Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the real estate industry [4]. Core Insights - The supply and demand in the real estate sector show signs of accelerated decline, particularly in supply, with a notable shift in the balance point [2]. - The effectiveness of policies has shifted from explosive short-term impacts to more sustained effects, necessitating a reassessment of policy attitudes and outcomes [61]. - The relationship between completed construction area and unsold inventory is crucial for future storage policies, indicating a potential critical point for policy execution [62]. Summary by Sections Investment Situation - From January to August 2025, the cumulative real estate development investment was 60,309 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 12.9%, with residential investment down 11.9% [13][10]. - New construction area decreased by 19.5% year-on-year, while completed area fell by 17.0% [18][10]. - The total funding for real estate reached 64,318 billion, down 8.0% year-on-year [45][10]. Sales Performance - The total sales area of commercial housing from January to August 2025 was 573 million square meters, a year-on-year decline of 4.7% [27][10]. - The sales amount for commercial housing was 55,015 billion, down 7.3% year-on-year [27][10]. - In first-tier cities, the sales area of residential properties increased by 0.9%, while second-tier cities saw a similar trend, indicating a potential stabilization in demand [29][32]. Recommendations - Low-leverage companies remain the preferred choice, with recommendations for various categories including developers like Vanke A, Poly Developments, and China Overseas Development [60]. - The report emphasizes that the decline in supply is more pronounced, while the pressure on the funding chain remains manageable [60][4]. - The anticipated seasonal peak in sales towards the end of the year suggests a likelihood of sales amounts exceeding development investment, keeping the funding chain risks under control [60].

Market Overview - In the week of September 8-14, 2025, the Kunming real estate market experienced a decline in both transaction volume and prices, with the Xicheng District seeing a 24% increase in sales of low-priced or newly regulated properties, while other districts faced declines [1] - A total of approximately 43,800 square meters were supplied to the market, representing a 17% increase week-on-week, while transactions totaled about 61,400 square meters, reflecting a 15% decrease [1] - The average transaction price was approximately 11,071 yuan per square meter, down 5% from the previous week [1] Key Projects - The Zhuyou·Hanlinfu project led sales with a weekly sales amount of about 60 million yuan, selling 77 units at an average price of approximately 6,139 yuan per square meter [1] - The Huafa Shuxiang Yunhai project, located in the Ma Street West area, also performed well, with sales of 21 units and an average price of about 10,575 yuan per square meter [1] - The Zhongtonglian Dashushan project ranked second with sales of 27 units and an average price of approximately 10,600 yuan per square meter [1] New Developments - The Chenggong New City project, a new high-end residential development, has seen strong sales momentum since its market entry, with the first building topping out in mid-June [2] - The Longhu Tianjing and Poly Tianjun projects, positioned as high-end improvements, also reported significant sales, with average prices of approximately 16,164 yuan per square meter and 18,654 yuan per square meter, respectively [2] Land and Development Updates - The Guandu Guotou Baiyuefu project, previously the Hengda Jiulongwan site, sold 13 units at an average price of about 14,015 yuan per square meter, indicating a revival of the previously stalled land [5] - No new land was supplied or sold in Kunming's main urban area during the week, but three new projects from Bangtai continued to be promoted [5] - The auction of a 40% stake in the Cuihu Yunding project attracted seven bidders, ultimately selling at a 50-fold premium, indicating strong interest in the area [8] Future Prospects - The idle land of the Cuihu Yunding Phase II project is expected to restart development, highlighting the scarcity value of land around Cuihu [8] - The A2 plot of the Cuihu Yunding project, which has been idle, is anticipated to undergo significant planning adjustments under new residential regulations, making its future product offerings highly anticipated [9]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government reiterates the goal of stabilizing the real estate market, emphasizing the need to release demand for improvement through various measures, with specific policies being implemented in cities like Suzhou [1] Group 1: Real Estate Performance in Jiangsu - In the first eight months of 2025, the top 20 real estate companies in Jiangsu had a sales threshold of 3.439 billion yuan and a sales area threshold of 14,220 square meters [2][5] - The top three companies by sales revenue were: 1. China Merchants Shekou with 8.825 billion yuan 2. Huafa Group with 8.214 billion yuan 3. Greentown China with 7.739 billion yuan [2][3] - In terms of sales area, the top three were: 1. China Merchants Shekou with 340,800 square meters 2. Poly Developments with 321,700 square meters 3. New Town Holdings with 290,700 square meters [2][3] Group 2: Local Real Estate Companies - Jiangsu's local real estate companies showed strong performance, with the top 20 local firms having a sales threshold of 1.770 billion yuan and a sales area threshold of 7,440 square meters [5] - Jinji Real Estate led in sales revenue with 5.266 billion yuan, while New Town Holdings topped in sales area with 290,700 square meters [5][6] Group 3: Land Market Overview - In the first eight months of 2025, Jiangsu launched 442 residential land plots, with a total planned construction area of 26.071 million square meters, and successfully sold 425 plots with a total area of 26.257 million square meters [7] - The average floor price across the province was 6,484 yuan per square meter, with August seeing an increase to 6,517 yuan per square meter [7][9] Group 4: Future Outlook - With the goal of stabilizing the market, new supportive policies are expected to be introduced, and the market is anticipated to become more active during the traditional peak sales season of September and October [13]

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 一、说明会类型 重要内容提示： 保利发展控股集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）已于2025年8月26日披露《2025年半年度报告》， 为便于广大投资者更全面深入地了解公司2025年半年度经营成果、财务状况，同时更加充分地向投资者 展示房地产发展情况，公司计划于2025年9月19日15:30-17:00通过网络互动方式就投资者关心的问题进 行交流。 本次投资者说明会以网络互动形式召开，公司将针对2025年半年度的经营成果、财务状况等情况与投资 者进行互动交流，在信息披露允许的范围内就投资者普遍关注的问题进行回答。 二、说明会召开的时间、地点 会议召开时间：2025年9月19日（星期五）15:30-17:00 会议召开网址："全景路演"网站（网址：https://rs.p5w.net） 三、参加人员 公司参加本次投资者说明会的人员为公司管理层。 四、投资者参加方式 投资者可在2025年9月19日（星期五）15:30-17:00，通过 ...

Core Insights - The real estate sector has shown a significant increase in performance, with a weekly gain of 5.8%, outperforming the CSI 300 and Wind All A indices by 4.4% and 3.7% respectively [3][45][49] - New housing sales in 36 cities decreased by 11.0% week-on-week but increased by 2.3% year-on-year, with total sales for the year up to September 12 at 69.36 million square meters, down 7.4% year-on-year [3][9][21] - The second-hand housing market saw a week-on-week increase of 16.1% and a year-on-year increase of 16.3%, with total sales for the year reaching 56.004 million square meters, up 12.2% year-on-year [3][15][21] Real Estate Market Situation - New housing sales in major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen showed varied performance, with Beijing and Shanghai experiencing declines of 8.4% and 10.0% respectively [9][32] - The inventory of new homes in 13 cities stands at 77.989 million square meters, with a year-on-year decrease of 9.2% and an average de-stocking period of 20.8 months [3][21][33] Land Market Situation - The land transaction volume from September 8 to September 14 was 9.663 million square meters, a decrease of 51.7% week-on-week and 69.0% year-on-year, with an average land price of 1,074 yuan per square meter [3][35][36] - Cumulative land transactions for the year reached 75.8187 million square meters, down 7.0% year-on-year [3][35] Investment Recommendations - For real estate development, companies such as China Resources Land, Poly Developments, and Greentown China are recommended for investment [3][7] - In property management, firms like China Resources Vientiane Life and Greentown Services are highlighted as having long-term investment value [3][8] - In real estate brokerage, leading platforms like Beike and I Love My Home are suggested for consideration [3][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate sector [2][3][34] Core Viewpoints - The investment side remains weak, with a year-on-year decline of 12.9% in investment from January to August 2025, and a more significant drop of 19.5% in August alone [1][20] - The sales side is also experiencing a downturn, with a cumulative sales area decrease of 4.7% year-on-year from January to August 2025, and a sharper decline of 10.6% in August [21][34] - Funding sources are showing a narrowing decline, with total funding sources down 8.0% year-on-year from January to August 2025, but domestic loans have turned positive [35] Investment Analysis Summary Investment Side - From January to August 2025, total real estate development investment reached 603.09 billion yuan, down 12.9% year-on-year, with August alone seeing a 19.5% decline [3][20] - New construction area decreased by 19.5% year-on-year, while the completion area fell by 17.0% [20][21] - The report predicts a continued weak investment environment, with forecasts of a 11.0% decline in investment, 15.1% in new construction, and 20.0% in completions for 2025 [20] Sales Side - Cumulative sales area from January to August 2025 was 570 million square meters, down 4.7% year-on-year, with a 10.6% drop in August [21][34] - The total sales amount for the same period was 5.5 trillion yuan, reflecting a 7.3% decrease year-on-year, with August sales amounting to 544.9 billion yuan, down 14.0% [21][34] - The average selling price of commercial housing decreased by 2.6% year-on-year, with a slight increase in August compared to July [33][34] Funding Side - Total funding sources for real estate development enterprises amounted to 6.4 trillion yuan from January to August 2025, down 8.0% year-on-year [35] - Domestic loans showed a year-on-year increase of 0.2%, with August seeing a 1.1% rise [35] - The report indicates that while funding remains slightly tight, it is expected to improve gradually due to recent policy relaxations [35]

Group 1 - The real estate sector is showing multiple positive signals, suggesting continued attention to investment opportunities in this area [3] - The China Securities Index 800 Real Estate Index saw a rise, with major companies like China Merchants Shekou and Greenland Holdings increasing by over 2% [1][3] - The real estate ETF (159707) tracking the China Securities Index 800 Real Estate Index has experienced a seven-day consecutive increase, with a daily trading volume exceeding 410 million yuan and a net subscription of 10.5 million units [1][4] Group 2 - From January to August, national real estate development investment reached 60,309 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.9%, with residential investment down by 11.9% [3] - New commodity housing sales area was 57,304 million square meters, down 4.7% year-on-year, while sales revenue was 55,015 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.3% [3] - The National Bureau of Statistics indicated that while the real estate market has experienced fluctuations, the year-on-year decline in sales and housing prices is narrowing, showing signs of stabilization [3] Group 3 - Major cities are implementing new real estate policies, with Shenzhen recently announcing measures to optimize housing policies, following similar actions in Beijing and Shanghai [3][4] - September is typically a period of intensive policy announcements in the real estate sector, with expectations for new supportive policies to be introduced [4] - The market is entering the traditional peak sales season of "Golden September and Silver October," which may lead to increased activity in the real estate market [4] Group 4 - The current price-to-book (PB) ratio of the China Securities Index 800 Real Estate Index is 0.77, indicating a significant undervaluation compared to historical levels [4] - Leading real estate companies, particularly state-owned enterprises, are expected to show resilience in sales and profitability due to their strong land reserves in core cities [6] - The real estate ETF (159707) is highlighted for its concentration on top-tier companies, with over 90% of its weight in the top ten constituents, making it a favorable investment option [6]

一、说明会类型 本次投资者说明会以网络互动形式召开，公司将针对2025年半年度的经营成 果、财务状况等情况与投资者进行互动交流，在信息披露允许的范围内就投资者 普遍关注的问题进行回答。 二、说明会召开的时间、地点 证券代码：600048 证券简称：保利发展 公告编号：2025-080 关于参加 2025 广东辖区上市公司投资者 网上集体接待日活动的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 保利发展控股集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）已于2025年8月26日 披露《2025年半年度报告》，为便于广大投资者更全面深入地了解公司2025年半 年度经营成果、财务状况，同时更加充分地向投资者展示房地产发展情况，公司 计划于2025年9月19日15:30-17:00通过网络互动方式就投资者关心的问题进行 交流。 会议召开时间：2025年9月19日（星期五）15:30-17:00 会议召开网址："全景路演"网站（网址：https://rs.p5w.net） 会议召开时间：2025 年 9 月 19 日（星期五 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the real estate industry [12]. Core Insights - The report indicates that the adjustment in housing prices over the past four years has been relatively sufficient, with most of the previous excessive increases being digested. Future downward pressure on prices is expected to gradually decrease, but stabilization relies on favorable inflation and further interest rate cuts [3][5]. - There is a notable divergence in housing prices across different city tiers, with high-tier cities experiencing greater downward pressure and more significant recent declines. In contrast, some core areas in lower-tier cities have already stabilized due to low absolute prices and high rental yields [9]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading real estate companies with low inventory, strong regional presence, and product quality, as well as stable cash flow from leading brokerage firms, commercial real estate, and state-owned property management companies [5]. Market Performance - The Yangtze River Real Estate Index increased by 5.89% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 4.51%. Year-to-date, the Yangtze River Real Estate Index has risen by 11.49%, but underperformed the CSI 300 Index by 3.43% [6][15]. - The report highlights that the real estate sector performed well this week, with development and property management sectors primarily driving the gains, while rental sectors showed mixed results [6]. Policy Updates - The central government has mentioned deepening land reform and revitalizing existing land for redevelopment. Specific measures from Henan province include increasing home purchase subsidies, supporting multi-child families in buying homes, and enhancing housing provident fund loan limits [7][18]. - The report notes that the central government is granting pilot regions greater autonomy in land resource management and promoting the marketization of idle land [7][18]. Sales Data - Recent data shows a marginal improvement in new and second-hand housing transactions in sample cities. The new housing transaction area in 37 cities decreased by 12.2% year-on-year, while second-hand housing transactions increased by 11.4% year-on-year [8][19]. - As of September 12, the new housing transaction area in 37 cities showed a month-on-month decline of 4.8%, while second-hand housing transactions increased by 22.0% [8][19].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the real estate industry [13] Core Insights - The performance of key real estate companies in the first half of 2025 remains under pressure, but there are signs of marginal improvement in operations as policies shift towards stabilization. Sales declines have narrowed, and land acquisition activities have shown significant improvement [2][11] - The industry is experiencing a structural change, with a clearer competitive landscape emerging. Companies with advantages in resources, financing, and product capabilities are expected to achieve sustained sales and performance alpha [2][11] - The report emphasizes the importance of cash flow safety and prudent debt management as the industry navigates through ongoing adjustments [23][51] Financial Performance Summary Profitability - Key real estate companies saw a revenue decline of 0.7% year-on-year in H1 2025, with gross margins under pressure, decreasing by 0.3 percentage points to 12.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders dropped significantly by 41.0% [25][29] - The return on equity (ROE) for these companies fell to 1.0%, down 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, indicating continued profitability challenges [25][44] Debt Management - The overall debt situation is stable, with a focus on reducing leverage and maintaining operational stability. The ratio of interest-bearing debt to total equity remained flat at 0.86, while the net debt ratio decreased by 0.3 percentage points to 53.5% [51][54] - The cash-to-short-term debt ratio stands at 1.61, indicating a relatively secure liquidity position for the companies [51][54] Cash Flow - Operating cash flow has declined, with sales receipts down by 5.2% year-on-year. Investment activities have been restrained, and financing activities are also limited, reflecting a cautious approach in the current market environment [9][24] Sales and Land Acquisition - Sales figures for key companies showed a double-digit decline year-on-year, but the rate of decline has narrowed compared to the previous year. Land acquisition intensity improved to 45.0%, indicating a more proactive stance in securing land [10][19] - The report highlights that companies with better project layouts and more aggressive land acquisition strategies are likely to see improved sales performance [10][19] Long-term Outlook - The report anticipates ongoing differentiation among companies, with a focus on optimizing competitive dynamics and potential valuation recovery as the market stabilizes [24][11]