港股市场策略周报 2025.12.08-2025.12.14 | 分析师： | 蒋开来 | | --- | --- | | 中央编号： | BWL381 | | 联系电话： | 852-6430 1060 | | 邮箱： | jiangkl@cnzsqh.hk | 1 港股市场策略周报 - 投资要点 l 港股市场表现回顾： l 港股市场宏观环境： 2 n 本周港股三大指数先跌后涨、集体收跌，价值股、大盘股表现占优，成长股走弱。本周呈现"先防守、后修复"的V型 走势。本周恒生综指/恒生指数/恒生科技分别-0.45%/-0.42%/-0.43%。本周市场一级行业板块多数收跌，仅金融业、 资讯科技业收涨，其分别上涨0.88%、0.34%。 n 截至本周末，恒生综指的5年PE（TTM）估值分位点为83.39%，估值水平接近5年均值向上一个标准差。 n 基本面：通胀数据不及市场预期；政治局会议定调"提质增效"；中央经济工作会议强调"苦练内功应对外部挑战"。 n 资金面：美联储12月降息靴子落地，宽松预期有所升温；日本央行加息扰动全球流动性；南向资金结束29周净流入。 l 港股市场展望： n 基本面：国内经济仍处于筑底期 ...

港股市场回购统计周报 2025.12.08-2025.12.14 | 分析师： | 蒋开来 | | --- | --- | | 中央编号： | BWL381 | | 联系电话： | 852-6430 1060 | | 邮箱： | jiangkl@cnzsqh.hk | 港股市场回购周统计数据 1 目录 2 l 港股市场回购周统计数据 l 上市公司回购的意义与作用 3 港股市场回购周统计数据（2025.12.08-2025.12.14） 资料来源：Wind 4 n 本周回购市场热度较上周升温。 n 市场回购公司数量本周81家，较上周增加6 家。 n 总回购金额本周为52.19亿港元，较上周提 高1.98亿。 l 回购金额前十大公司统计 n 本周腾讯控股（0700.HK）排在第一，本周 回购31.78亿港元。 n 本周小米集团-W（1810.HK）回购6.99亿 港元，排在第二。 n 本周中远海控（1919.HK）回购金额排在第 三，达到2.26亿港元。 港股市场回购周统计数据（2025.12.08-2025.12.14） l 周回购数据总汇 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 期间回购金额 | 期间回购数量 | 回 ...

Valuation of Hong Kong Stock Market - The Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) and Hang Seng Index (HSI) are key indicators of market valuation[8][12] - The Hang Seng Technology Index (HSTECH) reflects the valuation trends in the tech sector[16][18] Industry Valuation Levels - The PE (TTM) valuation shows that the utilities sector is undervalued, with a percentile below 20%[23] - Consumer discretionary, consumer staples, healthcare, information technology, and utilities are below the 50th percentile in PE valuation[23] - High valuation sectors (above 50%) include energy, materials, industrials, financials, and telecommunications[23] - No sectors are currently undervalued based on PB (LF) valuation, with consumer staples, information technology, utilities, and real estate below the 50th percentile[27] - Energy, materials, industrials, consumer discretionary, healthcare, financials, and telecommunications are above the 50th percentile in PB valuation[27] AH Share Premium/Discount Levels - The Hang Seng AH Share Premium Index shows fluctuations in premium levels over time, with historical averages and standard deviations noted[33]

港股通数据统计周报 2025.12.08-2025.12.14 | 分析师： | 蒋开来 | | --- | --- | | 中央编号： | BWL381 | | 联系电话： | 852-6430 1060 | | 邮箱： | jiangkl@cnzsqh.hk | 1 目录 2 l 港股通前十大净买入/卖出公司 l 港股通净买入/卖出行业分布 l 港股通前十大活跃个股 l 港股通与南下资金介绍 港股通前十大净买入/卖出公司 港股通本周前十大净卖出公司（2025.12.08-2025.12.14） 3 港股通本周前十大净买入公司（2025.12.08-2025.12.14） 资料来源：Wind，浙商国际测算 5 | 序号 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 行业 | 港股通持股变动数 | 净买入金额（亿元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 1810.HK | 小米集团-W | 信息技术 | 131375016 | 56.44 | | 2 | 3968.HK | 招商银行 | 金融 | 43890998 | 22.49 | | 3 | 2800.HK | ...

Production Sector - The coke oven operating rate decreased to 71.90%, down by 0.76% from the previous week[8] - The blast furnace operating rate fell to 78.61%, a decline of 1.53% compared to the prior week[8] - The operating rate for full steel tires increased to 64.07%, up by 0.57% from the previous week[8] Consumption Sector - Weekly box office revenue surged to 211,100,000 CNY, an increase of 164,800,000 CNY from the previous week[8] - Average daily retail sales of passenger cars decreased to 77,354.4 units, down by 1,207.15 units from the previous week[8] - Average daily wholesale sales of passenger cars dropped to 100,053.7 units, a decline of 1,767.10 units compared to the previous week[8] Real Estate and Infrastructure - The transaction area of commercial housing in 30 major cities reached 200.86 million square meters, an increase of 24.09% from the previous week[8] - The land transaction area in 100 major cities was 2,921.84 million square meters, up by 181.29 million square meters from the previous week[8] - The land premium rate in 100 major cities increased to 2.52%, up by 0.52% from the previous week[8] Trade and Inflation - The Shanghai Export Container Freight Index rose to 1,506.46, an increase of 108.83 from the previous week[9] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for agricultural products improved, with the wholesale price index for agricultural products at 130.36, up by 1.38 from the previous week[9] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) showed a decline in commodity prices, with the RJ/CRB commodity price index at 298.29, down by 7.68 from the previous week[9] Transportation - The Beijing subway passenger volume increased to 989.41 million trips, up by 27.52 million from the previous week[9] - The number of domestic flights (excluding Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan) was 12,096.14, a decrease of 206.43 from the previous week[9]

Valuation of Hong Kong Stock Market - The report analyzes the valuation of major indices in the Hong Kong stock market, including the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI), Hang Seng Index (HSI), and Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH) [8][12][16]. - The report highlights that no industries are currently undervalued with a PE valuation percentile below 20% [23]. - Industries with PE valuation percentiles below 50% include Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Information Technology, and Utilities [23]. Industry Valuation Levels - The report presents the PE (TTM) and PB (LF) valuation levels of various industries since early 2018 [23][27]. - Industries with relatively high PE valuation percentiles (above 50%) include Energy, Materials, Industrials, Healthcare, Financials, and Telecom Services [23]. - For PB valuation, industries with percentiles below 50% include Consumer Staples, Information Technology, Utilities, and Real Estate [23]. AH Share Premium/Discount Levels - The report includes the Hang Seng AH Share Premium Index, which tracks the premium or discount of AH shares over time [31]. - The index shows fluctuations in premium levels, with historical averages and standard deviations provided for context [33].

港股市场策略周报 2025.12.01-2025.12.07 | 分析师： | 蒋开来 | | --- | --- | | 中央编号： | BWL381 | | 联系电话： | 852-6430 1060 | | 邮箱： | jiangkl@cnzsqh.hk | 1 港股市场策略周报 - 投资要点 l 港股市场表现回顾： n 本周港股低开高走，整体延续"修复但不亢奋"的节奏，AI、互联网等热门板块有所回补，呈现"龙头优先、弹性有限" 的结构性格局。本周恒生综指/恒生指数/恒生科技分别+0.84%/+0.87%/+1.13%。一级行业板块多数收涨，仅电讯 业、必需性消费、地产建筑业、医疗保健业收跌。 n 截至本周末，恒生综指的5年PE（TTM）估值分位点为84.45%，估值水平接近5年均值向上一个标准差。 l 港股市场宏观环境： 2 n 基本面：非制造业PMI跌落荣枯线，制造业PMI好于10月前值，但也处于荣枯线以下，反映整体经济景气水平仍偏弱。 n 资金面：美国降息概率较高，12月降息25bp概率接近九成；本周南向资金继续保持净流入，环比上周下降49.45%。 l 港股市场展望： n 基本面：国内经济仍处于 ...

Valuation of Hong Kong Stock Market - The report analyzes the valuation of major indices in the Hong Kong stock market, including the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) and the Hang Seng Index (HSI) [7][8][12][14]. - The Hang Seng Technology Index (HSTECH) is also evaluated, reflecting the performance of technology stocks in the market [16][18]. Industry Valuation Levels - The report examines the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio across various industries, indicating that no industry is undervalued (PE percentile below 20%) [22]. - Industries with PE ratios below the 50th percentile include Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Healthcare, Information Technology, and Utilities [22]. - The report highlights that sectors such as Energy, Materials, Industrials, Financials, and Telecommunications have PE ratios above the 50th percentile, indicating relatively high valuations [22]. - For Price-to-Book (PB) ratios, no industry is undervalued (PB percentile below 20%) [26]. - Industries with PB ratios below the 50th percentile include Consumer Staples, Information Technology, Utilities, and Real Estate [26]. - Similar to PE ratios, sectors like Energy, Materials, Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, Healthcare, Financials, and Telecommunications have PB ratios above the 50th percentile [26]. AH Share Premium/Discount Levels - The report includes an analysis of the premium or discount levels of AH shares, which reflects the price differences between Hong Kong and mainland China-listed shares [30].

Production Sector - The coke oven operating rate increased to 72.04%, up by 0.96% from the previous week[7] - The blast furnace operating rate decreased to 81.07%, down by 1.1% from the previous week[7] - The PTA operating rate rose to 73.81%, an increase of 2.64% from the previous week[7] Consumption Sector - Weekly box office revenue dropped to ¥46.3 million, a decrease of ¥19.3 million from the previous week[7] - Average daily retail sales of passenger cars increased to 75,191.05 units, up by 1,179.15 units from the previous week[7] - Average daily wholesale sales of passenger cars rose to 95,414.30 units, an increase of 2,478.45 units from the previous week[7] Real Estate and Infrastructure - The transaction area of commercial housing in 30 major cities reached 232.67 million square meters, an increase of 28.08 million square meters from the previous week[7] - The land transaction area in 100 major cities decreased to 1,610.75 million square meters, down by 922.36 million square meters from the previous week[7] - The land premium rate in 100 major cities increased to 2.78%, up by 1.9% from the previous week[7] Trade and Inflation - The Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) rose to 1,403.13, an increase of 9.57 from the previous week[8] - The average wholesale price of pork decreased to ¥17.83 per kilogram, down by ¥0.08 from the previous week[8] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for agricultural products improved, with the wholesale price index rising to 126.77, an increase of 1.28 from the previous week[8] Transportation - The subway passenger volume in Beijing decreased to 814.39 million trips, down by 177.39 million from the previous week[8] - The number of domestic flights (excluding Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan) decreased to 12,490.57 flights, down by 24.71 from the previous week[8]

港股通数据统计周报 2025.11.24-2025.11.30 l 港股通前十大净买入/卖出公司 l 港股通净买入/卖出行业分布 l 港股通前十大活跃个股 l 港股通与南下资金介绍 港股通前十大净买入/卖出公司 | 分析师： | 蒋开来 | | --- | --- | | 中央编号： | BWL381 | | 联系电话： | 852-6430 1060 | | 邮箱： | jiangkl@cnzsqh.hk | 1 目录 2 3 港股通本周前十大净买入公司（2025.11.24-2025.11.30） | 序号 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 行业 | 港股通持股变动数 | 净买入金额（亿元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 9988.HK | 阿里巴巴-W | 可选消费 | 86161822 | 130.54 | | 2 | 2979.HK | 万国黄金集团(并) | 材料 | 501802800 | 39.94 | | 3 | 1024.HK | 快手-W | 信息技术 | 32228490 | 21.85 | | 4 | 3968.HK | 招 ...