消息上，元旦假期临近，2026年元旦机票市场预计会"量价齐升"。在海南封关及元旦假期临近等多重驱 动下，旅游板块近期持续活跃。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 涨跌幅 v | | --- | --- | --- | | 00753 | 中国国航 | 7.070 3.97% | | 00670 | 中国东方航空股 | 5.280 3.53% | | 01055 | 中国南方航空股 | 5.700 1.97% | 近日连续回调的港股三大指数再度活跃，中国国航一度涨近5%刷新近期阶段新高，中国东方航空目前 涨3.5%，中国南方航空涨2%。 今年元旦假期民航市场热度较往年明显上升。多家航空公司在热门冰雪游航线上增投了运力，目前机票 销售进度已超其它航线。相关人士表示，深圳工作的人去北方旅游，东北地区的游客也流行来深圳旅 游。深圳机场往返东北客流量，最近已同比增长了4.3%。 ...

每经AI快讯，港股航空股早盘普涨，截至发稿，中国国航(00753.HK)涨4.41%，报7.1港元；东方航空 (00670.HK)涨3.73%，报5.29港元；南方航空(01055.HK)涨1.97%，报5.7港元。 ...

消息面上，近日，离岸人民币对美元汇率一度升破"7"整数关口。另据央视财经报道，2026年元旦假期 快到了，越来越多的消费者通过旅行的方式辞旧迎新。数据显示：2026年元旦假期，从北京、天津、上 海等城市飞往三亚、海口、昆明、广州、长白山（603099）、哈尔滨等热门目的地的机票预订量环比上 涨较快。截至12月25日，国内航线机票预订量超271万张，同比增长约35%。 中泰证券（600918）认为，人民币汇率升值下航司汇兑压力缓解。此外，元旦假期将至（2026年元旦放 假安排为1月1日（周四）至3日（周六）），假期构成灵活，可通过拼假延长假期，利好航空出行。短 期来看，伴随原油价格破位下行、人民币汇率走强，以及元旦及春运假期催化，航空量价向好预期较 强，看好基本面积极变化带动下的航空投资机会。 航空股早盘普涨，截至发稿，中国国航（601111）(00753)涨4.41%，报7.1港元；东方航空(00670)涨 3.73%，报5.29港元；南方航空（600029）(01055)涨1.97%，报5.7港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The delivery of the first domestically produced C919 aircraft for leasing by Jianxin Financial Leasing marks a significant milestone for Xiamen's free trade zone, enhancing its integration into the national aviation industry and supporting the industrialization of domestic large aircraft [1]. Group 1: Aircraft Leasing Development - Jianxin Financial Leasing's C919 leasing business is funded by Jianxin Luba Leasing (Xiamen) Co., Ltd. and delivered to Air China, indicating a strong commitment to the local market [1]. - The Xiamen Free Trade Zone has prioritized the development of the aviation leasing industry, leveraging policies such as "cross-border supervision" and "chain customs clearance" to create a comprehensive ecosystem for aircraft leasing, maintenance, and related services [1]. Group 2: Financing Leasing Industry Growth - The Xiamen Free Trade Zone has established a "nanny-style + expert" service team to address the pain points of financing leasing enterprises, significantly improving operational efficiency and reducing costs [2]. - By 2025, the financing leasing industry in the Xiamen Free Trade Zone is expected to continue thriving, with approximately 400 registered leasing companies and total leasing assets exceeding 1.7 trillion yuan, maintaining a leading position in aircraft leasing nationwide [2]. Group 3: Broader Industry Impact - The financing leasing business in the Xiamen Free Trade Zone not only focuses on aviation but also encompasses sectors like shipping, integrated circuits, film equipment, and green energy, serving over 28,000 enterprises, primarily small and medium-sized [3]. - The successful leasing of the C919 aircraft is seen as a new starting point for further institutional innovation and collaboration with major companies in the aviation sector, aiming to enhance the local economy and contribute to the development of a modern industrial system [3].

今天分享的是：国际市场快速修复，行业运行稳中提质—2025年航空运输行业回顾及展望 报告共计：11页 2025年航空运输行业运行总结及2026年展望 2025年航空运输行业整体运行稳中提质，国内客货运市场稳步增长，国际业务快速修复，政策引导行业规范发展，企业经营业 绩持续改善，信用风险展望为稳定。 行业发展环境持续优化。2025年我国经济稳中有进，前三季度GDP同比增长5.2%，居民人均可支配收入实际增长5.2%，外贸进 出口同比增长4%，为航空运输业提供坚实支撑。政策层面聚焦运营效益提升与国际市场拓展，修订国际客运航权配置规则，发 布《空中丝绸之路建设发展报告》，推进"一带一路"航空合作，出台航空客运自律公约遏制恶性竞争，冬春航季加大旅游航线 与国际航班运力投放，中印航线全面复航，助力行业高质量发展。 市场运行呈现"国内稳增、国际复苏"态势。2025年前三季度，全行业完成运输总周转量1220.3亿吨公里，同比增长10.3%。客运 方面，旅客周转量达10536.5亿人公里，同比增长8.1%，其中国内航线增长4.2%，国际航线增长23.5%，已超过2019年同期水 平；旅客运输量5.82亿人次，同比增长5.2% ...

Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating for the transportation sector [5] Core Views - The international passenger turnover for October and November 2025 is expected to grow by 12.9% and 14.3% year-on-year compared to the same months in 2019, indicating a recovery in demand [1][2] - The average economy class ticket price for the New Year holiday in 2026 is projected to be 597 RMB, reflecting a 1.1% decrease from 2024 and a 6.7% increase from 2025 [1][2] - The logistics sector is benefiting from explosive growth in overseas e-commerce, with TikTok Shop's GMV in Southeast Asia increasing by 2.7 times during the "12.12" promotion [1][3] Summary by Sections Weekly Insights and Market Review - The transportation sector index rose by 1.37%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.51 percentage points [1][19] - The top three performing sub-sectors were shipping, public transport, and logistics, with increases of 4.70%, 4.65%, and 1.96% respectively [1][19] Air Travel - From January to November 2025, civil aviation passenger turnover reached 12,865.80 billion person-kilometers, a 19.6% increase compared to the same period in 2019 [2][12] - Domestic routes saw a 25.6% increase, while international routes grew by 3.6% [2][12] - The aviation sector is expected to maintain a positive outlook due to low supply growth and recovering demand, with a focus on business travel and international flight recovery [2][12] Shipping and Ports - The oil and dry bulk freight rates are experiencing a decline, with VLCC rates significantly dropping due to seasonal factors and lower-than-expected January loading volumes [3][13] - The dry bulk shipping index continues to fall, with a focus on the impact of new iron ore production and geopolitical developments [3][14] - The LNG transportation market is anticipated to follow a different cycle compared to larger vessels, with new projects in hydrogen production [3][16] Logistics - The logistics sector is focusing on two investment themes: overseas expansion driven by e-commerce growth and internal competition management amid slowing industry growth [3][17] - The express delivery volume showed a modest increase of 1.6% year-on-year in December, indicating a competitive landscape where leading companies are expected to gain market share [3][17]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an overall investment rating for the industry, but it recommends specific companies such as SF Express and China Southern Airlines based on their performance and market conditions [2][4]. Core Views - The express delivery sector shows a year-on-year growth of 5% in November, with some companies benefiting from price increases due to reduced competition. The total express delivery volume reached approximately 180.6 billion pieces, while revenue decreased by 3.7% to 137.65 billion yuan [2]. - In logistics, the chemical transportation prices remained stable, and the report recommends Haichen Co. for its focus on smart logistics and improved demand [3]. - The aviation sector experienced a slight increase in flight operations, with an average of 14,612 flights per day, reflecting a 1.79% year-on-year growth. The report anticipates profit elasticity for airlines due to supply constraints and rising ticket prices [4]. - The shipping sector indicates a mixed performance, with container shipping rates showing a slight increase, while dry bulk shipping rates have decreased. The report highlights the impact of geopolitical events on oil tanker operations [5]. - The road and rail sector shows stable performance, with highway freight traffic increasing by 2.02% week-on-week, and the Daqin Railway reported a 1.75% increase in freight volume [6][89]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The transportation index rose by 1.3% during the week of December 20-26, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which increased by 1.9%. The logistics sector had the highest gain at 5.5%, while the aviation sector saw a decline of 0.7% [1][13]. 2. Industry Fundamentals Tracking 2.1 Shipping and Ports - The report notes a slowdown in container shipping declines, with support from seasonal demand and long-term contracts. However, it warns of potential downward pressure on rates in January due to increased capacity [24]. - The export container shipping index (CCFI) was reported at 1,146.67 points, up 2.0% week-on-week but down 24.3% year-on-year [25]. 2.2 Aviation and Airports - The civil aviation sector saw a total passenger volume of 60.17 million in November, a 6% increase year-on-year, with domestic routes growing by 5% and international routes by 19% [58]. - The report highlights that airlines are expected to see significant profit increases in Q4 due to high load factors and rising ticket prices [58]. 2.3 Rail and Road - The report indicates that national railway passenger volume reached 331 million in November, a year-on-year increase of 8.94%, while freight volume was 460 million tons, up 1.16% [83]. - The highway freight traffic showed a slight increase, with a total of 55.44 million trucks passing through highways during the week of December 16-21 [89].

Core Viewpoint - Jianxin Financial Leasing Co., Ltd. successfully delivered its first C919 aircraft to China International Airlines on December 27, marking a significant milestone in their leasing partnership [1] Group 1: Company Collaboration - Jianxin Financial Leasing has established a leasing business collaboration with China International Airlines involving a total of 19 aircraft [1]

Core Insights - The Chinese civil aviation industry is experiencing robust growth, with multiple airlines returning to profitability and record passenger throughput at various airports, indicating a vibrant aviation economy [1][3][5] Group 1: Passenger Demand and Growth - Nationwide airport passenger volumes are on the rise, with Sanya Phoenix International Airport achieving a record passenger throughput of 21.849 million for the year 2025, marking a 5.8% increase year-on-year [1] - Baiyun Airport's annual passenger throughput has surpassed 80 million for the first time, with over 16.6 million international passengers [2] - The overall passenger transport scale in the civil aviation industry is expected to grow by approximately 5% year-on-year in 2025, reaching 770 million passengers [2] Group 2: Financial Performance of Airlines - The three major airlines reported a combined profit of 6.28 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, marking their first return to profitability since 2023 [3] - The recovery of international routes has significantly contributed to the improvement in airline performance, enhancing wide-body aircraft utilization and alleviating domestic market competition [3] Group 3: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The civil aviation market is witnessing a shift in passenger demographics, with increased travel from younger and older generations, contributing to strong market growth [4] - Predictions for 2026 indicate that passenger transport volume may reach 805 million, representing a 4.6% increase from 2025 and a 22.1% increase from 2019 [5] - The industry faces challenges such as supply constraints and intensified competition from other transportation modes, necessitating strategic adjustments by airlines to ensure sustainable growth [6]

Core Viewpoint - The aviation and airport sector experienced a 2.8% increase on December 26, with HNA Holding leading the gains, while the overall market indices showed modest increases [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3963.68, up 0.1%, and the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13603.89, up 0.54% [1]. - HNA Holding's stock price rose by 2.27% to 1.80, with a trading volume of 10.22 million shares and a transaction value of 1.834 billion [1]. - Other notable performers included CITIC Offshore Helicopter, which increased by 1.14%, and Spring Airlines, which saw a slight increase of 0.16% [1]. Group 2: Stock Performance Summary - The table of stock performance shows various companies in the aviation sector, with HNA Holding leading in percentage increase, while several companies like China Eastern Airlines and Shanghai Airport experienced declines [2]. - The overall aviation and airport sector saw a net outflow of 313 million in main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 340 million [2]. Group 3: Fund Flow Analysis - HNA Holding had a net inflow of 18.76 million from main funds, but a net outflow of 17.27 million from retail investors [3]. - China Eastern Airlines experienced a significant net outflow of 26.35 million from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 60.68 million [3]. - The analysis indicates that retail investors are actively participating in the market, contrasting with the outflows from institutional and speculative funds [3].