分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 防御行业走强 A 股震荡上行 ——市场分析 相关报告 《市场分析：成长行业领涨 沪指突破 3300 点》 2025-05-06 《市场分析：成长行业领涨 A 股小幅整理》 2025-04-30 《市场分析：汽车互联网行业领涨 A 股震荡 整固》 2025-04-29 联系人： 李智 风险提示：海外超预期衰退，影响国内经济复苏进程；国内政 策及经济复苏进度不及预期；宏观经济超预期扰动；政策超预期 变化；国际关系变化带来经济环境变化；海外宏观流动性超预期 收紧；海外波动加剧。 本报告版权属于中原证券股份有限公司 www.ccnew.com 请阅读最后一页各项声明 第1页 / 共7页 11784 电话： 0371-65585629 证券研究报告-市场分析 发布日期：2025 年 05 月 07 日 投资要点： ◼ A 股市场综述 周三（05 月 07 日）A 股市场高开低走、小幅震荡上行，早盘股指高 开后震荡回落，盘中沪指在 3328 点附近获得支撑，午后股指维持震 荡，尾盘再度回升，盘中航天航空 ...

市场数据(2025-05-06) | 收盘价(元) | 11.84 | | --- | --- | | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 14.76/9.40 | | 沪深 300 指数 | 3,808.54 | | 市净率(倍) | 1.66 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 127.94 | | 基础数据(2025-03-31) | | | 每股净资产(元) | 7.15 | | 每股经营现金流(元) | -0.18 | | 毛利率(%) | 13.47 | | 净资产收益率_摊薄(%) | 0.76 | | 资产负债率(%) | 54.28 | | 总股本/流通股(万股) | 119,043.26/108,055.0 | | | 8 | | B 股/H 股(万股) | 0.00/0.00 | ——多氟多(002407)年报点评 证券研究报告-年报点评 增持(维持) 其他化学制品Ⅱ 分析师：牟国洪 登记编码：S0730513030002 mough@ccnew.com 021-50586980 业绩短期承压，25 年一季度恢复增长 个股相对沪深 300 指数表现 相关报告 《多氟多(002407)中报点评：业绩盈利 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a projected increase of 5% to 15% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [2][14]. Core Insights - The company experienced a significant recovery in Q1 2025, with a 23.23% year-on-year increase in revenue to 4.709 billion yuan and a 154.72% increase in net profit to 830 million yuan [6][9]. - The overall film market in 2024 was weak, with a 22% decline in box office revenue and attendance, impacting the company's screening business, which saw a 20.82% revenue drop [9]. - The company maintained its leading position in the industry with a 15.2% market share, continuing to expand its direct cinema operations [9]. - Non-ticket revenue strategies have been upgraded, leading to a 60.70% gross margin in advertising revenue, which increased by 12.48 percentage points year-on-year [9]. - The content business remains stable, with significant growth in the gaming sector, where revenue increased by 54.71% to 583 million yuan [9][10]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a strong performance in the film market, with box office and attendance growth exceeding 40%, benefiting the company's screening and merchandise sales [10]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 12.362 billion yuan, a decrease of 15.44% year-on-year, and a net loss of 940 million yuan, a decline of 203.05% [6][11]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 0.52 yuan, 0.66 yuan, and 0.78 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 21.39, 17.07, and 14.37 [11][12].

半导体 分析师：邹臣 登记编码：S0730523100001 zouchen@ccnew.com 021-50581991 ——恒玄科技(688608)24 年报及 25Q1 季报点评 证券研究报告-季报点评 买入(维持) 市场数据(2025-05-06) | 收盘价(元) | 437.59 | | --- | --- | | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 449.60/119.24 | | 沪深 300 指数 | 3,808.54 | | 市净率(倍) | 7.83 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 525.31 | | 基础数据(2025-03-31) | | | 每股净资产(元) | 55.86 | | 每股经营现金流(元) | 0.03 | | --- | --- | | 毛利率(%) | 38.47 | | 净资产收益率_摊薄(%) | 2.84 | | 资产负债率(%) | 6.41 | | 总股本/流通股(万股) | 12,004.56/12,004.56 | | B 股/H 股(万股) | 0.00/0.00 | 个股相对沪深 300 指数表现 资料来源：中原证券研究所，聚源 -14% 23% 61 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Accumulate" to the company, indicating a potential increase of 5% to 15% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [13]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 5.304 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 28.89%, and a net profit of 640 million yuan, up 26.53% year-on-year [7][10]. - The growth rate of the company's main business revenue is slowing down, with a decrease of 13.33 percentage points compared to the previous year [7]. - The sales proportion from direct KA channels has decreased to 3.55%, while the distribution and e-commerce proportions have increased to 74.59% and 21.86%, respectively [7]. - The revenue share of spicy snacks, egg products, and dried fruits/nuts has expanded, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [7]. - The average factory price has decreased by 0.74% year-on-year, reflecting a downward trend in product pricing since 2020 [7]. - The company's gross margin has declined by 2.85 percentage points to 30.69% in 2024, attributed to a decrease in consumer spending power and increased competition in the snack market [10]. - The report forecasts earnings per share of 2.89 yuan, 3.70 yuan, and 4.37 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 30.23, 23.61, and 19.99 [10][11].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Accumulate" to the company, indicating a potential increase of 5% to 15% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [13]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 5.304 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 28.89%, and a net profit of 640 million yuan, up 26.53% year-on-year [7][10]. - The growth rate of the company's main business revenue is high but shows signs of narrowing, with a revenue increase of 25.69% in Q1 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, a decrease of 11.31 percentage points [7]. - The sales proportion from direct KA channels has decreased to 3.55%, while the distribution and e-commerce proportions have increased to 74.59% and 21.86%, respectively, indicating a shift in sales strategy [7]. - The revenue share of spicy snacks, egg products, and dried fruits/nuts has expanded, reflecting changing consumer preferences [7]. - The average factory price has decreased by 0.74% year-on-year, indicating a downward shift in product structure to adapt to new consumption trends [7][8]. - The company's gross margin declined to 30.69% in 2024, down 2.85 percentage points from the previous year, attributed to a decrease in consumer spending and increased competition [10]. - The report forecasts earnings per share of 2.89 yuan, 3.70 yuan, and 4.37 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 30.23, 23.61, and 19.99 [10].

传媒 分析师：乔琪 登记编码：S0730520090001 qiaoqi@ccnew.com 021-50586985 2025Q1 业绩高增，关注暑期档影市需求 ——万达电影(002739)年报点评 证券研究报告-年报点评 增持(维持) 市场数据(2025-05-06) | 收盘价(元) | 11.21 | | --- | --- | | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 14.07/9.00 | | 沪深 300 指数 | 3,808.54 | | 市净率(倍) | 3.07 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 233.77 | | 基础数据(2025-03-31) | | | 每股净资产(元) | 3.65 | | 每股经营现金流(元) | 0.60 | | 毛利率(%) | 34.44 | | 净资产收益率_摊薄(%) | 10.77 | | --- | --- | | 资产负债率(%) | 67.65 | | 总股本/流通股(万股) | 211,177.87/208,538.5 | | | 4 | B 股/H 股(万股) 0.00/0.00 个股相对沪深 300 指数表现 -36% -29% -21% -14% ...

其他化学制品Ⅱ 分析师：牟国洪 登记编码：S0730513030002 mough@ccnew.com 021-50586980 业绩短期承压，25 年一季度恢复增长 ——多氟多(002407)年报点评 证券研究报告-年报点评 增持(维持) 市场数据(2025-05-06) | 收盘价(元) | 11.84 | | --- | --- | | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 14.76/9.40 | | 沪深 300 指数 | 3,808.54 | | 市净率(倍) | 1.66 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 127.94 | | 基础数据(2025-03-31) | | | 每股净资产(元) | 7.15 | | 每股经营现金流(元) | -0.18 | | 毛利率(%) | 13.47 | | 净资产收益率_摊薄(%) | 0.76 | | 资产负债率(%) | 54.28 | | 总股本/流通股(万股) | 119,043.26/108,055.0 | | | 8 | | B 股/H 股(万股) | 0.00/0.00 | 个股相对沪深 300 指数表现 《多氟多(002407)中报点评：业绩盈利承 压，四 ...

半导体 分析师：邹臣 登记编码：S0730523100001 zouchen@ccnew.com 021-50581991 公司持续高成长 ——恒玄科技(688608)24 年报及 25Q1 季报点评 证券研究报告-季报点评 买入(维持) 市场数据(2025-05-06) | 收盘价(元) | 437.59 | | --- | --- | | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 449.60/119.24 | | 沪深 300 指数 | 3,808.54 | | 市净率(倍) | 7.83 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 525.31 | | 基础数据(2025-03-31) | | | 每股净资产(元) | 55.86 | 资料来源：中原证券研究所，聚源 相关报告 《恒玄科技(688608)中报点评：智能手表类芯 片市场份额快速提升，新一代 6nm 芯片有望 逐步放量》 2024-08-29 联系人：李智 | | | 发布日期：2025 年 05 月 07 日 | 每股经营现金流(元) | 0.03 | | --- | --- | | 毛利率(%) | 38.47 | | 净资产收益率_摊薄(%) | 2.84 | ...

乘用车Ⅱ 分析师：龙羽洁 登记编码：S0730523120001 longyj@ccnew.com 0371-65585753 出口及新能源驱动增长，公司加速转型 ——长安汽车(000625)年报点评 证券研究报告-年报点评 买入(维持) 市场数据(2025-05-06) | 收盘价(元) | 12.39 | | --- | --- | | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 15.96/11.52 | | 沪深 300 指数 | 3,808.54 | | 市净率(倍) | 1.57 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 1,226.90 | | 基础数据(2025-03-31) | | | 每股净资产(元) | 7.88 | | 每股经营现金流(元) | -0.35 | | 毛利率(%) | 13.86 | | 净资产收益率_摊薄(%) | 1.73 | | 资产负债率(%) | 59.69 | | 总股本/流通股(万股) | 991,408.61/990,234.2 | | | 6 | | B 股/H 股(万股) | 164,161.48/0.00 | 个股相对沪深 300 指数表现 《长安汽车(000625)公司点评报 ...