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“液冷加速度”系列报告三::液冷 0→1 后,从头部厂商表现再看行业变化
Changjiang Securities· 2026-02-25 01:11
行业研究丨深度报告丨通信设备Ⅲ [Table_Title] "液冷加速度"系列报告三: 液冷 0→1 后,从头部厂商表现再看行业变化 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025 年,是海外液冷 0→1 时刻,头部散热厂已实现液冷产品规模出货,拉动营收及盈利表现 亮眼。近期,多家散热大厂更新对外交流,我们整理了各家表述,以对液冷首年出货后,当前 的行业趋势和节奏判断做出参考。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC:S0490517110002 SAC:S0490524100002 SFC:BUX641 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 20 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 近期,各散热大厂均有相关更新对外交流,我们整理了各家表述,以对行业趋势和节奏判断做 出参考,可总结出几个主要关注点:1)2026 散热依然大有可为,头部散热大厂全面扩产,头 部厂商 AVC 指出订单能见度周期已开始拉长至 2028。2)2026 液冷放量主要动能仍来自于 NV 产品的全液冷需求。3)多家 ...
NLRP3:“抗炎”能力初步验证,心血管领域又一潜在重磅靶点——美股生物科技前瞻系列
Changjiang Securities· 2026-02-25 01:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [2]. Core Insights - NLRP3 inflammasome is identified as a significant target for drug development due to its role as a "receiver and converter" of inflammatory signals, indicating substantial therapeutic potential [11][12]. - NLRP3 inhibitors, particularly VTX3232, have shown remarkable anti-inflammatory effects and preliminary validation for reducing cardiovascular (CV) risks [22][28]. - The market potential for targeting NLRP3 is significant, with a potential patient population of approximately 25 million in the cardiovascular anti-inflammatory drug scenario [39]. Summary by Sections 1. NLRP3 Inflammasome: A Major Drug Target - NLRP3 acts as an intracellular sensor detecting various microbial patterns and endogenous danger signals, leading to the assembly and activation of the NLRP3 inflammasome [11]. - The NLRP3 inflammasome is linked to several common diseases, including obesity, diabetes, and cardiovascular diseases, highlighting the market potential for NLRP3-targeted therapies [12]. 2. Efficacy of NLRP3 Inhibitors - VTX3232 demonstrated a rapid and significant reduction in high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) levels, with an 80% reduction within the first week and a sustained effect over 12 weeks [28]. - The safety profile of VTX3232 is comparable to placebo, with adverse events occurring at similar rates across treatment groups [29]. 3. Identifying Next-Generation NLRP3 Inhibitors - BGE-102, a novel NLRP3 inhibitor, has shown promising early-phase data, indicating its potential to lower hsCRP levels significantly in obese participants [65][67]. - The competitive landscape for NLRP3 inhibitors includes several active candidates, with BGE-102 being highlighted for its unique structure and mechanism [54].
美股生物科技前瞻系列:NLRP3:“抗炎”能力初步验证,心血管领域又一潜在重磅靶点
Changjiang Securities· 2026-02-25 01:07
NLRP3:"抗炎"能力初步验证,心血管 领域又一潜在重磅靶点 ——美股生物科技前瞻系列 长江证券研究所医药研究小组 2026-02-25 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 分析师及联系人 证券研究报告 • 证券研究报告 • 评级 看好 维持 分析师 彭英骐 分析师 刘长洪 SAC执业证书编号:S0490524030005 SAC执业证书编号:S0490525070007 SFC执业证书编号:BUZ392 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 目 录 01 NLRP3炎症小体:炎症信号的"接收转化 器",成药潜力巨大 02 NLRP3抑制剂抗炎效果突出,用于降低CV 风险初步验证 03 寻找下一个优质NLRP3抑制剂 04 风险提示 %% research.95579.com 3 01 NLRP3炎症小体:炎症信号的"接收转化器", 成药潜力巨大 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 4 NLRP3炎症小体是人体炎症信号的"接收转化器" %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 5 ➢ NLRP3是一种细胞 ...
建材周专题 2026W7:电子布上涨预期强化,看好需求爆发和产能挤压的超级周期
Changjiang Securities· 2026-02-25 01:06
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [9] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the strengthening expectation of price increases for electronic fabrics, driven by explosive demand and capacity constraints, indicating a "super cycle" characterized by strong demand rigidity and prolonged duration [5][6] - The report identifies three main lines for 2026: the stock chain, the Africa chain, and the AI chain, suggesting strategic focus areas for investment [8] Summary by Relevant Sections Basic Situation - Cement shipments are experiencing seasonal declines, with an average shipment rate of approximately 9% in key regions, a month-on-month decrease of about 15 percentage points, and a year-on-year decrease of about 4 percentage points [7][22] - Glass inventory has slightly increased, with a total inventory of 51.63 million weight boxes, a month-on-month increase of 2.14 million weight boxes, reflecting a 4.32% growth [7][30] Outlook for 2026 - The stock chain focuses on optimizing demand and clearing supply varieties, with residential renovation demand expected to rise from 50% currently to nearly 70% by 2030 [8] - The Africa chain highlights undervalued growth opportunities in the African market, recommending leading companies such as Keda Manufacturing and Huaxin Cement [8] - The AI chain looks at the industrial upgrade of special electronic fabrics, with a focus on Low-Dk products and domestic substitution opportunities [8] Price and Inventory - The national average price for cement before the festival was 346.29 yuan/ton, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.32 yuan/ton and a year-on-year decrease of 47.90 yuan/ton [23] - The national average price for glass before the festival was 63.24 yuan/weight box, with a month-on-month increase of 0.06 yuan/weight box and a year-on-year decrease of 11.07 yuan/weight box [32]
德康农牧(02419):深度系列二:联农标杆,富农典范
Changjiang Securities· 2026-02-25 00:55
[Table_Summary] 我们认为,从练内功到带农户,从富农户到兴产业,德康农牧在生猪养殖行业探索了一条真正 实现联农带农和富农强农的产业振兴之路。深耕育种打牢养殖根基,成功构建起高壁垒的自主 繁育体系;二号农场重构养殖环节的生产关系,最大程度激发农户养殖的潜力和动能;"百村百 万"工程带动二号农场模式的快速落地,更好地赋能乡村振兴从而实现强农富农。在生猪养殖 行业进入高质量发展新时代,德康农牧以"不难不做"的企业基因,将行业难题系统性地转化 为自身强大的护城河,最终形成"低投入、高周转、高回报"的生猪养殖体系,持续重点推荐。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 顾熀乾 陈佳 SAC:S0490519060003 SAC:S0490513080003 SFC:BQT624 [Table_scodeMsg1] 港股研究丨公司深度丨德康农牧(02419.HK) [Table_Title] 德康农牧深度系列二:联农标杆,富农典范 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 28 %% %% %% %% resea ...
北美缺电持续演绎,燃气机组迎主电新机遇:重卡新视界系列之燃气发电机组
Changjiang Securities· 2026-02-25 00:45
行业研究丨深度报告丨汽车与汽车零部件 [Table_Title] 重卡新视界系列之燃气发电机组:北美缺电持续 演绎,燃气机组迎"主电"新机遇 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com %% %% 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 短期来看,北美电力缺口持续扩大,燃气轮机作为主电源供不应求,导致难以缓解当下电力紧 缺局面,燃气发电机组凭借交付速度优势有望成为燃气轮机的主要替代;中长期来看,未来百 兆瓦级别的中小数据中心,燃气机组凭借中高速并联以及低冗余优势下或将成为更优选择。目 前海外卡特彼勒、颜巴赫等燃气机组供给有限,国内企业凭借产能优势可实现快速交付,同时 看好国内相关产业链在本轮机遇下充分受益,重点推荐潍柴动力、银轮股份。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 高伊楠 张永乾 吴优 SAC:S0490517060001 SAC:S0490524030002 SFC:BUW101 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 20 %% %% research.95579.com 2 [Table_Title 重卡新视界系列之燃气发电机组:北美缺电持 2] ...
金属、非金属与采矿行业周报:假期金属价格走强,看好节后配置机遇-20260225
Changjiang Securities· 2026-02-25 00:44
丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨金属、非金属与采矿 [Table_Title] 假期金属价格走强,看好节后配置机遇 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 铜铝节后易涨难跌,重视板块机会。商品端,铜铝节后易涨难跌,中长期经济底部与逆全球化 促进供需结构优化,弹性可期:1)短期,美国对降息及铜关税态度,依然是短期工业金属价格 走势的主导因素,在二者并未发生根本性转变之前,维持铜铝趋势看涨判断,节后国内金三银 四旺季、中美会谈、联储主席换届等均构成催化;2)中期,美联储降息引领全球趋势宽松促进 铜铝周期上行;3)长期,逆全球化加剧各国对资源争夺,铜铝中枢趋势上行。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 王鹤涛 肖勇 叶如祯 王筱茜 肖百桓 SAC:S0490512070002 SAC:S0490516080003 SAC:S0490517070008 SAC:S0490519080004 SAC:S0490522080001 SFC:BQT626 SFC:BUT918 SFC:BWM115 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报 ...
联想集团(00992):港股研究|公司点评|联想集团(00992.HK):龙头穿越周期,多项业务创历史新高
Changjiang Securities· 2026-02-25 00:40
丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg2] 联想集团(00992.HK) cjzqdt11111 [Table_scodeMsg1] 港股研究丨公司点评丨联想集团(00992.HK) [Table_Title] 龙头穿越周期,多项业务创历史新高 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 联想 FY2026Q3(对应日历年 2025Q4,下同)实现营收 222.04 亿美元,同比增长 18%;毛 利率 15.1%,同比下降 0.6pct;归母净利润 5.46 亿美元,同比下降 21%,主因一次性重组费 用、认股权证的非现金公允价值收益等非现金项目的影响;经调整净利润 5.89 亿美元,同比增 长 36%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 杨洋 SAC:S0490517070012 SFC:BUW100 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title2] 龙头穿越周期,多项业务创历史新高 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 联想 FY2026Q3(对应日历年 2025Q4,下同)实现营收 222.04 亿美元 ...
行业研究|行业周报|航空货运与物流:快递降速提质,格局拐点已来-20260225
Changjiang Securities· 2026-02-24 23:30
丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨航空货运与物流 [Table_Title] 快递降速提质,格局拐点已来 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 截至 2 月 22 日(正月初六),春节及前 5 周全国快递周度揽收业务量累计同比增速为 1.9%, 业务量增长显著放缓。展望 2026 年,伴随精准税收走向常态化、"反内卷"托底竞争底线,业 务量增速或维持个位数增长,龙头份额提升有望加速,1 月件量数据验证龙头持续占优。当前 龙头快递公司估值处于历史相对低位,看好板块格局拐点,重点推荐头部快递公司中通、圆通, 建议关注 3-4 月业务量和利润端的催化。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 韩轶超 鲁斯嘉 胡俊文 SFC:BQK468 SFC:BWN875 SAC:S0490512020001 SAC:S0490519060002 SAC:S0490524120001 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 航空货运与物流 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 快递降速提质,格局拐点已来 [Table_Summary2] 快递降 ...
固定收益|点评报告:债市后续如何定价春节假期数据?
Changjiang Securities· 2026-02-24 23:30
丨证券研究报告丨 固定收益丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 债市后续如何定价春节假期数据? 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2026 年春节数据显示,出行与旅游消费"量"延续修复但"价"修复滞后;物流内外分化,外 贸韧性强而生产消费物流走弱;酒店景区量增价跌,票房偏弱;地产延续承压,新房二手房成 交疲软。随着去年下半年物价环比回升及翘尾因素推升,后续基本面从"以价换量"切换至"以 量换价"是大概率事件。当前国内仍处低利率环境,我们认为小幅基本面变化对债市影响有限 并维持债市震荡观点,即短端看央行,套息策略或能延续,长端需关注财政发力与银行承接能 力,中期关注通胀主线。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵增辉 马玮健 SAC:S0490524080003 SFC:BVN394 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2026 年春节假期高频数据显示,居民出行与旅游消费在"量"的层面延续修复,但价格端修复 普遍滞后;物流领域表现分化,外贸相关指标维持韧性但生产消费物流提前走弱;旅游消费中 酒店、景区量增价跌,票房偏弱。房地产市场则延 ...