Investment Rating - The investment rating for the utility sector is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The cumulative installed power generation capacity in China increased by 17.3% year-on-year as of October 2025, reaching 3.75 billion kilowatts [5] - The report highlights a significant increase in solar power generation capacity, which grew by 43.8% year-on-year, while wind power capacity increased by 21.4% [5] - The report indicates that the electricity market is expected to see a gradual increase in prices due to ongoing market reforms and supply-demand dynamics [5] Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of November 28, the utility sector rose by 0.9%, underperforming the broader market, which increased by 1.6% [12] - The electricity sector specifically saw a 0.65% increase, while the gas sector rose by 3.27% [16] Electricity Industry Data Tracking - The price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port (Q5500) decreased by 9 CNY/ton week-on-week, settling at 818 CNY/ton [22] - Coal inventory at Qinhuangdao Port increased by 400,000 tons week-on-week, totaling 6 million tons [29] - Daily coal consumption in 17 inland provinces rose by 30,000 tons/day week-on-week, reaching 3.541 million tons [31] Natural Gas Industry Data Tracking - The LNG ex-factory price index in China was 4,312 CNY/ton as of November 28, down 3.88% year-on-year [56] - The U.S. HH spot price increased by 15.3% week-on-week, reaching 4.59 USD/MMBtu, while the European TTF price decreased by 5.6% [59] - The total natural gas supply in the EU for week 47 was 6.23 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 8.0% [64] Key Industry News - The National Energy Administration reported that the average utilization hours of power generation equipment decreased by 260 hours year-on-year, totaling 2,619 hours [5] - The cumulative geological reserves of coalbed methane in China exceeded 700 billion cubic meters as of October 2025 [5] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading coal power companies such as Guodian Power, Huaneng International, and Huadian International, as well as regional leaders in tight electricity supply areas [5] - For natural gas, companies with low-cost long-term gas sources and receiving station assets are recommended, including Xin'ao and Guanghui Energy [5]

Core Insights - The report highlights the growth and challenges in China's hydropower industry, with a significant increase in hydropower generation in September 2025 compared to the previous year, indicating a year-on-year growth of 31.9% [1] - Cumulative hydropower generation from January to September 2025 shows a slight decline of 1.1% compared to the same period in the previous year, suggesting potential fluctuations in the market [1] Company Overview - Listed companies in the hydropower sector include: Changjiang Electric Power (600900), Huaneng Hydropower (600025), Guotou Power (600886), Chuan Investment Energy (600674), Guiguan Electric Power (600236), Qianyuan Electric Power (002039), Hubei Energy (000883), Mindong Electric Power (000993), Leshan Electric Power (600644), and Chenzhou International (600969) [1] Market Analysis - According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the hydropower generation in China reached 158.9 billion kilowatt-hours in September 2025, reflecting a robust performance in the sector [1] - The cumulative hydropower output for the first nine months of 2025 was 997.05 billion kilowatt-hours, indicating a need for further analysis on the factors contributing to the decline in cumulative output [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that successful investing is not about being the smartest but about adhering to fundamental principles of value investing, which allows investors to avoid the pitfalls of competing with more intelligent market players [2][6]. Group 1: Value Investing Principles - Value investing is a win-win strategy that avoids competition with other investors, focusing instead on fundamental growth rather than market timing [6]. - Long-term tracking and research of companies within one's "circle of competence" can lead to better investment outcomes, as demonstrated by the performance of long-term bull stocks in the A-share market [2][7]. - The article highlights that the growth in earnings per share (EPS) of long-term bull stocks is primarily driven by fundamental improvements rather than valuation expansion [7]. Group 2: Historical Performance of Bull Stocks - The article provides data on several companies that have shown significant growth in EPS over the past 20 years: - Fuyao Glass: EPS increased from 0.39 CNY in 2004 to 2.87 CNY in 2024, a growth of 6.36 times, with total dividends of 14.85 CNY per share [7][8]. - Huayu Automotive: EPS grew from 0.22 CNY to 2.12 CNY, an increase of 8.59 times, with total dividends of 10.99 CNY per share [7][9]. - Changjiang Electric Power: EPS rose from 0.39 CNY to 1.33 CNY, a growth of 2.43 times, with total dividends of 10.05 CNY per share [7][9]. - The article includes a detailed table of various long-term bull stocks, showcasing their EPS growth and total dividends over the past two decades [8][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the public utility and environmental protection sectors [5][7]. Core Views - The report highlights that coal and electricity prices are declining simultaneously, which is expected to maintain reasonable profitability for thermal power [22]. - Continuous government policies supporting renewable energy development are anticipated to lead to gradually stable profitability in renewable energy generation [22]. - The report emphasizes the importance of the new retail pricing mechanism in Sichuan's electricity market, which is expected to enhance the integration of commercial storage resources by virtual power plants [18][20]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 3.77%, while the public utility index dropped by 4.33% and the environmental index decreased by 6.02% [15][25]. - Within the electricity sector, thermal power declined by 4.68%, hydropower by 1.44%, and renewable energy generation by 5.67% [15][26]. Important Events - The Ministry of Finance has allocated the first batch of ecological and environmental protection funds for 2026, totaling 40 billion yuan for integrated protection projects, 153 billion yuan for ecological restoration of abandoned mines, and 136 billion yuan for marine ecological protection projects [16][17]. Investment Strategy - Recommendations include major thermal power companies like Huadian International and Shanghai Electric, as well as leading renewable energy firms such as Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy [3][22]. - The report suggests focusing on water and waste incineration sectors, which are entering maturity with improved free cash flow, and highlights investment opportunities in companies like China Everbright Environment and Zhongshan Public Utilities [23]. - The report also points out the potential in the domestic waste oil recycling industry due to the EU's SAF blending policy, recommending companies like Shangaohuaneng [23]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts - The report provides earnings forecasts for various companies, indicating a positive outlook for those in the public utility and environmental sectors [8].

Core Points - The State-Owned Enterprise Reform Index (399974) closed at 1841.64 points, up 0.22%, with a trading volume of 863.26 billion and a turnover rate of 0.48% [1] - Among the index constituents, 63 stocks rose, led by Dongfang Electric with a 5.56% increase, while 33 stocks fell, with China Merchants Shekou leading the decline at 2.63% [1] Index Constituents Summary - The top ten constituents of the State-Owned Enterprise Reform Index include: - Zijin Mining: Weight 3.49%, Latest Price 28.58, Market Cap 759.86 billion [1] - China Merchants Bank: Weight 3.06%, Latest Price 42.95, Market Cap 1083.19 billion [1] - Yangtze Power: Weight 3.00%, Latest Price 27.98, Market Cap 684.62 billion [1] - Industrial Bank: Weight 2.99%, Latest Price 21.11, Market Cap 446.75 billion [1] - North Huachuang: Weight 2.93%, Latest Price 427.90, Market Cap 310.00 billion [1] - Wenzhou Haidao: Weight 2.93%, Latest Price 19.16, Market Cap 337.77 billion [1] - CITIC Securities: Weight 2.81%, Latest Price 27.59, Market Cap 408.90 billion [1] - Wugong Liquid: Weight 2.74%, Latest Price 117.85, Market Cap 457.45 billion [1] - China Shipbuilding: Weight 2.47%, Latest Price 34.37, Market Cap 258.66 billion [1] - Zhongke Shuguang: Weight 2.32%, Latest Price 99.16, Market Cap 145.08 billion [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The net outflow of main funds from the index constituents totaled 788 million, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 768 million [3] - Notable capital flows include: - China Merchants Bank: Main net inflow 325 million, retail net inflow 35.88 million [3] - Zijin Mining: Main net inflow 151 million, retail net inflow 213 million [3] - Yangtze Power: Main net inflow 143 million, retail net outflow 11.30 million [3] - China Shipbuilding: Main net inflow 129 million, retail net outflow 52.74 million [3]

Core Insights - A total of 112 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets have experienced net inflows of main funds for five consecutive days or more as of November 28 [1] - Modern Investment leads with 13 consecutive days of net inflows, while Fangzhi Technology follows with 10 days [1] - The largest net inflow amount is seen in Lanke Technology, with a cumulative net inflow of 616 million yuan over five days [1] Fund Inflow Summary - **Top Stocks by Net Inflow Amount**: - Lanke Technology: 616 million yuan over 5 days [1] - Changjiang Electric: 557 million yuan over 8 days [1] - Dongcai Technology: 542 million yuan over 5 days [1] - **Top Stocks by Inflow Proportion**: - Daoming Optical: 28.18% over 5 days with a price increase of 30.26% [1] - Meiyanjixiang: 13.58% over 5 days with a price increase of 28.78% [1] - **Stocks with Notable Price Changes**: - Dongcai Technology: 17.57% increase over 5 days [1] - Shida Shenghua: 15.36% increase over 5 days [1] - Gree Electric: 9.52% increase over 5 days [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the public utility and environmental protection sectors [5][7]. Core Views - The report highlights that coal and electricity prices are declining simultaneously, which is expected to maintain reasonable profitability for thermal power companies. Recommendations include major thermal power enterprises such as Huadian International and Shanghai Electric, which has relatively stable regional electricity prices [22]. - Continuous government policies supporting renewable energy development are anticipated to lead to gradually stable profitability in renewable energy generation. Recommended companies include leading national renewable energy firms Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy, as well as regional offshore wind power companies [22]. - The report suggests that the growth in installed capacity and electricity generation will offset the downward pressure on electricity prices, with nuclear power companies expected to maintain stable profitability. Recommended companies include China National Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power [22]. - The report emphasizes the defensive attributes of hydropower stocks in a global interest rate decline environment, recommending Longjiang Power, which combines stability and growth [22]. - The report identifies investment opportunities in the environmental sector, particularly in water and waste incineration industries, which are entering a mature phase with improved free cash flow [23]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 3.77%, with the public utility index down 4.33% and the environmental index down 6.02%. The relative performance of public utilities and environmental sectors ranked 10th and 23rd among 31 first-level industry classifications [15][25]. Important Events - The Ministry of Finance has allocated the first batch of ecological and environmental protection funds for 2026, totaling 40 billion yuan for integrated protection and restoration projects, 153 billion yuan for ecological restoration of abandoned mines, and 136 billion yuan for marine ecological protection projects [16]. Investment Strategy - The report recommends various companies across different sectors, including: - Thermal Power: Huadian International and Shanghai Electric - Renewable Energy: Longyuan Power, Three Gorges Energy, and regional offshore wind companies - Nuclear Power: China National Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power - Hydropower: Longjiang Power - Environmental: Guangda Environment and Zhongshan Public Utilities, focusing on mature sectors with improved cash flow [3][22][23]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts - The report provides earnings forecasts and investment ratings for several companies, all rated as "Outperform," including Huadian International, Longyuan Power, and Guangda Environment, among others [7][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the utility sector, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this industry [3]. Core Insights - The utility sector has shown significant performance differentiation among its sub-sectors in the first three quarters of 2025, with the environmental protection segment demonstrating notable cash flow improvements [1][37]. - The report highlights the transition of thermal power from a reliance on electricity volume to a focus on capacity and regulation, enhancing profitability stability [2]. - The environmental sector's cash flow has improved significantly, particularly in solid waste and water management, driven by macroeconomic policy support and operational efficiency [38]. Summary by Sections 1. Utility Sector Overview - The utility sector achieved total revenue of CNY 16,911.85 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 1.99%. The power sector's revenue was CNY 14,562.73 billion, down 2.21%, while the gas sector's revenue was CNY 2,349.12 billion, down 0.64% [15]. - The sector's net profit attributable to shareholders reached CNY 1,858.70 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.39%, with the power sector's net profit at CNY 1,756.23 billion, up 3.90% [15]. 1.1 Thermal Power - The thermal power sector's revenue for the first three quarters was CNY 9,064.68 billion, down 3.08%, but net profit increased by 15.83% to CNY 711.23 billion due to reduced fuel costs [19]. - In Q3 2025, thermal power revenue was CNY 3,333.75 billion, with a net profit of CNY 270.72 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 35.59% [19]. 1.2 Hydropower - Hydropower revenue for the first three quarters was CNY 1,487.60 billion, up 1.56%, with net profit at CNY 513.22 billion, an increase of 3.30% [21]. - Q3 2025 saw hydropower revenue of CNY 608.51 billion, with net profit of CNY 250.84 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.41% [21]. 1.3 Nuclear Power - Nuclear power revenue reached CNY 616.35 billion, up 8.16%, but net profit fell by 10.42% to CNY 80.02 billion due to market pressures [24]. - The total net electricity generation from nuclear power increased by 6.06% in the first three quarters [24]. 1.4 Renewable Energy - The wind power sector generated revenue of CNY 1,080.90 billion, down 2.34%, with net profit decreasing by 11.85% to CNY 220.31 billion [28]. - The solar power sector's revenue was CNY 261.04 billion, down 16.55%, but net profit increased by 55.77% to CNY 29.04 billion [32]. 1.5 Gas Sector - The gas sector's revenue was CNY 2,349.12 billion, down 0.64%, with net profit decreasing by 4.61% to CNY 102.47 billion due to weak demand [34]. 2. Environmental Protection Sector Overview - The environmental protection sector achieved total revenue of CNY 2,677.92 billion, up 3.28%, but net profit fell by 5.47% to CNY 244.73 billion [37]. - Cash flow in the solid waste management sector improved significantly, with operating cash flow reaching CNY 198.72 billion, a year-on-year increase of 28.94% [38]. 2.1 Solid Waste Management - Solid waste management revenue was CNY 1,166.97 billion, up 4.52%, with net profit slightly increasing to CNY 118.89 billion [39]. 2.2 Water Management - Water management revenue was CNY 852.02 billion, up 1.39%, but net profit decreased by 10.81% to CNY 107.18 billion [39].

Core Viewpoint - The overall market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with no significant negative trends observed in the fundamental performance of key sectors, particularly in technology and growth stocks [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of November 26, 2025, the Shanghai 180 Index rose by 0.30%, with notable increases in stocks such as Haiguang Information (3.95%) and Zhongke Shuguang (3.53%) [1] - The Shanghai 180 ETF Index Fund also saw a slight increase of 0.17%, marking its third consecutive rise [1] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The technology growth sector, including communications and semiconductors, continues to show strong performance, suggesting that recent market adjustments may be positioning for future gains [1] - Despite a slowdown in policy support compared to the first half of the year, the overall market remains in a loose monetary environment, which is expected to support recovery in the technology sector [1] Group 3: Investment Strategy - A "barbell strategy" is recommended for investment, suggesting to maintain positions in growth sectors like communications, semiconductors, and innovative pharmaceuticals while being cautious with short-term operations [1] - Defensive investments in dividend-paying sectors are advised to mitigate risks during market fluctuations [1] Group 4: Index Composition - The Shanghai 180 Index comprises 180 large-cap stocks selected for their market capitalization and liquidity, reflecting the overall performance of core listed companies in the Shanghai securities market [2] - As of October 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index account for 26.29% of the total index, with notable companies including Kweichow Moutai and China Ping An [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese equity market is expected to perform well due to multiple supporting factors, with a tactical overweight view on A/H shares maintained by Guotai Junan Securities [1] Group 1: Market Performance - On November 25, 2025, the three major A-share indices opened higher, with the CSI A500 index rising by 1.10% [1] - Key stocks such as Huadian Co., Ltd. and Shenzhen South Circuit rose significantly, with Huadian hitting the daily limit and others like Shenghong Technology and Fuhua also seeing substantial gains [1] Group 2: Investment Outlook - Guotai Junan Securities highlights that the recent volatility and panic selling have released micro trading risks, creating a favorable environment for the market to establish new expectations as the 14th Five-Year Plan begins [1] - The firm believes that the regulatory authorities are determined to stabilize the capital market, and factors that previously caused valuation discounts have dissipated, indicating a potential upward trend in valuations [1] Group 3: Index Composition - As of October 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI A500 index include major companies like CATL, Kweichow Moutai, and China Ping An, accounting for a total of 19.36% of the index [1] Group 4: Investment Products - Investors without stock accounts can access the A500 ETF through the A500 ETF Jiashi linked fund, allowing for a one-click investment in the top 500 A-share companies [2]