Report Information - Report Title: Container Shipping Index Daily Report [1] - Date: October 16, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Macro Financial Team [4] - Researchers: He Zhuoqiao, Huang Wenxin, Nie Jiayi [3] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - The 9 - 10 month is the traditional off - season, with limited capacity control and supply pressure remaining. The spot freight rate is currently falling. However, shipping companies are starting to support prices for the year - end long - term contract season, and there is a high probability of a bottom - out and rebound trend. The cease - fire agreement between Israel and Hamas impacts the market, but its substantial progress and impact on Red Sea re - navigation are uncertain. There are opportunities for an oversold rebound due to China's countermeasures against the US in the maritime sector [8] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Current situation: 9 - 10 months are the traditional off - season, with supply pressure due to limited capacity control. Spot freight rates are falling. Shipping companies are raising prices for the second half of October. The cease - fire agreement between Israel and Hamas impacts the market, and there is uncertainty about Red Sea re - navigation. There are opportunities for an oversold rebound [8] 2. Industry News - Chinese export container transportation market: Stable after the National Day holiday, with rebound in ocean - going route freight rates driving up the composite index. China's September official manufacturing PMI rose to 49.8, showing improved manufacturing activity [9] - European routes: Eurozone's September composite PMI rose to 51.2, with service PMI at a 9 - month high. On October 10, Shanghai - to - Europe basic port freight rate increased by 10.0% [9] - Mediterranean routes: Market moved in sync with European routes, with rising spot booking prices. On October 10, Shanghai - to - Mediterranean basic port freight rate increased by 4.9% [9] - North American routes: US September ISM manufacturing PMI was 49.1, below the boom - bust line. The US imposed additional fees on Chinese ships, and China countered. On October 10, Shanghai - to - US West and East basic port freight rates rose by 0.5% and 2.8% respectively [10] - Israel - Hamas cease - fire: Hamas announced a cease - fire agreement, and both sides will release detainees. Israel allows Turkish aid to enter Gaza. The US plans to send up to 200 soldiers to assist in Gaza [10] 3. Data Overview 3.1 Container Shipping Spot Prices - SCFIS for European routes (basic ports) on October 13 was 1031.8, down 1.4% from October 6 [12] - SCFIS for US West routes (basic ports) on October 13 was 862.48, down 1.6% from October 6 [12] 3.2 Container Shipping Index (European Routes) Futures Market - Data on container shipping futures for European routes are presented in Table 1, including contract information such as opening price, closing price, settlement price, and trading volume [6]

Report Information - Report Type: Crude Oil Daily Report [1] - Date: October 16, 2025 [2] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The IEA monthly report predicts that the oversupply in the global crude oil market may further intensify, and oil prices continue to decline. The fourth quarter of 2025 and 2026 will see inventory accumulation, with the rate of inventory accumulation increasing compared to previous forecasts [6]. - Fundamentals are bearish, and the Israel - Palestine situation has eased recently. While the Russia - Ukraine situation may provide upward momentum for oil prices, the expected inventory accumulation will drag down oil prices after an upward surge. The recommended operation is to short on rebounds and focus on reverse arbitrage [7]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market Review**: WTI's opening price was $59.17, closing at $58.18, with a decline of 1.51%. Brent's opening price was $63.49, closing at $62.28, down 1.64%. SC's opening price was 442.4 yuan/barrel, closing at 443.7 yuan/barrel, down 1.79% [6]. - **Inventory Forecast**: In the fourth quarter of 2025, inventory is expected to accumulate at a rate of 2.55 million barrels per day, 0.32 million barrels per day higher than last month's forecast. In 2026, the inventory accumulation rate is raised from 1.87 million barrels per day to 2.09 million barrels per day [6]. - **Operation Suggestions**: Short on rebounds and focus on reverse arbitrage [7]. 2. Industry News - Russia's seaborne crude oil exports reached a 28 - month high, and Russia has the potential to increase oil production [8]. - Industry insiders have different views on future oil prices, with some predicting that oil prices will hover around the mid - to - high $60s per barrel next year, and others believing that the oil market will enter a downward cycle with an expected oversupply of about 2 million barrels per day next year [8]. 3. Data Overview - The report presents multiple data charts, including global high - frequency crude oil inventory, EIA crude oil inventory, US crude oil production growth rate, Dtd Brent price, WTI spot price, Oman spot price, US gasoline consumption, and US diesel consumption [10][11][18][22]

行业 鸡蛋 日期 2025 年 10 月 16 日 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F0301101 021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.co m期货从业资格号：F3055047 021-60635727 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.c om期货从业资格号：F0230741 021-60635572 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures .com 数据来源：Wind，建信期货研究中心 今日全国鸡蛋价格震荡。主产区平均价格 2.80 元/斤，较昨日上涨 0.01 元/ 斤；主销区平均价格 3.03 元/斤，较昨日下跌 0 元/斤。11 合约上涨 0.28%。 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 9 月现货价格冲高后回落，以往 8 月是最旺季，但今年由于供应端压力巨大， 使得旺季预期一再落空，国庆期间价格继续下跌，整体价格水平处于同期极低。 国庆归来后补库需求较弱，而市场上供应压 ...

行业 纯碱、玻璃日报 日期 2025 年 10 月 16 日 油） 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 硅）028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635727 期货从业资格号：F03134307 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 能源化工研究团队 研究员：李捷,CFA（原油燃料 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（尿素、工业 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃、纯碱） 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报 ...

Group 1: Report General Information - Report type: Stock Index Daily Review [1] - Date: October 16, 2025 [2] - Researchers: Nie Jiayi, He Zhuoqiao, Huang Wenxin [3] Group 2: Market Review and Outlook Market Review - On October 15, the Wind All A index rose 1.49% with over 4300 stocks up. The CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 closed up 1.48%, 1.36%, 1.38%, and 1.50% respectively. Small and medium - cap stocks performed better. Index futures were stronger than spot, with IF, IH, IC, and IM main contracts up 1.54%, 1.32%, 1.86%, and 1.81% respectively [6] Market Outlook - International: Tensions between China and the US have eased, but near the APEC meeting, the game between the two sides has intensified. Trump's statements show the complexity of the situation. - Domestic: China's export data in September showed resilience, but exports to the US declined. Exports in Q4 may face pressure due to the high - base effect of last year's end - of - year rush exports. - For the A - share market: The previous low - valuation advantage has disappeared, and the high valuation of the technology sector brings higher risks. Tariff disturbances may not end soon, and market volatility may continue. The technology sector's rebound drove the Shanghai Composite Index back to 3900, but the shrinkage of the whole - market up - trend needs to be observed for sustainability. In operation, short - term arbitrage strategies can be used, and in terms of market style, short - term attention can be paid to defensive sectors and policy - beneficiary sectors, and the style may turn to technology growth near the Fourth Plenary Session [8][9] Group 3: Data Overview - The data sources are Wind and the Research and Development Department of CCB Futures, including domestic main index performance, market style performance, industry sector performance, trading volume and open interest of various indexes and futures [11][12][13] Group 4: Industry News - China's CPI in September decreased by 0.3% year - on - year, and PPI decreased by 2.3% year - on - year. The National Bureau of Statistics said the consumer market was stable, and PPI's decline narrowed. The Chinese Foreign Ministry responded to the US threat of 100% tariffs, urging the US to correct its wrong actions and resolve issues through dialogue [30]

Report Information - Report Title: Sugar Daily Report [1] - Date: October 16, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Wang Haifeng, Lin Zhenlei, Yu Lanlan, Hong Chenliang, Liu Youran [3] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - New York raw sugar futures rebounded slightly, but the sugar price is still considered weak after breaking through the support level and rebounding without a significant breakthrough [7] - Zhengzhou sugar futures followed the raw sugar to rebound, but the amplitude was small, with weak spot prices and cautious long - position holders [8] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Futures Market Quotes**: SR601 closed at 5403 yuan/ton, up 3 yuan or 0.06%, with a position of 433,188 contracts, an increase of 11,032 contracts; SR605 closed at 5371 yuan/ton, down 3 yuan or - 0.06%, with a position of 80,846 contracts, an increase of 4,544 contracts; US sugar 03 closed at 15.87 cents/pound, up 0.26 cents or 1.67%, with a position of 468,073 contracts, an increase of 5,674 contracts; US sugar 05 closed at 15.36 cents/pound, up 0.20 cents or 1.32%, with a position of 141,836 contracts, an increase of 2,493 contracts [7] - **Zhengzhou Sugar Main Contract**: The main contract of Zhengzhou sugar fell sharply below the 5400 - yuan mark. The 01 contract closed at 5397 yuan/ton, down 77 yuan or 1.41%, with an increase in positions of 32,133 contracts. Domestic spot prices in production areas were lowered, with Nanning sugar quoted at 5800 yuan/ton and Kunming sugar at 5690 yuan/ton [8] 2. Industry News - **Brazilian Sugarcane Data**: According to the Brazilian Sugarcane Technology Center (CTC), the average sugarcane yield per hectare in the central - southern region this season decreased by 6.5% compared to the previous season. From April to September in the 2025/26 crushing season, the average yield was 77.7 tons per hectare, a decrease of 5.5 tons from the previous season. The sugarcane quality (measured by ATR) decreased by 0.8% [9] - **Sugar Factory Startup in Inner Mongolia**: As of now, 11 sugar mills in Inner Mongolia have started operation in the 2025/26 sugar - making season, and the last one is expected to start tomorrow. The white sugar price of Inner Mongolia Lingyunhai in the 2025/26 sugar - making season is 5850 yuan/ton, and the soft sugar price is 5950 yuan/ton [9] - **Indian Sugar Exports**: India exported 775,000 tons of sugar in the 2024 - 25 market year (October 2024 to September 2025). The largest export destination was Djibouti, with an export volume of 146,000 tons, followed by Somalia with 135,000 tons and Sri Lanka with 134,000 tons [9] 3. Data Overview - **Data Graphs**: The report presents multiple data graphs, including spot price trends, contract basis, price spreads, import profits, warehouse receipts, exchange rates, and trading positions of the top 20 seats of the main contract of Zhengzhou sugar, with data sources from Wind, Zhengshang Institute, and Jianxin Futures Research and Development Department [12][14][16]

Report Information - Report Title: Pig Daily Report [1] - Date: October 16, 2025 [2] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The supply of live pigs is expected to increase slightly before the Spring Festival, and the 2511 and 2601 contracts will continue to be dragged down by the weak spot market and mainly fluctuate weakly. Pay attention to whether the rhythm and volume of secondary fattening will continue to increase to drive the market under the low - price background [9] - The spot market has both supply and demand increasing, but the supply growth rate is still relatively large, and the supply - demand relationship is relatively loose. The spot price is likely to remain in a weakly fluctuating state [9] Section Summaries 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Futures Market**: On the 15th, the main 2601 contract of live pigs opened flat, then rose and then fell in a fluctuating manner, closing with a negative line. The highest was 12,480 yuan/ton, the lowest was 12,160 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 12,195 yuan/ton, down 1.13% from the previous day. The total open interest of the index increased by 6,157 lots to 281,593 lots [8] - **Spot Market**: On the 15th, the average price of the national outer three - yuan was 11.05 yuan/kg, up 0.16 yuan/kg from the previous day [8] - **Supply and Demand Analysis**: In September, the actual completion rate of supply - side slaughter was only 96.5%, and part of the slaughter will be postponed to October. The planned slaughter volume of sample enterprises in October increased by 5.14% compared with the actual slaughter volume in September. The slaughter weight increased seasonally. In the long - term, the slaughter of live pigs is expected to maintain a slight increase until the first half of next year. On the demand side, the cost of secondary fattening is low, and there is some replenishment demand after the decline in pen utilization. The terminal lacks obvious positive support, but as the weather turns cooler, consumer demand may continue to rise. The orders of slaughtering enterprises have slightly increased, and the operating rate and slaughter volume have increased slightly, but the overall increase is limited. On October 15th, the slaughter volume of sample slaughtering enterprises was 162,300 heads, an increase of 2,500 heads from the previous day, 9,700 heads week - on - week, and 14,200 heads month - on - month [9] 2. Industry News - Not provided in the report 3. Data Overview - **Profit and Cost**: As of October 9th, the average profit per head of self - breeding and self - raising was - 77 yuan/head, a week - on - week decrease of 23 yuan/head; the average profit per head of purchasing piglets for breeding was - 320 yuan/head, a week - on - week decrease of 13 yuan/head. The average market sales price of 15 - kg piglets in the week of October 9th was 281 yuan/head, a decrease of 53 yuan/head from the previous week [17] - **Price Difference**: In the week of October 9th, the price difference between 150 - kg fat pigs and standard pigs was 0.26 yuan/jin, a week - on - week increase of 0.1 yuan/jin [17] - **Slaughter Weight**: As of the week of October 9th, the average slaughter weight of national live pigs was 128.48 kg, a decrease of 0.07 kg from the previous week, with a month - on - month decline of 0.05% [17]

Report Information - Industry: Treasury Bonds [1] - Date: October 16, 2025 [2] - Researchers: He Zhuoqiao, Huang Wenxin, Nie Jiayi [3] Core Viewpoints - The bond market sentiment remains weak due to various negative factors such as the strong stock market, the impact of the new public - fund regulations, and the resurgence of anti - involution expectations. In October, the bond market may still face more negatives than positives. It is expected to stabilize after the negatives are cleared, but a rebound may need the re - warming of easing expectations. The optimal allocation opportunity for the bond market may appear in the second half of the fourth quarter [11][12] Section Summaries 1. Market Review and Operational Suggestions - **Market Performance**: In the afternoon, the strengthening of the A - share market suppressed the bond market, causing all treasury bond futures to turn down. Most yields of major term interest - rate bonds in the inter - bank market edged up slightly, with the yield of the 10 - year treasury bond active bond 250011 rising 0.45bp to 1.757% by 16:30 [8][9] - **Funds Market**: At the beginning of the month, funds were stable and loose. There were 150 billion yuan of reverse repurchases due, and the central bank injected 43.5 billion yuan, resulting in a net withdrawal of 106.5 billion yuan. The short - term fund rates fluctuated within a narrow range, and the medium - and long - term funds were stable [10] - **Conclusion**: Although the economic data in September weakened marginally, it had limited impact on the market. The bond market may face more negatives in October, but it is expected to stabilize after the negatives are cleared. The optimal allocation opportunity may appear in the second half of the fourth quarter [11][12] 2. Industry News - China has officially imposed special port fees on US ships starting today [13] - China's total value of goods trade imports and exports in the first three quarters reached 33.61 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 4%. The growth rate accelerated quarter by quarter [14] - The 2025 Financial Street Forum Annual Conference will be held from October 27 to 30 in Beijing [14] - The issuance plan of 1.3 trillion yuan of ultra - long - term special treasury bonds in 2025 has been successfully completed [14] 3. Data Overview - **Treasury Bond Futures Market**: Provides data on the trading of various treasury bond futures contracts on October 15, including opening price, closing price, settlement price, price change, trading volume, open interest, etc. [6] - **Money Market**: Mentions the term - structure change and trend of SHIBOR, as well as the change of inter - bank pledged repurchase weighted interest rate and silver - deposit inter - bank pledged repurchase rate [29][33] - **Derivatives Market**: Includes the Shibor3M interest - rate swap fixing curve (mean) and FR007 interest - rate swap fixing curve (mean) [35]

多晶硅日报 油） 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 硅）028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃纯碱） 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 行业 日期 2025 年 10 月 16 日 能源化工研究团队 研究员：李捷,CFA（原油燃料 研究员：任俊弛（PTA/MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（工业硅/多晶 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 期货从业资格号：F03134307 请阅读正文后的声明 二、行情要闻 每日报告 一、行 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Date - The report is dated October 16, 2025 [2] 2. Research Team - Energy and Chemical Research Team includes researchers for different sectors such as Li Jie (Crude Oil and Fuel Oil), Ren Junchi (PTA/MEG), Peng Haozhou (Industrial Silicon/Polycrystalline Silicon), Peng Jinglin (Polyolefins), and Liu Youran (Pulp) [3] 3. Market Performance and Outlook Market Performance - Industrial silicon futures prices fluctuated. The closing price of Si2511 was 8,570 yuan/ton, with a decline of 0.12%. The trading volume was 206,727 lots, and the open interest was 144,190 lots, a net decrease of 18,484 lots [4] Outlook - Spot prices remained stable, basis fluctuations weakened, and capital divergence converged. Supply - side pressure persisted, with the output in the second week of October at 95,700 tons and the monthly output expected to reach 420,000 tons. There was no significant increase in demand, with stable monthly demand for polysilicon, 120,000 tons for organic silicon, and 120,000 tons for exports and alloy demand. The oversupply pressure remained, and there was no de - stocking drive in the market. The policy side entered a vacuum period. Future support was mainly concentrated on production cuts in the southwest and rising electricity prices, and potential policy benefits were yet to be observed. Fundamentally, it was difficult to provide significant drivers, and the price was expected to fluctuate between 8,200 - 9,000 yuan/ton in the short term [4] 4. Market News - On October 15, the number of futures warehouse receipts on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange was 50,357 lots, a net decrease of 840 lots compared to the previous trading day. The organic silicon DMC market remained stable, with quotes ranging from 11,100 - 11,500 yuan/ton. Most manufacturers still had some pre - sold orders as support. Currently, the number of overhauling manufacturers was large, and some manufacturers planned to enter overhaul, leading to a reduction in market supply [5]