Macro News - The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China emphasizes strict punishment for financial crimes such as market manipulation, insider trading, illegal fundraising, loan fraud, and money laundering to promote healthy financial market development [1][5] - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) will conduct a 14 trillion yuan reverse repurchase operation on July 15, 2025, to maintain ample liquidity in the banking system, with 8 trillion yuan for 3-month operations and 6 trillion yuan for 6-month operations [3][6] - In the first half of 2025, the total social financing increased by 22.83 trillion yuan, with new loans amounting to 12.92 trillion yuan, and M2 growth of 8.3% year-on-year [4][6] Company News - China Eastern Airlines expects a net loss of 12 billion to 16 billion yuan for the first half of 2025 [12] - Greenland Holdings anticipates a net loss of 30 billion to 35 billion yuan for the first half of 2025 [13] - Longi Green Energy expects a net loss of 24 billion to 28 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, although it represents a reduction in losses compared to the previous year [13] - Perfect World anticipates a net profit of 4.8 billion to 5.2 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a turnaround from losses [17] - Wen Tai Technology expects a net profit increase of 178% to 317% year-on-year for the first half of 2025 [18] - China Rare Earth anticipates a net profit of 136 million to 176 million yuan for the first half of 2025, indicating a return to profitability [21] Investment Opportunities - The Robotaxi industry is expected to experience rapid growth due to technological advancements and supportive policies, with 2025 projected as a year of mass production [29] - The solid-state battery market is anticipated to see significant growth, with expectations for small-scale production by 2027 and larger-scale shipments by 2030, driven by increasing demand for high-performance batteries [30] - The humanoid robot market is projected to grow significantly, with a record order of 124 million yuan for humanoid robot manufacturing services, indicating strong market potential [31] - The successful production of the first barrel of uranium from China's largest natural uranium production project is expected to enhance the country's energy resource security and influence in uranium resource development [32]

Group 1 - The A-share merger and acquisition (M&A) market has experienced explosive growth since 2025, driven by policies such as the "Six Merger Rules" and the revised regulations on major asset restructuring, with over 200 disclosed M&A events as of July 14, 2025, marking a nearly fourfold increase compared to the same period in 2024, reaching a historical high [1][2] - The concentration of financial advisory services among securities firms is increasing, with 81 institutions participating in domestic M&A services as of July 14, 2025. CITIC Securities leads with 25 projects, followed by Huatai Securities with 17, and CICC and CITIC Jianzhong with 16 and 10 projects respectively [2] - The market shows a clear "80/20" distribution, with the top five securities firms, including CITIC Securities, accounting for over 50% of the market share. Despite rapid growth in domestic business, Chinese securities firms still lack capabilities in handling complex cross-border transactions [2] Group 2 - Globally, the M&A market has shown signs of recovery after a decline since its peak in 2021, with announced M&A transaction values reaching $3.6 trillion in 2024, a 14.31% increase year-on-year, and the number of transactions growing by 3.05% [3] - Technology-driven M&A transactions remain active, with companies seeking new growth points through acquisitions, particularly in sectors such as information technology, green energy, and healthcare, driven by the urgent need for economic transformation and industrial upgrading [3] - Regulatory trends in the U.S. and Europe have led to increased scrutiny of foreign acquisitions to maintain economic security and market competition, with antitrust reviews becoming stricter, particularly in the technology sector [4] Group 3 - The China Securities Association suggests enhancing regulatory inclusiveness to encourage high-quality M&A transactions, focusing on ensuring fairness and transparency in transactions, particularly in information disclosure [4][6] - Optimizing antitrust review mechanisms is essential to balance innovation and competition, with differentiated review standards for domestic technology company acquisitions and establishing dynamic exemption mechanisms for mergers that can promote technological breakthroughs [5][6] - Improving cross-border M&A regulations and frameworks is crucial, including refining requirements for red-chip companies and establishing cross-border data-sharing mechanisms to avoid regulatory arbitrage [6]

Group 1 - Cathay Pacific Haikou expects a net profit increase of 205%-218% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 15.283 billion to 15.957 billion yuan [1] - The main reason for the profit increase is the merger with Haitong Securities, which has led to significant growth in wealth management and trading revenues [1] - Shenyuan Hongyuan anticipates a net profit increase of 92.66%-111.46% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 4.1 billion to 4.5 billion yuan [6][7] Group 2 - Southern Airlines expects a net loss of 1.338 billion to 1.756 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, primarily due to changes in passenger structure and international uncertainties [2] - China Eastern Airlines projects a net loss of 1.2 billion to 1.6 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, influenced by intense domestic market competition [3] - Air China anticipates a net loss of 1.7 billion to 2.2 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, affected by market supply imbalances and international uncertainties [4] Group 3 - HNA Group expects to turn a profit in the first half of 2025, with a projected net profit of 45 million to 65 million yuan, attributed to improved market conditions and operational adjustments [5] - CICC forecasts a net profit increase of 55%-78% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 3.453 billion to 3.966 billion yuan [8] - CITIC Securities anticipates a net profit increase of 55%-60% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 4.43 billion to 4.573 billion yuan [9] Group 4 - Shandong Gold expects a net profit of 2.55 billion to 3.05 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing an increase of 84.3%-120.5% [10] - Poly Developments anticipates a net profit decrease of 63.15% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 2.735 billion yuan [11] - Luoyang Molybdenum expects a net profit increase of 51%-68% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 8.2 billion to 9.1 billion yuan [13] Group 5 - Longi Green Energy expects a net loss of 2.4 billion to 2.8 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, but with a significant reduction in losses compared to the previous year [14] - Tongwei Co. anticipates a net loss of 4.9 billion to 5.2 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, influenced by ongoing industry challenges [15] - Ganfeng Lithium expects a net loss of 300 million to 550 million yuan for the first half of 2025, an improvement from the previous year's loss [16] Group 6 - Jianghuai Automobile expects a net loss of approximately 680 million yuan for the first half of 2025, primarily due to increased competition in the international market [21] - Yonghui Supermarket anticipates a net loss of 240 million yuan for the first half of 2025, attributed to ongoing transformation challenges [22] - ST Huatuo expects a net profit increase of 107.2%-159% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 2.4 billion to 3 billion yuan [23] Group 7 - New Hope anticipates a net profit of 680 million to 780 million yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a turnaround from losses [25] - Linyi Intelligent Manufacturing expects a net profit increase of 32%-67% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 900 million to 1.14 billion yuan [27] - Pengding Holdings expects a net profit increase of 52.79%-60.62% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 1.198 billion to 1.26 billion yuan [29] Group 8 - Hengtong Electronics expects a net profit increase of 740.95% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of approximately 251 million yuan [30] - Shengyi Technology anticipates a net profit increase of 50%-56% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 1.4 billion to 1.45 billion yuan [31] - Founder Securities expects a net profit increase of 70%-80% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 2.299 billion to 2.43 billion yuan [33]

Major Events - Zhonghua Equipment plans to acquire 100% equity of Yiyang Rubber and Plastic Machinery Group and Beihua Machinery, with stock suspension starting July 15, 2025 [3] - Suzhou Planning intends to purchase 100% equity of Dongjin Aerospace through a combination of cash and stock issuance, with stock resuming trading on July 15, 2025 [4] - Aerospace Development's independent director was detained for personal reasons unrelated to the company's operations, which remain stable [5][6] - *ST Tianmao issued a risk warning regarding potential delisting due to failure to disclose annual reports in time [7] - ST Shuntian will suspend trading for one day on July 15, 2025, and will remove other risk warnings, changing its stock name to Jiangsu Shuntian [8] - Xinghui Entertainment plans to transfer 99.66% equity of Espanyol Football Club for €130 million, focusing on core business areas [9] Performance Reports - China Salt Chemical reported a 5.76% decrease in revenue to ¥5.998 billion and an 88.04% drop in net profit to ¥52.71 million for the first half of 2025 [10] - Jiu Gui Jiu expects a net profit of ¥8 million to ¥12 million, down 90.08% to 93.39% year-on-year, with revenue around ¥560 million, a 43% decline [11] - Suli Co. anticipates a net profit of ¥72 million to ¥86 million, up 1008.39% to 1223.91% year-on-year, driven by increased sales and prices [12] - Te Yi Pharmaceutical expects a net profit of ¥34 million to ¥38 million, a growth of 1164.22% to 1312.95% year-on-year, due to strong sales of its core product [13] - Huahong Technology forecasts a net profit of ¥70 million to ¥85 million, up 3047.48% to 3721.94% year-on-year, benefiting from improved market conditions [14] - Qianfang Technology expects a net profit of ¥150 million to ¥200 million, an increase of 1125.99% to 1534.65% year-on-year, influenced by fair value changes of equity instruments [15] - Huaxia Airlines anticipates a net profit of ¥220 million to ¥290 million, up 741.26% to 1008.93% year-on-year, due to improved flight demand [16] - Xianfeng Holdings expects a net profit of ¥34 million to ¥42 million, a growth of 524.58% to 671.53% year-on-year, mainly from non-recurring gains [17] - Xinyi Sheng expects a net profit of ¥370 million to ¥420 million, up 327.68% to 385.47% year-on-year, driven by AI-related investments [18] - Haili Co. anticipates a net profit of ¥30.5 million to ¥36 million, a growth of 625.83% to 756.71% year-on-year, due to improved sales [19] - Hengsheng Electronics expects a net profit of approximately ¥251 million, an increase of about 740.95% year-on-year, due to significant non-recurring gains [20] - Tianqi Lithium expects a net profit of ¥0 to ¥155 million, recovering from a loss of ¥5.206 billion in the previous year [21] - Shui Jing Fang forecasts revenue of ¥1.498 billion, down 12.84%, and a net profit of ¥105 million, down 56.52% [22] - CICC expects a net profit of ¥3.453 billion to ¥3.966 billion, an increase of 55% to 78% year-on-year [23] - Shenwan Hongyuan anticipates a net profit of ¥4.1 billion to ¥4.5 billion, a growth of 92.66% to 111.46% year-on-year [24] - Xinda Securities expects a net profit of ¥921 million to ¥1.044 billion, an increase of 50% to 70% year-on-year [25] - Shanxi Securities anticipates a net profit of ¥504 million to ¥544 million, a growth of 58.17% to 70.72% year-on-year [26] - Guohai Securities expects a net profit of ¥370 million, a growth of 159.26% year-on-year [27] - Guocheng Mining anticipates a net profit of ¥493 million to ¥548 million, a growth of 1046.75% to 1174.69% year-on-year [28] - China Rare Earth expects a net profit of ¥136 million to ¥176 million, recovering from a loss of ¥244 million [29] - Perfect World anticipates a net profit of ¥480 million to ¥520 million, recovering from a loss of ¥177 million [30] - Fangda Carbon expects a net profit of ¥50 million to ¥60 million, down 65.13% to 70.93% year-on-year [31] - Huanghe Xuanfeng expects a net loss of ¥285 million [32] - JA Solar anticipates a net loss of ¥2.5 billion to ¥3 billion, worsening from a loss of ¥874 million [33] - Shanxi Black Cat expects a net loss of ¥490 million to ¥540 million [34] - Ganfeng Lithium anticipates a net loss of ¥300 million to ¥550 million, improving from a loss of ¥760 million [35] - Xinda Real Estate expects a net loss of ¥3.5 billion to ¥3.9 billion [36] - Greenland Holdings anticipates a net loss of ¥3 billion to ¥3.5 billion [37] - Air China expects a net loss of ¥1.7 billion to ¥2.2 billion [39] - OFILM expects a net loss of ¥85 million to ¥115 million [40] - Vanke A expects a net loss of ¥10 billion to ¥12 billion [41] Major Contracts - Zhongchen Co. won a project from Southern Power Grid worth ¥379 million, accounting for 12.26% of its 2024 audited revenue [42] - Gaode Infrared signed a procurement agreement worth ¥879 million, representing 32.84% of its 2024 audited revenue [43]

Core Viewpoint - Multiple listed companies in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets have announced significant changes in their financial forecasts and strategic decisions, indicating varied performance across different sectors in the first half of 2025 [1][3]. Company Announcements - Zhonghua Equipment plans to acquire 100% stakes in Yiyang Rubber and Plastic Machinery Group and Beihua Machinery, with stock suspension starting July 15, 2025, for up to 10 trading days [3]. - Jiugui Liquor expects a net profit decline of 90.08% to 93.39% in the first half of 2025, with projected revenue around 560 million yuan, a decrease of approximately 43% year-on-year [5]. - Suli Co. anticipates a net profit increase of 1008.39% to 1223.91%, with expected profits between 72 million and 86 million yuan, driven by improved market conditions [6]. - Te Yi Pharmaceutical forecasts a net profit growth of 1164.22% to 1312.95%, with profits expected between 34 million and 38 million yuan, supported by strong sales of its core product [7]. - Huahong Technology predicts a net profit increase of 3047.48% to 3721.94%, with expected profits between 70 million and 85 million yuan, benefiting from rising rare earth product prices [8]. - Huaxia Airlines expects a net profit increase of 741.26% to 1008.93%, with profits projected between 220 million and 290 million yuan, due to improved demand for air travel [9]. - Xianfeng Holdings anticipates a net profit increase of 524.58% to 671.53%, with expected profits between 34 million and 42 million yuan, largely due to non-recurring gains [10]. - Xinyisheng expects a net profit increase of 327.68% to 385.47%, with profits projected between 370 million and 420 million yuan, driven by growth in AI-related investments [12]. - Hengsheng Electronics forecasts a net profit increase of approximately 740.95%, with expected profits around 251 million yuan, aided by significant non-recurring gains [13]. - CICC anticipates a net profit increase of 55% to 78%, with expected profits between 3.453 billion and 3.966 billion yuan, driven by growth in investment banking and wealth management [14]. - Xinda Securities expects a net profit increase of 50% to 70%, with profits projected between 921 million and 1.044 billion yuan, supported by improved asset management [15]. - Shanxi Securities forecasts a net profit increase of 58.17% to 70.72%, with expected profits between 504 million and 544 million yuan, driven by growth in wealth management and international business [16]. - Guocheng Mining anticipates a net profit increase of 1046.75% to 1174.69%, with expected profits between 493 million and 548 million yuan, primarily due to non-recurring gains from asset sales [17]. - China Rare Earth expects a net profit of 136 million to 176 million yuan, recovering from a loss of 244 million yuan in the previous year, aided by improved market conditions [18]. - Perfect World anticipates a net profit of 480 million to 520 million yuan, recovering from a loss of 177 million yuan, driven by successful game launches and esports growth [19]. - Huanghe Xuanfeng expects a net loss of 285 million yuan, impacted by intense competition and weak demand in the superhard materials sector [20][21]. - JA Solar forecasts a net loss of 2.5 billion to 3 billion yuan, worsening from a loss of 874 million yuan, due to industry-wide supply-demand imbalances [22]. - Shanxi Black Cat anticipates a net loss of 490 million to 540 million yuan, driven by declining sales and prices of its main products [23]. - Xinda Real Estate expects a net loss of 3.5 billion to 3.9 billion yuan, transitioning from profit to loss due to reduced project deliveries and impairment provisions [24]. Major Contracts - Zhongchen Co. won a project from Southern Power Grid worth 379 million yuan, representing 12.26% of its audited revenue for 2024 [26]. - Gaode Infrared signed a procurement agreement for a complete equipment system worth 879 million yuan, accounting for 32.84% of its 2024 audited revenue, expected to positively impact this year's performance [27].

证券代码：601995 证券简称：中金公司 公告编号：临 2025-018 中国国际金融股份有限公司 2025 年半年度业绩预增公告 中国国际金融股份有限公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记 载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 本期业绩预告的具体适用情形为：实现盈利，且净利润与上年同期相 比上升 50%以上。 中国国际金融股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）预计 2025 年半年度 实现归属于母公司股东的净利润为人民币 34.53 亿元到人民币 39.66 亿元，与上 年同期相比，将增加人民币12.25亿元到人民币17.38亿元，同比增加55%到78%。 扣除非经常性损益事项后，预计 2025 年半年度实现归属于母公司股东 的净利润为人民币 33.80 亿元到人民币 38.85 亿元，与上年同期相比，将增加人 民币 11.85 亿元到人民币 16.90 亿元，同比增加 54%到 77%。 一、本期业绩预告情况 （二）业绩预告情况 经初步测算，预计公司 2025 年半年度实现归属于母公司股东的净利润为人 民币 34.53 亿元到人民币 39.6 ...

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [6] Core Insights - The passing of the US "GENIUS Act" and Hong Kong's "Stablecoin Ordinance" marks a significant milestone in the recognition of stablecoins, potentially transforming virtual assets into key components of financial infrastructure [2][19] - Stablecoins are expected to bridge the gap between digital finance and traditional finance, enhancing their acceptance by regulatory bodies due to their stable value and payment attributes [2][12] - The total market capitalization of stablecoins exceeded $269 billion as of July 12, 2025, with over 90% being USD-pegged stablecoins [17] Regulatory Framework - The US "GENIUS Act" requires stablecoin issuers to hold 1:1 cash or treasury reserves and grants the Federal Reserve emergency stop authority to prevent systemic risks [20] - Hong Kong's "Stablecoin Ordinance" establishes a licensing system for stablecoin issuers, mandating sufficient reserves and compliance with anti-money laundering regulations [22][23] - The European Union's MiCA regulation, effective from December 30, 2024, also aims to regulate stablecoins, focusing on consumer protection and market integrity [19][21] Stablecoin Characteristics - Stablecoins are pegged to fiat currencies, balancing openness and stability, unlike Bitcoin which is highly volatile [3][12] - They are designed to function as a payment tool, with lower transaction costs and faster settlement times compared to traditional payment systems [17][23] - The stablecoin ecosystem includes issuers, exchanges, and application scenarios, supported by reserve banks and compliance service providers [25][26] Market Opportunities - The implementation of the "Stablecoin Ordinance" is expected to boost the development of stablecoin issuance, trading, and cross-border payments in Hong Kong, positioning it as a global virtual asset hub [8][23] - Companies like ZA Bank are poised to benefit from the stablecoin ecosystem by providing reserve banking services [26][28] - The regulatory environment in Hong Kong is conducive for local securities firms to expand their services into the virtual asset space, creating new growth opportunities [31][32]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the public REITs market is becoming increasingly competitive, with significant interest from brokerage firms, leading to low allocation rates for individual investors [1][2][5] - The effective subscription confirmation ratio for the recent Chuangjin Hexin Shounong REIT was only 0.7755%, indicating high demand and low supply [1] - The public investors' effective subscription confirmation ratio was even lower at 0.2616%, meaning that for every 1,000 yuan subscribed, only 2.6 yuan was allocated [1] Group 2 - Brokerage firms have become the largest players in the public REITs market, surpassing insurance asset management in terms of holdings [3] - As of the end of 2024, brokerage firms held over 70 million shares of public REITs, accounting for 23.73% of the total market investors [3] - Major brokerages like CITIC Securities hold a diversified portfolio of REITs, with most individual holdings between 1% and 5%, reflecting their role as liquidity providers in the market [3] Group 3 - The stable dividend expectations and strong secondary market performance of public REITs have made them attractive in a low-interest-rate environment [5][6] - Brokerages are deeply involved in various aspects of the public REITs market, including fund management, financial advisory, and participation in new issuances and secondary market trading [6] - As of now, there are 73 public REITs listed or approved, with 9 managed by brokerage asset management firms [6] Group 4 - The limited issuance of public REITs by brokerage asset management is primarily due to regulatory constraints rather than a lack of interest [7] - Many successful public funds in the REITs space are affiliated with brokerages, leveraging their parent companies' resources and expertise [7] - The investment logic of REITs aligns more closely with real estate investment, which may provide brokerage asset management firms an opportunity to excel in this area [7]

7月11日晚间，中国证券业协会（以下简称"中证协"）发布2024年网下专业机构投资者"白名单"拟定名单并进行公示，接受 社会公众监督，公示期为2025年7月11日至7月24日。 本报记者 周尚伃 于宏 配套多项激励措施 值得一提的是，网下专业机构投资者"白名单"将在证券、基金、保险等金融机构范围内试点先行，逐步推广应用到其他类 型市场机构，并从声誉约束起步，逐步发挥专业机构投资者在促进市场资源配置，防范化解市场风险，助力资本市场高质量发 展等方面的积极作用。 据了解，中证协在日常管理工作中对"白名单"网下投资者采取下列激励措施：开通网下投资者注册绿色通道、减免信息报 送要求；在入会、登记、备案、注册、业务创新安排等工作中，提供优先办理、简化程序或者材料等服务；选任专业委员会委 员时优先考虑"白名单"机构的工作人员；将"白名单"分类管理所列证券公司记入执业声誉信息库等。 在此之前，中证协已经建立了网下投资者精选名单评价机制，并于2022年发布了首份网下投资者精选名单。精选名单评价 机制实施以来，在加强网下投资者自律管理，引导网下投资者合理审慎报价，维护新股网下发行秩序等方面发挥了重要作用。 为更好发挥大型金融机 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [4] Core Insights - The non-bank financial sector index increased by 3.96%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.14 percentage points, ranking third among all primary industries [2][15] - The implementation of the "28 Measures for High-Quality Development of the Securities Industry" aims to enhance self-regulation and promote high-quality development within the securities sector [3][16] - The recent notification from the Ministry of Finance emphasizes the importance of long-term stable investments by state-owned insurance companies, adjusting performance evaluation metrics to include longer time frames [7][17] Market and Sector Performance - The average daily trading volume of A-shares reached 14,961 million yuan, a week-on-week increase of 3.8% and a year-on-year increase of 138.2% [20] - In the second quarter of 2025, the average daily trading volume was 12,886 million yuan, up 55.7% from the same period in 2024 [20] - As of July 10, 2025, the margin trading balance was 18,737.06 billion yuan, a 0.78% increase from the previous period and a 19.57% increase compared to the average level in 2024 [20] Regulatory Developments - The "Implementation Opinions" released by the China Securities Association outlines 28 measures to strengthen self-regulation and enhance the service capabilities of securities firms [3][16] - The new performance evaluation system for state-owned insurance companies will now consider annual, three-year, and five-year indicators for net asset return and capital preservation rates, with respective weights of 30%, 50%, and 20% [7][17][19] Investment Opportunities - The adjustment in performance evaluation metrics for insurance companies is expected to reduce sensitivity to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the willingness of insurance funds to enter the market, potentially stabilizing market operations [8][19] - The securities sector is anticipated to achieve high-quality development as the new measures are gradually implemented, fostering a more robust industry ecosystem [6][16]