格隆汇10月28日丨中信证券认为，央行行长潘功胜在2025金融街论坛年会上发表主题演讲，宣布恢复国 债买卖，或主要源于配合财政发力、呵护金融机构年底流动性充裕，以及强化央行对曲线形态调控力度 的意图，宽货币取向再确认。预计债市短期下行空间打开，但中长期运行逻辑没有太大改变。参考三季 度债市整体承压，10年期国债收益率震荡上行，期间债市曲线向熊陡演绎，国债期限利差持续走阔，尤 其30Y-10Y抬升至近两年高位水平。近期期限利差的走阔，在短端利率整体稳定的情况下，主要缘于机 构交易偏好的下降以及对未来增长预期的边际变化。长期来看，考虑到流动性溢价消除带来的影响，我 们认为当前期限利差的水平已经调整较为充分，在目前点位进一步上行的空间或较为有限。 ...

格隆汇10月28日丨中信证券认为，市场风格维持高位震荡，仍围绕科技主线博弈，AI算力板块交易情 绪高涨。从催化因素和时序上看，当下处于三季报业绩密集披露期，结合市场环境、催化因素以及综合 量化指标研判，建议关注反内卷、AI算力、半导体、短剧四大主题方向。 ...

人民财讯10月28日电，中信证券研报认为，短期来看，央行恢复国债买卖释放了较大的宽松信号，一方 面宽货币逻辑延续，另一方面未来央行买债操作落地后可能形成买入信号，预计短期10Y国债利率可能 会迎来一轮小幅的中枢下行。然而中长期视角来看，伴随股市赚钱效应持续，风险偏好上行，而债基赎 回费率改革尚无定论，债市长期走势仍然存在较多的不确定性。尤其是伴随股市持续体现赚钱效应，近 两年资产荒支撑利率维持低位的逻辑能否延续值得关注，长期而言利率或维持宽幅的区间震荡格局。预 计债市短期下行空间打开，但中长期运行逻辑没有太大改变。 ...

人民财讯10月28日电，中信证券研报称，"十五五"规划更加强调科技原始创新、科技自强自立、科技与 产业融合，对科技发展提出更高要求。人工智能是"十五五"计算机产业发展的核心动能，应用有望百花 齐放，同步带动算力需求高增。从结构景气方向来看，预计国产软硬件、卫星互联网将成重要发力方 向，量子科技、财税信息化有望持续景气增长。强烈看好"十五五"规划下计算机行业发展机遇，维持行 业"强于大市"评级。 ...

人民财讯10月28日电，中信证券研报认为，市场风格维持高位震荡，仍围绕科技主线博弈，AI算力板 块交易情绪高涨。从催化因素和时序上看，当下处于三季报业绩密集披露期，"反内卷"、AI算力、半导 体、短剧等方向的主题热情有望延续。结合市场环境、催化因素以及综合量化指标研判，建议关注上述 四大主题方向。市场开始新的主题酝酿阶段，聚焦叙事、事件、业绩高确定性主题，推荐"反内卷"、AI 算力、半导体及短剧主题。 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.18% to close at 3996.94 points, with a daily high of 3999.07 points [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.51% to close at 13489.4 points, reaching a peak of 13510.71 points [1] - The ChiNext Index saw a rise of 1.98%, closing at 3234.45 points, with a maximum of 3241.95 points [1] Margin Trading and Securities Lending - The total margin trading and securities lending balance in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 24743.92 billion yuan, with a financing balance of 24566.68 billion yuan and a securities lending balance of 177.24 billion yuan [2] - The margin trading balance increased by 247.23 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [2] - The top three stocks by financing buy-in amounts were Shenghong Technology (58.56 billion yuan), Xinyi Sheng (48.94 billion yuan), and Zhongji Xuchuang (45.64 billion yuan) [2] Fund Issuance - A total of 27 new funds were issued yesterday, including various mixed and ETF funds [3][4] - Notable funds include the Fuguo Hengyi 3-Month Holding Period Mixed Fund and the Dongfang Alpha Technology Selection Mixed Fund [3][4] Top Net Purchases on the Dragon and Tiger List - The top net purchases on the Dragon and Tiger list included Hengbao Co., Ltd. with a net buy of 506.43 million yuan, followed by Jingzhida with 364.52 million yuan [6] - Other significant net purchases were from Antai Technology (331.34 million yuan) and Xiangrikui (315.57 million yuan) [6]

Group 1: Brokerage Firms' Performance - The first batch of brokerage firms' Q3 reports shows a continuation of high growth in both revenue and net profit, indicating a sustained improvement in industry conditions [1] - CITIC Securities, as the leading brokerage, reported a revenue of 55.815 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.70%, and a net profit of 23.159 billion yuan, up 37.86% [1] - Other firms like Dongfang Caifu and Guosheng Securities also reported significant growth, with Guosheng's net profit increasing by 191.21% [1] Group 2: Fund Distribution Trends - A year-end fund distribution trend is emerging, with bond and passive index funds becoming the main focus, particularly ETFs, which are leading in distribution amounts [2] - Several ETFs have reported single distributions exceeding 2 billion yuan, with the Huaxia CSI 300 ETF distributing 2.87 billion yuan and the E Fund CSI 300 ETF distributing 2.76 billion yuan and 1.473 billion yuan in two instances [2] - This trend reflects a preference for stable returns among institutions, potentially guiding funds towards blue-chip stocks and core assets [2] Group 3: New Fund Issuance - The public fund issuance market is experiencing a unique pattern of "reduced quantity but increased efficiency," with 25 new public products launched this week, down 16.67% from the previous week [3] - The average subscription period for new funds has decreased from 27.8 days to 21.92 days, indicating a faster fundraising pace [3] - The high proportion of equity funds, accounting for 80% of new issuances, suggests a renewed market preference for equity assets [3] Group 4: Information Disclosure Assessment - The Shanghai Stock Exchange has released its information disclosure assessment results, with 10 brokerage firms receiving an A rating, highlighting their superior disclosure quality [4] - The leading firms include CITIC Securities and Guotai Junan, which may enhance investor confidence and attract more capital [4] - Improved disclosure quality is expected to increase market transparency and support the healthy development of the capital market, benefiting the brokerage sector's valuation recovery [5]

Core Viewpoint - Naxin Micro has submitted an application for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with CICC, CITIC Securities, and Jianyin International serving as joint sponsors [1] Company Overview - Naxin Micro is a leading provider of analog chips in China, operating under a fabless model that focuses on chip research and design while outsourcing manufacturing and packaging testing [1] - The product line covers three major application areas: automotive electronics, general energy, and consumer electronics, offering sensor products, signal chain chips, and power management chips [1] Market Position - According to Frost & Sullivan, Naxin Micro ranks 14th globally among analog chip companies by revenue in 2024 and 5th among Chinese manufacturers, with a market share of 0.9% [1] - As a leading enterprise in the Chinese analog chip sector, Naxin Micro holds a prominent position in the automotive chip field, backed by rich technical reserves, excellent product performance, strict quality control systems, and an experienced management team and talent pool [1]

Core Insights - China's asset management market is projected to exceed 170 trillion yuan by June 2025, positioning it as the second-largest wealth management market globally, marking the beginning of a "Great Wealth Management Era" focused on integration and development [1][3] Group 1: Industry Development - The wealth management chain includes wealth management, asset management, and investment banking, with participants exploring ways to enhance the wealth management ecosystem [2] - CITIC Group, as a leading financial holding group, leverages its comprehensive financial licenses to carve out a unique path in wealth management, with subsidiaries like CITIC Bank and CITIC Securities leading in their respective sectors [3] - CITIC Bank's personal wealth management scale is nearly 5 trillion yuan, while CITIC Securities' asset management scale exceeds 1.56 trillion yuan, indicating significant market presence [3] Group 2: Strategic Focus - CITIC Group aims to align with national strategies such as technological innovation and green development, directing financial resources to key areas of social development [4] - The total wealth management scale of CITIC Group and its subsidiaries has reached 31 trillion yuan, with an asset management scale of 9.8 trillion yuan, serving over 200 million individual and corporate clients [3] Group 3: Professionalism and Collaboration - The asset management industry is shifting from scale-driven to capability-driven approaches, emphasizing client-centric services and resource sharing among various financial institutions [5][6] - Industry experts advocate for deep collaboration across asset, funding, product, and service sectors to enhance professionalism and inclusivity in wealth management [5] Group 4: Global Market Expansion - As residents' wealth accumulates, cross-border investment has become essential for wealth management, with significant participation in programs like the "Cross-Border Wealth Management Connect" [7] - CITIC Group is developing a diverse cross-border asset management service system to meet investors' needs for global asset allocation, focusing on mutual recognition funds and other cross-border products [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" [2][8]. Core Insights - The company's performance in the first three quarters of 2025 shows a steady growth, with operating revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders reaching 55.81 billion yuan and 23.16 billion yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 32.7% and 37.9% [5][11]. - The company continues to demonstrate its leading advantages in the industry, with self-operated brokerage services driving growth and asset management and investment banking businesses showing signs of recovery [2][11]. - The outlook for the company remains positive, with expectations of further enhancement in profitability and competitive edge as the market remains at a high level [2][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue and net profit of 22.78 billion yuan and 9.44 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 55.7% and 51.5% [11]. - The weighted average return on equity (ROE) increased by 1.85 percentage points to 8.15% year-on-year [5][11]. - The operating leverage, excluding customer funds, increased by 5.0% from the beginning of the year to 4.74 times [5]. Business Segments - Brokerage, investment banking, asset management, interest income, and proprietary trading revenues were 10.94 billion, 3.69 billion, 8.70 billion, 0.76 billion, and 32.08 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year changes of +52.9%, +30.9%, +16.4%, -16.9%, and +47.0% [11]. - The brokerage business saw a significant increase in revenue due to high market activity, with average daily trading volume reaching 2.1 trillion yuan, up 211.3% year-on-year [11]. Market Position - The investment banking revenue continued to recover, with a year-on-year increase of 30.9% to 3.69 billion yuan [11]. - The company maintained a leading position in the market, ranking first in bond underwriting and second in equity financing, despite a slight decline in IPO rankings [11]. Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 27.34 billion yuan and 30.69 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 16.2 and 14.4 [11].