热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 钢材早报：原料支撑减弱，期钢震荡偏弱 市场信息： 1、 中国经济2025年"成绩单"出炉。2025年全年，我国GDP同比增长5.0%，达到140.19万亿元；规模以上工业增加值增长 5.9%，增速较上年加快 0.1 个百分 点；社会消费品零售总额规模增长3.7%，增速较上年加快0.2个百分点；固定资产投资下降3.8%，其中房地产开发投资下降17.2%。2025 年末全国人口 140489万人，全年出生人口792万人，死亡人口1131万人，人口总量同比减少339万人。 2、 国家统计局数据显示，2025 年，中国粗钢产量96081 万吨，同比下降4.4%；生铁产量 83604万吨，同比下降3.0%；钢材产量144612万吨，同比增长 3.1%。 3、 据海关统计，2025年我国外贸进出口达45.47万亿元，增长3.8%，创历史新高。其中，出口26.99万亿元，增长6.1%；进口18.48万亿元，增长0.5%。海关 总署数据显示，2025年我国累计出口钢材11901.9万吨，同比增长7.5%，创历史新高。 4、 1月20日，全国主港铁矿石成交116 ...

｜2026年1月21日星期三｜ 1月21日，中信建投研报称，铜价受供应扰动、需求增长及贸易流向变化推动大涨，后续走势存不确定 性。供应端，去年印尼、智利矿山事故致供应中断，智利铜矿罢工加剧短缺，南美铜矿产量占比下滑、 新项目审批滞后，加工费低迷使冶炼厂削减产能。需求端，新能源转型、AI基建带动铜消费，电动汽 车、数据中心对铜需求高于传统领域。贸易端，美国拟加征铜关税的预期，促使交易商向美出口铜，推 高其他地区供应紧张程度。后续美国关税政策、库存流向的实际变化节奏不明，"铝代铜"短期难替代， 再生铜供应增长的影响待观察，这些变量使走势存在不确定性。 NO.3华泰证券：2026年是全球L4级自动驾驶产业化关键一年 NO.1中信建投：看好固态电池板块春季行情 1月21日，华泰证券研报称，2026年1月13日，美国众议院审议《SELF DRIVE Act of2026》，拟将 FMVSS豁免上限从2500辆提升至9万辆并确立联邦优先权，两党罕见达成共识，近十年立法僵局有望打 破。与此同时，Waymo周订单已达45万次、Tesla Cybercab预计4月量产，美国Robotaxi商业化进入规模 扩张期。华泰证券认为， ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that the AI glasses market is set to enter a product explosion phase by 2025, with Meta leading the way in September 2023, and other companies like Google expected to launch their products between 2026 and 2027 [1] Industry Insights - The AI glasses currently face a "trilemma" involving trade-offs among cost, weight, performance, and battery life [1] - AI audio glasses and AI camera glasses are already relatively mature, while AI+AR glasses with displays are still in the development stage [1] - The optical display system is identified as a critical component, with waveguide technology expected to become the mainstream solution in the future [1] Market Dynamics - By 2026, AI glasses are anticipated to be included in national subsidies, which is likely to further boost consumer demand [1] - Lens manufacturers are currently focusing on sales channels and custom lens areas to enhance average transaction value [1] - In the future, these manufacturers may leverage their expertise in resin materials and optics to penetrate deeper into the supply chain, including areas like waveguides, electrochromic components, and eye-tracking technologies, thereby capturing more value from the industry chain [1]

Market Overview - Major indices collectively declined, with the ChiNext Index dropping over 2% at one point. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.78 trillion yuan, an increase of 69.4 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day. Over 3,100 stocks fell across the market [1] Sector Performance - The chemical sector showed strong performance, with over ten constituent stocks hitting the daily limit, including Hongbaoli, Shandong Heda, Weiyuan Co., and Hongqiang Co. The precious metals concept continued its strength, with Hunan Silver hitting the daily limit. The real estate sector was active, with Dayue City and City Investment Holdings also hitting the daily limit. AI application stocks saw partial gains, with Jiayun Technology, Yue Media, and Zhejiang Wenhu gaining [1] Semiconductor Equipment Sector - According to CITIC Securities, the heat in the domestic computing power sector is driving growth in the semiconductor equipment sector. Despite an overall slowdown in industry expansion, the increase in domestic penetration rates remains a key growth driver for the equipment sector. By 2025, orders for leading equipment manufacturers are expected to grow by 20-30%, with a rapid increase in the localization of critical components [2] Banking Sector Insights - Guosheng Securities reported that a significant amount of household and corporate medium- to long-term deposits will mature in 2026, totaling 58.3 trillion yuan, an increase of 5.6 trillion yuan from 2025. The first quarter will see over 54% of these deposits maturing, which could alleviate pressure on bank interest margins and potentially reduce banks' costs by approximately 550 billion yuan [3] Real Estate Sector Opportunities - CICC suggests increasing attention to the real estate sector due to recent policy changes, despite weak demand. There are signs of positive changes on the supply side, and adjustments should be made based on inventory changes and the progress of housing storage policies [4]

Group 1 - The three major indices collectively declined, with the ChiNext Index dropping over 2% at one point. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.78 trillion yuan, an increase of 69.4 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day. Over 3,100 stocks fell across the market [1] - The chemical sector showed strong performance, with over ten constituent stocks hitting the daily limit, including Hongbaoli, Shandong Heda, Weiyuan Co., and Hongqiang Co. The precious metals concept continued to be strong, with Hunan Silver hitting the daily limit. The real estate sector was active, with Dayuecheng and City Investment Holdings also hitting the daily limit [1] - The AI application sector saw some gains, with stocks like Jiayun Technology, Yue Media, and Zhejiang Wenhu gaining the daily limit. In contrast, sectors such as computing hardware and commercial aerospace experienced significant declines, with commercial aerospace stocks collectively dropping, including Shenjian Co. facing four consecutive limit downs and Aerospace Power facing two consecutive limit downs [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities noted that the heat in the domestic computing sector is driving growth in the semiconductor equipment sector. Despite an overall slowdown in industry expansion, the increase in domestic penetration rates remains a key growth driver for the equipment sector. It is expected that the domestic equipment manufacturing rate will see rapid growth, with leading equipment manufacturers projected to achieve order growth of 20-30% by 2025 [1] - Guosheng Securities highlighted that a significant amount of household deposits will mature, potentially bringing new funds into the equity market. In 2026, the scale of maturing medium- and long-term deposits for households and enterprises is expected to reach 58.3 trillion yuan, an increase of 5.6 trillion yuan compared to 2025, with household deposits accounting for 37.9 trillion yuan [2] - CICC suggested paying attention to trading opportunities in the real estate sector, as recent policy changes have led to some positive developments on the supply side, despite weak demand. It is recommended to adjust focus based on changes in natural inventory and the progress of existing housing storage policies [3]

人民财讯1月21日电，中信建投研报称，铜价受供应扰动、需求增长及贸易流向变化推动大涨，后续走 势存不确定性。供应端，去年印尼、智利矿山事故致供应中断，智利铜矿罢工加剧短缺，南美铜矿产量 占比下滑、新项目审批滞后，加工费低迷使冶炼厂削减产能。需求端，新能源转型、AI基建带动铜消 费，电动汽车、数据中心对铜需求高于传统领域。贸易端，美国拟加征铜关税的预期，促使交易商向美 出口铜，推高其他地区供应紧张程度。后续美国关税政策、库存流向的实际变化节奏不明，"铝代铜"短 期难替代，再生铜供应增长的影响待观察，这些变量使走势存在不确定性。 转自：证券时报 ...

人民财讯1月21日电，中信建投研报称，一季度催化不断，继续旗帜鲜明看好固态电池板块春季行情。 节能与新能源汽车产业发展部际联席会议2026年度工作会议在京召开，提出加快突破全固态电池、高级 别自动驾驶等技术，这是固态电池技术在重要会议上被再次提及，进一步体现其重要性。与此同时，首 个国家级固态电池标准《电动汽车用固态电池 第1部分：术语和分类》已进入征求意见阶段，为固态电 池设置更为严格标准，且以"混合固液电池"作为标准术语，有望极大减少行业名词混用的乱象。随着固 态电池中期验收如期进行，各企业中试线样品受到严苛检验，技术方案将进一步收敛，确定性逐步增 强，头部电池厂及整车厂有望开启新一轮订单招标，看好春季行情下固态电池板块的配置价值。 转自：证券时报 ...

Core Viewpoint - The AI glasses industry is expected to enter a product explosion phase by 2025, with major players like Google and Apple set to launch their products between 2026 and 2027, following Meta's introduction of AI glasses in September 2023 [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Development and Current Status - AI glasses combine AI technology with traditional eyewear, representing a potential optimal hardware platform for AI in the consumer market. Current mainstream products include AI audio glasses, AI camera glasses, and AI+AR glasses with displays [2][3]. - Meta's Ray-Ban Meta is noted as the first AI glasses to exceed one million units in sales, marking a significant milestone in the industry [2]. - The industry is characterized by a diverse range of participants, including XR tech companies, AI glasses startups, internet giants, smartphone manufacturers, and cross-industry players, all intensifying R&D efforts [2]. Group 2: Challenges and Opportunities - The AI glasses face a "trilemma" involving performance, weight, and battery life, leading to compromises in cost and functionality. Different types of AI glasses focus on specific features such as viewing, audio, and photography [3]. - AI audio and camera glasses are relatively mature, while AI+AR glasses with displays are still in development, with optical display systems being a critical component. The waveguide solution is anticipated to become the mainstream direction in the future [3]. - From a consumer perspective, for AI glasses to reach a broader audience, improvements in performance, battery life, weight (under 30g), and price reduction are essential [3]. Group 3: Opportunities for Lens Manufacturers - Lens manufacturers can leverage their retail channels to enhance AI glasses sales by providing experiences and professional support [4]. - There is a growing demand for lightweight prescription lenses for AI glasses, which can increase average transaction values through customization [4]. - Manufacturers can also engage in joint development of integrated lenses for waveguide displays in AI+AR glasses, and deepen their involvement in the supply chain by exploring areas like waveguides, electrochromic materials, and eye-tracking components [4].

中信建投研报指出，当前汽车板块处于淡季弱势表现，但结构性看反内卷及出海预期改善，自动驾驶政 策催化落地，人形机器人特斯拉V3样机展示惊艳。我们维持前期观点，26年汽车以旧换新政策支撑内 需，商用车或更为受益；结构性看多端侧AI（无人驾驶及机器人）商业化0-1突破带来估值弹性，关注 反内卷下经销商环节周期底部困境反转。 ...

Core Viewpoint - CITIC Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for TSMC (TSM.US) with a target price of $385.27, highlighting strong revenue and gross margin expectations for Q4 2025, driven by a 55% contribution from HPC and continuous growth in advanced process revenue [1] Group 1 - TSMC's revenue growth guidance for 2026 is nearly 30%, indicating robust future performance [1] - Capital expenditures (CapEx) are set to reach a historical high, reflecting the company's confidence in expansion [1] - AI is identified as a key driver for long-term growth, leading to an upward revision in profit forecasts [1] Group 2 - The projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2026 is only 28 times, suggesting a reasonable valuation [1]