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动力煤早报-20250901
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-01 04:17
最新 日变化 周变化 月变化 年变化 最新 日变化 周变化 月变化 年变化 秦皇岛5500 695.0 -3.0 -7.0 38.0 -145.0 25省终端可用天数 19.8 0.3 -0.2 -1.1 2.2 秦皇岛5000 615.0 -3.0 -18.0 23.0 -120.0 25省终端供煤 604.7 -3.4 -3.8 -35.3 -18.1 广州港5500 760.0 -5.0 -5.0 20.0 -140.0 北方港库存 2016.0 -11.0 -19.0 -178.0 -135.7 鄂尔多斯5500 470.0 0.0 -10.0 40.0 -140.0 北方锚地船舶 85.0 -4.0 7.0 -11.0 9.0 大同5500 525.0 0.0 -15.0 20.0 -165.0 北方港调入量 162.4 5.2 9.4 28.1 14.7 榆林6000 602.0 0.0 -20.0 15.0 -177.0 北方港吞吐量 148.3 -20.2 4.5 -20.2 11.0 榆林6200 630.0 0.0 -20.0 15.0 -175.0 CBCFI海运指数 680.0 -36 ...
燃料油早报-20250901
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-01 04:15
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the high - sulfur cracking of Singapore 380cst fluctuated strongly, the near - month spread strengthened slightly, the basis rebounded, and the EW spread continued to rebound. Affected by the impact of US sanctions on the delivery warehouse, FU10 rose sharply and then fell. The low - sulfur cracking weakened, the spread fluctuated, the LU internal - external spread fluctuated at $10, and the MF0.5 basis began to rebound [3][4]. - Fundamentally, the residue inventory in Singapore increased, the floating storage decreased, the residue inventory in ARA remained flat, the floating storage inventory increased significantly, and the EIA residue began to accumulate. The global supply - demand of high - sulfur fuel oil weakened. Due to the reshaping of logistics, the demand for high - sulfur marine fuel in Singapore provided support, the EW spread was still being repaired, and the domestic high - sulfur spot was still in excess. Be vigilant against over - heating sentiment [4]. - The new round of sanctions has a relatively large potential impact on the domestic heavy crude oil supply, which provides a certain support for the Asian fuel oil valuation. This week, LU maintained a volatile trend, and the MF0.5 basis of the external market began to rebound. The opportunity for the spread between low - sulfur and high - sulfur fuel oil to widen in the fourth quarter can be concerned [4]. 3. Key Data Summaries Rotterdam Fuel Oil | Type | 2025/08/25 | 2025/08/29 | Change | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O Swap M1 | 394.08 | 389.06 | - 3.68 | | Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO Swap M1 | 461.01 | 456.37 | - 1.46 | | Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 | - 6.05 | - 6.14 | - 0.28 | | Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | 667.32 | 654.16 | - 1.73 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | - 206.31 | - 197.79 | 0.27 | | LGO - Brent M1 | 23.15 | 22.15 | - 0.70 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 | 66.93 | 67.31 | 2.22 | [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap | Type | 2025/08/25 | 2025/08/29 | Change | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | Singapore 380cst M1 | 399.93 | 401.16 | 5.62 | | Singapore 180cst M1 | 412.49 | 416.16 | 8.12 | | Singapore VLSFO M1 | 488.53 | 485.77 | - 1.59 | | Singapore Gasoil M1 | 86.39 | 85.94 | - 0.66 | | Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 | - 4.41 | - 4.48 | - 0.19 | | Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | - 150.76 | - 150.19 | 6.48 | [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot | Type | 2025/08/25 | 2025/08/29 | Change | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | FOB 380cst | 397.15 | 399.85 | 7.01 | | FOB VLSFO | 488.41 | 488.05 | - 3.15 | | 380 Basis | - 2.55 | - 1.10 | 0.15 | | High - sulfur Internal - External Spread | 4.5 | 2.4 | - 1.2 | | Low - sulfur Internal - External Spread | 10.6 | 8.0 | - 1.3 | [2] Domestic FU | Type | 2025/08/25 | 2025/08/29 | Change | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | FU 01 | 2831 | 2812 | - 19 | | FU 05 | 2790 | 2773 | - 23 | | FU 09 | 2845 | 2735 | - 25 | | FU 01 - 05 | 41 | 39 | - 4 | | FU 05 - 09 | - 55 | 38 | 48 | | FU 09 - 01 | 14 | - 77 | - 44 | [2] Domestic LU | Type | 2025/08/25 | 2025/08/29 | Change | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | LU 01 | 3491 | 3479 | - 18 | | LU 05 | 3449 | 3435 | - 24 | | LU 09 | 3403 | 3312 | - 98 | | LU 01 - 05 | 42 | 44 | 6 | | LU 05 - 09 | 46 | 123 | 122 | | LU 09 - 01 | - 88 | - 167 | - 116 | [3]
永安期货沥青早报-20250901
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-01 02:58
l永加安期货 沥青早报 研究中心能化团队 2025/9/1 | | 指标 | 7/31 | 8/21 | 8/27 | 8/28 | 8/29 | 日度变化 | 間度変化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | BU主力合约 | 3659 | 3465 | 3471 | 3517 | 3507 | -10 | 42 | | | BU06 | 3447 | 3342 | 3353 | 3373 | 3399 | 26 | 57 | | | BU09 | 3659 | 3496 | 3495 | 3559 | 3519 | -10 | 23 | | | BU12 | 3530 | 3373 | 3399 | 3427 | 3433 | 6 | 60 | | 居南 | BU03 | 3469 | 3340 | 3372 | 3394 | 3408 | 14 | 68 | | | 成交量 | 268665 | 194917 | 300106 | 289008 | 300820 | 11812 | 105903 | | | 持仓量 | ...
永安期货焦煤日报-20250901
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-01 02:36
焦煤日报 研究中心黑色团队 2025/9/1 免责声明 以上内容所依据的信息均来源于交易所、媒体及资讯公司等发布的公开资料或通过合法授权渠道向发布人取得的资讯,我们力求分析及建议内容的客观、公正,研究方法专业审慎,分 析结论合理,但我司对信息来源的准确性和完整性不作任何保证,也不保证所依据的信息和建议不会发生任何变化。我们提供的全部分析及建议内容仅供参考,不构成对您的任何投资 建议及入市依据,您应当自主做出期货交易决策,独立承担期货交易后果,凡据此入市者,我司不承担任何责任。我司在为您提供服务时已最大程度避免与您产生利益冲突。未经我司 授权,不得随意转载、复制、传播本网站中所有研究分析报告、行情分析视频等全部或部分材料、内容。对可能因互联网软硬件设备故障或失灵、或因不可抗力造成的全部或部分信息 中断、延迟、遗漏、误导或造成资料传输或储存上的错误、或遭第三人侵入系统篡改或伪造变造资料等,我司均不承担任何责任。 50.00 100.00 150.00 200.00 250.00 300.00 350.00 400.00 450.00 500.00 550.00 1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 ...
永安期货焦炭日报-20250901
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-01 02:03
900.00 1400.00 1900.00 2400.00 2900.00 3400.00 3900.00 4400.00 1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月 11月 12月 1月 吕梁出厂价 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 日照港准一平仓 1000.00 1500.00 2000.00 2500.00 3000.00 3500.00 4000.00 4500.00 焦炭日报 研究中心黑色团队 2025/9/1 | | 最新 | 日变化 周变化 | 月变化 | 同比 | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 | 同比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 山西准一湿熄 | 1535.94 | 0.00 | 54.61 | 163.84 | -5.96% 高炉开工率 | 90.02 | | -0.23 | -0.22 | 6.79% | | 河北准一湿熄 | 1780.00 | 0.00 | 55.00 | 185.00 | -4.30% 铁水日均产量 ...
沥青早报-20250901
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-01 00:12
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Report's Core View No relevant content provided. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog Futures Contract Prices and Changes - On August 29, the BU main - contract price was 3507, with a daily change of - 10 and a weekly change of 42 [4]. - The price of BU06 was 3399, with a daily change of 26 and a weekly change of 57 [4]. - The price of BU09 was 3219, with a daily change of - 10 and a weekly change of 23 [4]. - The price of BU12 was 3433, with a daily change of 6 and a weekly change of 60 [4]. - The price of BU03 was 3408, with a daily change of 14 and a weekly change of 68 [4]. Trading Volume and Open Interest - On August 29, the trading volume was 300820, with a daily increase of 11812 and a weekly increase of 105903 [4]. - The open interest was 428349, with a daily increase of 21525 and a weekly increase of 4336 [4]. Spot Market Prices - The Shandong market price on August 29 was 3510, with no daily change and no weekly change [4]. - The East - China market price was 3700, with no daily change and a weekly decrease of 20 [4]. - The South - China market price was 3500, with no daily change and a weekly increase of 10 [4]. - The North - China market price was 3650, with a daily decrease of 20 and a weekly decrease of 10 [4]. - The Northeast market price was 3870, with no daily change and a weekly decrease of 10 [4]. Basis and Calendar Spread - The Shandong basis on August 29 was 3, with a daily increase of 10 and a weekly decrease of 42 [4]. - The East - China basis was 193, with a daily increase of 10 and a weekly decrease of 62 [4]. - The South - China basis was - 7, with a daily increase of 10 and a weekly decrease of 32 [4]. - The 03 - 06 spread was 9, with a daily decrease of 12 and a weekly increase of 11 [4]. - The 06 - 09 spread was - 120, with a daily increase of 36 and a weekly increase of 34 [4]. - The 09 - 12 spread was 86, with a daily decrease of 16 and a weekly decrease of 37 [4]. - The 12 - 03 spread was 25, with a daily decrease of 8 and a weekly decrease of 8 [4]. - The continuous first - continuous second spread was 18, with a daily decrease of 16 and a weekly decrease of 24 [4]. Crack Spread and Profit - The asphalt Brent crack spread on August 27 was 7 [4]. - The asphalt MRE profit on August 27 was - 62 [4]. - The ordinary refinery comprehensive profit on August 28 was 380 [4]. - The MRE - type refinery comprehensive profit on August 27 was 690 [4]. - The import profit (South Korea - East China) on August 29 was - 127, with no daily change and a weekly increase of 4 [4]. - The import profit (Singapore - South China) on August 29 was - 1023, with no daily change and a weekly increase of 35 [4]. Related Prices - The Brent crude oil price on August 28 was 68.1 [4]. - The Shandong market price of gasoline on August 29 was 7592, with a daily decrease of 1 and a weekly decrease of 63 [4]. - The Shandong market price of diesel on August 29 was 6466, with no daily change and a weekly decrease of 50 [4]. - The Shandong market price of residue on August 29 was 3620, with no daily change and a weekly decrease of 40 [4].
永安合成橡胶早报-20250901
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-01 00:10
下 灰安期货 18000 600 - 18000 16000 16000 400 14000 14000 200 12000 12000 0 10000 10000 -200 8000 8000 6000 6000 -400 le 6 11 4 8 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 6 1 1 6 1 2 8 2 0 1 2 2 11 ly r /> 6 6 l of the la -600 - 2023 -- 2024 -- 2025 - 2020 - - 2024 - · 2020 - -2021 -- 2022 -- 2023 -- 202 2025 - 2021 -- 2022 -- 2023 -- 2024 · · 2025 顺丁齐鲁石化出厂价(两油出厂价) 高顺CFR东北亚 高顺CFR东南亚 18000 - 2500 - 3000 16000 2500 2000 14000 2000 1 500 12000 1500 1000 10000 1000 500 8000 500 6000 0 and the state of the state of the for the state of t ...
波动率数据日报-20250829
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-08-29 05:29
Group 1: Volatility Index Explanation - Financial option implied volatility index reflects the 30 - day implied volatility (IV) trend as of the previous trading day. Commodity option implied volatility index is weighted by the IV of the two - strike options around the at - the - money option of the main contract, showing the IV change trend of the main contract. The difference between the IV index and historical volatility (HV) indicates the relative level of IV to HV [2] Group 2: Implied Volatility and Historical Volatility Chart - The chart shows the IV, HV, and IV - HV differences of various financial and commodity options, including 300 Index, 50ETF, 1000 Index, PTA, cotton, etc [3] Group 3: Implied Volatility and Volatility Spread Quantile Ranking - Implied volatility quantile represents the current level of a variety's IV in history. A high quantile means the current IV is high, and a low quantile means the current IV is low. Volatility spread is the difference between the implied volatility index and historical volatility [4] - The implied volatility quantile rankings of some varieties are as follows: 300 Index (0.84, 0.89), 50ETF (0.62), PTA (0.52, 0.26), PVC (0.25), methanol (0.13), etc [5]
永安期货燃料油早报-20250829
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-08-29 03:32
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the document. 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the high - sulfur cracking of Singapore 380cst weakened, the near - month spread weakened (9 - 10 at 0.75 USD/ton, 10 - 11 at 3.25 USD/ton), the basis rebounded, and the EW spread continued to rebound. Affected by the new round of US sanctions on Iran (covering Dongjiakou and Yangshan Shenggang), the near - month internal - external spread of FU fluctuated greatly, and the 09 contract once returned above par. The low - sulfur cracking weakened, the spread oscillated (9 - 10 at 2 USD/ton, 10 - 11 at 2.75 USD/ton), and the internal - external spread of LU strengthened slightly to 10 USD [2][3]. - Fundamentally, Singapore's land - based residue inventory continued to decline, floating storage inventory decreased significantly, and low - sulfur floating storage increased. In July, Singapore's high - sulfur bunker fueling volume increased by 15% month - on - month and 10% year - on - year. The land - based inventory in Fujairah, Middle East decreased significantly, and floating storage decreased significantly. This week, Saudi Arabia's shipments decreased month - on - month, and UAE's shipments oscillated. US residue inventory increased slightly but remained at the lowest level in the same period in history, ARA ports decreased slightly, and floating storage increased slightly [3]. - The global supply - demand of high - sulfur fuel oil weakened. Due to the reshaping of logistics, the demand for high - sulfur marine fuel in Singapore provided support, and the EW spread was still recovering. The delivery volume of FU was still relatively large, and subsequent delivery changes should be monitored. The new round of sanctions had a relatively large potential impact on domestic heavy crude oil, providing a certain support for the valuation of Asian fuel oil. This week, LU remained weak, the basis of external MF0.5 oscillated at a low level, and the internal - external spread of LU oscillated. In the short term, opportunities for the expansion of high - sulfur 380 EW could still be considered [3]. 3. Data Summary Rotterdam Fuel Oil | Type | Value on 2025/08/22 | Value on 2025/08/25 | Value on 2025/08/26 | Value on 2025/08/27 | Value on 2025/08/28 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O Swap M1 | 390.33 | 394.08 | 383.86 | 381.95 | 392.11 | 10.16 | | Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO Swap M1 | 456.25 | 461.01 | 452.63 | 454.66 | 460.06 | 5.40 | | Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 | - 5.69 | - 6.05 | - 6.45 | - 6.75 | - 6.20 | 0.55 | | Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | 658.70 | 667.32 | 651.89 | 652.68 | 652.68 | 0.00 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | - 202.45 | - 206.31 | - 199.26 | - 198.02 | - 192.62 | 5.40 | | LGO - Brent M1 | 23.04 | 23.15 | 22.75 | 22.05 | 21.45 | - 0.60 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 | 65.92 | 66.93 | 68.77 | 72.71 | 67.95 | - 4.76 | [2] Singapore Fuel Oil | Type | Value on 2025/08/22 | Value on 2025/08/25 | Value on 2025/08/26 | Value on 2025/08/27 | Value on 2025/08/28 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Singapore 380cst M1 | 391.89 | 399.93 | 397.90 | 394.03 | 403.51 | 9.48 | | Singapore 180cst M1 | 404.08 | 412.49 | 410.84 | 406.97 | 410.37 | 3.40 | | Singapore VLSFO M1 | 482.52 | 488.53 | 487.99 | 482.43 | 489.46 | 7.03 | | Singapore Gasoil M1 | 86.09 | 86.39 | 86.31 | 85.06 | 85.49 | 0.43 | | Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 | - 5.38 | - 4.41 | - 5.01 | - 4.53 | - 4.41 | 0.12 | | Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | - 154.55 | - 150.76 | - 150.70 | - 147.01 | - 143.17 | 3.84 | [2][4] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot | Type | Value on 2025/08/22 | Value on 2025/08/25 | Value on 2025/08/26 | Value on 2025/08/27 | Value on 2025/08/28 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | 390.58 | 397.15 | 396.25 | 395.34 | 392.84 | - 2.50 | | FOB VLSFO | 482.56 | 488.41 | 489.51 | 485.57 | 484.90 | - 0.67 | | 380 Basis | - 1.75 | - 2.55 | - 2.00 | 1.50 | - 1.25 | - 2.75 | | High - sulfur Internal - External Spread | 0.8 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 1.5 | | Low - sulfur Internal - External Spread | 10.6 | 10.6 | 9.5 | 9.2 | 9.3 | 0.1 | [2] Domestic FU | Type | Value on 2025/08/22 | Value on 2025/08/25 | Value on 2025/08/26 | Value on 2025/08/27 | Value on 2025/08/28 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FU 01 | 2769 | 2831 | 2842 | 2790 | 2793 | 3 | | FU 05 | 2748 | 2790 | 2799 | 2748 | 2750 | 2 | | FU 09 | 2736 | 2845 | 2827 | 2763 | 2760 | - 3 | | FU 01 - 05 | 21 | 41 | 43 | 42 | 43 | 1 | | FU 05 - 09 | 12 | - 55 | - 28 | - 15 | - 10 | 5 | | FU 09 - 01 | - 33 | 14 | - 15 | - 27 | - 33 | - 6 | [2] Domestic LU | Type | Value on 2025/08/22 | Value on 2025/08/25 | Value on 2025/08/26 | Value on 2025/08/27 | Value on 2025/08/28 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | LU 01 | 3462 | 3491 | 3488 | 3444 | 3461 | 17 | | LU 05 | 3384 | 3449 | 3451 | 3408 | 3411 | 3 | | LU 09 | 3468 | 3403 | 3460 | 3418 | 3410 | - 8 | | LU 01 - 05 | 78 | 42 | 37 | 36 | 50 | 14 | | LU 05 - 09 | - 84 | 46 | - 9 | - 10 | 1 | 11 | | LU 09 - 01 | 6 | - 88 | - 28 | - 26 | - 51 | - 25 | [2]
永安期货纸浆早报-20250829
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-08-29 03:31
Report Overview - The report is a pulp morning report released by the Energy and Chemicals Team of the Research Center on August 29, 2025 [2] SP Main Contract Closing Price - The closing price of the SP main contract on August 28, 2025, was 5002.00 [3] - The closing prices from August 22 - 28 showed fluctuations, with changes ranging from -1.28505% to 0.54816% [3] - The Shandong Yinxing basis on August 28 was 723, and the Jiangsu - Zhejiang - Shanghai Yinxing basis was 748 [3] Import Profit - Calculated with a 13% VAT, the import profit for Canadian Golden Lion was -$13.20, for Canadian Lion was -$494.79, and for Chilean Silver Star was -$154.10 [4] Price Averages - From August 22 - 28, the national average prices of softwood pulp, hardwood pulp, unbleached pulp, and chemimechanical pulp remained unchanged, as did the Shandong regional averages [5] - The prices of cultural paper (double - offset and double - copper), packaging paper (white card), and living paper (living index) also remained unchanged during this period [5] - However, the profit margins of these paper products changed. For example, the double - offset profit margin decreased by 0.4635, and the double - copper profit margin decreased by 2.3273 [5] Price Spreads - The softwood - hardwood price spread on August 28, 2025, was 1565.00, and there were also spreads between softwood and unbleached pulp, chemimechanical pulp, and waste paper [5]