Market Overview - On January 30, the A-share market experienced a rebound after a dip, with the Shanghai Composite Index finding support around 4064 points[2] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4117.95 points, down 0.96%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14205.89 points, down 0.66%[7] - Total trading volume for both markets was 28,627 billion yuan, above the median of the past three years[3] Sector Performance - Strong performers included communication equipment, agriculture, battery, and coal sectors, while precious metals, energy metals, mining, and non-ferrous metals lagged[3] - Over 50% of stocks in the two markets declined, with significant inflows into communication equipment, battery, agriculture, gaming, and coal sectors[7] Valuation Metrics - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices were 17.07 times and 52.68 times, respectively, above the median levels of the past three years[3] - The current market conditions are deemed suitable for medium to long-term investments[3] Future Outlook - Regulatory measures are being implemented to temper speculative market behavior and guide the market towards a healthier "slow bull" trend[3] - The upcoming earnings reports from listed companies are expected to shift market focus towards performance growth and profit improvement[3] - Investors are advised to adopt a balanced allocation strategy, focusing on both technology growth sectors and cyclical, resource, and consumer sectors for future investment opportunities[3]

分析师：乔琪 登记编码：S0730520090001 qiaoqi@ccnew.com 021-50586985 全年利润大幅增长，Q4 或将创利润新高 证券研究报告-公司点评报告 买入(维持) 市场数据(2026-01-29) | 收盘价(元) | 475.50 | | --- | --- | | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 668.00/198.21 | | 沪深 300 指数 | 4,753.87 | | 市净率(倍) | 6.37 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 342.56 | | 基础数据(2025-09-30) | | | 每股净资产(元) | 74.69 | | 每股经营现金流(元) | 25.80 | | 毛利率(%) | 93.31 | | 净资产收益率_摊薄(%) | 22.56 | | 资产负债率(%) | 21.96 | | 总股本/流通股(万股) | 7,204.11/7,204.11 | | B 股/H 股(万股) | 0.00/0.00 | 个股相对沪深 300 指数表现 资料来源：中原证券研究所，聚源 -5% 27% 60% 92% 125% 157% 189% 222% 20 ...

| 收盘价(元) | 475.50 | | --- | --- | | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 668.00/198.21 | | 沪深 300 指数 | 4,753.87 | | 市净率(倍) | 6.37 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 342.56 | | 基础数据(2025-09-30) | | | 每股净资产(元) | 74.69 | | 每股经营现金流(元) | 25.80 | | 毛利率(%) | 93.31 | | 净资产收益率_摊薄(%) | 22.56 | | 资产负债率(%) | 21.96 | | 总股本/流通股(万股) | 7,204.11/7,204.11 | | B 股/H 股(万股) | 0.00/0.00 | 分析师：乔琪 登记编码：S0730520090001 qiaoqi@ccnew.com 021-50586985 全年利润大幅增长，Q4 或将创利润新高 证券研究报告-公司点评报告 买入(维持) 市场数据(2026-01-29) 个股相对沪深 300 指数表现 资料来源：中原证券研究所，聚源 -5% 27% 60% 92% 125% 157% 189% 222% 20 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing development of a comprehensive strategic partnership between China and the UK, focusing on cooperation in education, healthcare, finance, and technology sectors, including AI and renewable energy [5][8] - The macroeconomic analysis indicates that China's GDP for 2025 reached 1401879 billion, growing by 5.0%, with significant contributions from the tertiary sector [10] - The report emphasizes the strong performance of the new materials sector, which outperformed the broader market indices, indicating a growing demand for innovative materials in manufacturing [17] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4157.98, with a slight increase of 0.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.30% [3] - The A-share market showed a mixed performance, with sectors like media and liquor leading gains, while semiconductor and electronic components lagged [9][13] International Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 30772.79, down by 0.67%, while the Nikkei 225 saw a slight increase of 0.62% [4] Industry Analysis - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a strong rebound, with a 15.65% increase in the industry index, driven by developments in space photovoltaic technology [20] - The semiconductor sector continues to show robust growth, with global sales reaching 752.8 billion USD in November 2025, marking a 29.8% year-on-year increase [18] - The communication industry index outperformed the broader market, with a 12.82% increase in December, indicating strong demand for telecommunications equipment [27] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a balanced investment strategy, focusing on sectors like AI, high-end manufacturing, and cyclical resources, while also considering opportunities in financial and cultural sectors [9][14] - In the media sector, the report recommends focusing on companies benefiting from improved policy environments and the acceleration of AI applications, particularly in gaming and film [23][25]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the computer industry, expecting a relative increase of over 10% compared to the CSI 300 index in the next six months [1][50]. Core Insights - DeepSeek is set to launch its next-generation flagship AI model, DeepSeek V4, in mid-February 2026, which is anticipated to surpass the capabilities of Claude and GPT series models [3][11]. - The introduction of a new architecture independent of transformers in V4 is expected to mark a significant technological breakthrough, paving the way for advancements towards AGI [4][46]. - The report highlights the potential for cost reductions in model training, which could alleviate the current chip shortages in the domestic market [4][40]. - DeepSeek's commitment to an open-source approach is likely to enhance its competitive position against closed-source models from companies like OpenAI and Anthropic [41][45]. Summary by Sections 1. Latest Developments of DeepSeek - DeepSeek plans to release V4, which is positioned against the anticipated R2 model expected in May 2025 [11]. - The company has made significant advancements in adapting its models to domestic chips, enhancing compatibility and performance [12]. 2. Sparse Allocation Scheme - The introduction of the "Engram" memory module aims to improve model performance and decouple computation from memory constraints, addressing current GPU memory limitations [19][29]. - Experimental data indicates that allocating 20%-25% of sparse parameters to Engram optimizes overall model performance [22]. 3. Innovations in Information Transmission Architecture - The mHC architecture proposed by DeepSeek enhances information flow and stability in deep networks, improving training convergence speed by approximately 1.8 times [30][31]. 4. Long Text Input Compression - DeepSeek-OCR and its upgrade, DeepSeek-OCR2, utilize visual encoding to significantly reduce the number of tokens required for long text inputs, achieving high decoding accuracy even at substantial compression rates [34][37]. 5. Increased Transparency in Research - The update of the R1 paper from 22 to 86 pages reflects DeepSeek's commitment to transparency, detailing training processes and costs, which are significantly lower than those of leading models [39][40]. 6. Predictions for V4's Impact - V4 is expected to lower model costs and enhance performance, potentially transforming the competitive landscape of the AI industry [40][46]. - The model's deep integration with domestic chips is anticipated to support the development of the local computing ecosystem [47].

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 相关报告 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 传媒酿酒行业领涨 A 股小幅上行 《市场分析：煤炭有色行业领涨 A 股小幅上 行》 2026-01-28 《市场分析：金融半导体领涨 A 股小幅上 行 》 2026-01-27 《市场分析：金融有色行业领涨 A 股小幅整 ——市场分析 理 》 2026-01-26 联系人： 李智 电话： 0371-65585629 风险提示：海外超预期衰退，影响国内经济复苏进程；国内政 策及经济复苏进度不及预期；宏观经济超预期扰动；政策超预期 变化；国际关系变化带来经济环境变化；海外宏观流动性超预期 收紧；海外波动加剧。 本报告版权属于中原证券股份有限公司 www.ccnew.com 请阅读最后一页各项声明 第1页 / 共7页 地址： 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10号18楼 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道 1788 号 T1 座 22 楼 证券研究报告-市场分析 发布日期：2026 年 01 月 29 日 投资要点： ◼ A 股市场综述 周四（01 月 29 日）A 股市场先抑后扬、小幅震荡上行，早盘股 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the new materials industry [1][8]. Core Insights - The new materials sector outperformed the CSI 300 index in January 2026, with the new materials index rising by 10.54%, surpassing the CSI 300's increase of 1.90% by 8.64 percentage points [8][12]. - Basic metal prices saw a general increase in January 2026, with notable price changes including copper (1.23%), aluminum (2.79%), zinc (4.74%), and tin (34.93%) [8][37]. - Global semiconductor sales continued to grow, with November 2025 figures showing a 29.8% year-on-year increase, marking the 25th consecutive month of growth [8][42]. - The new materials sector is expected to benefit from the ongoing recovery in downstream demand and the push for domestic alternatives, indicating a potential growth cycle ahead [8][21]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance Review - The new materials index showed strong performance in January 2026, ranking 7th among 30 major industry sectors [12][16]. - A total of 170 stocks in the new materials sector were analyzed, with 141 stocks rising and 25 falling in January [17][20]. - The sector's valuation increased, with the new materials index PE (TTM) at 31.72, reflecting a 4.21% month-on-month increase [21][24]. Important Industry Data Tracking - In December 2025, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.2% month-on-month, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 0.2% [30][31]. - Basic metal prices and inventory changes were tracked, showing significant fluctuations in January 2026 [37][40]. - The export volume of superhard materials increased by 3.39% in December 2025, although the export value saw a slight decline [50][50]. Industry Dynamics - The establishment of the humanoid robot standard committee in Beijing and the introduction of the first group standard for functional diamonds highlight ongoing developments in the new materials sector [2]. - The implementation of the action plan for upgrading the non-ferrous metal industry in Henan province indicates regional efforts to enhance industry standards [2].

Core Insights - The report highlights the strong performance of the coal and non-ferrous metals sectors, indicating a bullish trend in the A-share market with a slight upward movement in indices [6][10][11] - The report emphasizes the significant growth in renewable energy capacity, particularly solar and wind power, with solar capacity increasing by 35.4% year-on-year [6][9] - The media sector shows a notable increase in the index, outperforming the broader market, driven by AI applications and a favorable policy environment [15][17][28] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,151.24 with a slight increase of 0.27%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.09% to 14,342.89 [4] - The A-share market has seen a mixed performance across various sectors, with financials and semiconductors leading the gains, while sectors like photovoltaic equipment and batteries showed weaker performance [10][11] International Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 30,772.79, down by 0.67%, while the Nikkei 225 saw a slight increase of 0.62% to 26,643.39 [5] - The report notes that gold prices have reached a historical high, surpassing $5,300 per ounce, driven by geopolitical risks and market speculation regarding interest rate cuts [9] Industry Analysis - The renewable energy sector is highlighted for its robust growth, with total installed power generation capacity reaching 3.89 billion kilowatts, a 16.1% increase year-on-year [6][9] - The media industry is experiencing a shift towards AI applications, with significant growth in gaming and advertising sectors, driven by improved policy support and technological advancements [15][17][28] - The telecommunications sector is facing supply chain challenges, particularly in key materials for optical modules, which may impact future growth [20][21] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a balanced investment strategy focusing on sectors with high growth potential, such as AI, high-end manufacturing, and renewable energy, while also considering cyclical and resource sectors [10][11][12] - Specific companies in the gaming and media sectors are recommended for their strong performance and growth prospects, including those leveraging AI technologies [15][28]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the power equipment and new energy sector [1] Core Insights - The photovoltaic industry index rebounded strongly in January, influenced by space photovoltaic themes, with an increase of 15.65%, significantly outperforming the CSI 300 index, which had a return of -0.26% during the same period [3][10] - The total newly installed photovoltaic capacity exceeded 300GW in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 13.67% [4][20] - The cancellation of the export VAT rebate for photovoltaic products is expected to accelerate the exit of high-cost production capacity [7][19] - The rise in silver prices has significantly increased the production costs of photovoltaic cells, leading to price hikes in battery and component prices [7][40] Industry Performance Review - The photovoltaic industry index showed a strong performance in January, with a daily average transaction amount of 89.662 billion yuan, a significant increase compared to previous months [10] - All sub-sectors within the photovoltaic industry experienced growth, with conductive silver paste and photovoltaic equipment leading the gains [13] - Notable stock performances included companies like Aotewi, Dike, and Maiwei, which saw substantial increases in their stock prices [16][18] Industry and Company Dynamics - The cancellation of the export VAT rebate for photovoltaic products is set to take effect on April 1, 2026, which may lead to accelerated exports before the policy change [7][19] - SpaceX plans to build 200GW of photovoltaic capacity in the U.S. over the next three years, primarily for powering satellites and data centers [19] - The domestic photovoltaic market saw a total export volume of approximately 246.2GW in 2025, with a slight decrease in December [22] Key Segment Data - In December 2025, the newly installed photovoltaic capacity reached 40.18GW, a month-on-month increase of 82.47%, although it showed a year-on-year decline of 43.30% [20] - The average price of polysilicon increased to 54 yuan/kg, reflecting a slight upward trend in the market [39] - The price of N-type solar cells has significantly increased, with prices reaching 0.42 yuan/W, driven by rising silver prices [40][43] New Technology Iteration and Commercialization Progress - A new solid-state molecular imprint annealing strategy has been proposed to enhance the stability of perovskite solar cells, achieving efficiencies of up to 26.6% in small devices [53] - The launch of the world's first rollable photovoltaic curtains at CES 2026 represents a significant technological breakthrough in flexible photovoltaic products [53]

National Economic Overview - In 2025, China's GDP reached 1401879 billion yuan, growing by 5.0% year-on-year, successfully meeting the growth target[6] - The contribution of the tertiary industry to GDP growth increased, with a structure adjustment to 6.7:35.6:57.7[13] - National fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) decreased by 3.8%, marking the first negative growth in five years[14] - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 501202 billion yuan, growing by 3.7% year-on-year[24] Provincial Economic Performance (Henan) - Henan's GDP in 2025 was 66632.79 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.6%, exceeding the initial target of 5.5%[37] - The province's industrial added value grew by 8.4%, surpassing the national average by 2.5 percentage points[39] - Social retail sales in Henan increased by 5.6%, higher than the national average by 1.9 percentage points[44] - Fixed asset investment in Henan rose by 4.0%, significantly exceeding the national decline[39] Sectoral Insights - The contribution of the service sector to GDP growth reached 61.4%, driven by strong performance in accommodation, catering, and IT services[13] - In Henan, the primary industry added value was 5538.08 billion yuan, growing by 3.6%, while the secondary and tertiary industries grew by 5.5% and 6.0% respectively[39] - High-tech manufacturing in Henan saw a significant increase, with growth rates of 29.3% in optical electronics and 26.7% in aerospace[43] Investment and Trade - Nationally, exports grew by 6.1% to 26990 billion yuan, while imports increased by 0.5%[34] - In Henan, the fixed asset investment growth was primarily driven by manufacturing, which saw a 0.6% increase[29] - The real estate sector in Henan faced challenges, with a 17.2% decline in development investment, although sales showed signs of recovery[33]