yuan in H1 2025, accounting for 20.75% of revenue, with a workforce of 448 in the R&D team [6] - The company launched a new SoC testing platform, STS8600, which is expected to enhance performance and provide a domestic alternative for testing power chips [6] - The company anticipates continued high growth in revenue and profit, projecting net profits of 450 million yuan and 550 million yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively [6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - H1 2025 revenue: 534 million yuan, up 40.99% YoY - H1 2025 net profit: 196 million yuan, up 74.04% YoY - Q2 2025 revenue: 337 million yuan, up 39.03% YoY, 70.40% QoQ - Q2 2025 net profit: 134 million yuan, up 50.31% YoY, 116.13% QoQ [2][6] Market Expansion - Overseas revenue in H1 2025: 57.97 million yuan, up 141.71% YoY - Global installed base of products: over 8,000 units [6] R&D and Innovation - R&D investment in H1 2025: 110 million yuan, 20.75% of revenue - R&D team size: 448 employees [6] Future Outlook - Projected net profits for 2025 and 2026: 450 million yuan and 550 million yuan, respectively - Anticipated continued high growth in revenue and profit [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Viewpoints - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 400 million yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 49.23%. In Q2 2025, the net profit was 227 million yuan, up 57.68% year-on-year [2][6]. - The integration of Renhe Environment contributed significantly to profits, with a contribution of 117 million yuan in H1 2025. The company also experienced stable organic growth, driven by improved operational efficiency in waste incineration and the contribution from the Liuyang and Pingjiang projects [11]. - The company is actively expanding into overseas markets, having signed an agreement with Kyrgyzstan for a total processing capacity of 7,000 tons per day, with expectations for profit growth from these overseas projects [2][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.478 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.07%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 400 million yuan, up 49.23%. The basic earnings per share were 0.51 yuan, an increase of 10.13% [6][11]. - For Q2 2025, revenue was 711 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.91%, while the net profit was 227 million yuan, up 57.68% [6]. Operational Highlights - The company’s waste processing volume reached 1.86 million tons in H1 2025, a 10.7% increase year-on-year. The electricity generated from waste was 886 million kWh, up 26.2% year-on-year [11]. - The company’s operational cash flow improved significantly, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 724 million yuan, a 59.81% increase year-on-year [11]. Market Expansion - The company has initiated new domestic projects in Liuyang (1,200 tons/day) and Pingjiang (600 tons/day), which are expected to drive growth in 2025. Additionally, it has made strides in international markets, including projects in Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan [11]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 767 million, 833 million, and 902 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 15.9x, 14.6x, and 13.5x [11].