Report Overview - Report Type: Pulp Daily Report - Date: September 3, 2025 - Industry: Pulp 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View - The pulp market is experiencing low - level volatility adjustment. Cost - side guidance is limited, supply remains loose, and the market is awaiting the emergence of peak - season demand [8]. 3. Summary by Section 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Pulp Futures**: The previous settlement price of the pulp futures 01 contract was 5316 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 5308 yuan/ton, with an overall decline of 0.15% [7]. - **Shandong Wood Pulp Market**: The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp in the Shandong wood pulp market is 5000 - 6650 yuan/ton. The low - end price remained stable compared to the previous trading day's closing price. The price of Shandong Silver Star was quoted at 5720 - 5730 yuan/ton [7]. - **Arauco's August Offer**: Chile's Arauco Company announced its new round of August wood pulp export offers. The price of softwood pulp Silver Star was 720 dollars/ton, the price of unbleached pulp Venus was 590 dollars/ton, and the price of hardwood pulp Star was 520 dollars/ton, remaining stable compared to the June offer [8]. - **Production and Inventory Data**: In July, the chemical pulp shipments of the world's 20 major pulp - producing countries increased by 7.3% year - on - year, with softwood pulp up 4.1% and hardwood pulp up 11.1%. In July 2025, the total wood pulp inventory in European ports decreased by 1.9% month - on - month and increased by 19.2% year - on - year. China's pulp imports in July were 287.7 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 5.1% and a year - on - year increase of 23.7%. As of August 28, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports increased by 1.23% month - on - month. The cumulative year - on - year profit of the papermaking and paper products industry in July decreased by 21.9%, with a slightly wider decline [8]. 3.2 Industry News - **Domestic Paper Price Adjustment**: Since the end of August, the domestic paper products industry has witnessed a wave of price adjustments, with the adjustment range from 30 yuan/ton to 100 yuan/ton. Some enterprises raised the price of cardboard products by 3%. Bohui Paper announced that starting from September 1, 2025, all products would increase by 100 yuan/ton compared to the August 2025 price [9]. - **Shandong's Paper Industry Policy**: Four departments in Shandong jointly issued a document to promote the development of the papermaking industry. Shandong is a traditional stronghold in the papermaking industry, producing 1/6 of China's, 1/12 of Asia's, and 1/24 of the world's paper and paperboard. The policy aims to transform the traditional papermaking industry into a leading domestic and world - class high - end papermaking and biomass refining industry base [9]. 3.3 Data Overview - The report presents multiple data charts including those related to inventory (such as warehouse receipts, domestic main port pulp inventory, European main port wood pulp inventory), paper prices (coated paper, offset paper, white cardboard, and white board paper), and exchange rates (USD to RMB). However, no specific data analysis is provided in the summary section [22][29][32].

油） 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 硅）028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃纯碱） 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 行业 日期 2025 年 09 月 03 日 能源化工研究团队 研究员：李捷,CFA（原油燃料 研究员：任俊弛（PTA/MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（工业硅/多晶 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 期货从业资格号：F03134307 多晶硅日报 请阅读正文后的声明 每日报告 一、行情回顾与展望 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Views of the Report - As of the week ending on the 22nd, the overall decline in US crude oil and refined product inventories supported oil prices to some extent. However, the US travel peak season is coming to an end, and the refinery operating rate has also slightly declined, so there may be insufficient positive factors for oil prices in the later period. This summer, gasoline consumption in the US did not show a significant improvement even with lower prices compared to last year. Overall, this year's peak - season consumption in the US is weak, and the market has digested the expectation of US interest rate cuts to some extent. There is no driving force for oil prices, which are expected to continue to consolidate at the bottom and may decline again in the medium term [6]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market Review**: WTI crude oil opened at $63.95, closed at $64.61, with a high of $64.88, a low of $63.66, a daily increase of 0.94%, and a trading volume of 5.89 million hands. Brent crude oil opened at $67.42, closed at $68.16, with a high of $68.36, a low of $67.12, a daily increase of 1.01%, and a trading volume of 15.12 million hands. SC crude oil opened at 487 yuan/barrel, closed at 490.4 yuan/barrel, with a high of 492.5 yuan/barrel, a low of 487 yuan/barrel, a daily increase of 1.41%, and a trading volume of 7.98 million hands [6]. - **Operation Suggestions**: Oil prices are expected to continue to consolidate at the bottom and may decline again in the medium term [6]. 3.2 Industry News - HSBC maintains its forecast of Brent crude oil at $65 per barrel for the fourth quarter of 2025. - Oil traders expect OPEC+ to keep production unchanged at the weekend meeting. - Traders said that Russia plans to export 1.098 million tons of petroleum products from the Black Sea port of Tupse in September, compared with 1.068 million tons in August [7]. 3.3 Data Overview - The report presents multiple data charts, including global high - frequency crude oil inventories, WTI and Brent fund positions, Dtd Brent price, WTI and Oman spot prices, US crude oil production growth rate, and EIA crude oil inventories, with data sources from Bloomberg, wind, CFTC, and EIA [9][11][19][22].

Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Core Viewpoints - Linear futures opened higher and fluctuated. The market trading atmosphere changed little. Traders quoted prices with narrow fluctuations, and downstream buyers replenished stocks according to orders. The impact of maintenance is weakening, and new production capacity is continuously being released. The supply pressure brought by the new device of Daxie Petrochemical on the PP side, with a second - line device still to be put into operation in September, the production capacity pressure is continuously rising. The downstream is in the transition stage between the off - season and the peak season. The operating loads of plastic weaving and BOPP are slowly increasing. Injection molding has been partially improved due to the release of school supplies orders during the back - to - school season, but the overall recovery trend is not good. Attention should be paid to the substantial improvement of consumption during the "Golden September" peak season. The supply - demand contradiction of PE is not obvious for the time being. The short - term maintenance loss has increased again, and the new production capacity is slowly being put into operation. The supply pressure is acceptable. The loads of downstream pipes and other products remain low. The raw material and finished product inventories are maintained at a relatively low level. The follow - up of agricultural films has improved compared with the previous period, and the operating load has entered the seasonal upward range, which is expected to drive the de - stocking of social inventory. Plastics may run strongly [6]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Outlook - The opening price of L2601 was 7275 yuan/ton, closing at 7252 yuan/ton, down 4 yuan/ton (- 0.06%), with a trading volume of 220,000 lots and an increase of 12,546 lots in positions to 401,368 lots. PP2601 closed at 6943 yuan/ton, down 6 yuan, a decline of 0.09%, with an increase of 14,100 lots in positions to 572,000 lots [5][6] 2. Industry News - On September 2, 2025, the inventory level of major producers was 700,000 tons, a decrease of 10,000 tons from the previous working day, a decline of 1.41%. The inventory in the same period last year was 780,000 tons. The PE market price fluctuated slightly. The price of LLDPE in North China was 7130 - 7450 yuan/ton, in East China was 7200 - 7700 yuan/ton, and in South China was 7380 - 7750 yuan/ton. The mainstream price of propylene in the Shandong market was temporarily referred to as 6610 - 6680 yuan/ton, an increase of 40 yuan/ton from the previous working day. The inflow of propylene from outside the region decreased, and production enterprises still had the intention to continue to raise prices slightly. Downstream factories had certain rigid - demand support, but the cost pressure continued to increase, and the factories' acceptance of propylene prices decreased. The PP market adjusted slightly. Downstream factory procurement mentality was cautious, and the inquiry was less than the previous day. The morning trading in the market was average. The mainstream price of North China drawstrings was 6770 - 6980 yuan/ton, in East China was 6800 - 6980 yuan/ton, and in South China was 6760 - 7050 yuan/ton [7][8] 3. Data Overview - There are multiple data charts including L basis, PP basis, L - PP spread, crude oil futures main contract settlement price, two - oil inventories, and two - oil inventory year - on - year increase/decrease rate, with data sources from Wind, Zhuochuang Information, and the research and development department of CCB Futures [12][15][16]

1. Report Information - Reported industry: Oil and fat [1] - Date: September 3, 2025 [2] - Researchers: Yu Lanlan, Lin Zhenlei, Wang Haifeng, Hong Chenliang, Liu Youran [3] 2. Core Viewpoints - Short - term soybean oil inventory is high with sufficient supply, but there are concerns about long - term soybean supply and strong cost support, limiting its downside [8]. - Due to domestic tariff policies, the supply of domestic rapeseed oil and rapeseed meal is expected to decrease significantly. Current inventory and purchases ensure sufficient supply by the end of the year, but the long - term situation depends on policies, and the de - stocking process is slow with lack of market drive [8]. - The biggest variable in the oil and fat sector is palm oil. Production in the producing areas may increase in the third quarter, but active exports and rising crude oil prices help limit its decline. However, good production data in Indonesia and the upcoming harvest of North American soybeans and rapeseed also limit its upside. Unilateral trading of oils and fats should focus on rolling long positions [8]. 3. Summary of Each Section 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market Review**: The table shows the trading data of multiple contracts including settlement prices, opening prices, highs, lows, closing prices, price changes, trading volumes, open interests, and changes in open interests. For example, the P2601 contract had a closing price of 9422, a price increase of 96, and a gain of 1.03%, with a trading volume of 745699 and an open interest of 449555, a decrease of 12682 [7]. - **Operation Suggestions**: Unilateral trading of oils and fats should focus on rolling long positions [8]. 3.2 Industry News - In August, Malaysia's palm oil production decreased by 2.65% month - on - month, with a 4.18% decrease in fresh fruit bunch (FFB) yield and a 0.29% increase in oil extraction rate (OER) [11]. - Ship - surveying agencies SGS, ITS, and AmSpec reported that Malaysia's palm oil exports in August increased by 30.5%, 10.2%, and 15.4% respectively compared to July. Exports to China also increased [11][19]. - As of the end of the 35th week of 2025, the total inventory of three major edible oils in China was 270.17 million tons, a weekly increase of 10.93 million tons, a 4.22% month - on - month increase, and a 19.10% year - on - year increase [19]. - Stone X maintained its forecast of Brazil's 2025/26 soybean production at a record 1.782 billion tons. The soybean planting area in Paraná state, Brazil, is expected to increase by 1% year - on - year to about 5.8 million hectares, and the output may increase by 4% to about 22 million tons [19]. 3.3 Data Overview - The report provides multiple charts including spot prices and basis changes of various oils such as South China 24 - degree palm oil, East China third - grade rapeseed oil, and East China fourth - grade soybean oil, as well as price spreads and exchange rate data [15][16][21]

Report Information - Reported industry: Soybean meal [1] - Report date: September 3, 2025 [2] - Research team: Agricultural products research team [4] - Researchers: Yu Lanlan, Lin Zhenlei, Wang Haifeng, Hong Chenliang, Liu Youran [4] 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions Market Review - **Domestic Futures Contracts**: The prices of domestic soybean meal futures contracts, including 2601, 2509, and 2511, all declined. For example, the closing price of the 2601 contract was 3050, down 10 (-0.33%); the 2509 contract closed at 3006, down 7 (-0.23%); and the 2511 contract closed at 3022, down 11 (-0.36%) [6]. - **External Market**: The US soybean futures contracts were volatile, with the main contract at 1045 cents. The recent decline in soybean meal prices was mainly due to the expected Sino - US trade negotiations and the unexpectedly high excellent - rate of US soybeans [6]. Reasons for the Recent Decline - **Trade Negotiations**: With the approaching US soybean harvest season, US farmers are under increasing pressure. As the largest buyer of US soybeans, China has not purchased new - season US soybeans. The US Soybean Association urged Trump to repair trade relations with China, and Trump said he might visit China this year. There were also rumors of direct state - reserve purchases of US soybeans, causing the market to give back the previous optimistic premium [6]. - **Excellent Rate**: The latest excellent rate of US soybeans announced by USDA this week was 69%, higher than the expected 67%, the previous week's 68%, and the same period last year's 67%. The current excellent rate is the highest in the past five years, increasing the pressure of a bumper harvest [6]. Medium - term Outlook - **Import Substitution**: In the fourth quarter, with the 23% tariff on US soybeans remaining unchanged, China may mainly import Brazilian soybeans and supplement with some Argentine soybeans. There may still be a small import gap, which could be filled by state - reserve auctions [6]. - **Cost Trend**: As Brazilian soybeans are being sold out, the marginal price may rise. Considering weather factors, there is little possibility of a significant decline in the Brazilian FOB price in the fourth quarter. The cost of imported soybeans is likely to rise steadily in the fourth quarter. With the import of Canadian rapeseed blocked, the medium - term outlook is still bullish after corrections [6]. 2. Industry News - **Brazilian Soybean Production Forecast**: StoneX predicted that the production of Brazilian soybeans in the 2025/26 season (sown in September) would reach a record 178.2 million tons, stable compared with the August forecast. If confirmed, the production would increase by 5.6% compared with the previous year due to the expected increase in planting area and average national yield [8]. - **Pakistan's Purchase Agreement**: Pakistan is expected to sign a major purchase agreement with major US soybean exporters, planning to import about 1.1 million tons of soybeans with a total transaction value of about $500 million [8]. - **Brazilian Regulatory Decision**: A Brazilian federal judge approved a ban, temporarily suspending a decision of the Brazilian antitrust regulator CADE, which required global soybean traders to stop the so - called "Amazon soybean ban" plan [8][9]. 3. Data Overview - The report includes multiple data charts, such as the ex - factory price of soybean meal, the basis of the 09 contract, the 1 - 5 spread, the 5 - 9 spread, the US dollar - RMB central parity rate, and the US dollar - Brazilian real exchange rate, with data sources from Wind and the Research and Development Department of CCB Futures [14][16][13]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The market is more certain that the Fed will restart the interest - rate cut process at the September 17 meeting. The dollar index has fallen to 97.6, and London gold has risen to $3476 per ounce, with silver prices rising by more than 4%. The Fed's interest - rate cut may boost the gold price to break through the resistance and start a new upward trend, which may last until the spring - summer of 2026. Investors are advised to maintain a long - position mindset in precious - metal trading [4]. - From late April to now, London gold has been in a wide - range oscillation between $3100 - $3500 per ounce. The Fed's interest - rate cut, international trade currency system restructuring, and geopolitical risks may jointly push the gold price to break through the $3500 mark. Silver, with strong industrial attributes, will also rise following the gold price, and may outperform gold in terms of increase due to its high volatility. Investors are advised to maintain a bullish trading mindset, and short - hedgers can appropriately reduce the hedging ratio [5]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Precious Metal Market Conditions and Outlook - **Intraday Market**: Due to more Fed officials supporting the second - stage interest - rate cut and the US July PCE inflation stabilizing and rising in line with market expectations, the dollar index fell and gold and silver prices rose. The Fed's interest - rate cut may start a new upward trend for gold, and this round of rally may last until the spring - summer of 2026. This week, attention should be paid to global August PMI data, US August employment data, and China's September 3 military parade [4]. - **Medium - term Market**: From late April to now, London gold has oscillated widely. Although international trade situation improvement and financial market recovery have weakened gold's safe - haven demand, factors such as the Fed's interest - rate cut expectation and international trade currency system restructuring support the gold price. The gold price may break through $3500 per ounce, and silver will also rise following gold [5]. 3.2 Precious Metal Market - Related Charts - The report presents multiple charts, including Shanghai gold and silver futures indices, London gold and silver spot prices, Shanghai futures index basis against Shanghai Gold T + D, gold and silver ETF holdings, gold - silver ratio, and the correlation between London gold and other assets, with data sources from Wind and the research and development department of CCB Futures [7][9][11]. 3.3 Main Macroeconomic Events/Data - Russia and China jointly oppose discriminatory sanctions in world trade, and will discuss new prospects and measures for mutually beneficial cooperation during Putin's visit to China [17]. - US consumer spending in July had the largest increase in four months, and service - sector inflation rose. Economists believe that the Fed may still cut interest rates in September [17]. - San Francisco Fed President Daly supports interest - rate cuts due to risks in the labor market [17]. - The court hearing on Trump's attempt to dismiss Fed Governor Cook ended without an immediate ruling, and Cook will remain in office for now [17]. - The US Court of Appeals ruled that most of Trump's tariffs are illegal, but allowed tariffs to continue until October 14, giving the Trump administration a chance to appeal to the US Supreme Court [18].

Report Information - Report Type: Crude Oil Daily Report [1] - Date: September 2, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [4] Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - The overall consumption in the US peak season this year is weak, and the market has digested the US interest - rate cut expectation to some extent. There is no driving force for oil prices, which are expected to continue to consolidate at the bottom and may decline again in the medium term [6] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market Review**: WTI's opening price was $64.26, closing at $64.01, with a high of $64.55, a low of $63.88, a decline of 0.91%, and a trading volume of 164,000 lots. Brent's opening price was $67.59, closing at $67.46, with a high of $67.94, a low of $67.29, a decline of 0.76%, and a trading volume of 263,600 lots. SC's opening price was 487 yuan/barrel, closing at 483.5 yuan/barrel, with a high of 487.2 yuan/barrel, a low of 479.3 yuan/barrel, an increase of 0.12%, and a trading volume of 81,100 lots [6] - **Analysis**: As of the week ending on the 22nd, the inventories of US crude oil and refined oil decreased across the board, which supported oil prices to some extent. However, the US travel peak season is coming to an end, and the refinery operating rate has also declined slightly. There may be insufficient positive factors for oil prices in the later period. US gasoline consumption has not improved significantly this summer despite lower prices compared to last year [6] 2. Industry News - India's oil procurement has stabilized the market and prevented oil prices from rising to $200 per barrel [7] - As of the week ending on September 1, the crude oil arrival volume of Shandong independent refineries was 2.982 million tons, a decrease of 34,000 tons or 1.13% compared to the previous week. In the same period last year, the arrival volume was 1.237 million tons, an increase of 18,000 tons or 1.48%. The arrived crude oil was mainly medium - quality crude oil, including 400,000 tons of Russian crude oil and one new shipment of diluted bitumen [7] - On September 1 local time, the Yemeni Houthi rebels attacked the "ScarletRay" oil tanker in the northern Red Sea. The Israeli Defense Forces launched an air strike on Sanaa, the capital of Yemen, on August 28. On August 31, Houthi leader Abdul - Malik al - Houthi said that retaliation would be launched and the scale of military attacks and shipping blockades against Israel would be escalated in the future [7] 3. Data Overview - The report presents multiple data charts, including global high - frequency crude oil inventories, WTI and Brent fund positions, spot prices of WTI, Dtd Brent, and Oman, US crude oil production growth rate, and EIA crude oil inventories, with data sources from Bloomberg, wind, CFTC, EIA, etc. [9][14][19]

General Information - Report Date: September 2, 2025 [2] - Industry: Oil and Fats [1] - Research Team: Agricultural Products Research Team [4] - Researchers: Yu Lanlan, Lin Zhenlei, Wang Haifeng, Hong Chenliang, Liu Youran [3] 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions Market Review | Futures Contract | Previous Settlement Price | Opening Price | High Price | Low Price | Closing Price | Change | Change Rate | Trading Volume | Open Interest | Change in Open Interest | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | P2509 | 9310 | 9300 | 9378 | 9182 | 9330 | 20 | 0.21% | 255 | 2140 | -146 | | P2601 | 9348 | 9300 | 9392 | 9240 | 9384 | 36 | 0.39% | 669906 | 462237 | -16489 | | Y2509 | 8414 | 8414 | 8516 | 8350 | 8390 | -24 | -0.29% | 1039 | 3867 | -1702 | | Y2601 | 8358 | 8360 | 8360 | 8296 | 8348 | -10 | -0.12% | 285870 | 641642 | -8247 | | 609GO | 9968 | 9968 | 10030 | 9925 | 9930 | -38 | -0.38% | 644 | 2288 | -386 | | OI601 | 9782 | 9779 | 9848 | 9710 | 9801 | 19 | 0.19% | 285036 | 263549 | -52 | [7] Basis Quotes - Guangxi rapeseed oil traders' basis quotes: September: OI2601 + 40 (Guangxi), October: OI2601 + 80 (Guangxi) - East China refined tertiary rapeseed oil: August - September: OI2601 + 120, October - November: OI2601 + 170 - East China refined primary rapeseed oil: August - September: OI2601 + 130 - East China soybean oil basis price: First-grade soybean oil: September: Y2601 + 220; October - January: Y2601 + 280 - Dongguan 24-degree palm oil: Various factories' quotes range from 01 - 60 to 01 + 20 [7] Oil and Fats Analysis - Soybean oil: Short-term high inventory and abundant supply, but market concerns about long-term soybean supply and strong cost support limit its downside - Rapeseed oil: Domestic supply of rapeseed oil and rapeseed meal is expected to decrease significantly due to tariff policies. Supply is sufficient by the end of the year, and the long-term situation depends on policies. Strong cost support makes the price likely to rise - Palm oil: The biggest variable in the oil and fats sector. Production in the producing regions may still increase in the third quarter, and export data is rising. The current futures price is unlikely to fall deeply, but the upside is also limited - Operation Suggestion: Roll long on single oil and fats contracts, and conduct a long rapeseed oil - short soybean oil arbitrage [8] 2. Industry News Indonesia - Despite increased production, Indonesia's palm oil inventory at the end of June decreased by 13% month-on-month to 2.53 million tons due to rising exports - In June, Indonesia exported 3.61 million tons of palm oil, a month-on-month increase of 35.4% - June's crude palm oil production increased by 15.8% month-on-month to 4.82 million tons - In the first half of the year, palm oil production, including palm kernel oil, reached 27.89 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 6.5% [9] Malaysia - From August 1 - 25, Malaysia's palm oil production decreased by 1.21% month-on-month, with the fresh fruit bunch (FFB) yield per unit area decreasing by 3.26% month-on-month and the oil extraction rate (OER) increasing by 0.4% month-on-month [10] 3. Data Overview Palm Oil Export - From August 1 - 25, Malaysia's palm oil exports were 933,437 tons, a 36.4% increase compared to the same period in July - Exports to China were 81,000 tons, higher than 58,000 tons in the same period last month [18] Domestic Palm Oil Inventory - As of the end of the 35th week of 2025, the total domestic palm oil inventory was 558,000 tons, an increase of 38,000 tons from the previous week - The contract volume was 33,000 tons, an increase of 8,000 tons from the previous week [18]

Report Information - Report Title: Sugar Daily Report - Date: September 2, 2025 - Researcher: Wang Haifeng, Lin Zhenlei, Yu Lanlan, Hong Chenliang, Liu Youran [2][3] 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - The recovery of sugar production in Brazil suppresses sugar prices, while Zhengzhou sugar shows relatively strong performance compared to the external market, with the 5600 mark having strong support [7][8] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Futures Market Conditions**: On Friday, the New York raw sugar futures weakened slightly, with the main October contract closing down 0.85% at 16.34 cents per pound. The London ICE white sugar futures' main October contract closed down 0.1% at $492.70 per ton. The main contract of Zhengzhou sugar continued to weaken yesterday, with the 01 contract closing at 5623 yuan per ton, down 25 yuan or 0.45%, and reducing positions by 264 lots. Today, Zhengzhou sugar 01 fluctuated narrowly, performing slightly stronger than the external market, with three consecutive lower shadow lines on the technical chart and strong support at the 5600 mark. After the market, the previous speculative long positions started to turn short [7][8] - **Brazil's Sugar Production**: According to the Unica report, in the first half of August, the total sugarcane crushing volume in the central - southern main producing areas of Brazil was 47.63 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 8.17%, and the sugar production increased by 15.96% year - on - year to 3.62 million tons [7] - **Domestic Spot Prices**: Domestic spot prices in the producing areas decreased slightly, with the price of Nanning sugar at 5960 yuan and that of Kunming sugar at 5790 yuan [8] 3.2 Industry News - **Brazil's Port Shipping**: As of the week ending August 27, the number of ships waiting to load sugar at Brazilian ports was 72, up from 70 in the previous week. The quantity of sugar waiting to be loaded was 2.7221 million tons, down from 2.9169 million tons in the previous week. Among the total sugar waiting for export in the week, the quantity of high - grade raw sugar (VHP) was 2.4764 million tons. The quantity of sugar waiting for export at Santos Port was 1.7817 million tons, and that at Paranagua Port was 0.6127 million tons [9] - **Brazil's Sugar Production Forecast**: Brazil's National Supply Company (Conab) on Tuesday lowered its forecast for the country's sugar production in the 2025/26 season to 44.5 million tons, a 3.1% reduction from the April forecast due to adverse weather affecting sugarcane cultivation. The sugar production in the central - southern region is currently estimated at 40.6 million tons, a 2.8% decrease from the April forecast of 41.8 million tons. Despite the downward adjustment, Brazil's sugar production is still expected to increase by 0.8% compared to the previous season [9] - **ICE Position Data**: As of the week ending August 19, the total open interest of ICE raw sugar futures + options was 1,038,222 lots, a decrease of 2,291 lots from the previous week. Speculative long positions were 179,365 lots, a decrease of 11,403 lots from the previous week; speculative short positions were 310,352 lots, an increase of 4,227 lots from the previous week; speculative net short positions were 130,987 lots, an increase of 15,630 lots from the previous week [9] - **Guangxi Sugar Inventory**: According to data from the Pan - Sugar Technology Smart Storage and Transportation Platform, as of August 20, the inventory of sugar in third - party warehouses in Guangxi was about 770,000 tons, an increase of about 310,000 tons compared to the same period last year, slightly lower than the average level of the past five years. In August, the inventory of sugar in third - party warehouses in Guangxi decreased by about 140,000 tons compared to July, and the de - stocking speed slowed down significantly [9][10] 3.3 Data Overview - The report provides multiple charts, including the spot price trend, the basis of the 2509 contract, the SR9 - 1 spread, the import profit of Brazilian raw sugar, the number of warehouse receipts on the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange, the exchange rate of the Brazilian real, and the trading and position data of the top 20 seats of the main contract of Zhengzhou sugar [11][14][16] - **Top 20 Seats' Trading and Position Data**: The total trading volume of the top 20 seats was 187,750 lots, a decrease of 12,543 lots; the total long position was 252,364 lots, a decrease of 178 lots; the total short position was 269,805 lots, an increase of 1,800 lots [22]