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2023年报业绩点评:业绩符合我们预期,24年加大市场投放品牌力向上
海通国际· 2024-03-28 16:00
Investment Rating - Maintains an **Outperform** rating with a target price of HK$113.1, representing a 36% upside from the current price of HK$83.20 [3][5] Core Views - Anta Sports' 2023 revenue of RMB 62.36 billion (+16.2% YoY) met market expectations, with FILA and other brands surpassing the main Anta brand in revenue [4][8] - Net profit in 2023 reached RMB 10.24 billion (+34.9% YoY), exceeding market expectations but in line with the report's forecasts [4][8] - The company plans to increase marketing efforts in 2024, focusing on basketball, running, Olympic promotions, and children's products to drive brand growth [4][8] Financial Performance - Revenue for 2024-2026 is projected to grow at a low double-digit rate, with expected revenues of RMB 69.89 billion, RMB 78.29 billion, and RMB 87.69 billion, respectively [5][9] - Net profit for 2024-2026 is forecasted at RMB 13.2 billion, RMB 14.34 billion, and RMB 16.59 billion, with YoY growth rates of 29%, 8.6%, and 15.7%, respectively [5][9] - Gross margins for Anta, FILA, and other brands are expected to remain strong, with slight improvements in 2024 [4][9] Brand Performance - Anta brand revenue in 2023 was RMB 30.31 billion (+9.3% YoY), while FILA and other brands grew by 16.6% and 57.7%, respectively [4][8] - FILA's gross margin improved by 2.6 percentage points to 69.0%, driven by better discount rates and product mix [4][8] - Other brands, including Descente and Kolon, achieved record store efficiencies, with Descente surpassing RMB 5 billion in revenue [4][8] Growth Drivers - Anta's basketball series, led by the Kyrie Irving line, is expected to boost global brand recognition [4][8] - The company's sponsorship of the Paris Olympics will enhance its global brand image [4][8] - FILA's expansion in golf, tennis, and fashion categories is expected to drive further growth in 2024 [4][8] Valuation - The company is valued at 22x PE for 2024, with a target price of HK$113.1, reflecting its strong multi-brand platform and global operational capabilities [5][9]
2023年归母净利润增长35%,多品牌引领增长
Guoxin Securities· 2024-03-27 16:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [3][18] Core Insights - The company reported a 35% growth in net profit attributable to shareholders in 2023, driven by a healthy inventory and strong cash flow [1][5] - Revenue increased by 16.2% to 62.36 billion yuan, with net profit rising to 10.24 billion yuan [1][19] - The company maintains a high dividend payout ratio of 51% for the year [1][6] - The growth momentum accelerated in the second half of 2023, with revenue growth of 18.1% and net profit growth of 37.1% [1][13] Financial Performance - Revenue and net profit projections for 2024-2026 are set at 134.6 billion, 134.8 billion, and 147.8 billion yuan respectively, reflecting growth rates of 31.5%, 0.2%, and 9.6% [18][19] - The company’s gross margin improved by 2.4 percentage points to 62.6% in 2023, with a significant reduction in inventory levels [1][5] - Operating cash flow increased by 62% to 19.6 billion yuan, with net cash reaching 33.5 billion yuan [1][6] Brand Performance - Anta and FILA showed steady growth, with revenues of 30.3 billion and 25.1 billion yuan respectively, while other brands grew by 58% to 6.9 billion yuan [1][10] - FILA's operating profit margin increased significantly by 7.6 percentage points to 27.6%, driven by improved gross margins and store efficiency [10][11] - The company plans to maintain its revenue growth targets for all brands, aiming for 10%-15% growth for Anta and FILA in 2024 [16][18] Market Strategy - The company is focusing on enhancing its brand matrix and expanding its market presence, particularly in Southeast Asia and the Middle East [17][18] - The strategy includes leveraging star endorsements and optimizing product channels to drive growth [18][19] - The company aims to increase its store count, targeting 7,100 Anta stores and 2,100 FILA stores by the end of 2024 [16][18]
业绩表现超预期,24年安踏、FILA指引双位数增长
申万宏源· 2024-03-27 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Anta Sports [2] Core Views - Anta Sports reported a strong performance in 2023, with revenue increasing by 16% to 62.36 billion RMB and net profit rising by 35% to 10.236 billion RMB, exceeding expectations [2][6] - The company aims for double-digit growth in 2024 for both Anta and FILA brands, supported by effective brand management and operational improvements [2] - The successful IPO of Amer Sports is expected to contribute positively to Anta's performance in 2024, with a projected one-time gain of approximately 1.6 billion RMB [2] Financial Performance Summary - In 2023, Anta's revenue reached 62.36 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth rate of 16% [2][9] - The net profit for 2023 was 10.236 billion RMB, reflecting a 35% increase compared to the previous year [2][9] - The gross margin improved by 2.4 percentage points to 62.6%, while the net profit margin increased by 2.3 percentage points to 16.4% [2][6] - The company plans to achieve revenues of 70.32 billion RMB in 2024, with a projected growth rate of 13% [9] Brand Performance - Anta brand revenue grew by 9.3% to 30.306 billion RMB in 2023, with a gross margin of 54.9% [2] - FILA brand revenue increased by 16.6% to 25.103 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 69.0% [2] - Other brands saw a significant revenue increase of 57.7% to 6.947 billion RMB, benefiting from outdoor trends and high brand recognition [2] Store Expansion and Channel Strategy - Anta's adult stores increased by 129 to 7,053 in 2023, with expectations to reach 7,100-7,200 stores in 2024 [2] - FILA's store count decreased by 12 to 1,972, but is expected to recover in 2024 with an increase to 2,100-2,200 stores [2] - The company is optimizing its new brand stores while expanding its main brand presence [2] Profitability and Efficiency - The company achieved a significant improvement in profitability, with operating profit margin rising by 3.7 percentage points to 24.6% [2] - Inventory turnover days decreased by 15 days to 123 days, indicating improved efficiency [2] - Operating cash flow increased by 62% year-on-year to 19.634 billion RMB [2]
2023年业绩点评:23年业绩超预期,奥运年期待多品牌龙头延续高质量增长
EBSCN· 2024-03-27 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Anta Sports (2020.HK) with a current price of HKD 83.55 [2]. Core Views - Anta Sports achieved a revenue of HKD 623.56 billion in 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.2%. The net profit attributable to shareholders, including the impact of the joint venture AMER, was HKD 102.36 billion, up 34.9% year-on-year, exceeding expectations [6][10]. - The company is expected to continue its high-quality growth in 2024, driven by its multi-brand strategy and the upcoming Paris Olympics [10][13]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profit Growth**: In 2023, revenue grew by 16.2% year-on-year, while net profit (including AMER) increased by 34.9%. Excluding AMER, net profit rose by 44.9% [6][10]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: The EPS for 2023 was HKD 3.69, with a proposed final cash dividend of HKD 1.15 per share, leading to an annual payout ratio of 50.7% [6][10]. - **Profitability Metrics**: The gross margin improved by 2.4 percentage points to 62.6%, and the operating margin increased by 3.7 percentage points to 24.6% [8][9]. - **Retail Performance**: The main brand Anta, FILA, and other brands saw significant revenue growth, with Anta growing in the mid-single digits to high-teens range throughout the year [6][10]. Brand and Market Strategy - **Multi-Brand Strategy**: Anta continues to focus on a "single focus, multi-brand, globalization" strategy, enhancing its competitive edge in various market segments [10][11]. - **Brand Performance**: Anta brand maintained its leading position in the domestic running market, while FILA expanded its presence in high-end fashion sports [10][11]. - **Global Expansion**: The successful listing of AMER on the NYSE in early 2024 is expected to further support Anta's global expansion efforts [11][12]. Future Outlook - **Revenue Projections**: The company targets a revenue growth rate of 10-15% for Anta and FILA in 2024, with higher targets for Descente and Kolon [13]. - **Store Expansion Plans**: Anta plans to increase its store count significantly across its brands, with specific targets set for 2024 [13]. - **Profit Forecast Adjustments**: The report has raised profit forecasts for 2024 and 2025 by 12% and 2% respectively, reflecting the strong performance and future potential [13][14].
火力全开;安踏品牌重塑推动未来增长;上调目标价
交银国际证券· 2024-03-27 16:00
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Anta Sports (2020 HK) with a target price of HKD 135.00, indicating a potential upside of 61.6% from the current closing price of HKD 83.55 [1][13]. Core Insights - Anta's 2023 net profit exceeded expectations, with a strong profit margin expansion. The sales and net profit for 2023 grew by 16.2% and 34.9% year-on-year, reaching RMB 62.356 billion and RMB 10.236 billion, respectively [1][5]. - The report highlights that the brand revamp of Anta is expected to drive future growth, with a focus on single-store sales growth and overseas expansion [1][5]. - The operating profit margin for Anta is projected to exceed 20% in 2024, with FILA and other brands maintaining margins around 25% [1][5]. Financial Performance Summary - **2023 Performance**: Sales reached RMB 62.356 billion, with a net profit of RMB 10.236 billion, reflecting a 34.9% increase year-on-year. The gross profit margin improved by 2.4 percentage points to 62.6% [4][5]. - **2024 Projections**: Revenue is expected to grow to RMB 71.151 billion, with a net profit forecast of RMB 13.571 billion, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22% for earnings per share [4][14]. - **Dividend Policy**: The dividend payout ratio has increased to 50.7% in 2023, up from 44.3% in 2022, with expectations to maintain around 50% in the future [1][5]. Brand Performance - **Anta Brand**: Sales for the Anta brand grew by 9.3% in 2023, with a significant increase in single-store sales expected due to new product launches and store formats [1][5]. - **FILA Brand**: FILA's operating profit margin increased by 7.6 percentage points to 27.6% in 2023, driven by reduced discounts and effective marketing strategies [1][5]. - **Other Brands**: Other brands under Anta, including Descente and Kolon, are projected to see sales growth exceeding 20% and 30%, respectively, in 2024 [1][5]. Market Position and Strategy - Anta is focusing on brand revitalization and overseas expansion, with plans to establish research and development centers globally. The upcoming Paris Olympics is expected to enhance brand visibility [1][5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of localizing product designs to cater to different markets, particularly in regions like the Middle East [1][5].
运营质量提升将推动2024年持续高质量增长;维持“买入”评级
浦银国际证券· 2024-03-27 16:00
浦银国际研究 公司研究 | 消费行业 安踏(2020.HK):运营质量提升将推动 2024 林闻嘉 年持续高质量增长;维持“买入”评级 浦 首席消费分析师 银 richard_lin@spdbi.com 过去一年里,安踏的品牌力(包括主品牌、Fila和其他品牌)、运营能 国 (852) 2808 6433 力和基本面持续稳健向好,且趋势好于同业。以上因素都将助力公司 际 在 2024 年持续取得高质量的增长。在较好市场情绪下,我们认为安踏 桑若楠,CFA 理应获得比同业更高的估值水平。基于 23x 2024 P/E,我们上调目标 消费分析师 价至 101港元,并维持安踏“买入”评级以及行业首选地位。 serena_sang@spdbi.com (852) 2808 6439 公 2024年收入与流水的增长动能强于其他国产同业:管理层维持 2023- 2024年3月27日 司 2026 年安踏品牌与 Fila 流水复合增长率 10%-15%的长期目标,并强 研 调 2024 年的流水增长目标与长期流水复合增长目标一致。管理层表 评级 究 示,受高基数以及天气的影响,公司 2024 年初至今两大品牌的流水 增 ...
2023年业绩超预期,各品牌经营利润率均实现提升
Shanxi Securities· 2024-03-27 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for Anta Sports (02020 HK) [2] Core Views - Anta Sports' 2023 performance exceeded expectations with significant growth in revenue and net profit [2][3] - The company's offline channels outperformed e-commerce, with a 16 2% YoY increase in revenue to RMB 62 356 billion and a 34 9% YoY increase in net profit to RMB 10 236 billion [1][3] - All brands achieved improved operating profit margins, with FILA brand reaching a historical high of 27 6% [2][4] Revenue Breakdown - Anta brand revenue grew 9 3% YoY to RMB 30 306 billion, accounting for 48 6% of group revenue [1] - FILA brand revenue increased 16 6% YoY to RMB 25 103 billion, representing 40 3% of group revenue [4] - Other brands revenue surged 57 7% YoY to RMB 6 947 billion, contributing 11 1% to group revenue [5] Channel Performance - DTC channel revenue for Anta brand grew 24 2% YoY to RMB 17 005 billion, accounting for 56 1% of Anta brand revenue [1] - E-commerce revenue increased 11 0% YoY but its share of group revenue declined by 1 5 percentage points to 32 8% [1] - Traditional wholesale and other channels revenue decreased 22 7% YoY to RMB 3 370 billion [1] Profitability - Gross margin improved by 2 4 percentage points to 62 6% in 2023, driven by Anta's DTC transformation and FILA's retail discount improvement [5] - Operating cash flow surged 61 6% YoY to RMB 19 634 billion [5] - Inventory turnover days decreased by 15 days to 123 days, with inventory declining 15 1% YoY to RMB 7 210 billion [5] Store Expansion - Anta brand stores increased by 129 to 7,053, while Anta Kids stores grew by 99 to 2,778 by end of 2023 [1] - FILA brand stores decreased by 12 to 1,972, with plans to expand to 2,100-2,200 stores by end of 2024 [4] - Descente and Kolon Sport stores are expected to reach 220-230 and 180-190 respectively by end of 2024 [5] Future Outlook - Anta brand and FILA brand are expected to achieve 10%-15% retail sales growth in 2024 [6] - Descente brand is projected to grow retail sales by at least 20%, while Kolon Sport is expected to grow by at least 30% in 2024 [6] - The company anticipates recording a one-time gain of RMB 1 6 billion in H1 2024 due to Amer Sports' IPO [5]
23年超预期兑现,24年业绩上调
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2024-03-26 16:00
业绩简评 3月 26日公司披露年报,全年实现收入623.56 亿元(+16.2%), 实现归母净利润 102.36 亿元(+34.9%),剔除合营公司亏损后归 母净利109.54 亿元(+44.9%);派息率50.7%,好于市场预期。 经营分析 亮点1:商品运营的灵活性、精准性提升,店效驱动收入、OPM 双 增。23 年安踏品牌收入突破 300 亿元大关(同增 9.3%至 303.06 亿元)、FILA 快速增长16.6%至 251.03 亿元,同时两个品牌的OPM 分别提升0.8pct\7.6pct 至22.2%\27.6%,主要由于:1)门店模 型优化、零售能力提升,店效、坪效提升双位数带来正向经营杠 杆增强,租售比下降;2)商品运营效率提升,管理层评价 23 年 为库存管理最好的一年,各个品牌折扣均有改善,存货减值减少, 各品牌库销比均回归 5 以下。我们认为品牌收入增长快于行业的 是反映品牌势能向上的最直接指标,叠加公司内生性管理优化, 港币(元) 成交金额(百万元) 增强了我们对于公司继续扩张品牌份额,灵活应对复杂环境,以 124.00 18,000 更轻的库存实现更大生意规模的信心。 114.00 ...
2023年业绩表现超预期,2024年预计高质量增长
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2024-03-26 16:00
证券研究报告 | 年报点评报告 2024年03月27日 安踏体育(02020.HK) 2023 年业绩表现超预期,2024 年预计高质量增长 2023年营收/业绩增长16%/35%,业绩表现超预期。公司披露2023 买入(维持) 年年报,全年实现营收623.56亿元,同比增长16.2%,受益于终端折扣 股票信息 的改善以及公司良好成本管控措施,集团毛利率同比提升 2.4pcts 至 行业 服装 62.6%,销售费用率同比降低 1.8pcts 至 34.8%,管理费用率同比降低 前次评级 买入 0.8pcts 至 5.9%,费用管控高效,综上归母净利率同比提升 2.3pcts 至 16.4%,归母净利润同比增长34.9%至102.36亿元(剔除分担合营公司 3月26日收盘价(港元) 83.55 亏损后,归母净利润增长44.9%至109.54亿元),业绩表现超预期,2023 总市值(百万港元) 236,665.69 年公司分红率为50.7%,长期来看我们预计公司分红率保持稳定。 总股本(百万股) 2,832.62 其中自由流通股(%) 100.00 安踏品牌:2023年收入稳健增长,利润率保持稳定,长期产品&渠道 ...
利润端增速超预期,期待奥运年业绩表现
Ping An Securities· 2024-03-26 16:00
公 纺织服装 司 2024年03月 27日 报 安踏体育(2020.HK) 告 利润端增速超预期,期待奥运年业绩表现 强烈推荐(维持) 事项: 公司发布2023年度业绩公告:全年营收623.6亿元,同比+16.2%;毛利润390.3 股价:83.55 港元 亿元,同比+20.8%,毛利率为 62.6%;经营利润 153.7 亿元,同比+36.8%, 经营利润率为24.6%;归母净利润102.4亿元,同比+34.9%,归母净利润率为 公 主要数据 16.4%,同比+2.3ppt;剔除合营公司损益影响后,公司归母净利润为109.5亿 司 元,同比+44.9%,归母净利润率为 17.6%,同比+3.5ppt。全年每股合计派息 行业 纺织服装 年 公司网址 www.anta.com;ir.anta.com 1.97港元,派息比率为50.7%(2022年为44.3%)。 大股东/持股 安踏国际集团控股有限公司/42.4% 报 实际控制人 丁世忠 平安观点: 点 总股本(百万股) 2832.62 营收端符合预期。公司实现全年营收 623.6 亿元,同比+16.2%。具体来 流通A股(百万股) 看:1)安踏品牌收入 3 ...