行业研究丨深度报告丨医疗保健 [Table_Title] 医疗器械出海深度（二）复盘希森美康：海外深 耕，属地筑基 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 本报告复盘希森美康过去 20 年的发展路径，核心结论：1）2003 年海外收入占比超过 50%， 逐步验证全球竞争力，成为全球化医疗器械公司。2）海外市场销售份额持续提升需要本地化部 署，直销团队和本地化生产。3）利润增速释放会慢于收入增速，早期海外投资较多，销售和管 理等费用率较高，随着收入规模化提升，利润率持续提升，进入戴维斯双击阶段；其中海外市 场容易受到汇兑损益的扰动。4）发展中国家市场为公司未来海外销售的核心市场，收入增速有 望维持在 20%以上的较快增长。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490524030005 SAC：S0490522120001 SFC：BUZ392 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 29 %% %% %% %% 彭英骐 徐晓欣 research.95579.com 2 医疗保健 cjzqdt11111 [T ...

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨点评报告丨媒体Ⅱ [Table_Title] 游戏产业跟踪（20）：多款新游表现亮眼叠加 AI 应用催化，继续推荐游戏板块 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 微信公开课 PRO 小游戏专场在广州举办，披露多个行业数据，小游戏活跃度和商业化仍延续 景气。巨人网络《超自然行动组》新上线「AI 大模型挑战」玩法，AI 在游戏上持续落地，看好 AI 提振游戏板块估值。1 月新游周期延续，三七、巨人等厂商多款新游及长线产品表现突出， 完美、恺英等重点产品近期迎来积极进展。考虑到游戏板块 26 年产品周期持续性、业绩确定 性仍较强，估值仍有提升空间，建议继续关注游戏板块投资机会，相关标的包括巨人网络、恺 英网络、完美世界、三七互娱、吉比特、姚记科技、盛天网络、腾讯控股、心动公司等。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Title 游戏产业跟踪（2] 20）：多款新游表现亮眼叠加 AI 应用催化，继续推荐游戏板块 [Table_Author] 高超 杨云祺 SAC：S0490516080001 SAC：S0490524090002 SFC：BUX177 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the software and services industry [7] Core Viewpoints - The report expresses optimism regarding AI applications and domestic computing power investment opportunities, highlighting the acceleration of AI applications and the potential for industry upgrades in the long term [6][40] - The introduction of the Universal Commerce Protocol (UCP) by Google is seen as a significant development that could reshape the e-commerce landscape, facilitating seamless transactions and enhancing user experience [21][24][28] - The report emphasizes the importance of data element value release in 2026, marking it as a pivotal year for the digital economy and data market reforms [30][35][38] Summary by Sections Market Performance - Last week, the computer sector experienced a high and then a pullback, with an overall increase of 4.14%, ranking first among major industries in the Yangtze River region, and accounting for 11.21% of total market turnover [2][4][15] Key Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on: 1. Domestic large model manufacturers 2. Major domestic cloud service providers 3. Vertical scenario agent manufacturers 4. The domestic computing power supply chain, particularly AI chip companies like Haiguang Information and Cambrian [6][40] AI and E-commerce Developments - The UCP aims to create a standardized communication framework for AI agents, merchants, and platforms, potentially transforming the e-commerce industry by reducing decision-making time and enhancing transaction efficiency [21][24][28] - The report notes that AI-assisted shopping is expected to become mainstream, with significant growth projected in the AI e-commerce market from 23.93 billion yuan in 2020 to 50.44 billion yuan by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 20.50% [29] Data Element Value Release - The report highlights that 2026 is designated as the "Year of Data Element Value Release," with a focus on market-oriented reforms and the establishment of data standards to facilitate the flow and utilization of data [30][35][38] - The establishment of a data property rights registration system is anticipated to enhance data circulation and unlock value within the data economy [37][38]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - In 2025, the annual economic growth rate reached the target of 5%. Consumption and exports' contribution to GDP growth increased, while investment's contribution declined. Looking ahead to 2026, the real GDP growth rate is expected to be around 4.8%, showing a "first down then up" trend due to the high base effect. [2][7] - The bond market's pricing of the fundamentals may still exhibit an asymmetry of "being insensitive to positive news and sensitive to negative news." The view of a weak and volatile long - term bond market in the near term is maintained, and the recovery window may come later in the first quarter. [2][7] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 2025 Economic Data Overview - The Q4 real GDP in 2025 was 4.5% year - on - year, meeting expectations, and the annual cumulative year - on - year growth rate successfully achieved the target of 5%. In December 2025, the year - on - year growth rate of industrial added value above designated size rose by 0.4 pct to 5.2%, higher than the expected 4.9%; the year - on - year growth rate of social retail sales dropped by 0.4 pct to 0.9%, lower than the expected 1.5%; the cumulative year - on - year growth rate of fixed asset investment dropped by 1.2 pct to - 3.8%, worse than the expected - 2.4%. [4] 3.2 Economic Growth Drivers - Consumption and exports' contribution to GDP growth increased to 2.6% and 1.64% respectively, while investment's contribution declined to 0.77%. There was still price pressure. The Q4 real GDP growth rate was 4.5% year - on - year, down 0.3 pct from Q3, and it declined quarter by quarter throughout the year, reaching the lowest level since 2023. The price level improved quarter by quarter, with the GDP deflator's year - on - year growth rate dropping to around - 0.67%, and the nominal GDP growth rate was 3.8% year - on - year, showing marginal improvement but remaining at a low level. [7] 3.3 Industrial Sector - In December, the industrial added value was 5.2% year - on - year, 0.4 pct higher than the previous value, and 0.49% month - on - month. The year - on - year growth rate of export delivery value turned positive to 3.2%. The service industry production index was 5% year - on - year, 0.8 pct faster than the previous month. By sector, the mining industry was a major drag, with its year - on - year growth rate dropping by 0.9 pct to 5.4%, while the manufacturing industry's year - on - year growth rate increased by 1.1 pct to 5.7%. High - end manufacturing maintained a high growth rate, with the year - on - year growth rates of pharmaceutical manufacturing, special equipment manufacturing, and computer and communication equipment manufacturing accelerating by 4.6, 3.4, and 2.6 pct respectively. The output of high - tech products such as industrial robots and integrated circuits maintained a high month - on - month growth rate. In 2025, the added value of high - tech manufacturing increased by 9.4% compared to the previous year, contributing 26.1% to the growth rate of industrial added value above designated size. [7] 3.4 Investment Sector - The decline in fixed asset investment widened. Real estate investment continued to decline due to the drag of housing prices, and infrastructure and manufacturing investment weakened overall against the backdrop of enterprises' concentrated debt repayment, debt reduction, and "anti - involution." In December, the month - on - month growth rate of fixed asset investment dropped to - 15.0%, and the month - on - month decline of private investment was about - 17.2%. Real estate investment's month - on - month decline widened to - 37.5%, the sales area decreased by 16.6% year - on - year, and the sales volume decreased by 24.2% year - on - year. The prices of commercial residential buildings in 70 large and medium - sized cities generally decreased month - on - month, and the year - on - year decline widened. The insufficient funds of real estate enterprises still restricted construction starts and completions, but the new construction area stabilized, and the cumulative year - on - year decline narrowed. Infrastructure investment continued to decline, with the month - on - month growth rate of broad - based infrastructure investment at - 15.9%, and the "crowding - out effect" of debt reduction may still have had an impact. In 2025, the cumulative year - on - year growth rate of manufacturing investment was 0.6%, but in December, the month - on - month growth rate was - 10.5%, indicating that enterprises were cautious about investment against the "anti - involution" background. The capacity utilization rate of the manufacturing industry increased from 74.1% in Q1 to 75.2% in Q4. [7] 3.5 Consumption Sector - The growth rate of social retail sales declined, and residents' income and expenditure continued to slow down. In December, the year - on - year growth rate of social retail sales dropped to 0.9%, the lowest since March 2023. The off - season effect was evident, with commodity retail (0.7%) and catering (2.2%) remaining at low levels, and the year - on - year growth rate of catering above designated size at - 1.1%. The effect of the "trade - in" subsidy may have weakened, and consumption of household appliances (- 18.7%), furniture (- 2.2%), and automobiles (- 5.0%) remained under pressure. However, the retail sales of communication equipment (20.9%) maintained a high growth rate. In Q4, the real cumulative year - on - year growth rate of residents' per capita disposable income dropped by 0.2 pct to 5%, and the year - on - year growth rate of consumption expenditure dropped by 0.3 pct to 4.4%. [7] 3.6 Outlook for 2026 - The real GDP growth rate is expected to be around 4.8% in 2026, showing a "first down then up" trend due to the high base effect. On the investment side, the Central Economic Work Conference in December last year proposed to "stabilize and reverse the decline of investment." This year, the investment growth rate is expected to stop falling and stabilize with the support of the concept of "investing in people" and "two important" projects. On the production and demand side, the transformation of old and new driving forces is accelerating, and service consumption, high - end manufacturing, and exports may maintain their resilience. [2][7]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [8] Core Insights - The beginning of 2026 is marked as the "Year of Data Element Value Release," with a strategic focus on market-oriented reform for data element allocation, aiming to clarify the development path for digital economy work [2][4] - The establishment of a data property registration system is expected to accelerate, promoting data circulation and usage, thereby releasing the value of data elements [6] - The report suggests focusing on companies with high-quality data resources, particularly in sectors like healthcare, finance, and industrial fields that possess scarce data, as well as firms with strong capabilities in data processing, management, and analysis [6] Summary by Sections Data Element Value Release - Multiple regions have identified 2026 as the "Year of Data Element Value Release," with the core goal of facilitating data flow and configuration, activating supply and demand, and integrating data elements into value creation [6][12] - The transition from "infrastructure building" to "efficiency release" is anticipated, leading to a revaluation of data element value that will benefit the entire industry chain [6][12] Data Standardization - National standards for data are expected to be established, with over 30 key data standards planned for release in 2026, focusing on public data, high-quality datasets, and data infrastructure [12] - The establishment of data standardization is seen as crucial for addressing issues related to rights confirmation, pricing, supply and demand, and trust, thereby facilitating the practical release of data element value [12]

Economic Growth - The GDP growth rate for 2025 is projected at 5.0%, consistent with 2024, achieving the annual growth target[2] - In Q4 2025, the GDP growth rate slowed to 4.5% year-on-year, aligning with Wind's expectations[6] - The nominal GDP growth rate for 2025 is expected to decline slightly to 4.0% due to an expanded price drop, with the GDP deflator index decreasing from -0.8% in 2024 to -1.0% in 2025[6] Production and Investment - Industrial value added in December rebounded to a growth rate of 5.2%, indicating stabilization in production despite a slowdown in the second and third industries[6] - Fixed asset investment growth is projected at -3.8% for 2025, with December's monthly growth rate dropping to -16.0%[6] - Manufacturing investment growth fell to -10.5%, primarily due to rapid declines in midstream equipment processing industries[6] Consumption Trends - Retail sales growth for 2025 is expected to be 3.7%, with December's growth rate at 0.9%[6] - Durable goods consumption drag has weakened, with essential consumption growth declining while optional consumption, including automobiles and home appliances, showed recovery[6] Policy and Economic Outlook - The economic decline in 2025 is not a cause for major concern, as the second half's slowdown is attributed to strong performance in the first half, allowing for policy leeway[6] - Exports and service consumption are anticipated to be key drivers for China's economy in 2026, supporting a strong start to the 14th Five-Year Plan[6]

丨证券研究报告丨 固定收益丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 资金利率先上后下，关注税期扰动——流动性 和机构行为周度观察 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2026 年 1 月 12 日-1 月 16 日，央行短期逆回购净投放资金，6M 买断式逆回购操作 9000 亿 元、净投放 3000 亿元。2026 年 1 月 12 日-18 日，政府债净缴款规模下降，同业存单到期收 益率多数下行，银行间债券市场杠杆率均值小幅下降。2026 年 1 月 19 日-25 日，政府债预计 净缴款 2065 亿元，同业存单到期规模约为 7064 亿元。2026 年 1 月 16 日，测算中长期、短 期利率风格纯债基久期中位数周度环比分别提升 0.06 年、下降 0.01 年。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Title 资金利率先上后下，关注税期扰动 2] ——流动性和机构行为周度观察 [Table_Summary2] 资金面 [Table_Author] 赵增辉 马月 SAC：S0490524080003 SAC：S0490525080001 SFC：BVN394 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% ...

[Table_scodeMsg1] 港股研究丨公司点评丨李宁（02331.HK） [Table_Title] 短期零售承压，2026 年稳健修复 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 李宁发布 2025Q4 运营数据，Q4 全渠道流水低单下滑，线下渠道中单下滑（其中直营渠道低 单下滑，批发渠道中单下滑），电商渠道持平。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 丨证券研究报告丨 SAC：S0490518020002 SAC：S0490524110001 SFC：BUU942 于旭辉 柯睿 陈信志 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 李宁（02331.HK） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 短期零售承压，2026 年稳健修复 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 李宁发布 2025Q4 运营数据，Q4 全渠道流水低单下滑，线下渠道中单下滑（其中直营渠道低 单下滑，批发渠道中单下滑），电商渠道持平。 事件评论 丨证券研究报告丨 2026-01-20 港股研究丨公司点评 [Table_ ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry, but it provides insights into various sectors and companies with potential investment opportunities. Core Insights - In December, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 45,136 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.9%. Excluding automobiles, retail sales amounted to 39,654 billion yuan, growing by 1.7%. For 2025, total retail sales are projected to reach 501,202 billion yuan, representing a 3.7% increase from the previous year, with non-automobile retail sales expected to grow by 4.4% to 451,413 billion yuan [4][7]. Retail Sector - The retail sector shows stable growth, with offline sales demonstrating resilience. In December, the retail sales of goods increased by 0.7% year-on-year, while dining revenue grew by 2.2%. Online retail sales of physical goods for the year increased by 5.2%, accounting for 26.1% of total retail sales [17][18]. Food and Beverage Sector - The food and beverage sector faced challenges in December, with dining revenue growing by only 2.2% year-on-year. The report suggests that the sector may see a rebound as previous restrictions on alcohol consumption ease [19][20]. Automotive Sector - The automotive sector experienced a decline in December, with total retail sales of automobiles at 548.2 billion yuan, down 5.0% year-on-year. However, the export of passenger vehicles saw significant growth, with a 50.4% increase in December [24][25]. Apparel and Textile Sector - The apparel and textile sector saw a slowdown in retail growth, with sales increasing by only 0.6% year-on-year in December. The report indicates that the sector is expected to recover in 2026 as inventory levels stabilize [28][29]. Home Appliances Sector - The home appliances sector faced a decline in December, with retail sales down 18.7% year-on-year. The report highlights that the sector's performance is affected by high base effects and the withdrawal of government subsidies [38][39]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong growth potential in various sectors, including beauty and personal care, gold and jewelry, and consumer electronics. Specific companies highlighted include 毛戈平, 上美股份, and 美的集团 [18][45].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the banking sector is "Positive" and is maintained [13]. Core Insights - The market sentiment has significantly improved since the beginning of the year, leading to substantial net outflows from major index funds like CSI 300 and SSE 50, with bank stocks experiencing the highest decline among primary sectors [2][6]. - Despite the recent pressure on bank stocks due to net outflows from index funds, there is an expectation that the market will continue to focus on high-quality bank stocks with stable or improving fundamentals, presenting good investment opportunities [2][8]. - The pricing power of fundamental factors for bank stocks is expected to increase in 2026, with a projected reversal in net interest income growth and stable performance from major banks [10]. Summary by Sections Market Dynamics - Since Q3 2025, bank stocks have been under pressure due to capital outflows, primarily from public funds and ETFs, reflecting a shift in institutional investor strategies [6][7]. - The net outflow from CSI 300 and SSE 50 ETFs reached 103.6 billion and 19.7 billion respectively during January 15-16, significantly above normal levels [7]. Valuation and Dividend Yield - Bank stocks are considered systematically undervalued under the PB-ROE framework, with current PB valuations below net asset value [9]. - The expected dividend yields for major state-owned banks have risen above 4%, with some leading banks like China Merchants Bank and Jiangsu Bank reaching yields of 5% to 6% [9][26]. Performance Outlook - Major banks are expected to maintain stable growth in 2026, with credit growth projected to be flat year-on-year, focusing on operational efficiency rather than scale [10]. - The non-interest income pressure from financial market activities has eased, and overall revenue growth is anticipated to be driven by net interest income [10].