Core Viewpoint - The adjustment of the VAT tax category for telecommunications services will impact the revenue and profit of the three major telecom operators in China, with an estimated net profit reduction of approximately 6%-8% [1][2][4]. Group 1: VAT Adjustment Details - The Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation announced that from January 1, 2026, the VAT rate for basic telecommunications services will increase from 6% to 9% [2]. - The three major telecom operators have acknowledged that this adjustment will affect their financial performance [2]. Group 2: Business Impact Analysis - The telecom operators have diversified business segments, including voice calls, internet services, cloud computing, and hardware sales, which complicates the precise measurement of the VAT adjustment's impact [3]. - The adjustment's effect on net profit is estimated based on various assumptions, including a 50% pass-through of VAT to downstream customers and a 2% initial revenue reduction, with a gradual recovery expected [4]. Group 3: Future Outlook and Investment Recommendations - Despite the VAT adjustment, the high dividend yield of the telecom operators remains stable, with projected dividend payout ratios of 75% for China Mobile and China Telecom, and 58% for China Unicom, leading to dividend yields of 5.2%, 4.9%, and 3.6% respectively [5]. - The operators are expected to focus on enhancing network construction, technology research, and service quality, with significant investments in emerging fields such as 6G and AI anticipated to increase by approximately 10 percentage points [5][6]. - The operators are well-positioned to benefit from the growth of AI applications and the expansion of their computing capabilities, which may lead to a valuation uplift [7].

航天发展今日涨停，成交额138.72亿元，换手率28.12%，盘后龙虎榜数据显示，深股通专用席位买入 1.42亿元并卖出1.73亿元，1家机构专用席位净买入1.52亿元。中国银河证券大连黄河路证券营业部净买 入7.56亿元。 ...

（文章来源：第一财经） | 公告日期 2026-02-03 | 异常期间 元 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 航天发展 (000547) | 成交量 | 446,843,944 份/股 | 成交金额 | 13,872,226,054 元 | | 日价格涨幅偏离值达到7.65% | | | | | | 买卖 | 会员营业部名称 | 买入金额 | 幸出会额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (元) | (元) | | 买1 | 中国银河证券股份有限公司大连黄河路 证券营业部 | 903,142,026 | 147,252,921 | | 买2 | 国泰海通证券股份有限公司武汉紫阳东 路证券营业部 | 232,970,591 | 69,461,510 | | 买3 | 东吴证券股份有限公司苏州相城大道证 券营业部 | 194,308,722 | 215,687 | | 买4 | 机构专用 | 165,216,613 | 13,031,398 | | ಶಿಕ | 中泰证券股份有限公司湖北分公司 | 158,421,646 | 32, ...

一方面，美伊局势持续紧张，风险溢价攀升。1月23日，美国财政部宣布针对伊朗实施新一轮制裁措 施，涉及多家与石油和天然气相关的公司和多艘油轮。此外，美国多次威胁军事干涉伊朗局势。目前， 伊朗原油产量超过300万桶/日，出口量约200万桶/日，约占全球供应的3%。市场担忧若美伊冲突爆发， 伊朗原油出口可能受阻。此外，若局势恶化，霍尔木兹海峡或面临封锁危机。 智通财经APP获悉，中国银河证券发布研报称，当前原油市场聚焦美伊局势，短期油价波动或加剧。建 议后续密切关注地缘局势、OPEC+产量政策、全球贸易争端等指引。2025年我国原油表观需求改善、 天然气表观需求微增、成品油表观需求回落。该行预计2026年2月Brent原油价格运行区间参考60-70美 元/桶，受地缘不确定性因素影响，短期油价波动将加剧。推荐PX、PTA、石化新材料等领域投资机 会。 中国银河证券主要观点如下： 1月油价重心上移 截至1月30日，Brent、WTI月均价分别为64.7、60.2美元/桶，环比分别上涨5.0%、4.1%。供给端，地缘 因素叠加北美寒潮，供给缩量预期升温。 2025年我国天然气表观消费量4322亿立方米，同比增长2.4%， ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Galaxy Securities indicates that the artificial intelligence (AI) sector experienced a significant rebound in January, driven by three main catalysts, and suggests actively investing in AI sub-sectors and leading companies with performance support [1][2]. Group 1: AI Sector Performance - The AI sector index (884201.WI) increased by 10.86% in January, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 3.76%, the CSI 300 by 1.65%, and the ChiNext Index by 4.47% [1]. - The trading volume in the AI sector reached 27,958.23 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 152.67% and a month-on-month increase of 94.74% [1]. - The sector's strong performance in January was attributed to industrial, policy, and capital progress catalysts [2]. Group 2: Catalysts for Growth - Industrial catalysts include the upcoming CES 2026, the introduction of NVIDIA's Rubin architecture, and collaborations such as NVIDIA's partnership with Eli Lilly for AI-assisted drug discovery [2]. - Policy support is highlighted by the issuance of the "Artificial Intelligence + Manufacturing" special action implementation opinions by eight departments [2]. - Capitalization progress is noted with the listings of Zhizhu AI and MiniMax on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [2]. Group 3: Future Demand and Market Trends - The domestic AI data center (AIDC) bidding is expected to recover and show an upward trend starting in Q4 2025, with major internet companies accelerating their data center layouts [4]. - The potential entry of NVIDIA's H200 chip into the Chinese market is anticipated to benefit the development of domestic computing chips and ecosystems [4]. - The AI application landscape is shifting from traditional search engine optimization (SEO) to generative engine optimization (GEO), indicating a transformation in marketing and user behavior [3]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Key areas for investment include the domestic computing power industry chain, IDC service providers and computing power leasing, domestic trusted innovation manufacturers, AI agents and applications, cloud computing companies, integrated machines and edge AI, and companies involved in the data element industry chain [5].

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Galaxy Securities indicates that leading optical module companies, such as Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng, have released performance forecasts for 2025, with most companies expecting a growth of over 50% in their earnings, although foreign exchange losses may impact the timing of earnings release [1][2]. Group 1: Performance Forecasts - Companies like Xinyi Sheng are expected to achieve a net profit of 9.4-9.9 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 231.24%-248.86%, while Zhongji Xuchuang anticipates a net profit of 9.8-11.8 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 89.5%-128.17% [2]. - In the latest quarter, Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng reported record high profits, while Cambridge Technology faced a foreign exchange loss of approximately 96.05 million yuan due to funds retained in Hong Kong dollars after its IPO [2]. Group 2: Market Trends and Demand - The domestic demand for optical modules is expected to increase significantly in the first year of the 14th Five-Year Plan, driven by the upgrade from 400G to 800G/1.6T modules and the rising computational power needs from AI applications [3]. - The overseas market remains robust, with major cloud companies expected to exceed capital expenditure forecasts for 2026, leading to an accelerated demand for high-speed optical modules [3]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The optical communication sector is currently undervalued, with supply constraints anticipated to be a major bottleneck in 2026, despite the increasing global market share of Chinese optical module manufacturers [4]. - Companies such as Zhongji Xuchuang (300308.SZ), Xinyi Sheng (300502.SZ), and others in the optical module and device sectors are recommended for investment due to their strong positioning and growth potential [4].

证券之星消息，2月2日证券板块较上一交易日下跌0.01%，长江证券领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4015.75，下跌2.48%。深证成指报收于13824.35，下跌2.69%。证券板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000712 | 锦龙股份 | 12.23 | 3.38% | 43.25万 | | 5.34亿 | | 601881 | 中国银河 | 15.11 | 0.60% | 63.91万 | | 9.751Z | | 601456 | 国联民生 | 9.75 | 0.41% | 55.55万 | | 5.47亿 | | 002670 | 国盛证券 | 16.43 | 0.18% | 35.99万 | | 5.97亿 | | 600918 | 中泰证券 | 6.40 | 0.16% | 57.54万 | | 3.74亿 | | 6501059 | 信达证券 | 17.59 | 0.00% | 32.92万 | | 5.83亿 | | 60123 ...

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2026年1月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 備註： 第 1 頁 共 11 頁 v 1.2.0 FF301 公司名稱: 中國銀河證券股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年2月2日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 H | | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 06881 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 3,690,984,633 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 3,690,984,633 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 3,690,984,633 | RMB | | 1 | ...

致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國銀河證券股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年2月2日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2026年1月31日 狀態: 新提交 FF301 因本公司於中華人民共和國註冊成立，"法定/註冊股本"之概念不適用於本公司。在上述第I部顯示「法定/註冊股本」的資料即本公司的已發行股本。 FF301 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 H | | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 06881 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 3,690,984,633 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 3,690,984,633 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | | RMB ...

大健康国际1月多次出现大手存转仓记录。香港联交所最新资料显示，1月20日，3044.03万股股票于当 日被存入粤商国际证券，该笔存仓股份市值3926.79万港元；1月26日，大健康国际股东将股票存入招银 国际证券，存仓市值5098.28万港元，占比12.43%。此外，1月28日，大健康国际股东将股票由富途证券 国际香港转入宝新证券，转仓市值3035.37万港元；1月29日，大健康国际股东将股票由粤商国际证券转 入香港上海汇丰银行，转仓市值8551.5万港元，占比14.68%。 香港联交所最新资料显示，1月30日，大健康国际(02211)股东将股票由粤商国际证券转入中国银河 （601881）证券香港，转仓市值9813.59万港元，占比17.24%。 ...