联合研究丨行业深度 [Table_Title] 商业航天产业链观察系列一 太空算力：以星辰为节点，筑算力新接口 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 太空算力是在地球轨道部署计算设施的新范式，通过构建分布式轨道计算集群，将"天数地算" 转变为"天数天算"。其核心优势在于利用太空中持续的太阳能和接近绝对零度的环境，实现近 乎零能耗供能和零水耗散热，有效应对地面数据中心面临的能源与散热瓶颈。中美正加速布局： 美国由科技企业主导推进，中国则通过政府引领、产学研协同发展。建议关注太空算力产业链 上下游核心环节，重点关注 1）火箭及卫星制造核心供应商；2）激光通讯相关企业；3）太空 光伏供应商；4）太空算力运营商；5）SpaceX 供应商；6）太空算力芯片供应商。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490520030004 SAC：S0490522030001 SAC：S0490517110002 SFC：BUX668 SFC：BUX641 陈耀文 SAC：S0490525070002 宗建树 曹海花 于海宁 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [8][10]. Core Insights - The company, relying on the Long White Mountain as a premium water source, is positioned to enhance its brand influence as the region's mineral water representative. The company is expected to improve its profitability following the divestiture of loss-making assets starting January 2026 [3][5][6]. - The mineral water market in China is projected to grow, with the company aiming to expand its market share in Northeast China, particularly in Liaoning and Heilongjiang provinces, where significant sales growth is anticipated [7][8][84]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Established in 1998, the company originally focused on timber-related industries before transitioning to mineral water production. It underwent significant restructuring in 2017, integrating its mineral water and landscaping businesses, and officially rebranded in 2020 [6][18][24]. Market Position - The company holds a leading position in the mineral water market in Jilin Province, with a projected market share of 30% by 2025. Approximately 76% of its revenue is generated from the Northeast market, indicating strong regional dominance [7][8][84]. Growth Strategy - The company is actively developing markets in Liaoning and Heilongjiang, with expected sales growth rates of 26% and 101% respectively by 2024. The expansion strategy includes enhancing brand visibility through advertising and partnerships with e-commerce platforms [8][84]. Financial Projections - The company anticipates a net profit of 0.15 billion, 0.8 billion, and 1.9 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 0.02, 0.12, and 0.27 yuan [8][84]. Product Quality and Competitive Edge - The company benefits from high-quality water sourced from five locations in Long White Mountain, which is recognized as one of the world's premier natural water sources. Its product offerings emphasize affordability and quality, appealing to consumer preferences [62][67].

世界经济与海外市场丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 关税，美伊与再通胀 ——2026 年春节假期海外市场那些事 报告要点 丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_Summary] 春节假期期间，海外市场主要受到关税风波、美伊冲突、再通胀担忧的影响：美最高法裁定 IEEPA 关税违法令美欧股指领涨，但特朗普援引 122 条款加征关税和美伊冲突升温引发金油同 涨，而 FOMC 会议纪要对再通胀的担忧则令美元和美债利率双双上行。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490520090001 SAC：S0490525070005 SFC：BUX667 于博 黄帅 敬成宇 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 风险提示 1、中东地缘政治风险反复或持续冲击能源市场；2、美国外贸政策的法律博弈或加剧跨境资本 波动。 丨证券研究报告丨 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 关税，美伊与再通胀 2] ——2026 年春节假期海外市场那些事 [Table_Summary2] ⚫ 市场表现：美欧股指领涨，金价油价回升，美元和美债利率上行。 cjzqdt11111 2 ...

- The report analyzes the post-Spring Festival performance of various indices from 2007 to 2025, highlighting structural differences in returns and win rates between small/micro-cap indices and large-cap indices. Specifically, the Wind Micro-Cap Index and CSI 2000 Index showed the highest win rates (89.5%) and median returns (11.22% and 8.47%, respectively) over 20 days post-festival, outperforming indices like CSI 300 and Wind All A Index[2][8][13] - Liquidity recovery post-festival is identified as a key driver for the outperformance of small/micro-cap indices. The Wind Micro-Cap Index exhibited the highest increases in average daily turnover over T+5, T+10, and T+20 intervals (30.7%, 42.7%, and 52.9%, respectively), followed by the CSI 2000 Index (26.4%, 37.0%, and 51.7%). In contrast, the CSI 300 Index showed relatively lower turnover growth (18.9%, 23.1%, and 30.5%)[8][17][18] - Industry-wise, growth and cyclical sectors performed better post-festival, while financial sectors underperformed. The electronics sector had the highest median return over 20 days (9.10%) with a win rate of 84.2%, followed by the environmental protection sector with a win rate of 94.7% and a median return of 7.02%. Other strong-performing sectors included textiles and apparel, paper and packaging, and non-metallic materials, all with win rates above 80% and median returns exceeding 5%[2][19][24]

%% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 行业研究丨深度报告丨媒体Ⅱ [Table_Title] 字节 AI 深度：矢志登万仞，厚积起风云 %% %% [Table_Summary] 字节以饱和式打法积极布局 AI，拥有极强的战略定力。从组织架构看，我们认为字节的优势在于 组织独立性强、人才密度高、激励力度大；从资本开支看，预计字节未来投入依然强劲。模型层， 字节先进的模型+普惠的定价，带动大模型调用量国内领先，海量数据反哺模型进化，从而实现技 术+商业双飞轮转动。应用层，字节正在打造 AI 时代的"APP 爆款工厂"，核心优势为：1）依托 抖音、今日头条等超级 APP，实现高效引流和低成本获客，春晚有望带来超级流量窗口；2）形成 从模型到工具、从创作到分发、从流量到变现的闭环；3）豆包接入抖音商城，商业化有望再加速。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 高超 朱子愉 SAC：S0490516080001 SFC：BUX177 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 30 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 [Table_Title ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8][11]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading integrated chemical enterprise with diversified operations, resembling a smaller version of a chemical ETF. The report anticipates an upward trend in the chemical industry, suggesting that the company has significant potential for improvement in product pricing and demand [6][14]. - The company's main business segments include polyurethane, petrochemicals, fine chemicals, and new materials, with a strong competitive advantage in each area [6][22]. Summary by Relevant Sections Main Business - The company operates in three primary segments: polyurethane, petrochemicals, and fine chemicals/new materials. It has established a strong competitive edge in each sector, particularly in MDI and TDI production, with total capacities of 3.8 million tons/year and 1.44 million tons/year, respectively [6][22][37]. Product Prosperity - The chemical industry is currently at a low point but is expected to gradually improve. The company's products show significant potential for upward elasticity, with many price differentials at historical lows. The IMF has raised its global GDP growth forecast, which is likely to boost chemical consumption [7][48]. - Specific product insights include: - Polyurethane: MDI and TDI prices are at historical low percentiles of 26.6% and 37.6%, respectively, indicating potential for recovery [53]. - Petrochemicals: Price differentials for key products like propylene and ethylene are at 19.3% and 3.0%, respectively, suggesting a potential for price recovery [56]. - Fine Chemicals and New Materials: Lithium hexafluorophosphate prices have risen significantly, indicating strong demand and potential for sustained high profitability [53][56]. Investment Recommendations - The report expresses optimism regarding the company's ability to capitalize on the expected recovery in the chemical industry, maintaining a "Buy" rating based on the anticipated upward elasticity of its product lines [8][11].

Group 1: Financial Data Overview - In January, the new social financing (社融) increased by 7.2 trillion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 0.2 trillion RMB[7] - The total social financing stock grew by 8.2% year-on-year, while M2 increased by 9.0% year-on-year[7] - Government bonds and undiscounted bills were the main supports for the increase in social financing[7] Group 2: Loan Trends - Both medium and long-term loans for residents and enterprises saw a year-on-year decrease, while short-term loans increased for both sectors[7] - New loans in January amounted to 4.7 trillion RMB, a decrease of 0.4 trillion RMB year-on-year[7] Group 3: Monetary Supply and Liquidity - M1 and M2 both showed a year-on-year increase, with M1 at 4.9% and M2 at 9.0%[7] - Non-bank deposits continued to increase, indicating a trend towards liquidity in deposits[7] Group 4: Future Outlook - The year-on-year growth of social financing may face downward pressure as the base increases towards July, but is expected to remain above 7%[7] - The central bank is likely to maintain a loose liquidity stance, with M2 expected to stay above 7%[7] Group 5: Risks - Economic recovery may not meet expectations, potentially affecting credit growth and social financing[9] - Uncertainties regarding U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts could impact China's monetary policy[9]

丨证券研究报告丨 世界经济与海外市场丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 通胀回落，降息无忧 ——美国 1 月 CPI 数据点评 报告要点 ——美国 1 月 CPI 数据点评 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 于博 敬成宇 SAC：S0490520090001 SFC：BUX667 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 通胀回落，降息无忧 2] [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 [Table_Summary] 2026 年 1 月，美国通胀低于预期。具体来看：1）食品价格增速放缓，能源价格显著回落；2） 二手车价格大幅回落，核心商品通胀压力可控；3）机票上涨带动通胀反弹，但住房通胀回落， 核心服务通胀压力有限。往前看，我们仍维持此前对年内降息节奏的判断：1）短期，鲍威尔剩 余任期内降息暂缓已是基线预期，就业超预期对此并无影响；2）5 月沃什就任后，考虑到其"降 息+缩表、缩职能"的基本政策主张，加之届时关税对通胀的影响大概率基本显现，降息阻碍不 大，再度开启降息的可能性较大，年内预计累计降息至少 50B ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - The company has recently established significant partnerships in North America, including a joint venture with Harmonic Drive for robotic joint modules and collaborations with Aisin and Toyota for aluminum body components [2][4]. - As a leading player in the global exterior parts market, the company has successfully expanded into the battery box business, becoming a top player in this segment, which is expected to grow further with the increasing penetration of new energy vehicles in Europe [2]. - The company is strategically diversifying into robotics, liquid cooling, and low-altitude sectors, with ongoing progress in these areas, which is anticipated to create a multi-dimensional growth trajectory [2]. Summary by Sections Recent Developments - The company has formed a joint venture with Harmonic Drive to enter the North American market for humanoid robot joint modules, with an initial capital investment of HKD 78 million [7]. - A joint venture with Aisin and Toyota has been established to produce aluminum body components, enhancing the supply chain for these parts in North America [7]. Business Growth - The company's battery box business is experiencing rapid growth, driven by the acceleration of new energy initiatives in Europe, which is expected to boost both revenue and profitability [7]. - The company is entering a capital expenditure reduction phase, leading to improved cash flow and potential increases in dividend rates, with a forecasted net profit of HKD 27.7 billion, 32.6 billion, and 41.5 billion for 2025-2027 [7].

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨专题报告丨公用事业 [Table_Title] "十五五"加码碳排放双控，电力何去何从？ 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2026 年 1 月 20 日，国新办举行新闻发布会，会上再度重申了"双碳"目标，并提出全面实施 碳排放总量和强度双控，建立健全碳达峰碳中和综合评价考核、行业碳管控和产品碳足迹等制 度，完善激励约束政策。电力行业作为纳入碳市场的第一个行业，已经经历了多个履约周期， 在"十五五"碳排放双控加强的预期下，电力行业的碳排放控制也存在趋严的可能，对火电和 绿电将带来不同程度的影响。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490517080003 SAC：S0490520120001 SAC：S0490520110001 SAC：S0490523080003 SFC：BQT627 张韦华 司旗 宋尚骞 刘亚辉 张子淳 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 火电减排压力下，优质个体获得交易回报 research.95579.com 1 公用事业 cjzqdt11111 根据中电联数据统计，2020 年以来全国单位火电发电量二氧化碳排放量呈现整体下滑的态 ...