Market Overview - On June 12, the A-share market opened lower but rose slightly throughout the day, with the Shanghai Composite Index finding support around 3389 points[2] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3402.66 points, up 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10234.33 points, down 0.11%[8] - Total trading volume for both markets reached 1,303.8 billion yuan, above the median of the past three years[3] Sector Performance - Strong performers included communication equipment, cultural media, power equipment, and banking sectors, while shipping ports, liquor, agriculture, and tourism sectors lagged[3] - The average P/E ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices were 13.95 times and 37.13 times, respectively, indicating a mid-level valuation compared to the past three years[3] Economic Context - China's economy continues to show moderate recovery, driven by consumption and investment[3] - The recent reduction in reserve requirements and interest rates has led to a generally loose liquidity environment[3] - The market anticipates potential interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve as early as September, which may further ease overseas liquidity conditions[3] Investment Recommendations - Short-term investment opportunities are suggested in communication equipment, cultural media, power equipment, and diversified finance sectors[3] - Investors are advised to closely monitor policy changes, liquidity conditions, and international market fluctuations[3] Risks - Potential risks include unexpected overseas economic downturns, domestic policy changes, and macroeconomic disturbances[4]

分析师：牟国洪 登记编码：S0730513030002 锂电池 mough@ccnew.com 021-50586980 销量持续增长，短期建议关注 ——锂电池行业月报 证券研究报告-行业月报 强于大市(维持) 发布日期：2025 年 06 月 12 日 锂电池相对沪深 300 指数表现 资料来源：中原证券研究所，Wind 相关报告 《锂电池行业专题研究：业绩显著改善，板 块可关注》 2025-05-19 《锂电池行业月报：销量同比高增长，短期 关注》 2025-05-13 《锂电池行业月报：销量持续高增长，短期 适度关注》 2025-04-14 联系人：李智 马嵚琦 5 月锂电池板块指数走势弱于沪深 300 指数。2025 年 5 月，锂电 池指数下跌 0.01%，新能源汽车指数下跌 0.80%，而同期沪深 300 指数上涨 0.83%，锂电池指数走势弱于沪深 300 指数。 风险提示：行业政策执行力度不及预期；细分领域价格大幅波动；新 能源汽车销量不及预期；行业竞争加剧；盐湖提锂进展超预期；系统风 险。 本报告版权属于中原证券股份有限公司 www.ccnew.com 请阅读最后一页各项声明 第 1 页 / ...

Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery in the telecommunications sector, with a notable increase in revenue growth and a rise in 5G mobile phone shipments, indicating a strong market demand for telecommunications services and products [12][13][15] - The automotive industry shows robust performance, with May production and sales figures reaching 2.649 million and 2.686 million vehicles respectively, marking year-on-year growth of 11.6% and 11.2%. Notably, new energy vehicles accounted for 48.7% of the total market, with sales increasing by 36.9% [5][8] - The food and beverage sector is experiencing a mixed performance, with a slight increase in the overall index but significant drag from the liquor segment. Excluding liquor, the sector shows strong growth in other categories such as soft drinks and health products [17][18][19] - The machinery industry is witnessing a recovery, with significant improvements in revenue and profit margins, particularly in the shipbuilding and nuclear power equipment sectors, indicating a positive trend in industrial demand [27][28][30][31] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,402.32 with a slight increase of 0.52%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.83% to 10,246.02, reflecting a stable domestic market environment [3] - The average price-to-earnings ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are at 13.86 and 36.79 respectively, suggesting a favorable long-term investment environment [9][10] International Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 30,772.79, down by 0.67%, while the Nikkei 225 saw a slight increase of 0.62% to 26,643.39, indicating mixed performance in international markets [4] Industry Analysis - The telecommunications industry index outperformed the broader market, rising by 5.53% in May, driven by increased demand for 5G services and products [12] - The food and beverage sector's valuation remains at historical lows, with a current average of 21.50 times earnings, suggesting potential for recovery as consumer demand stabilizes [18][19] - The machinery sector is experiencing a resurgence, with significant revenue growth reported in the first quarter of 2025, particularly in shipbuilding and nuclear equipment, indicating a strong recovery trajectory [27][30] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors such as telecommunications, automotive, and food and beverage for potential investment opportunities, given their current growth trajectories and market conditions [15][19][31]

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 资料来源：Wind,中原证券 -14% -8% -3% 2% 8% 13% 19% 24% 2024.06 2024.10 2025.02 2025.06 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | 上证指数 | | 3,384.82 | -0.44 | | 深证成指 | | 10,162.18 | -0.86 | | 创业板指 | | 2,022.77 | -0.47 | | 沪深 | 300 | 3,865.47 | -0.51 | | 上证 | 50 | 2,443.97 | -0.52 | | 科创 | 50 | 891.46 | 0.14 | | 创业板 | 50 | 1,924.26 | -0.67 | | 中证 | 100 | 3,678.67 | -0.58 | | 中证 | 500 | 5,757.99 | -0.82 | | 中证 | 100 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" investment rating for the communication industry [6][7]. Core Insights - The communication industry index outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index in May 2025, with a rise of 5.53% compared to +2.09% for the Shanghai Composite Index [6][12]. - In the first four months of 2025, the total telecom business revenue reached 598.5 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 1.0% [6][43]. - The report highlights a significant increase in 5G mobile phone shipments, which grew by 5.6% year-on-year in the first four months of 2025, accounting for 85.5% of total mobile phone shipments [6][69]. - The export volume of optical modules in April 2025 increased by 13.5% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in overseas demand [6][6]. - The report emphasizes the optimistic outlook for capital expenditure from major cloud vendors, which is expected to drive demand for optical devices [6][7]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The communication industry index rose by 5.53% in May 2025, outperforming major indices [12][15]. - Various sub-sectors within the communication industry saw positive performance, with network equipment and other communication devices increasing by 14.4% and 6.3% respectively [15][16]. Industry Tracking - Global cloud infrastructure spending reached $94 billion in Q1 2025, a 23% year-on-year increase [20][21]. - Major cloud providers are significantly increasing their capital expenditures, with North America's top four cloud companies spending a total of $76.5 billion in Q1 2025, up 64% year-on-year [21][24]. - The domestic ICT market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.5%, reaching approximately $751.76 billion by 2028 [32][35]. Domestic Telecom Industry Tracking - The number of mobile phone users reached 1.803 billion by April 2025, with 5G users accounting for 59.9% of this total [43][46]. - The average monthly data usage (DOU) per user reached 20.43 GB in April 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.6% [53][54]. - The construction of gigabit optical fiber networks is progressing, with 10G PON ports increasing by 18.45% year-on-year [56][57]. Domestic Mobile Phone Industry Tracking - In April 2025, domestic mobile phone shipments totaled 25.04 million units, a 4.0% year-on-year increase [69][72]. - The report notes that domestic brands accounted for 86.9% of total mobile phone shipments in the first four months of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 7.8% [72][73].

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 资料来源：聚源，中原证券研究所 -14% -8% -3% 2% 8% 13% 19% 24% 2024.06 2024.10 2025.02 2025.06 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | 上证指数 | | 3,399.77 | 0.43 | | 深证成指 | | 10,250.14 | 0.65 | | 创业板指 | | 2,022.77 | -0.47 | | 沪深 | 300 | 3,885.25 | 0.29 | | 上证 | 50 | 2,443.97 | -0.52 | | 科创 | 50 | 891.46 | 0.14 | | 创业板 | 50 | 1,924.26 | -0.67 | | 中证 | 100 | 3,700.30 | 0.07 | | 中证 | 500 | 5,805.65 | 0.76 | | 中证 | 1000 | ...

Domestic Market Performance - The A-share market showed slight fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,385.36, up by 0.04% [2] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10,183.70, down by 0.19% [2] - The ChiNext Index closed at 2,022.77, down by 0.47% [2] International Market Performance - The Dow Jones closed at 30,772.79, down by 0.67% [3] - The S&P 500 closed at 3,801.78, down by 0.45% [3] - The Nasdaq closed at 11,247.58, down by 0.15% [3] Economic Policies and Developments - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission issued a new management method for the development planning of central enterprises, focusing on optimizing and adjusting industries [4][9] - The Ministry of Finance announced plans to revise investment management regulations for the national social security fund and other financial regulations [4][9] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission released guidelines for the audit committees of listed companies, which will serve as a basis for evaluating independent directors and corporate governance [4][9] Macro Strategy - The report indicates that the communication and non-ferrous metal industries are leading the market, with A-shares showing slight fluctuations [4][9] - The average P/E ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are at 13.86 and 36.87, respectively, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments [9] - The report highlights a mild recovery in the Chinese economy, driven by consumption and investment, with strong service consumption and high-tech manufacturing investment supporting the economic fundamentals [9] Industry Insights - The food and beverage sector showed a slight increase, with the overall performance affected by the liquor segment [20] - The food and beverage sector's valuation is at a ten-year historical low, with a current valuation of 21.50 times earnings [21] - The mechanical industry reported significant improvements in Q1 2025, with revenue growth of 8.91% and net profit growth of 17.21% [32] - The semiconductor industry continues to see growth, with global sales increasing by 18.8% year-on-year in March 2025 [38] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in the communication, semiconductor, and non-ferrous metal sectors [9] - In the food and beverage sector, it recommends attention to soft drinks, health products, and baked goods [22] - The mechanical sector is advised for investment in traditional cyclical industries with stable fundamentals and high dividend yields [36]

证券研究报告 （2025.06.02-06.08） 合规 诚信 专业 稳健 分 析 师：徐至 SAC登记编码：S0730525040001 发布日期：2025年6月8日 01 全国要闻与数据跟踪 目 02 河南经济与政策跟踪 录 03 债券市场运行跟踪 Contents 04 股票市场运行跟踪 05 券商板块周行情跟踪 2025年"服务消费季"着力推动商旅文体 健融合发展，培育"旅游+""美食+"等 融合消费场景，通过多种创新形式，激发经 营主体活力，提升供给品质，释放服务消费 潜能，培育新增长点。 融合消费场景 n 6月3日，商务部启动2025年"服务消费季"活动 n 6月3日，工业和信息化部专题研究部署推动人工智能产业发展和赋能新型工业化 n 6月3日，工业和信息化部等五部门发布《关于开展2025年新能源汽车下乡活动的通知》 n 6月4日，财政部发布《2025年度中央财政支持实施城市更新行动评选结果公示》 n 6月4日，国家能源局组织开展新型电力系统建设第一批试点工作 n 本周公布主要数据： n 6月3日，财新传媒公布5月份财新中国制造业采购经理指数 n 6月5日，中国物流与采购联合会发布的2025年5月 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "In line with the market," indicating that the industry index is expected to fluctuate between -10% to 10% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [58]. Core Insights - The food and beverage sector showed a slight increase, primarily affected by the decline in the liquor segment. In May 2025, the sector's overall performance was a 0.25% increase, with significant net outflows from major funds totaling 15.43 billion yuan, while small investors showed a net inflow of 15.57 billion yuan, indicating a positive sentiment among retail investors [5][7]. - The valuation of the food and beverage sector has decreased slightly, currently at 21.50 times earnings, which is at a ten-year historical low. The liquor segment's valuation is even lower at 19.06 times [18][23]. - In May 2025, over 70% of the listed companies in the food and beverage sector saw their stock prices rise, with notable increases in other liquor, health products, snacks, dairy, and soft drinks [23][24]. - Investment in the food and beverage manufacturing sector has continued to grow significantly, with fixed asset investments in food manufacturing up 16.6% year-on-year as of April 2025, compared to a 4% increase in overall social fixed asset investments [27][31]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Performance - The food and beverage sector experienced a slight increase of 0.25% in May 2025, heavily influenced by the liquor segment's decline. Major funds saw a net outflow of 15.43 billion yuan, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 15.57 billion yuan [5][7]. - The sector's performance was better than the same period last year, with significant gains in other liquor, health products, soft drinks, baking, and pre-processed foods, which rose by 20.71%, 19.62%, 10.99%, 8.25%, and 6.42% respectively [8][11]. 2. Valuation - As of May 31, 2025, the food and beverage sector's valuation is at 21.50 times earnings, slightly down from 21.59 times the previous month, marking a ten-year low. The liquor segment's valuation is at 19.06 times, while health products, snacks, and other segments exceed 30 times [18][23]. 3. Individual Stock Performance - In May 2025, 90 out of 127 listed companies in the food and beverage sector reported stock price increases, with a rise rate of 70.87%. Notable performers included companies in the liquor, health products, dairy, and snack sectors [23][24]. 4. Investment Trends - The food and beverage manufacturing sector's investment growth has continued to exceed the overall social investment growth, with fixed asset investments in food manufacturing up 16.6% year-on-year as of April 2025 [27][31]. - The report recommends focusing on investment opportunities in soft drinks, health products, baking, beer, and snacks for June 2025, highlighting the potential for growth in these segments [52][55].

Market Overview - On June 6, the A-share market experienced slight fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index facing resistance around 3390 points[2] - The total trading volume for both markets was 11,774 billion yuan, above the median of the past three years[3] - The average P/E ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices were 13.86 times and 36.87 times, respectively, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments[3] Sector Performance - Strong performers included communication services, mining, non-ferrous metals, and semiconductors, while jewelry, beauty care, food and beverage, and medical services lagged[3] - Over 50% of stocks in the two markets saw gains, with non-ferrous metals, mining, and communication services leading the way[8] Economic Indicators - China's economy continues to show moderate recovery, driven by consumption and investment, with service consumption rebounding strongly[3] - In April, profits of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 3.0% year-on-year, marking a positive shift in the rolling three-month growth rate[3] Policy Impact - Recent monetary policies, including interest rate cuts and structural tools, aim to support technological innovation, inclusive finance, and consumption, enhancing market liquidity confidence[3] - The inflation index shows signs of moderate recovery, with corporate profit expectations improving marginally[3] Investment Recommendations - Short-term investment opportunities are suggested in communication services, semiconductors, non-ferrous metals, and engineering construction sectors[3] - Investors are advised to closely monitor policy changes, funding conditions, and external market fluctuations[3]