Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [7] Core Insights - On January 9, the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) announced two recommended industry standards for medical devices utilizing brain-computer interface (BCI) technology, focusing on reliability verification methods for invasive devices and design/application specifications for motor function reconstruction [2][4] - The BCI industry is transitioning from "technical exploration" to "standard implementation," with the establishment of systematic terminology and definitions for BCI medical devices, which is expected to promote standardization and large-scale application [4] - Recent developments in pricing standards for BCI services across various provinces indicate a clearer path for reimbursement, which is anticipated to enhance clinical application of this new technology [4] - The report suggests that BCI technology may achieve commercial application in medical settings first, driven by supportive policies that address both supply and demand aspects [4] Summary by Sections Industry Standards - The NMPA has published two new standards for BCI medical devices, which include methods for verifying the reliability of key components and definitions for the motor function reconstruction paradigm [4] Market Dynamics - Multiple regions have established pricing for BCI medical services, with guidelines set to take effect from April 30, 2025, which is expected to facilitate the clinical use of BCI technology [4] Policy Support - The report emphasizes that government policies are actively promoting the adoption of BCI technology in medical applications, addressing critical issues such as affordability and institutional hesitance [4]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and is maintained [7] Core Insights - The computer sector experienced a significant increase of 9.12%, ranking 4th among primary industries in the Yangtze River region, with a trading volume accounting for 7.72% of the total market [2][4][15] - The recent listings of Zhiyu and MiniMax are expected to drive investment opportunities in domestic AI applications, with MiniMax's stock surging nearly 110% on its debut, reaching a market capitalization of over HKD 105 billion [6][49] - The report suggests focusing on domestic large model manufacturers, major cloud service providers, vertical scenario agent manufacturers, and the domestic computing power industry chain [6][49] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The computer sector saw a substantial rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving a sixteen-day winning streak, closing at 4120.43 points, reflecting an overall increase of 3.82% [4][15] - AI-related stocks were particularly active, with notable gains in companies such as Starry Technology (+49.74%) and Zhuoyi Information (+43.33%) [17] Key Developments - NVIDIA launched the Alpamayo series of open-source AI models aimed at enhancing autonomous driving capabilities [20][22] - OpenAI introduced ChatGPT Health, a specialized version of ChatGPT designed for health and wellness applications [31][38] - China submitted a proposal to the ITU for multiple satellite constellations, totaling 203,000 satellites, indicating a strategic acceleration in the commercial space sector [41][42] Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the importance of the recent IPOs of Zhiyu and MiniMax, which may reshape the industry landscape and capital market pricing logic, shifting the focus from parameter competition to profitability and implementation efficiency [49][60] - Investors are encouraged to monitor developments in the AI application sector, particularly in relation to large model manufacturers and cloud service providers [6][49]

Group 1: Economic and Political Context - The U.S. Department of Justice plans to sue Powell, driven by immense election pressure from the Trump administration to lower interest rates ahead of the midterm elections[2] - High credit card and mortgage rates are limiting U.S. consumer spending, with polls indicating significant election pressure on the Trump administration[8] Group 2: Implications for Monetary Policy - The Trump administration's actions may counteract its goal of lowering medium- and long-term interest rates, as rate cuts could increase inflation risks and steepen the yield curve[2] - The independence of the Federal Reserve is compromised, leading to decreased attractiveness of U.S. assets and downward pressure on the dollar index[2] Group 3: Market Reactions and Predictions - Increased expectations for interest rate cuts could benefit commodities like copper and aluminum, as well as emerging market equities[2] - The current U.S. real interest rate is approaching the natural rate, suggesting potential for significant economic growth if rates are cut, but also posing risks for re-inflation[8]

丨证券研究报告丨 固定收益丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 存单利率或有上行压力，可关注调整后的配置 价值——流动性和机构行为周度观察 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2026 年 1 月 5 日-1 月 9 日，央行短期逆回购小幅净回笼资金，3M 买断式逆回购投放 11000 亿元、等量续作。2026 年 1 月 5 日-11 日，政府债净缴款规模较高，同业存单到期收益率小幅 提升，银行间债券市场杠杆率均值提升。2026 年 1 月 12 日-18 日，政府债预计净缴款-931 亿 元，同业存单到期规模约为 8085 亿元。2026 年 1 月 9 日，测算中长期、短期利率风格纯债基 久期中位数周度环比分别下降 0.21 年、提升 0.18 年。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵增辉 马月 SAC：S0490524080003 SAC：S0490525080001 SFC：BVN394 research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 存单利率或有上行压力，可关注调整后的配置 2] 价值——流动性和机构行为周度观察 [Table_Summary2] 资金面 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [11] Core Viewpoints - The EU's anti-dumping measures against Chinese semi-steel tires are expected to be implemented by mid-2026, potentially leading to a demand shift of approximately 8.7 million units overseas. Current Chinese tire manufacturers have an overseas semi-steel tire capacity of only 17.6 million units per year, which is insufficient to meet the combined demand of approximately 25.1 million units from Europe and the US [3][10][76] - The semi-steel tire segment is characterized by strong consumer attributes, making it the most profitable category in the tire industry. The global demand for semi-steel tires is around 1.6 billion units annually, with an average price of $71 per tire, resulting in a market size of $114 billion [6][25] - Chinese semi-steel tire production capacity is projected to reach 82 million units per year by 2024, with an annual output of approximately 64 million units, accounting for about 40% of global supply. Exports constitute about 52% of China's semi-steel tire production [7][41] Summary by Sections EU Anti-Dumping Measures - The EU has initiated anti-dumping and countervailing investigations against Chinese semi-steel tires, with a final decision expected by June 2026. In 2024, the EU is projected to consume approximately 400 million semi-steel tires, with 90 million units imported from China, representing 60% of non-EU imports [8][59][60] Overseas Expansion of Chinese Tire Companies - Chinese tire manufacturers are increasingly establishing overseas production capacities, with approximately 22.2 million units per year already operational and an additional 28.7 million units planned. The EU's anti-dumping measures are expected to create a capacity gap that will take time to fill [9][68] - The US imports about 164 million semi-steel tires annually, with significant competition expected between the EU and the US for semi-steel tire capacity. The demand from the EU for 8.7 million units per year is likely to shift from China to overseas production [9][71] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on opportunities arising from both volume and price increases. Companies with greater marginal increases in overseas capacity and a higher proportion of total capacity in overseas production are expected to benefit more. Recommended companies include Senqilin, Sailun Tire, Zhongce Rubber, and Linglong Tire [10][76]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and is maintained [12] Core Insights - The low Earth orbit (LEO) satellite industry is accelerating, with the ceramic shell for T/R components expected to expand rapidly due to the high added value of the products and broad prospects [6][8] - The global active satellite count is projected to exceed 12,000 by July 2025, with LEO satellites accounting for 67.5% (over 8,100 satellites) [6][18] - The global satellite internet market is expected to reach $30 billion by 2025, continuing to grow at a high rate [6][18] - The domestic market for ceramic shells used in low Earth orbit satellites is projected to reach 3.8 billion yuan by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 94.4% from 2024 to 2030 [8][42] Summary by Sections Low Earth Orbit Satellite Industry - The satellite internet is recognized as a new generation of communication infrastructure, providing ubiquitous network services globally [6][18] - Countries are actively deploying LEO satellite communication systems, with notable players including SpaceX, OneWeb, and domestic companies like China Star Network and Kuiper [6][19] T/R Components and Radar Technology - T/R components are critical for satellite signal transmission and reception, with a significant portion of the cost attributed to these components in radar systems [7][30] - Active phased array radar systems, which utilize T/R components, are becoming mainstream due to their advantages in speed, anti-jamming capabilities, and multi-target tracking [7][30] Market Potential for Ceramic Shells - The ceramic shell's value in a single low Earth orbit satellite is estimated at around 1.1 million yuan, contributing to the overall satellite manufacturing cost [8][42] - The market for ceramic shells is expected to grow significantly, driven by advancements in technology and increasing demand for satellite communication systems [8][42] Company Spotlight: Guoci Materials - Guoci Materials is a leading player in high-end ceramic materials, focusing on the development and production of various ceramic products, including those for satellite applications [9][51] - The company has established a comprehensive innovation system and aims to become a leading platform in the precision ceramic industry [9][51]

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨点评报告丨软件与服务 [Table_Title] 新增 20 万颗卫星申请，我国太空战略提速进行 时 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 1 月 9 日消息，据国际电信联盟（ITU）官网显示，2025 年最后一周，我国向 ITU 申报了多个 卫星星座计划，申报总规模达 20.3 万颗.此次申报涵盖 14 个卫星星座，其中 CTC-1 和 CTC-2 两个星座各自申请 96,714 颗，成为本轮申报的主力。此次大规模申请或反映了我国在太空领 域的战略提速，后续太空资源竞争仍有望加速，进而惠及全产业链。建议关注商业航天产业链 各环节的核心供应商，重点关注 1）我国商业航天龙头企业供应商；2）我国卫星组装企业及核 心零部件供应商；3）卫星应用相关标的。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 宗建树 陈耀文 SAC：S0490520030004 SAC：S0490525070002 SFC：BUX668 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 软件与服务 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 新增 20 万颗卫星 ...

- The report primarily focuses on the commercial aerospace industry, highlighting its strategic importance and the development of its ecosystem, including satellite manufacturing, rocket launches, and downstream applications[9][15][28] - The "Guozheng Commercial Satellite Communication Industry Index" (980018.CNI) is introduced as a quantitative model reflecting the performance of A-share companies in the satellite communication industry, covering the entire value chain from satellite manufacturing to communication services[10][61][80] - The index's construction methodology emphasizes its focus on the aerospace and electronics sectors, with a concentrated weight distribution in core industry segments such as aerospace equipment, communication devices, and semiconductors[10][61][66] - The "Satellite ETF (159206)" is a passive index fund designed to closely track the performance of the Guozheng Satellite Communication Index, employing a full replication strategy to minimize tracking error and deviation[11][83] - The ETF's performance metrics include an annualized tracking error target of less than 2% and a daily tracking deviation of less than 0.2%, with a fund size of 117.69 billion yuan as of January 9, 2026[11][83] - The Guozheng Satellite Communication Index has demonstrated superior returns compared to broader market indices, with a year-to-date return of 18.96% and a one-year return of 122.94% as of January 9, 2026[80][81] - The index's constituent stocks include leading companies in aerospace equipment, electronic manufacturing, and semiconductor design, reflecting a balanced mix of large-cap leaders and growth-oriented mid-cap firms[67][68][70]

Group 1: Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a strong upward trend in the first week of 2026, benefiting from the "deposit migration" effect, which is expected to provide ample liquidity for insurance and wealth management institutions[1] - Global funds are likely to diversify away from high-valued US stocks due to RMB appreciation and geopolitical fluctuations, with foreign capital expected to shift towards A-shares and Hong Kong stocks[1] Group 2: Wealth Management Insights - As of Q3 2025, the wealth management scale reached approximately CNY 32.13 trillion, with equity products only accounting for about CNY 700 billion, or 0.22%[5] - The low proportion of equity products is attributed to constraints on the liability side, low customer risk appetite, and the need for improved investment research capabilities[5] Group 3: Insurance Fund Allocation - By Q3 2025, insurance fund management balances grew by approximately CNY 4.2 trillion, with equity holdings increasing by about CNY 1.2 trillion, representing around 28% of the total increase[6] - It is projected that insurance funds will contribute over CNY 1.2 trillion to the capital market in 2026, driven by new accounting standards and a shift towards high-dividend equity assets[22] Group 4: Foreign Capital Trends - In Q4 2025, northbound funds increased their holdings in over 1,600 stocks, with significant increases in the electronics and chemical sectors, while household appliances saw continuous reductions[8] - The total market value of northbound holdings was approximately CNY 2.59 trillion by the end of Q4 2025, remaining stable compared to Q3 2025[54]

丨证券研究报告丨 金融工程丨点评报告 [Table_Summary] 行业绝对收益存在一定均值回归特征，连续上涨后次年收益转弱、连续下跌后次年反弹，符合 "涨多回调、跌多反弹"的市场常识。从超额收益的角度来看，热门行业和冷门行业次年相对 万得全 A 均较弱，无论是连续正超额还是连续负超额，次年负超额的概率均较高。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 杨凯杰 刘胜利 SAC：S0490525080004 SAC：S0490517070006 SFC：BWH883 [Table_Title] 持续弱势行业次年表现如何？ 报告要点 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title2] 持续弱势行业次年表现如何？ [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 为了观察过去持续强势或者弱势的行业次年能否维持趋势，亦或是扭转趋势。我们采用长江一 级行业指数作为统计对象，统计了连续上涨、下跌、跑赢万得全 A、跑输万得全 A 多年的行业 次年表现，数据区间均为 2005 年至 2025 年。 事件评论 丨证券研究报告丨 cjzqdt11111 2 ...