Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the coal mining industry [4]. Core Viewpoints - The current phase of coal price adjustment is nearing its end, with the market having a clear understanding of the price decline. The industry is at a critical stage of price bottoming, and confidence should be maintained [3]. - The global seaborne coal trade volume decreased by 6.7% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with significant declines in coal exports from major countries [2][6]. - Domestic coal companies are facing increasing losses, with over half (54.8%) reporting losses as of March 2025, leading to a higher probability of production cuts [6]. Summary by Sections Coal Mining Trade - In Q1 2025, the international seaborne coal trade volume was 307 million tons, down 6.7% year-on-year [2]. - Major exporting countries saw declines: Indonesia's exports fell by 10.7% to 114.5 million tons, Australia by 9.4% to 76.6 million tons, and the U.S. by 4.9% to 20.8 million tons [6]. Price Trends - As of May 9, 2025, coal prices showed slight increases: European ARA port coal at $97.1/ton (+1.9%), Newcastle port coal at $98.9/ton (+0.9%), while South African Richards Bay coal futures fell slightly to $89.0/ton (-0.1%) [1][37]. - The report indicates that coal prices are stabilizing after a prolonged decline since Q4 2021 [3]. Recommendations - The report recommends increasing positions in key coal companies such as China Shenhua, China Coal Energy, and others, highlighting their potential for recovery and performance [6][7].

Core Viewpoint - The coal industry leader continues to outperform the sector with optimized cost management and plans for coal-electric integration, aiming for consolidated financial statements in 2024 [1] Financial Performance - The company reported total operating revenue of 184.145 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.47%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 22.36 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.21% [2] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 40.162 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.3%, with a net profit of 4.805 billion yuan, down 1.23% [2] - EPS forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down to 2.07 yuan and 2.17 yuan respectively, with a new EPS estimate for 2027 at 2.27 yuan [2] - The target price has been adjusted to 23.4 yuan, a decrease of 5.99 yuan [2] Coal Production and Sales - In 2024, the company produced 170.4846 million tons of coal, an increase of 4.13%, and sold 258.4308 million tons, up 9.13%, with self-produced coal sales at 160 million tons, down 1% [3] - In Q1 2025, coal production was 43.93 million tons, with self-produced coal sales at 39.5467 million tons, an increase of 5.81% [3] - The average coal price in 2024 was 561.30 yuan per ton, down 8.50%, while the self-produced coal price was 532.03 yuan per ton, a decrease of 59.05 yuan per ton [3] - The complete cost of raw coal was 289.92 yuan per ton, down 6.67 yuan per ton [3] Coal-Electric Integration - The company plans to achieve coal-electric asset consolidation by the end of 2024, following the acquisition of Shaanxi Coal Power Group's thermal power assets [4] - The total installed capacity of coal-fired power generation is 19,620 MW, with 8,300 MW operational and 11,320 MW under construction [4] - In 2024, total power generation was 37.615 billion kWh, an increase of 4.41%, and total electricity sales were 35.126 billion kWh, up 4.37% [4] - The electricity price was 399.23 yuan per MWh, down 4.84%, and the complete cost of power generation was 341.41 yuan per MWh, a decrease of 3.80% [4] - In Q1 2025, total power generation is expected to be 8.738 billion kWh, a decrease of 22.55%, with total electricity sales at 8.145 billion kWh, down 22.79% [4] Dividend Policy - The company plans to maintain a robust dividend policy, with a total proposed dividend of 13.07 billion yuan for 2024, corresponding to a net profit of 22.3 billion yuan, resulting in a dividend payout ratio of 58% [4] - The cash and trading financial assets at the end of 2024 amounted to 35.1 billion yuan, with operating net cash flow of 42.35 billion yuan, a significant increase compared to the previous year [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the coal mining industry [4] Core Viewpoints - The current coal price adjustment has been ongoing for nearly four years since the peak in Q4 2021, and the market is well aware of the price decline. The industry is at a critical stage of price bottoming, and the report emphasizes the importance of understanding the industry's fundamental attributes and maintaining confidence [7][63] - Key recommendations include major coal enterprises such as China Shenhua (H+A) and China Coal Energy (H+A), as well as companies showing signs of recovery like Qinfa [8][64] Summary by Sections Cash King - Since the supply-side reform in 2016, the historical burden on coal companies has significantly decreased. Despite the continuous decline in coal prices since early 2024, some companies have cash balances (cash and cash equivalents + trading financial assets) far exceeding their interest-bearing debts. As of Q1 2025, the top five companies with the highest cash balances are China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, Jinkong Coal, China Coal Energy, and Lu'an Environmental Energy [1][17] Low Debt - As of Q1 2025, the asset-liability ratio for large coal enterprises is 60.3%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year. Most sampled coal companies have asset-liability ratios lower than the industry average. The companies with the lowest asset-liability ratios are China Shenhua, Jinkong Coal, Electric Power Investment Energy, Yitai B, and Shanghai Energy [20][21] Strong Foundation - Special reserves are funds set aside by coal companies for safety production and maintaining simple reproduction. The top five companies with the highest net increase in special reserves from the end of 2023 to Q1 2025 are China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, Yitai B, Lu'an Environmental Energy, and Gansu Energy [25][31] High Potential - Considering the cyclical nature of coal prices, coal companies may enhance cost control to ensure steady improvement in profitability. The report evaluates potential profit release using the ratio of operating cash flow minus net profit, depreciation, and financial expenses to net profit. The companies with the highest potential for profit release are Haohua Energy, Yitai B, Huabei Mining, China Coal Energy, and Shanmei International [2][51] Dividend King - The top five companies in terms of cumulative cash dividends over the past three years are China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, Yunkang Energy, China Coal Energy, and Lu'an Environmental Energy. The report highlights the high dividend attributes of coal companies, driven by reduced historical burdens and a cautious approach to reinvesting in traditional businesses [3][55]

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Dividend Potential Index has shown a recent upward trend, indicating strong performance among companies with high dividend expectations and capabilities [2]. Group 1: Index Performance - The China Securities Dividend Potential Index rose by 1.04% to 9340.74 points, with a trading volume of 41.843 billion [1]. - Over the past month, the index increased by 5.15%, while it has decreased by 0.18% over the last three months and by 4.63% year-to-date [2]. Group 2: Index Composition - The index comprises 50 listed companies selected based on metrics such as earnings per share, undistributed profits per share, and return on equity [2]. - The top ten weighted companies in the index are: Kweichow Moutai (16.29%), Ping An Insurance (14.85%), Midea Group (9.48%), CATL (9.41%), Gree Electric (6.89%), Wuliangye (4.87%), Yili Group (4.76%), China Shenhua (4.11%), Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry (2.47%), and China Pacific Insurance (2.2%) [2]. Group 3: Market and Sector Allocation - The index's holdings are primarily from the Shanghai Stock Exchange (57.79%) and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (42.21%) [2]. - Sector allocations include: Consumer Staples (32.93%), Discretionary Consumer (20.65%), Financials (17.05%), Industrials (9.41%), Energy (8.20%), Healthcare (5.24%), Information Technology (3.40%), Materials (2.43%), and Communication Services (0.69%) [2]. Group 4: Sample Adjustment Criteria - The index samples are adjusted annually, with the next adjustment scheduled for the second Friday of December [3]. - Companies must meet specific criteria to remain in the index, including a cash dividend to net profit ratio of at least 30%, ranking in the top 90% for average market capitalization, and average trading volume [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the coal industry [3]. Core Viewpoints - The coal industry is experiencing a paradigm shift from performance-driven growth to valuation-driven growth, influenced by supply constraints and stable coal prices [10][16]. - The long-term contracts in the coal sector are enhancing the stability of earnings, providing a buffer against market volatility [24][28]. - The report highlights that despite recent price declines, the coal sector's defensive attributes may offer unique advantages in uncertain market conditions [60][66]. Summary by Sections 1. What to Invest in the Coal Industry? - The focus is on long-term contracts and stable coal prices as key investment areas [8]. 2. Why Shift from Performance to Valuation? - Supply elasticity is decreasing, leading to enhanced stability in return on equity (ROE) [18][21]. - The increase in capital expenditures since 2021 has been significant, with new coal mine approvals becoming more complex and costly [19][20]. - The long-term contract mechanism is crucial for stabilizing earnings expectations in the coal sector [24][27]. 3. Why Has the Coal Sector Seen Significant Corrections Since H2 2024? - The fundamental issue stems from strong supply and weak demand, leading to a surplus in coal supply [39][41]. - The decline in electricity prices has pressured profit margins across the coal-electricity supply chain [39][41]. 4. Can the Sector Still Rise Despite Weak Demand? - Concerns about demand are driven by a slowdown in electricity consumption growth and the increasing substitution of coal by renewable energy sources [48][53]. - The report suggests that even with demand concerns, coal's defensive characteristics may still provide stability in performance [60][66]. 5. Long-term Outlook for Thermal Coal - The report anticipates a marginal improvement in coal supply-demand dynamics by late May 2025, with potential support for coal prices [66][67].

Group 1: 2024 Performance Overview - The coal sector's overall net profit excluding non-recurring items is expected to decline by 20% year-on-year, with an average ROE of approximately 10% [1] - The total profit of large coal enterprises is projected to be 604.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 22.2% [1] - Key coal companies are expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 157.3 billion yuan and a net profit excluding non-recurring items of 155.5 billion yuan, down 18.6% and 19.7% year-on-year, respectively [1] Group 2: 2024 Operational Overview - The total coal production of 28 key coal companies is estimated at 1.34 billion tons, a year-on-year increase of 2.0% [2] - The weighted average net profit per ton of coal is approximately 131 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 25% [2] - The weighted average coal price and cost are projected to decrease by 7% and remain stable, respectively [2] Group 3: Q1 2025 Performance Overview - The sector's profit is expected to decline by 27% year-on-year, with an average net profit margin of around 11% [3] - The total net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 is projected to be 31 billion yuan, down 27.3% year-on-year [3] - The average gross profit margin and net profit margin for Q1 2025 are expected to drop to 25% and 11%, respectively [3] Group 4: Q1 2025 Operational Overview - The coal production of 24 companies is expected to reach 304 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 5.7% [4] - The weighted average net profit per ton of coal is projected to decrease to 97 yuan, with coal prices and costs declining by 18% and 15%, respectively [4] - Some companies, such as Shaanxi Energy and Yancoal, are expected to maintain a net profit per ton exceeding 100 yuan [4] Group 5: Industry Outlook - Seasonal demand for thermal coal is expected to improve marginally after May, with expectations of increased industrial demand and reduced coal imports [5] - Coal prices are anticipated to gradually recover after inventory declines, despite a potential downward trend in the price center for 2025 [5] Group 6: Key Companies - Companies with stable profits and high dividends include Shaanxi Coal and China Shenhua [6] - Companies with low valuations and long-term growth potential include China Coal Energy and Yancoal [6] - Companies benefiting from positive demand expectations and low PB ratios include Huabei Mining and Shanxi Coking Coal [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant investments made by Honghu Fund in the stock market, particularly focusing on three major stocks: China Telecom, Yili Group, and Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, with a total market value exceeding 12.5 billion yuan as of the end of Q1 2025 [1][2]. Investment Details - As of the end of Q1 2025, Honghu Fund held 762 million shares of China Telecom, 153 million shares of Yili Group, and 116 million shares of Shaanxi Coal, with respective market values of 5.98 billion yuan, 4.29 billion yuan, and 2.31 billion yuan [2]. - The fund increased its holdings in Yili Group and Shaanxi Coal by 13.51 million shares and 15.04 million shares respectively, while maintaining its position in China Telecom [2]. Fund Background - Honghu Fund was established in February 2024 with a total scale of 50 billion yuan, funded equally by China Life and Xinhua Insurance [2]. - The fund aims to achieve lower risk and higher returns compared to benchmarks, having successfully deployed its initial investment of 50 billion yuan [2]. Regulatory Developments - The China Financial Regulatory Authority plans to approve an additional 60 billion yuan for insurance funds to invest in the stock market, bringing the total approved and proposed investment scale to 222 billion yuan [1][3]. Focus on High Dividend Assets - The article emphasizes the trend of insurance funds focusing on high dividend stocks, which provide stable returns and align with their long-term investment strategies [6][7]. - Honghu Fund's major holdings exhibit attractive dividend yields, with Shaanxi Coal's yield nearing 7%, and Yili Group and China Telecom yielding over 4% and 3% respectively [6][8]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict that insurance funds will increase their allocation to high dividend assets, estimating an annual increase of 300 to 400 billion yuan over the next three years [8].

Group 1 - Geely Auto proposed to privatize Zeekr with an offer of $2.57 per share, representing a 13.6% premium over the last trading price [1] - The offer also includes a premium of 20.0% over the volume-weighted average price of the last 30 trading days [1] - Geely currently holds approximately 65.7% of Zeekr's issued share capital [1] Group 2 - Sun Group announced the U.S. Department of Commerce has revoked its investigation into steel wheels made in Vietnam using Chinese components [2] - The revocation is expected to positively impact the company's export orders and future overseas business layout [2] Group 3 - Qingdao Beer plans to acquire 100% equity of Jimo Yellow Wine for a total consideration of RMB 665 million [3] - The acquisition aims to enhance industry synergy, competitiveness, and expand product lines and market channels [3] Group 4 - BeiGene reported a net loss of 94.503 million yuan in Q1 2025, a reduction in loss compared to the previous year [4] - The company achieved total revenue of 8.048 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 50.2%, driven by sales growth of its self-developed products [4] Group 5 - Daqin Railway reported a 0.99% year-on-year increase in cargo transportation volume for April [5] - Shaanxi Coal's self-produced coal sales reached 13.1033 million tons in April, up 0.76% year-on-year [5] Group 6 - Shennong Group sold 227,300 pigs in April, marking a 32.85% year-on-year increase [6] - Poly Developments reported a 25.44% year-on-year decrease in contracted sales amounting to 24.622 billion yuan in April [6] Group 7 - Hainan Development plans to acquire 51% equity of Wangying Technology [7] - Huafeng Measurement Control's shareholders plan to transfer 2.9% of shares at an initial price of 121.42 yuan per share [7] Group 8 - Various companies reported significant stock price fluctuations, with Changshan Pharmaceutical's injection not yet on the market and facing regulatory uncertainties [8] - The company is in the professional review stage for its diabetes treatment application [8]

Group 1: Company Performance - Wens Foodstuff's April chicken sales revenue was 2.543 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.01% [1] - Wens Foodstuff sold 10.381 million chickens in April, a year-on-year increase of 10.87% [1] - Wens Foodstuff's average chicken selling price was 11.24 yuan/kg, a year-on-year decrease of 14.91% [1] - Zhongtong Bus's April vehicle sales volume was 1,046 units, a year-on-year decrease of 4.04% [1][2] - Kemin Food's April pig sales revenue reached 70.9048 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.04% [3] - Muyuan Foods sold 6.573 million pigs in April, a year-on-year increase of 51.80% [5] - Muyuan Foods' pig sales revenue was 12.595 billion yuan in April, a year-on-year increase of 53.42% [5] - Xiamen Airport's April passenger throughput was 2.3881 million, a year-on-year increase of 7.73% [24] - Daqin Railway's April cargo transport volume was 30.62 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 0.99% [26] - Shaanxi Coal's April coal production was 14.24 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 1.78% [28] Group 2: Industry Overview - Wens Foodstuff operates in the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry, specifically in pig farming [1] - Zhongtong Bus operates in the automotive industry, focusing on commercial vehicles [2] - Kemin Food operates in the food and beverage industry, specifically in food processing [3] - Muyuan Foods is also in the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry, focusing on pig farming [5] - Xiamen Airport is part of the transportation industry, specifically in airport operations [24] - Daqin Railway operates in the coal industry, focusing on coal mining and transportation [26] - Shaanxi Coal is also in the coal industry, focusing on coal mining and related services [28]

以上主要运营数据来自本公司内部统计，可能与公司定期报告披露的数据有差异， 仅供投资者及时了解公司生产经营状况，不对公司未来经营状况作出预测或承诺，敬请 广大投资者理性投资，注意投资风险。 特此公告 陕西煤业股份有限公司 2025 年 5 月 7 日 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重 大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 | 运营指标 | 单位 | 2025 | 年 | 2024 | 年 | | 同比变化（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 4 月 | 累计 | 4 月 | 累计 | 4 月 | 累计 | | 一、煤炭 | | | | | | | | | 煤炭产量 | 万吨 | 1,424.23 | 5,818.00 | 1,450.00 | 5,595.20 | -1.78 | 3.98 | | 自产煤销量 | 万吨 | 1,310.33 | 5,265.00 | 1,300.41 | 5,038.00 | 0.76 | 4.51 | | 二、发电 | | | | ...